Upon revisiting the gold chart on the 2-hour timeframe, we can see that last night, after gold surged to $2,600 and reached this key psychological level, it faced selling pressure and dropped to the important $2,550 level. If you recall, in previous analyses, we had mentioned this level as the final target for gold's corrective move. In the previous correction,...
Central bank bros met traders’ loftiest expectations with a half-point cut to interest rates on Wednesday. But is that too good to be true and maybe even a signal of some problems with the US economy and looming fears over at the Fed? Trading today isn’t the same as trading yesterday. Even though prices don’t really confirm it — there wasn’t a super-duper rally...
THE KOG REPORT – FOMC This is our view for FOMC, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in...
The day has arrived!! Today is predicted to be the first rate cut by the FED since the COVID crash of March 2020! Two years after that in March 2022 the FED begun rate hikes in an attempt to stop the rising inflation. Now that inflation is close to the FEDs target of 2% it's time to stimulate the economy with cheaper borrowing. The big question is, 25bps or...
The fact the Federal Reserve & U.S. government cut interest rates by 50BPS, more then they were expected to, goes to show that interest rates have done MORE DAMAGE then they were suppose to, to the economy. Now the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 50BPS, is them trying to put on a show to the public & saying “look we know the damage has been done by us,...
The U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) cut its policy rate for the first time in four years, lowering it by 50 basis points to the range of 4.75%-5.00%. Following this decision, the decline in the dollar index accelerated. Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that the decision shows increased confidence in maintaining a strong labor market while ensuring moderate growth and...
Both the Bank of England (BoE) and Bank of Japan (BoJ) are not expected to cut interest rates at their respective meetings today and tomorrow. The US Federal Reserve just chose to cut its own rate by 50 basis points. So, how might the BoE and BoJ decisions be affected? Bank of America projects the BoE will leave its Bank Rate at 5.0%, with the pound...
ECONOMICS:USINTR - The Federal Reserve lowered its benchmark interest rate by 50bps to 4.75%-5% in light of the progress on inflation and the balance of risks. It is the first rate cut since March 2020 after holding it for more than a year at its highest level in two decades. Will Feds decision of cutting 50bps tumble the markets in spite of fear for U.S and...
Considering how bullish the weekly candle has closed, I do not believe that Gold has not topped yet. I think Wave III is close to completion, meaning a Wave IV correction should follow next week during the FED data, followed by a final bull run of Wave V towards the $2,600 mark!
History is repeating itself, Gold wen 45% up in the time of lowering interest rates of September 2007 to March 2008. Interest rates were lowered 5x by 2.25%, from 5.25% to 3%. FED announced plan to reduce interest rates from 5.5% to 3.5% by March 2025.
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar (USD) against basket of other six major currencies, extends its losses for the 5th consecutive week in a row, hovering below 102 points during the U.S. regular hours on Monday, August 19. Over the past week, Gold spot (XAUUSD) has topped $2500 per ounce psychological high also, minting new all...
The dollar index has been losing strength recently, falling below the 100.50 level. Following the ECB's decision to cut interest rates, expectations for a rate cut by the Fed have also increased. According to money market pricing, there is a 51% probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points this week, and a 49% probability of a 50 basis point...
As Gold approaches the 2600 level, I'm anticipating some volatility around this resistance level before a continuation higher. FED cutting rates this week could push gold higher, especially if we see the DXY lose ground. However, volatility is could be high, with choppy price action around this resistance level. Look for short term upside scalps or to buy on...
Ahead of interest rates Short after reversal Cut rates It could not break the handle Trend is your friend
Considering how bullish the weekly candle has closed, I do not believe that Gold has not topped yet. I think Wave III is close to completion, meaning a Wave IV correction should follow next week during the FED data, followed by a final bull run of Wave V towards the $2,600 mark!
The only event that matters next week is the US Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, which could result in its first rate cut in over four years PIMCO analysts, in a fresh note, outlined what could be in store for the U.S. dollar as the Fed embarks on its rate-cutting cycle. Historically, the dollar has shown a tendency to weaken, at least briefly, following...
12th September (ECB Rates Pending) DXY: Climbing towards 102 resistance, could push higher if EUR weakens, needs to break 102.20 for further upside to 102.70 NZDUSD: Sell 0.6135 SL 20 TP 60 (Hesitation at 0.6110) AUDUSD: Sell 0.6685 SL 20 TP 60 GBPUSD: Sell 1.3030 SL 25 TP 60 EURUSD: Rates decision pending, straddle opportunity, Sell 1.0985 SL 20 TP 45...
Futures markets are pricing in a US rate cut for September, with a 62% chance of a 25-basis point cut and a 38% chance of 50-basis points. The Fed’s dovish shift has helped the euro surge to its highest level in more than a year. Attention now shifts to the ECB’s 12 September rate decision. After cutting rates in June and pausing in July, analysts expect the ECB...