The Malaysian ringgit has experienced a substantial appreciation, driven by robust foreign investment in the domestic bond market. A surge in capital inflows, totaling RM5.5 billion in July alone, has propelled the ringgit's performance. This analysis delves into the underlying economic factors driving this trend, examining key indicators and assessing the outlook...
Throughout US economic history Only high real rates has brought down inflation i.e Interest rates ABOVE the rate of inflation obviously this will induce demand destruction and a decline in the earnings of companies Lower p/e's and lower prices across the board. #FinancialRESET #HOUSING #Nasdaq
And there goes the the 2Yr Yield, it is whimpering. Unless something happens this is rolling over further. 10Yr Yield had a nice bounce but it is also rolling over. TVC:TNX is only 33 basis points from normalization! Short term #yield is looking very weak, 6 month and 1 Yr, not shown. More info see profile...
Before significant interest rate hikes, I have claimed that Bitcoin is decoupling from the rest economy (which probably happened). However, the effect of rising interest rates still had some power over the Bitcoin in the tank. It seems that this power of raising interest rates is diminishing for Bitcoin relative to the rest of the economy which will probably...
This video highlights interest rates dropping prior to Fed Meeting prior to March 2024 Meeting. Indicating a Strong correlation for Technical analysis over Market Media.
In this video, I'm overcoming a sinus infection. However, I am explaining the movement come March 24 the Federal Interest Rate. Concluding, that the interest rate will drop during the Fed Meeting.
On the afternoon of October 3rd, 2023 something unprecedented happened in the U.S. Treasury market. For the first time ever, bear steepening caused the 20-year U.S. Treasury yield and the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield to uninvert. Bear steepening refers to a scenario in which long-duration bond yields rise faster than short-duration bond yields, as bond yields...
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: TP5 @ 1.2115 (closing ALL Buy Orders) TP4 @ 1.17850 (shaving 25%) TP3 @ 1.1250 (shaving 25%) TP2 @ 1.1100 (shaving 25%) TP1 @ 1.0933 (shaving 25%) BLO1 @ 1.0820 ⏳ BLO2 @ 1.0800 ⏳ VIDEO TIMESTAMP: 00:00 ECB News 02:53 Where Do We Go From Here? 03:32 A Noisy Intermediate Time Frame (4H) 04:55 Key Support/Resistance Levels (4H) 06:01...
The AUDUSD approaches a key resistance at the 0.68 round number price level following a consistent climb since the start of June. If the DXY continues to weaken, down to the key support level of 103, the AUDUSD could break above the immediate resistance level of 0.68 and rise toward the next resistance level at 0.6920. However, the 0.68 resistance level is very...
Overnight, the DXY continued to weaken and traded down to the 103-round number support level. However, the price bounced from the level to consolidate at the current level of 103.18. It is likely that the DXY could continue to consolidate along this level in the lead up to the FOMC interest rate decision due on Thursday morning. The expectation is for the FOMC...
Recently the market's expectation for the Fed Funds Rate peaking around 5% and then coming down at the end of Q4 2023 changed, with the market now seeing rates going to 5.5%. Many investors/analysts are discussing bond yields heading to 6% and staying higher for longer. However, is that going to happen? What is sentiment telling us right now? What is data...
comparisons are telling us simply when more people are able to borrow money real estate does better. interest rate data from whale crew tells us as long as we climb this indication the risk gets worse for borrowers. as long as those go in the specified direction im looking at higher prices in this fund. all is normal as in everyone is doing fine, and still doesnt...
Where is fair value and where is cheap? Price and value are not the same. Price is snapshot of opinion while value is a moving story that changes over time. PE price to earnings is how we gauge value, at least one of the main ways. I like to think of PE in terms of years. How many years of earnings am I paying in advance for this underlying business?. It...
TECHNICAL REASON: Price was within the zone of interest and the 4H candle has no lower wick which means everyone is priced one way; could see some profit taking ahead of FOMC FUNDAMENTAL REASON: It is worth noting that to the Fed, to gage inflation and how sticky it is or isn't, they are looking at jobs (more than CPI, PPI etc). Since the job market isn't...
Demand for the dollar is usually high as it is the world's reserve currency. Other factors that influence whether or not the dollar rises in value in comparison to another currency include inflation rates, trade deficits, and political stability. The dollar has been gaining strength against the currencies of other major economies. The dollar is strong because the...
Clear divergence between USD (DXY) and Gold$ for most of 2022. Perhaps a weaker Dollar will lead to a stronger Gold price. We are certainly in the window for seasonal gold purchases and US interest rates have been raised agressively perhaps a pause in rate rises is now due
Can there be new correlations between Interst Rates, Markets and War?
Bitcoin - Forecast + Targets. Using Elliott Wave and Smart Money Concepts