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XAU/USD 29 March 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Gold continues it's bullish run following the Fed's dovish outlook on interest rates. Price is now trading within a fractal high and low. As mentioned on 22/03/2024, Intraday expectation was for price to react H4 POI to then target fractal high, which price did, creating a new high. Due to the bullish nature of the market and prices at all time highs, it would be advisable to adopt patience and allow price to print structure as opposed to picking tops. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed a further bullish iBOS printing all time highs with no structure to the upside. We are now trading within a fractal high and low. As with all HTF's it would be advisable to adopt patience and allow price to print structure before taking any action as opposed to picking tops. Intraday expectation would be for price to pull back following iBOS. Another likely scenario is price to continue bullish and keep printing all time highs! M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
EURUSD 28 Mar 2024 W13 - Intraday Analysis - US GDP/JoblessThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 28 Mar 2024 W13 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish / Continuation INT Bearish / Pullback Phase 3. Finally with the Bearish iBOS we confirm the Swing Pullback is over and currently we align with the Bearish Swing targeting the Weak Swing Low. After iBOS we expect a pullback. Bullish CHoCH will be the first sign of the the INT Structure Pullback. Price had mitigated the 4H Demand for possible start of the Bullish Pullback of INT Structure. More development on LTF required to confirm the Bullish Pullback Phase. 3. 4H and Daily Demand Zones for possible reactions only once reached. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish 2. After the Bearish BOS we expect a Pullback. Price reached the 4H demand and the nested 15m Demand which is mitigated after the bullish CHoCH initiating the 15m INT Structure Pullback. Expectations is set for price to initiate the 15m Swing Pullback Phase with a Bullish iBOS. But be mindful that price could continue bearish targeting 4H Weak Swing Low. 3. 15m/4H Supply zones for possible short options once reached.
by Amr-Sadek
XAU/USD 28 March 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Bias/Analysis remains unchanged since last analysis dated 22/03/2024 -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Gold continues it's bullish run following the Fed's dovish outlook on interest rates. Price has printed a bullish iBOS where we are currently trading within a fractal high and internal low. Relative to recent price action of the swing range, I have readjusted bullish BOS to bullish iBOS. As mentioned on 22/03/2024, Intraday expectation is for price to react H4 POI to then target fractal high, which is currently underway. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: Analysis/Bias remains the same as yesterday (27/03/3034) -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. -> Sub-Internal: Bullish. Price printed a bullish iBOS followed by bullish BOS following the Fed's dovish outlook on interest rates last week. Price printed a bearish CHoCH, indicating, but not confirming, that pullback has initiated. This is also a requirement for all HTF's Due to the size of the internal range I plotted sub-internal range, which is denoted in red, to gain a micro-view of price action. Sub-internal structure has now switched bullish in-line with internal and swing structure. Sub-internal structure has printed a further bullish iiBOS. Intraday expectation is for price to pull back following iiBOS to either M15 POI or 50% EQ of the sub-internal structure before target weak internal high which is denoted by blue dashed line. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
EURUSD 27 Mar 2024 W13 - Intraday AnalysisThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 27 Mar 2024 W13 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bullish / Continuation Phase Swing Pullback Phase 2. After a BOS and iBOS we expect a Pullback. As expected after the Bullish CHoCH and mitigation of 4H/Daily Demand zones, we initiated the INT Structure Pullback. Price reached the 4H/Daily Supply and from there we could start the bearish continuation. Price failed to continue the bearish move and as expected it changed bullish and created iBOS confirming Swing Low and Bearish Swing Pullback Phase started. 3. 4H Swing pullback phase still active with Internal Structure continuing bullish with a new iBOS. After iBOS we expect a pullback. Price had reached the INT Structure Demand zone and created a Bullish CHoCH which indicates that the INT Pullback maybe over and we are currently targeting the Weak INT High. after which price failed to target the Weak INT High. Current price indicate that we will have a deep 4H INT Pullback to maybe the 4H/Daily Demand zones before any continuation. 4. Current PA is still showing that the 4H Strong INT Low is holding but the OF is Bearish and Supply still in control. A bullish CHoCH will indicate imo a HP confirmation for the INT Structure to continue bullish. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Swing Continuation Phase 2. After the Bearish BOS we expect a Pullback. The 4H demand is already mitigated after the Bullish CHoCH on the 4H TF but seems to be some orders still remaining within the 4H Demand and the 4H Extreme which is providing the pullback for the Bearish iBOS. Current PA is pointing to targeting the Weak Swing Low but again be mindful of the Strong INT Low on the 4H which is still holding. Bullish iBOS will confirm imo a HP Bullish continuation. 3. Price reached the reached the 15m FLIP Zone and initiated the INT Pullback which caused a bearish iBOS aligning again with the 15m Bearish Swing.
