Intel: Bullish Gartley with Bullish Divergence Targeting $64.19Leading to the most recent earnings report, Intel had reached a 61.8% retrace from High to Low and was showing signs of reversing, so I decided to take profit on Intel. Now, upon spotting a potential trend continuation Bullish Gartley I now think it's possible for INTC to recover from here and perhaps go all the way for the 0.886 at $64.90, so I will be buying back in at these lower prices.
For context on the previous bullish setup, check the chart below:
Intel
Intel - Potential Trading SetupHello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of Intel.
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Explanation of my video analysis:
In 2017 we had a major triangle breakout on Intel which was followed by a +70% rally. Then in 2022 Intel broke major support towards the downside and reversed perfectly at a major previous structure. Since Intel is now back to a bullish market, I am just waiting for a retest of the level mentioned in the analysis and then I will be looking for long continuation setups.
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I will only take a trade if all the rules of my strategy are satisfied.
Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions.
Keep your long term vision.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on January 26, 20INTC in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on January 26, 2024
INTC moved below its 50-day moving average on January 26, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 33 of 43 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for INTC moved out of overbought territory on January 02, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 28 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 20 of the 28 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 71%.
You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on INTC as a result. In 52 of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 60%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for INTC turned negative on January 03, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 31 of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 69%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where INTC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 60%.
The Aroon Indicator for INTC entered a downward trend on January 30, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
Following a +1.35% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where INTC advanced for three days, in 212 of 319 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.
INTC may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 16 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 21 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.811) is normal, around the industry mean (8.080). P/E Ratio (16.010) is within average values for comparable stocks, (59.211). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.161) is also within normal values, averaging (2.358). Dividend Yield (0.017) settles around the average of (0.022) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.446) is also within normal values, averaging (73.071).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. INTC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 90 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 93 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. INTC’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 59, placing this stock worse than average.
The last earnings report on January 25 showed earnings per share of 54 cents, beating the estimate of 44 cents. With 47.34M shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 184.37B.
A dividend of $0.12 per share will be paid with a record date of March 01, 2024, and an ex-dividend date of February 06, 2024. The last dividend of $0.12 was paid on December 01. The ex-dividend date is usually set several business days before the record date. If a stock is purchased on its ex-dividend date or after, the next dividend payment will not be received. Instead, the dividends are repossessed by to the seller. If the stocks are purchased before the ex-dividend date, the buyer will receive the dividends.
Notable companies
The most notable companies in this group are NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA), Broadcom (NASDAQ:AVGO), Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd (NASDAQ:TSM), Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD), Intel Corp (NASDAQ:INTC), QUALCOMM (NASDAQ:QCOM), Texas Instruments (NASDAQ:TXN), Applied Materials (NASDAQ:AMAT), Lam Research Corp (NASDAQ:LRCX), Analog Devices (NASDAQ:ADI).
Industry description
The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
Market Cap
The average market capitalization across the Semiconductors Industry is 31.22B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 13.43K to 1.12T. NVDA holds the highest valuation in this group at 1.12T. The lowest valued company is CYBL at 13.43K.
High and low price notable news
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -1%, and the average quarterly price growth was 1%. ASMXF experienced the highest price growth at 19%, while QUIK experienced the biggest fall at -18%.
Volume
The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was 41%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 78% and the average quarterly volume growth was 38%
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
Valuation Rating: 57
P/E Growth Rating: 46
Price Growth Rating: 50
SMR Rating: 65
Profit Risk Rating: 58
Seasonality Score: 27 (-100 ... +100)
PYTH:INTC
INTC Intel Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the Double Bottom Pattern of INTC:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of INTC Intel Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 48usd strike price at the money Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-1-26,
for a premium of approximately $1.86.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Intel - Clear StructureHello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of Intel.
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Explanation of my video analysis:
In 2022 Intel broke a massive previous support level at the $45 area towards the downside. This break was followed by a drop of roughly -50%. With a perfect retest of a very long term structure level, this recent pump on Intel was quite anticipated. If Intel pulls back to the previous support level mentioned in the analysis, I am looking for potential long setups.
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I will only take a trade if all the rules of my strategy are satisfied.
Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions.
Keep your long term vision.
INTC is going from $50 to $85 in the first quarter of 2024There was a clear Eliott Wave abc correction between 2020 and 2022 that found a very strong support around $28 level and MA200 Monthly which acted as a support since 1980s.
Price consolidated for a year around $30 level and just broke out and gained momentum pushing through resistance like through a butter.
The momentum and trend are clearly established and won't stop until new ATH around $80-$85 levels is reached.
What will happen once ATH is reached? No idea, but so far it's a strong buy.
