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Intel Faces Potential Exit from the DOW Amid Market StrugglesIntel Corp. ( NASDAQ:INTC ), once a dominant force in the tech industry, now faces the risk of being removed from the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), a position it has held since 1999. This possible removal could mark a significant blow to Intel’s already tarnished reputation, as the American chipmaker grapples with a host of challenges that have led to a dramatic decline in its stock price. Declining Performance and Missed Opportunities Intel's shares have plunged nearly 60% this year, making it the worst-performing stock on the Dow. The company has been struggling to keep pace with its competitors, missing out on major opportunities such as the artificial intelligence boom after passing on an early investment in OpenAI. This misstep, combined with mounting losses in its contract manufacturing unit, has placed Intel in a precarious financial position. To counter its downturn, Intel has undertaken drastic measures, including suspending its dividend and announcing layoffs that affect 15% of its workforce. However, many analysts believe these steps are not enough to reverse the company's fortunes. Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at the Carson Group, stated, "Intel being removed was likely a long time coming," highlighting the company’s prolonged struggles. Implications of Dow Removal The Dow Jones Industrial Average, unlike the S&P 500, is price-weighted, meaning stock price plays a crucial role in the inclusion of its members. Currently, Intel’s stock price is the lowest on the Dow, making it the least influential component of the index with a meager 0.32% weightage. Intel’s removal would not only be a symbolic blow but could also further depress its share price, which has already plummeted by over 70% from its all-time high in August 2000. While S&P Dow Jones Indices has not commented on whether Intel’s removal is imminent, the possibility looms larger than ever, with market experts pointing to potential replacements like Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) or Texas Instruments ( NASDAQ:TXN ). Nvidia, which has seen a 160% surge in share value this year thanks to its leadership in AI chips, is a strong contender, although some consider it too volatile for the Dow. Texas Instruments, with its stable stock price and significant U.S. production capabilities, could also be a fitting replacement. Mixed Signals Amid Downtrend From a technical perspective, Intel’s stock has been exhibiting mixed signals. Despite a brief uptick of 9.49% in Friday's extended trading, the stock has struggled to maintain momentum, down 1.3% in Tuesday’s premarket trading. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 45.98 suggests that the stock is not yet oversold but is hovering close to the oversold territory, indicating potential for growth if market conditions improve. A move towards the RSI level of 30 would typically signal oversold conditions and could spark a rebound, but Intel’s current RSI level reflects ongoing uncertainty. Intel’s chart pattern also reveals a struggling trajectory, with limited bullish indicators. The stock price has been unable to sustain higher levels, reflecting broader concerns about Intel’s future prospects. Investors are keenly watching for signs of stabilization, but the technical outlook remains cautious. What’s Next for Intel? Intel’s battle to remain in the Dow highlights broader issues within the company, from strategic missteps to financial woes. The potential removal from the prestigious index underscores the urgent need for Intel to rethink its approach and regain its competitive edge. Whether through revamping its business model, making strategic investments, or improving operational efficiencies, Intel must act swiftly to restore investor confidence. As the chipmaker faces critical decisions, both technical and fundamental factors will play crucial roles in shaping its future. Investors should closely monitor Intel’s next moves, as the coming months will be pivotal in determining whether Intel can overcome its challenges or continue its slide into obscurity.
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by DEXWireNews
Intel Shares Plummet 28% Amid Disappointing Q2 EarningsIntel Corporation ( NASDAQ:INTC ) witnessed a staggering 28% drop in its stock price on Friday, sending shockwaves through the semiconductor industry and contributing to a broader tech sector decline. The company's disappointing second-quarter earnings report, coupled with a significant workforce reduction plan, has raised serious concerns about its future prospects. A Stark Earnings Miss and Workforce Reduction Intel's Q2 earnings report fell significantly short of expectations, sparking a steep decline in its stock price. The company reported a substantial earnings miss and revealed plans to lay off more than 15% of its employees as part of a $10 billion cost-reduction strategy. This announcement marks one of the most severe stock declines for Intel in recent history, reminiscent of the tech bust of 2000. The semiconductor giant's revenue and profit figures for the June quarter were notably below analyst estimates, exacerbating investor anxiety. The company's decision to implement significant layoffs underscores the challenging landscape it faces as it struggles to compete with rivals who are capitalizing on the AI boom. Global Semiconductor Stocks Take a Hit Intel's dismal performance had a ripple effect across the global semiconductor industry. Major Asian and European chipmakers saw their stock prices tumble in response. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC) and Samsung, two of the world's leading semiconductor companies, experienced notable declines of 4.6% and over 4%, respectively. SK Hynix, a key supplier to Nvidia, closed more than 10% lower, highlighting the widespread impact of Intel's struggles. In Europe, semiconductor firms such as ASML, ASMI, STMicroelectronics, and Infineon also faced significant losses. ASML, which provides essential tools for chip manufacturing, saw its shares drop by over 8%, while ASMI fell by 9%. The negative sentiment surrounding Intel's results further fueled the global sell-off in tech stocks. Broader Market Impact The repercussions of Intel's disappointing earnings were felt across the broader market. The Nasdaq 100 index, heavily weighted with tech stocks, was particularly affected, dragging down overall market performance. The VanEck Semiconductor ETF, which tracks major names in the semiconductor sector, closed roughly 6.5% lower on Thursday. Adding to the market's woes, U.S. stock futures saw significant declines on Friday. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures dropped 317 points (0.8%), S&P 500 futures decreased by 1.1%, and Nasdaq 100 futures fell by 1.8%. The anticipation of a critical July payrolls report further contributed to the cautious market sentiment. A Mixed Picture for the Semiconductor Sector Intel's struggles come amid a mixed performance across the semiconductor sector. While companies like Nvidia and AMD continue to thrive due to the AI boom, others like Qualcomm and Arm are yet to see similar benefits reflected in their financial results. This divergence underscores the varied impacts of AI investments within the industry. Nvidia, in particular, faces additional scrutiny as the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) investigates potential antitrust violations related to its dominance in the AI chip market. Despite these challenges, Nvidia maintains that it competes based on decades of investment and innovation, and is prepared to cooperate with regulators. Intel's Strategic Vision and Challenges Despite the grim immediate outlook, Intel's CEO Pat Gelsinger remains committed to the company's long-term strategy. Gelsinger reiterated Intel's ambitious "5 nodes in 4 years" plan, aimed at advancing its foundry business and catching up with TSMC. This initiative includes the critical 18A process node, which is expected to power some of Intel's most important products in the coming years. Technical Outlook Intel stock ( NASDAQ:INTC ) has dropped 29% and currently has a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 16.66, indicating it is oversold, with potential for further decline to an RSI of 10 due to a significant downward gap on the daily price chart. You can exploit these gaps through various strategies, such as buying after-hours following positive fundamental reports to anticipate a gap up, or entering positions at the start of price movements. Conclusion Intel's latest earnings report has cast a shadow over the semiconductor industry, triggering a substantial sell-off and raising questions about the company's future. While Intel's long-term strategy shows promise, the immediate challenges and market reaction underscore the difficulties it faces in navigating the competitive landscape. As the tech sector grapples with these developments, all eyes will be on Intel's next moves and their potential impact on the broader market.
NASDAQ:INTCShort
by DEXWireNews
INTC in trouble!Intel Corporation Short Term We look to Sell at 35.22 (stop at 36.86) Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. The medium term bias remains bearish. Price action has been negative with losses breaking below our previous support level and we expect a further drive lower to follow. There is scope for mild buying at the open but gains should be limited. Our profit targets will be 31.92 and 30.18 Resistance: 35.00 / 40.20 / 43.80 Support: 33.73 / 32.50 / 29.00 Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features. Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
NASDAQ:INTCShort
by Saxo
1
Intel Shooting Star at Resitance? Intel Corporation - Short Term - We look to Sell at 48.40 (stop at 50.05) A shooting star has been posted as prices reject the higher levels. Previous resistance located at 49.00. We look for losses to be extended today. Price action remained broadly negative yesterday with the early highs being rejected after bullish momentum stalled. Our profit targets will be 44.11 and 41.20 Resistance: 49.00 / 55.00 / 68.00 Support: 44.00 / 40.00 / 35.00 Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features. Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
NASDAQ:INTCShort
by Saxo
3
INTC -- iron condor over againI like doing iron condors on Intel all the time and consistently just keep rolling them out. Never a huge risk play with Intel in my opinion with smaller spreads but always adds a little daily theta to my portfolio. I don't do a lot, really none at all, Elliot wave counts with Intel. Recently, I just draw supply and demand zones and trade the range. My play: will look to enter an iron condor tomorrow, looking to sell the $57.50 strike call to upside (buy 60) and sell the 47.5 strike put to downside (buy the 45). Simply approach play and not throwing a lot at it. Something to balance out portfolio a bit and grab some daily theta. Earnings are approaching, however, but will still look to enter this play.
NASDAQ:INTC
by PT_Marche
INTC, bullish and bearish scenario INTC is currently consolidating and is trading in a range on bigger time frames. We do not have clear direction of the trend, and i would not advise to take a trade until we cross the significant level. LONG : i would enter long at 62 level with 1/3 of my position, because we have to be prepared of a fake breakout. ( 80% of all breakouts fail, they usually retest and move higher later). I would wait to retest and bounce back. I would than add at 63, 2/3 and wait what will happen at 64, because there could be a resistance. If we successfuly break it i would add 3/3 of my position and ride it to the upside until i see CLEAR reversal. SHORT : i would short at 56. Volume does not to be big, because on the downside we do not necessarily need it big. i would enter with 1/3 of my position - same reason : fake breakouts. And i would add at every whole number and look closely what will happen at half dollars ( at half dollars we usually create psychological support and resistance levels too ). At 54 we could create strong support level. Watch closely for reversals ( candlesticks, volume ) If we cross it i would add to my position and ride it till i see a clear reversal signal. Stop loss should be always 50 cents if you are risk tolerant, if not you can have a 20 cent stop loss. INTC has a great fundamentals, wall street rates it as a very good tehnical and fundamental company and has a lot of potential in the future. So it is good for investment too. I DO NOT recommend taking any of my trades because of the risk. I AM NOT a financial advisor and i AM NOT a institutional trader. This analysis is purely for entertainment only and it represents an idea what could happen with the stocks future. If you like idea please like and follow. Any kind of support is appreciated.