by Amr-Sadek
XAU/USD 27 March 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Bias/Analysis remains unchanged since last analysis dated 22/03/2024 -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Gold continues it's bullish run following the Fed's dovish outlook on interest rates. Price has printed a bullish iBOS where we are currently trading within a fractal high and internal low. Relative to recent price action of the swing range, I have readjusted bullish BOS to bullish iBOS. As mentioned on 22/03/2024, Intraday expectation is for price to react H4 POI to then target fractal high, which is currently underway. H4 chart: M15 Analysis: Analysis/Bias remains the same as yesterday (26/03/3034) -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. -> Sub-Internal: Bullish. Price printed a bullish iBOS followed by bullish BOS following the Fed's dovish outlook on interest rates last week. Price printed a bearish CHoCH, indicating, but not confirming, that pullback has initiated. This is also a requirement for all HTF's Analysis on 22/02/2024 was for price to indicate initiation of pullback by printing a bearish CHoCH which was denoted with a blue dotted line. Price printed this. Due to the size of the internal range I plotted sub-internal range, which is denoted in red, to gain a micro-view of price action. Sub-internal structure has now switched bullish in-line with internal and swing structure. Intraday expectation is for price to target weak internal high which is denoted by blue dashed line. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
EURUSD 26 Mar 2024 W13 - Intraday Analysis - US Durable GoodsThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 26 Mar 2024 W13 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bullish / Continuation Phase Swing Pullback Phase 2. After a BOS and iBOS we expect a Pullback. As expected after the Bullish CHoCH and mitigation of 4H/Daily Demand zones, we initiated the INT Structure Pullback. Price reached the 4H/Daily Supply and from there we could start the bearish continuation. Price failed to continue the bearish move and as expected it changed bullish and created iBOS confirming Swing Low and Bearish Swing Pullback Phase started. 3. 4H Swing pullback phase still active with Internal Structure continuing bullish with a new iBOS. After iBOS we expect a pullback. Price had reached the INT Structure Demand zone and created a Bullish CHoCH which indicates that the INT Pullback maybe over and we are currently targeting the Weak INT High. after which price failed to target the Weak INT High. Current price indicate that we will have a deep 4H INT Pullback to maybe the 4H/Daily Demand zones before any continuation. 4. As expected, Price reached the 4H/Daily demand zone as referred to the deep INT Structure Pullback. Price created a Bullish CHoCH at the INT Structure Extreme which is a sign that the deep pullback may ended and we could be in the Bullish move to target the Weak INT High. More bullish price development on LTF is required to confirm the current expectations of continuation bullish. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Swing Continuation Phase 2. After the Bearish BOS we expect a Pullback. After mitigating the 15m/4H Demand zones, INT Structure turned Bullish confirming the Swing Low and the Swing Pullback Phase started. Expectations is set to for price to continue bullish till the Swing EQ/Premium to facilitate the Swing Pullback Phase. 3. Price reached the 4H Supply and initiated the INT Structure Pullback which was also a HP supply zone for Shorts to continue the Swing Bearish Move. INT Structure turned bearish aligning with the Bearish Swing for bearish continuation. Expectation is set to continue bearish to target the Weak Swing Low. But be mindful that the 4H still bullish and we are in the 4H INT Structure Discount/Extreme and maybe we will stay bullish. Bullish iBOS will confirm the bullish scenario.