INTC in depth TA - INTEL bullish?hey guys its amir whats up?
so NASDAQ:INTC let analyze:
first of all ill start by saying that intel is on uptred for over 6 months. now lets get into details:
- you can see that intel is trading in a uptrend channel for over 6 months, every time the price touched at the bottom trend line the bounced up and every time it touched the upper trend they dropped down, we recently touched the bottom trend line and the price did bounced from there.
- we have on the way up some more major supports and resistances right now the price is in the middle of a support and resistance so for perfect entry ill wait till the price will reach to one of the cyan x's which marks solid entries points.
- lets talk about the MA's, first the 50MA, clear uptrend. 200MA, turned uptrend 3 months ago.
Now lets look at our indicators:
- RMACD crossed bullish about two weeks ago, and now losing a lot of momentum so I think we should wait the RMACD to make a bearish cross and wait till its will cross bullish again, or to see if the momentum is getting stronger in the coming days.
- Volume tells me that its better wait a bit more to see what is going on there.
- good buying pressure moves between moderate and strong buying pressure.
so in conclusion i'd say that now the best thing to do is to wait a little more at least till the price will reach to one of these cyan x's and there we can manage the risk reward in our favor.
price prediction is about $40
INTC: Bullish Shark and Breaking Back Above The 200 Month SMAIntel has made a full reset down to the PCZ of a perfect Bullish Shark Harmonic on the Monthly Timeframe and it went below the 200 Month Moving Average to do so but it was short lived as price only a month later managed to get back above the 200SMA and close above it. I now believe that we could atleast see price test the 50% - 61.8% Retraces above but if the Dow reaches all time highs as i am somewhat leaning towards then we may see Intel make an even more surprising and extended move to the upside from here beyond the .618 retracement.
WOW OH WOW. Minus $1 to target please!!INTC is failed the most recent high, it broke its uptrend and sold off right below the point of control (yellow line). I would expect a sell-off to continue to the .382 (white line which is also the next area with the most amount of volume traded.
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INTEL 10-month Channel Up targeting $40 and $43 in extension.Intel Corporation (INTC) has been trading within a Channel Up throughout the whole year and as you can see on the chart, the pressure points are best displayed with the use of the Fibonacci Channel levels. Last Thursday's bottom on the Higher Lows trend-line couldn't have come at a stronger demand level, as it hit (and immediately rebounded on) the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line).
The price even broke and closed above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) yesterday and more importantly completed the first 1D MACD Bullish Cross below 0.0 since August 30. It is a similar rebound sequence where again the price was just above the 1D MA50 and eventually completed a +25.24% rise, marginally above the 1.382 Fibonacci horizontal extension. Every time the 1D MACD formed a Bullish Cross below 0.0 within this Channel Up, we had the same bullish confirmation signal and the stock rose by +25.24%, +38.83%, +36.47% on those occasions, always hitting at least the 1.382 horizontal Fib level.
As a result, we expect the stock to complete the 'minimum' +25.20% fractal rise, thus we target $40.00 on the short-term and on the long-term, extend to at least $43.00, which is the 1.382 Fibonacci extension and would make an optimal technical Higher High on the 2023 Channel Up.
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Intel's Is Gaining MomentumPrice Movement
INTC is trading near the top of its 52-week range and above its 200-day simple moving average.
Investors are applying buying pressure to INTC shares today.
Intel (INTC) reported third quarter results that surpassed expectations on both revenue and earnings. The company also issued better-than-expected fourth quarter guidance. Intel CEO Pat Gelsinger acknowledges there were some headwinds Intel was facing when he took the job, and his goal was to "rebuild this iconic company." With the latest results, he says "people can see the momentum is building" at Intel thanks to cost-saving initiatives, product execution, and its internal foundry model.
Intel plans to launch new products including the Core Ultra processor, which Gelsinger nicknamed the "AI PC". Gelsinger says the AI PC aims to keep users from having to go to the cloud to utilize AI, instead, the features and data are readily available on the device itself to improve productivity. Gelsinger says these products will help Intel capitalize on the "surge in AI interest we're seeing across the board."
With new products slated to launch over the next two years in its data center unit, Intel CEO Pat Gelsinger believes the chipmaker can regain lost market share and boost competitiveness, stating 2024 is when Intel will "start gaining back share" thanks to its upcoming product releases.
INTC Intel Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the Double Bottom on INTC here:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of INTC Intel Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 34usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-1-19,
for a premium of approximately $2.56.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
intel - analysis - inside 💻Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📉 INTC has been overall bullish trading inside the rising wedge pattern in blue and it is currently approaching the lower bound / blue trendline.
Moreover, the 31-32 is a strong support zone.
🏹 So the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the green support and lower blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As INTC approaches the lower purple circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Intel (INTC) -> Don't Forget This StockMy name is Philip, I am a German swing-trader with 4+ years of trading experience and I only trade stocks , crypto , options and indices 🖥️
I only focus on the higher timeframes because this allows me to massively capitalize on the major market swings and cycles without getting caught up in the short term noise.
This is how you build real long term wealth!
In today's anaylsis I want to take a look at the bigger picture on Intel.
Looking back at January of 2023 - after a massive dump during 2022 - Intel stock perfectly retested and started to reject a major monthly structure level at the $27 level.
With the next clear resistance level being at $46 I am now expecting more upside on Intel stock before we could then see a short term rejection away from the $46 resistance area.
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I know that this is a quite simple trading approach but over the past 4 years I've realized that simplicity and consistency are much more important than any trading strategy.
Keep the long term vision🫡
INTC IS A BIG LONG TERM BUY TRUST MEINTC is looking very good my friends. It is a good time to buy long and hold. Minimum position length I would say 2 months. Maximum length infinite. Do not be dumb. INTC is INTC we are living in computer world. NOW REMIND ME WHAT CPU STANDS FOR. CENTRAL PROCESSING UNIT. WITHOUT CPU THEN COMPUTER IS MORE LIKE PPU (POOPY POOP UNIT) ONLY 2 BIG CPU AMD AND INTC AMD IS BEING PPU BUT INTC BEING BCPU (BEAST CENTRAL PROCESSING UNIT) so be smart my friends. ride with me into Valhalla. WITNESS ME
NVIDIA - Bears, This Is Your ChanceIn a previous post on NVIDIA following its earnings gap all time high, I posited that a bearish three drives was a real possibility, which would involve the stock actually going down and then driving up a few more times in accordance with the overall market topping:
NVIDIA - A Scenario Few Are Considering. Few. Few. Few.
That never panned out, and instead what we're looking at instead, as you can tell with all the insider selling, is a very likely bump and run reversal.
But distribution patterns take a very long time to manifest, and one of the biggest tells with NVIDIA is despite it going from $366 to $440, it really has never targeted the sell side, not even rebalancing the original gap.
As far as this company goes... well, when you come across something like this whose CEO is a Taiwanese dude prancing around in a leather jacket for every photo op while it's trading like a Chinese Communist Party pump and dump, a number of red flags beyond the 250x P/E it's trading at should emerge.
Companies and their officers who have connections to the CCP are very dangerous, for the geopolitical situation is tense. Much is at stake right now with Mainland China and whether or not Xi Jinping is intelligent enough to get rid of the Party.
If Xi can't get rid of the Party, then the International Rules Based Order will do it for him and will go to install their own people from Taiwan in the Mainland.
Xi always has the option to weaponize the 24-year persecution of Falun Gong, started by the Jiang Zemin faction that's rooted in Shanghai, to take down the Party and defend China from the groups that wish to invade.
Live organ harvesting isn't a sin that can survive public scrutiny, really.
None of this is healthy for the markets, and if you're long on stocks at the top, some of them aren't coming back.
The indexes might come back, but many companies definitely go to zero and will be replaced by a future generation.
When you look at NVIDIA on the monthly, does this look like somewhere that you want to go long?
A monthly "gap" like this will certainly always be filled, and it just happens to be right around the actual level we're looking to target.
The weekly bars are severely ranged compressed, which tells us that a big move is coming
I have a call on that Nasdaq that we're about to get a pretty violent and serious correction, but that it will really be a bear trap:
Nasdaq - The Great Bear Trap
You might feel right now that stocks ONLY GO UPPY. But considering you're in a bear market and these things have been mooning for like an entire quarter right now, you might want to check that notion before that notion wrecks you.
The problem with NVIDIA going and making a new high right now is it's failed to do so twice. Friday's end of the day was a big rejection on everything Nasdaq.
And this is a time when price stopped just 1.8% short of the high.
So what it was really doing was covering the old range, and taking stops over the most subordinate high to the all time high.
Another big tell is the SOXS and SOXL 3x leverage semiconductor ETFs are simultaneously setup on weekly and daily candles to breakout/retrace, and both started to do that in sync on the Friday dump.
NVIDIA is the top component of the index underlying the ETF at roughly 9%.
The most obvious place for it to retrace to to start taking out sell stops is the $395 gap.
But this is only 5% at this point and not very scary.
Meanwhile, all the bulls and all the bears start selling on a break of $366, because Discord and Reddit told them to and some books and guru videos told them to "because confirmation."
Once the gap is finally balanced, I believe that Nasdaq is going to rip to something like 16,000 before we're done, and NVIDIA will actually finish its lifespan with a 5-handle.
So for bears: here's your opportunity. But you better have realistic expectations.
For bulls: here's your opportunity. But you better have patience in buying the dip, and you'll find you "made a lot of money getting out of the market too early."
And for bulls and bears: stay away from ponzi companies and social distance from the CCP and all the Marxist-Leninist and atheist things.
If you don't, you'll face more than the liquidation of your brokerage accounts, to say the very least.