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by UnknownUnicorn7025460
INTCThink we can push from this demand level and try to go and close the gap. Open tomorrow will be a big indicator for me as it looks like we are setting up the 1 - 2 wave movement out. These sell offs can produce good rallies by picking up buyers in good demand. However, this is the second time we have visited this level. Game Plan: tomorrow open is important. If we bid up at open and make higher low, I will trade based on this count. IF we break by making a lower low, I’ll watch and see if we move down towards 55.93. So, higher low I think we push for gap fill. Below 55.93, I think 53.80 comes quickly! As a side note, I do have a longer term count potentially down to 45, then eventually 38. So, where we are in this structure is important. If it wants to avoid those levels, some buyers better start stepping up otherwise it can fade.
NASDAQ:INTC
by PT_Marche
2
INTCAgain, having a plan and sticking to it with patience helps with consistency. As I mentioned in previous post, I was staying out until either one of the zones were in play above or below. The below came today and I had mentioned a print below we will go visit $56. We opened right at the 58.39 “uh oh” line I call it. Watched price action (had two 5 minute candles close below, then went to 15 minute to see candle structure overall). And then the game plan played out and price went straight on down to $56, printing a low of 55.93. This is why I wait for set ups; to put the odds more in your favor. I’ll have to re-evaluate the chart tonight but in the meantime, as we sold right into a demand zone, I think we could see a potential relief bounce. If anyone followed along, hope it worked out for you!
NASDAQ:INTC
by PT_Marche
4
INTCIf this wants to go higher I think it needs to clear 60.81 which can be a big hurdle I believe. I think we will get a bounce out of this demand for a potential small day scalp but other than that I’m not making any large moves on this. Below 58.39 I think we go and revisit the 56 area. Above 60.81 I think it can push to 62. Until then, I’m staying out. I’ll watch if price moves up to the 60.81 supply and if it rejects there, I’ll do a small short with a close stop on it. I think that area is important because if it rejects I see good downside; breaks through and it can push. NOTE: if just starting to do options, I think stocks like this are great places to start and learn. Staying close to at the money strikes is easier and learning to capture movements are great compared to dealing with the higher end priced stocks like googl, amzn, nflx, etc. that can swing $50 daily. I always will keep trades on with underlying like this. I go for consistency whether that’s moves of $100 or $1; 5% gains (or whatever amount) are the bigger picture for me
NASDAQ:INTC
by PT_Marche
2
INTCPre market consolidation in supply and failing to get above 62.85 = good recipe for rejection. As mentioned in my prior post for this one, suggested this could be a good entry for a short position! With a rejection at that level, I think INTC just made it harder for itself to invalidate my bear count. Now we saw it rejected supply and faded right down to demand. If it holds here in this demand zone, think it will pop out and push to 61 - 61.65. Those will be big interest levels as if those get rejected, helps support wave count down, suggesting we would be putting in wave “b” up of the larger degree “(a)” wave down. Alternative is for price to extend the retrace and try to form a micro 5 wave impulse up out of this demand level. But again, I think for that to happen we would see price up to 61 area followed by retrace back to demand (for waves 1-2). So thinking either b up of “a” down OR will watch for wave 1-2 to form. *** I did not enter a position today for this one. I was too caught up with some other projections I was watching but now wish I would have focused more here today. If someone did take this set up today, hope it worked well for you!
NASDAQ:INTC
by PT_Marche
3
INTC63.80 is my invalidation... I’m cautious with this one here. Bear argument is that possibly we are forming a running flat correction to complete overall abc retrace. Then again, how many computers have people and companies have to had buy to set up work from home... I know my work had to purchase a lot! If we break 63.80 I’ll reassess but until then, with it in a big supply zone from before, I’ll watch for some price action and volume size tomorrow. If it rejects here, still think my downside count will be valid and this would be a good short entry. Again, will see what happens because markets change and my view could very well change to upside. Tonight, however, I’m to downside if we reject.
NASDAQ:INTC
by PT_Marche
INTCTook an intraday short trade today when INTC entered (and overshot a bit) a first primary supply level I was targeting. Watched price action and was able to get a good fill on some puts for a nice gain today. From here I think we continue down to demand level for "b" and then reverse upward towards "c." With the craziness of this market, will watch the up move within "c" as there is potential the "c" wave could become an impulse wave. I don't think this will be the case as I still think the market needs to revisit some downside.
NASDAQ:INTC
by PT_Marche