by Amr-Sadek
XAU/USD 26 March 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Bias/Analysis remains unchanged since last analysis dated 22/03/2024 -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Gold continues it's bullish run following the Fed's dovish outlook on interest rates. Price has printed a bullish iBOS where we are currently trading within a fractal high and internal low. Relative to recent price action of the swing range, I have readjusted bullish BOS to bullish iBOS. As mentioned on 22/03/2024, Intraday expectation is for price to react H4 POI to then target fractal high, which is currently underway. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. -> Sub-Internal: Bullish. Price printed a bullish iBOS followed by bullish BOS following the Fed's dovish outlook on interest rates last week. Price printed a bearish CHoCH, indicating, but not confirming, that pullback has initiated. This is also a requirement for all HTF's Analysis on 22/02/2024 was for price to indicate initiation of pullback by printing a bearish CHoCH which was denoted with a blue dotted line. Price printed this. Due to the size of the internal range I plotted sub-internal range, which is denoted in red, to gain a micro-view of price action. Sub-internal structure has now switched bullish in-line with internal and swing structure. Intraday expectation is for price to target weak internal high which is denoted by blue dashed line. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
EURUSD 25 Mar 2024 W13 - Intraday Analysis - US New Home SalesThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 25 Mar 2024 W13 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bullish / Continuation Phase Swing Pullback Phase 2. After a BOS and iBOS we expect a Pullback. As expected after the Bullish CHoCH and mitigation of 4H/Daily Demand zones, we initiated the INT Structure Pullback. Price reached the 4H/Daily Supply and from there we could start the bearish continuation. Price failed to continue the bearish move and as expected it changed bullish and created iBOS confirming Swing Low and Bearish Swing Pullback Phase started. 3. 4H Swing pullback phase still active with Internal Structure continuing bullish with a new iBOS. After iBOS we expect a pullback. Price had reached the INT Structure Demand zone and created a Bullish CHoCH which indicates that the INT Pullback maybe over and we are currently targeting the Weak INT High. after which price failed to target the Weak INT High. Current price indicate that we will have a deep 4H INT Pullback to maybe the 4H/Daily Demand zones before any continuation. 4. As expected, Price reached the 4H/Daily demand zone as referred to the deep INT Structure Pullback. Price created a Bullish CHoCH at the INT Structure Extreme which is a sign that the deep pullback may ended and we could be in the Bullish move to target the Weak INT High. More bullish price development on LTF is required to confirm the current expectations of continuation bullish. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bullish Swing Pullback Phase 2. After the Bearish BOS we expect a Pullback. After mitigating the 15m/4H Demand zones, INT Structure turned Bullish confirming the Swing Low and the Swing Pullback Phase started. Expectations is set to for price to continue bullish till the Swing EQ/Premium to facilitate the Swing Pullback Phase. 3. Swing Extreme Supply zones on 15m nested within the 4H Supply for HP Swing Bearish Continuation.
by Amr-Sadek
XAU/USD 25 March 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Bias/Analysis remains unchanged since last analysis dated 22/03/2024 -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Gold continues it's bullish run following the Fed's dovish outlook on interest rates. Price has printed a bullish iBOS where we are currently trading within a fractal high and internal low. Relative to recent price action of the swing range, I have readjusted bullish BOS to bullish iBOS. Intraday expectation is for price to react H4 POI to then target fractal high. Because of the need for HTF's requiring a pullback, another potential scenario would be for price to continue bearish and print a bearish iBOS which would then indicate the Daily pullback has initiated. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. -> Sub-Internal: Bearish Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by bullish BOS following the Fed's dovish outlook on interest rates yesterday. Price printed a bearish CHoCH, indicating, but not confirming, that pullback has initiated. This is also a requirement for all HTF's Analysis on 22/02/2024 was for price to indicate initiation of pullback by printing a bearish CHoCH which was denoted with a blue dotted line. Price printed this. Due to the size of the internal range I have plotted sub-internal range, which is denoted in red, to gain a micro-view of price action. Sub-internal structure is bearish. However, due to the requirement for all HTF's requiring a pullback, an alternative scenario would be for price to print a bearish swing BOS which would then confirm the initiation of H4 pullback. From a sub-internal intraday bias and perspective, price to react at 50% EQ or potentially strong internal high before targeting weak internal low. An alternative potential scenario would be for price to print a bullish iiBOS which would then align both both swing and internal structure for price to target weak internal high. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Khan_YIK
EURUSD 22 Mar 2024 W12 - Intraday Analysis - US Powell SpeaksThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 22 Mar 2024 W12 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bullish Swing Pullback Phase 2. After a BOS and iBOS we expect a Pullback. As expected after the Bullish CHoCH and mitigation of 4H/Daily Demand zones, we initiated the INT Structure Pullback. Price reached the 4H/Daily Supply and from there we could start the bearish continuation. Price failed to continue the bearish move and as expected it changed bullish and created iBOS confirming Swing Low and Bearish Swing Pullback Phase started. 3. 4H Swing pullback phase still active with Internal Structure continuing bullish with a new iBOS. After iBOS we expect a pullback. Price had reached the INT Structure Demand zone and created a Bullish CHoCH which indicates that the INT Pullback maybe over and we are currently targeting the Weak INT High. after which price failed to target the Weak INT High. Current price indicate that we will have a deep 4H INT Pullback to maybe the 4H/Daily Demand zones before any continuation. 4. As expected, Price reached the Daily demand zone as refereed to the deep INT Structure Pullback. We have now the 2 scenarios; if price will continue up targeting the Weak INT High we will respect the Strong Low. If price breaking the Strong INT Low, then the Daily view in play and we will target the 4H/Daily Weak Swing Low. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish 2. As expected, price failed to continue bullish after the reversal of FOMC News. With the Swing turning bearish, we confirmed the HTF bearish Continuation. 3. Last HP POI on 15m/4H for price to continue the bullish Swing. Longs makes sense from these POIs but with currently reversal of yesterday news, there is a HP that price will take out the Strong Swing Low to continue the 4H/Daily bearish structures.
