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GOLD → False or true resistance breakout?OANDA:XAUUSD is trying to consolidate above the previously broken boundary of the ascending channel. The struggle that has not ended creates risks for both buyers and sellers. The weakening USD, coupled with the lack of clarity surrounding President Donald Trump's policy plans and ongoing trade wars, continues to provide support for gold. Inflation expectations are rising amid a period of economic and geopolitical uncertainty, forcing the Federal Reserve (Fed) to maintain high interest rates for an extended period to control increasing price pressures. Since taking office, President Trump has provided little detail on his proposed tariffs, raising questions about the seriousness of these measures and their potential impact. In the coming days and weeks, the precious metals market will be influenced by constantly shifting news from Washington. Resistance levels: 2758, 2770 Support levels: 2750, 2745, 2730 Currently, prices are consolidating above previously broken resistance levels. If there is no bullish momentum and the price breaks through a false resistance channel, gold may decline toward 2745 - 2730. However, a breakout above the local resistance level could trigger buying and push the price to the target: 2770. Best regards, Bentradegold!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bentradegold
4
EUR/USD: Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern AppearsDear friends, On the D1 timeframe, EUR/USD is showing promising signs with the formation of an inverse head and shoulders pattern, signaling a potential reversal of the downward trend. At the time of writing, the pair is trading around 1.039, down by 0.12% for the day. However, this could simply be a minor pullback before a significant breakout. The focus is now on the 1.034 support area, which is seen as a crucial foundation for the market to stage a strong rally. If this level holds, EUR/USD has a high chance of advancing toward the 1.045 resistance level, where we could anticipate a potential breakout. Notably, a solid consolidation above 1.045 would pave the way for EUR/USD to climb further, with no significant barriers in sight to prevent the pair from reaching the 1.060 target. What are your thoughts on the upcoming trend? Can EUR/USD break through the 1.045 level and surge toward 1.060? Share your opinions and predictions in the comments below – let’s discuss and exchange insights!
Long
by Joegoldwave
Gold update: Bulls remain in control!Hello everyone! Let’s dive into today’s gold price analysis. Currently, spot gold is trading at $2,750 per ounce, marking an impressive increase of $53 from its intraday low of $2,697 during last night’s session. The rise in gold prices is primarily a direct result of a weakening U.S. dollar. Investors, including myself, are flocking to gold as a safe-haven asset amid rising uncertainties. Adding to this momentum is the looming threat of tariffs from President Donald Trump. His hints at imposing new tariffs on Canadian and Mexican goods, possibly as early as February 1, have sparked widespread concerns. In my view, these tariff threats are closely tied to inflation fears. Should Trump’s policies drive inflation higher, the Federal Reserve may be compelled to maintain elevated interest rates to manage price pressures. This scenario would further support gold’s price trajectory, making it a critical asset to watch in the coming trading sessions. On the technical front, as highlighted on the 1-hour chart, gold has successfully broken above the major resistance level of the ascending wedge channel. The price is currently consolidating above this boundary, with support from the EMA 34 and EMA 89, making a buy strategy more attractive than ever. Gold may experience a minor pullback or consolidation from the psychological level of $2,750, possibly testing the key 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, before resuming its upward trend. However, a decisive break above $2,750 would signal that the metal is primed for its next rally. Happy trading, and may your profits soar!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Joegoldwave
2
Gold → A Bear Wedge Pattern is forming. What's Next?OANDA:XAUUSD consolidating above the 2715 level, while simultaneously a bearish wedge pattern maintains the recent upward trend. Theoretically, the price will break the support level, creating a breakout at the 2715 zone. On the H1 timeframe, the support zone of 2715-2715 has formed and price is moving towards reacting at this support area. If buyers maintain this zone, price may retest the upper boundary of the rising channel or the important psychological level of 2748 before further decline. However, a breakthrough below this level will lead to an earlier price drop. Additionally, the USD is also consolidating above the support zone, creating a corresponding reaction in the gold market. Resistance levels: 2738, 2748, 2758 Support levels: 2716, 2703, 2693 I expect a correction following the false break of the 2715 level. Price consolidation below this level will lead to a deeper decline.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bentradegold
GBP/USD--> Bulls pause, uptrend still intactFX:GBPUSD entered a temporary corrective phase after a two-day rally, pulling back to the 1.2300 region during the early European session on Wednesday. This move comes as the U.S. Dollar regains strength amid heightened demand for safe-haven assets, driven by growing trade war concerns under the Trump administration. On the 4H chart, despite the current dip, the broader structure remains bullish. The pair continues to trade above the EMA 34 and EMA 89, which are acting as dynamic support levels. Additionally, the formation of higher lows underscores the strength of the upward trend. Key Levels to Watch: 0.618 Fib retracement at 1.2288: A potential area for bulls to regroup. 0.5 Fib retracement at 1.22363: The next major support zone if the correction deepens. A sustained hold above these levels could fuel renewed buying momentum, potentially setting the stage for a continuation of the broader uptrend.
Long
by Joegoldwave
Gold---> Change in fundamentals. Strong resistanceDear friends, what are your thoughts on gold? Overall, gold has seen a significant increase yesterday, with a price rise surpassing the 2720 level. It is currently trading at a new high of 2728, showing strong gains for the day. So what reasons and factors have driven this? Regarding the influencing factors: Safe-haven money flows have strengthened following statements about tariff policies from former President Trump, along with expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will continue to cut interest rates. These factors have put pressure on US Treasury yields, creating positive momentum for gold. However, risks from the mild recovery of the USD and optimistic risk sentiment in the market are somewhat restraining stronger upward momentum. Regarding new prospects for gold: On the H4 chart, according to Joe's personal view, gold is currently receiving strong support at 2620. Breaking below this level would lead to price decreases, while maintaining it would result in price increases. Upon careful observation, it's noteworthy that the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is trending downward in the bullish zone, indicating potential momentum changes and the revival of correction possibilities. If a correction occurs, we cannot rule out the possibility that gold will utilize short-term momentum to test the area of interest at the upper boundary within the bullish channel, from which a decline may occur. Best regards, Joegoldwave!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Joegoldwave
EURUSD → Efforts to shift the global trendFX:EURUSD breaking the boundaries of the prolonged downtrend channel, the pair is currently struggling below the resistance level at 1.0448, aiming for consolidation that could set the stage for a further rally of at least 100 to 200 pips. The global trend remains bearish, and it is still too early to confidently declare a reversal. Prices are facing significant pressure at the critical resistance level of 1.0448. However, signs of a potential breakout are beginning to emerge in this area. If the US dollar continues its corrective movement, EURUSD could have a chance to confirm a shift in the current trend. A decisive breakout above 1.0448, followed by consolidation, could pave the way for the next bullish momentum. Key levels to watch: Resistance levels: 1.0448, 1.0607 Support levels: 1.033, 1.0222 Currently, all eyes are on the critical resistance level of 1.0448. A breakout and stability above this level could provide an attractive entry point for long positions, setting the stage for the next phase of growth. Sincerely, Bentradegold!
Long
by Bentradegold
Gold prices continue to increase from the level 2675OANDA:XAUUSD continuing the uptrend in local and medium-term timeframes. The price is once again testing strong resistance levels on the H4 chart, with prospects for a breakout toward the 2700–2750 range. The US Dollar remains near weekly lows, touched after weaker-than-expected US PPI data on Tuesday, providing key support for the market, including gold. Attention now shifts to the upcoming CPI report, a critical release that could reshape market expectations for Fed rate cuts this year. A stronger-than-expected CPI could increase pressure on gold, while a weaker report would bolster buying momentum. Additionally, the Fed’s hawkish stance is supported by the premise that Trump, beginning his second term next week, may drive inflation higher with protectionist policies. From a technical perspective, significant volume lies ahead, which could trigger a minor pullback toward support before the uptrend resumes. Key short-term levels to watch: Support: 2678, 2670 Resistance: 2690, 2697 However, in both the short and medium term, everything hinges on the upcoming scheduled news. Stay focused on these critical levels, traders! Best regards, Bentradegold!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Bentradegold
GOLD → A very strong uptrend may get its continuationOANDA:XAUUSD is rising due to heightened geopolitical and political risks. A strong bullish trend is forming, where the price is testing the strong resistance level of 2726 and creating a false breakout of this resistance. The upward movement is gaining momentum following threats of tariffs by Trump, which have added to the negative market sentiment regarding risk. Trump has proposed imposing tariffs on Mexico and Canada, as well as the EU and China, if trade agreements are not reached. These threats are supporting the demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. However, the strengthening U.S. dollar and expectations of a Fed rate cut are limiting gold's further upward momentum. Trading in the coming days will depend on the overall market sentiment and Trump's tariff discussions. From a technical perspective, the false breakout of such a strong resistance level could temporarily slow the growth rate and lead to price consolidation or correction. However, there are technical nuances to consider. Currently, it's important to note the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level (2716) and the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level (2711). These are significant liquidity zones that could prevent a deeper correction and push gold back into its bullish trend. A retest of the local highs at 2726 - 2732 would signal that the metal is ready for further upward movement.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Joegoldwave
USDJPY: Correction before dropping to 153.00-152.00Hello everyone, Ben here! USDJPY has yet to resume its upward trend. Rumors about potential actions from the Bank of Japan (BoJ) are beginning to surface. Meanwhile, the US dollar continues to gain strength. The 158.46 level represents a strong resistance zone established by the sellers. Strong expectations for an additional interest rate hike by the BoJ this week are also lending support to the JPY. Overall, this influence appears relatively weak but could still provide significant backing for this currency pair. In theory, any upward movement of this major pair might be limited due to trade policy risks from the soon-to-be-inaugurated US President Donald Trump, which have constrained any significant bullish moves for the safe-haven JPY. The focus this week will be on Trump’s inauguration speech on Monday and the highly anticipated two-day BoJ policy meeting beginning on Thursday. From a technical standpoint, the price is attempting to break out of a major range and test key support levels. A false breakout around the 156.56 level could lead to the price targeting newly formed resistance zones. However, if the price settles below 156.56 or even drops under 155.95, it could trigger strong selling pressure sooner than expected. Best regards, Bentradegold!
Short
by Bentradegold
GOLD → Testing Key Resistance with Potential to Reach 2726-2790OANDA:XAUUSD currently testing an important resistance level from which we can expect the price to continue rising to key levels such as 2726-2790. Technically, gold has entered the buying zone and the fundamental context supports it. Gold is supported by weak US inflation data, moderate Fed expectations, hopes for Chinese stimulus measures, and fading concerns about President-elect Trump's disruptive trade tariffs which have supported the risk-on sentiment prevailing in markets, causing the US dollar to decline sharply. Focus shifts to other economic data releases from the US, including December Retail Sales and Weekly Unemployment Claims, which will provide more clarity on the Fed's interest rate trajectory after January. Markets have fully priced in a rate pause at the Fed's policy meeting later this month. Gold prices will also remain dependent on any speculation surrounding Trump's tariff plans. Technically, all eyes are now on the resistance zone at 2697-2700. If gold can consolidate above this area, buyers will quickly enter the medium and long-term playing field. But don't forget about the upcoming news releases. Best regards, Bentradegold!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Bentradegold
GOLD: Buy or Sell ?Dear friends, Ben here! Gold begins the new week with a slight decline, retreating from the one-month high reached on Friday. Hawkish expectations from the Fed, rising U.S. Treasury yields, and a stronger USD are weighing on the precious metal in the short term. On the other hand, risk-off sentiment might provide support for the safe-haven pair XAU/USD and help limit further losses. :) From a technical perspective, gold confirmed a bullish breakout from a month-long symmetrical triangle pattern on January 8, further reinforcing the ongoing bullish momentum. It is likely that the struggle will continue, and the price may retest the previously broken boundary or the liquidity zone at 2675–2665, which will determine the next phase of developments. Resistance level: 2698 Support levels: 2685, 2665 The situation remains volatile, as numerous factors are exerting pressure on the price. Accordingly: If, after the retest, buyers manage to hold the price above the 2680–2685 support zone, the upward momentum could continue in the medium term. However, if the bullish support structure breaks and sellers push the price below 2680, this could trigger a correction down to 2665 or 2650 before the uptrend resumes.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Bentradegold
2
EURJPY → Consolidating before dropping to 157.00OANDA:EURJPY is under pressure. This currency pair has broken its local uptrend. In the context of weak fundamental and technical foundations, overall market pressure may be experienced. On the global timeframe, the pair lacks a clear trend and has been trading mainly within the range of 166 - 156. A closer look reveals that the recent growth attempt failed near the intermediate high. As the price approached a local resistance level, it reversed and stabilized below the EMA, moving toward the lower boundary of the flat range. Locally, a structural shift has confirmed the bearish nature of the market. However, before further declines, the price may form a corrective move. Using Fibonacci levels to measure this potential correction, the short-term levels to watch are 0.618 (161.75) and 0.5 (162.28). In the medium term, however, the decline may continue. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with OANDA:EURJPY :) Regards R. Linda!
Short
by Bentradegold
Gold--> Retest the resistance level before declining!Hello, dear friends! This is Ben here! Gold prices continue their upward trend, currently hovering around 2671, with a modest daily increase of 0.05%. The chart indicates that gold is consolidating and attempting to approach the critical resistance level of 2675. The bullish market structure suggests that prices are gearing up for a potential breakout. However, the key question remains, will the breakout occur? This depends largely on external factors, including the U.S. economy's performance and the inflationary trends, which have been long anticipated by the market. Based on current market behavior, we might expect gold to test liquidity and recheck key resistance levels before any potential downward correction. Buyers are likely to exercise caution after disappointing inflation data from China and hawkish signals from the Federal Reserve's recent meeting minutes. Frankly speaking, I’m not overly optimistic about gold’s upward momentum at the moment, given the lack of strong bullish catalysts aside from lingering trade policies, such as Trump's tariffs on major global powers. Fundamentally, the dollar’s strength and the Fed's hawkish stance continue to cap significant gains for the precious metal. Resistance levels: 2675, 2680 Support levels: EMA 2665, 2655 From a technical standpoint, the market structure remains bullish, and in the short term, we could see an attempt to break through the 2675 resistance. If successful, prices may test the next areas of interest at 2680 or even 2692 (OB Zone),which could later result in a possible decline. Best regards, Bentradegold!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bentradegold
1
Key Support at 0.6179: Will AUD/USD Break or Bounce?Dear friends! Currently, AUD/USD is struggling to record any meaningful recovery and remains near multi-year lows. In this context, the Fed's hawkish shift has driven U.S. Treasury yields higher, supporting the USD. Concerns over the U.S.-China trade war and expectations of an early rate cut by the RBA continue to weigh on the Australian dollar. Therefore, we can say that the probability of further price decline in the medium-term outlook is quite high. As mentioned on the 4-hour chart, the current price is approaching the level of 0.6179. A consolidation pattern is forming ahead of a potential breakout related to this level. I do not rule out the possibility of the price retesting the EMA resistance or a local high before further breakdown. However, the overall technical and fundamental situation suggests a decline. Focus on the trigger level at 0.6179. A breakdown and price consolidation below this level will likely trigger a significant drop.
Short
by Bentradegold
GOLD → False Breakout. Can Buyers Recover?Hello, dear friends! Ben here! Gold has made a false breakout at $2,637 and is now searching for strong support. The current situation is highly complex, both fundamentally and technically. Fundamentally, the situation remains challenging. Gold's weakness is influenced by the Fed's hawkish stance and the strength of the US Dollar. However, upward pressure on gold persists due to other factors, including the escalation of conflicts in Eastern Europe and the Middle East, Trump’s protectionist policies targeting Europe and Asia, and rising geopolitical risks worldwide. Technically, after the false breakout at $2,637 (previously a resistance level), the price is now heading toward a new testing zone around $2,622. Below that, the ascending channel support at $2,606 could act as the lower boundary where buyers may start an aggressive play. Key Support Levels: $2,622, $2,606 Key Resistance Levels: $2,637, $2,647, $2,665 Overall, I lean toward a medium-term bearish trend. However, the local situation remains tense and complicated. If the bulls manage to hold their ground within the ascending channel, gold may continue its upward move. But! If buyers fail to maintain their position within the channel, a correction could extend the downward momentum further, leading to deeper declines. Best regards, Bentradegold!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Bentradegold
USDJPY → Consolidating Before the Next Rally.Hello, dear friends! Ben here! USD/JPY is consolidating after a strong bullish run, fluctuating around the 157.75 level. The Japanese Yen continues to weaken amid wavering expectations regarding a potential rate hike by the Bank of Japan (BoJ). The Jibun Bank Japan Services PMI was revised lower to 50.9 from 51.4 in December. Meanwhile, the US Dollar remains near a two-year high, supported by the Fed's hawkish shift, further bolstering the USD/JPY pair. Currently, the focus is on the consolidation phase, which has been forming over the past few weeks. We have clear boundaries, trends, and key levels to guide our trading decisions. For me, the trigger lies at the 158 resistance level. A breakout and price consolidation above this level would confirm that the pair is ready to push higher. This rally is expected to reach the upper boundary of the ascending channel around 159, completing wave 5 within the channel. Regards !
Long
by Bentradegold
3
GOLD Update: Should I buy it?OANDA:XAUUSD continues to attract attention even as the US dollar strengthens, fueled by ongoing geopolitical and economic crises that drive demand for safe-haven assets. Prices are consolidating above previous resistance levels and are pushing toward establishing new local highs. As for gold's price volatility, the upcoming week will feature several key US economic data releases, including employment reports and the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes. These updates are expected to provide investors with greater clarity on the Fed's monetary policy, especially following projections of interest rate cuts in 2025. Regarding the gold strategy for the new week, Ben personally prioritizes buying strategies if the price remains within the wedge, targeting at least the upper boundary of the price channel. This anticipated upward move is expected to reach the level of 2690.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Bentradegold
EUR/USD --> The Bears Are Applying Strong PressureFX:EURUSD in a strong downtrend, the market has just set a new local low with no signs of stopping. What lies ahead? The Euro is under significant pressure against the strength of the US dollar, which has been bolstered by the aggressive economic policies from the Trump era. The rising greenback has not only diminished the Euro's appeal but has also added further turbulence to the forex market. Under current conditions, the 1.1000 level has emerged as a critical point, drawing significant attention from major institutional players in the market. Resistance levels: 1.033, 1.0448 Support levels: 1.000 From both a technical and fundamental perspective, the outlook remains weak. As such, emphasis should be placed on strong resistance levels where the downtrend is likely to resume.
Short
by Bentradegold
USD/JPY: What's Changing at Year-End?Hello, dear friends! As the year comes to a close, USD/JPY has shown significant movement, reversing course and dropping below the 157.00 mark. This late-year shift comes as market participants prepare for midweek closures and reduced activity around the New Year holiday. Despite lighter trading volumes, price action remains dynamic, signaling potential shifts in the trend. Technically, USD/JPY has failed to maintain its position within the parallel ascending channel, suggesting the emergence of a new trend. A key level to watch now is the immediate support at 156.03. The critical question is whether this support will hold and for how long. Looking at the bigger picture, sustained consolidation below the broken channel could lead to a move toward lower targets, as indicated on the 4-hour chart. If you find this idea insightful, don’t forget to leave your thoughts in the comments below and share it with your network. Your support gives me immense motivation to continue sharing valuable experiences and strategies in the forex market. Let's conquer this journey together!
Short
by Bentradegold
GOLD → A reversal pattern for a further fallHello, my wonderful friends, Ben here! Gold prices are currently testing key levels of interest during a corrective phase against the trend, following a breakout from a significant level. The fundamental backdrop is not particularly favorable, with the market under consistent downward pressure. The bearish sentiment around gold is intensifying as U.S. Treasury yields continue to climb, and the USD strengthens toward the end of the week, reducing the appeal of the precious metal. Notably, the US Dollar Index has recorded its fourth consecutive week of gains, while the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield remains near its highest level since early May. Looking ahead, the market's focus remains on the return of President-elect Donald Trump and the potential impact of his inflationary policies, which could have significant implications for the Federal Reserve's outlook in 2025. Stay cautious! From a technical perspective, the price is currently trading within a short-term descending channel, formed after the termination of a rising wedge pattern. The outlook suggests a higher probability of further declines. The 2622 level is a critical threshold—if sellers maintain pressure below this zone, the downtrend could extend further, with potential targets at 2605 and 2596, among others. Best regards, Bentradegold!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bentradegold