by Amr-Sadek
XAU/USD 22 March 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Gold continues it's bullish run following the Fed's dovish outlook on interest rates. Price has printed a bullish iBOS where we are currently trading within a fractal high and internal low. Relative to recent price action of the swing range, I have readjusted bullish BOS to bullish iBOS. Intraday expectation is for price to react H4 POI to then target fractal high. Because of the need for HTF's requiring a pullback, another potential scenario would be for price to continue bearish and print a bearish iBOS which would then indicate the Daily pullback has initiated. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by bullish BOS following the Fed's dovish outlook on interest rates yesterday. Price printed a bearish CHoCH, indicating, but not confirming, that pullback has initiated. This is also a requirement for all HTF's Yesterdays Intraday expectation was for price to indicate initiation of pullback by printing a bearish CHoCH which is denoted with a blue dotted line. Price printed this. Current intraday expectation is for price to react at either H4 or M15 POI. Price to then target weak internal high. However, due to the requirement for all HTF's requiring a pullback, an alternative scenario would be for price to print a bearish swing BOS which would then confirm the initiation of H4 pullback. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
EURUSD 21 Mar 2024 W12 - Intraday Analysis - EU PMI/US PMIThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 21 Mar 2024 W12 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bullish Swing Pullback Phase 2. After a BOS and iBOS we expect a Pullback. As expected after the Bullish CHoCH and mitigation of 4H/Daily Demand zones, we initiated the INT Structure Pullback. Price reached the 4H/Daily Supply and from there we could start the bearish continuation. Price failed to continue the bearish move and as expected it changed bullish and created iBOS confirming Swing Low and Bearish Swing Pullback Phase started. 3. 4H Swing pullback phase still active with Internal Structure continuing bullish with a new iBOS. After iBOS we expect a pullback. Price had reached the INT Structure Demand zone and created a Bullish CHoCH which indicates that the INT Pullback maybe over and we are currently targeting the Weak INT High. after which price failed to target the Weak INT High. Current price indicate that we will have a deep 4H INT Pullback to maybe the 4H/Daily Demand zones before any continuation. 4. As expected, Price reached the Daily demand zone as refereed to the deep INT Structure Pullback. We have now the 2 scenarios; if price will continue up targeting the Weak INT High we will respect the Strong Low. If price breaking the Strong INT Low, then the Daily view in play and we will target the 4H/Daily Weak Swing Low. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Swing Pullback Phase / Discount 2. With FOMC news, price created a bullish BOS. After the BOS we expect a pullback and currently price reached the Swing EQ and Discount zone. 3. Last HP POI on 15m/4H for price to continue the bullish Swing. Longs makes sense from these POIs but with currently reversal of yesterday news, there is a HP that price will take out the Strong Swing Low to continue the 4H/Daily bearish structures.
by Amr-Sadek
2
XAU/USD 21 March 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Gold continues it's bullish run following the Fed's dovish outlook on interest rates. Price has printed an iBOS where we are currently trading within a fractal high and internal low. Relative to recent price action of the swing range, I have readjusted bullish BOS to bullish iBOS. Intraday expectation would be for price to show signs of pullback initiation, which have yet to occur, or, price could react at 50% EQ before continuing bullish to create new highs. Another potential scenario would be for price to continue bullish from current price, create a new high which would bring the CHoCH closer to very most recent price action allowing Gold to pullback without the need to pullback so deep as current CHoCH location which is denoted in blue dotted line slightly above the internal low, is a significant distance away from current price. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by bullish BOS following the Fed's dovish outlook on interest rates yesterday. Price is currently trading within a fractal high and low. Intraday expectation would be for price to indicate initiation of pullback by printing a bearish CHoCH which is denoted with blue dotted lines. Alternatively, and much like H4, price could continue bullish to create new highs in order to bring CHOCH closer to the very most recent price action. This would Gold to initiate first structural signs of pullback without the need to significantly pull back. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK