Gold prices increase but not reliablyThe gold price today seems to have remained unchanged from earlier this morning, mainly ranging between 2021 - 2022 USD.
Although the US GDP growth has exceeded expectations and core orders have increased, negative factors such as rising unemployment claims and inventory levels, along with reduced personal consumption, will pose challenges to the US economy. As a result, some investors have returned to buying gold. However, there are still many investors who remain on the sidelines, observing the market.
Inflation in Europe has decreased to 2.9%, prompting the European Central Bank to maintain interest rates. The European Central Bank predicts that inflation in the region will gradually decrease to around 2.7% in 2024.
Considering the above information, it will be difficult for the gold price to rise significantly given the positive economic growth in the US. This indicates that the world's largest economy will not experience a recession and will achieve the desired soft landing as expected by its central bank.
Intradaytrade
GBPUSD: Uptrend remains the sameWelcome to a new week of promising and productive trading!
The GBP/USD pair is trading within a narrow range just above the 1.2700 level during the Asian trading session. This is an impressive move from the bulls, as they not only successfully defended the key support zone at 1.2690 but also pushed the GBP/USD price higher from this point onwards.
Given the current landscape, I anticipate that upcoming GDP figures will highlight the underlying policy differences between the Bank of England (BoE) and the Federal Reserve (Fed), providing short-term momentum for GBP/USD.
EURUSD: Forecast to medium-term analysisHello dear friends!
Currently, in today's trading session, the downward trend continues, despite some price adjustments that indicate a potential peak forming at 1.0933. The current support level is around 1.0816. If this level is breached, it may cause EURUSD to decline further, possibly reaching the level of 1.0750.
In the near future, it is expected that the interest rates in the US will increase, which will lead to a depreciation of this currency pair.
From the 12-hour chart, although EURUSD is trading relatively calmly with a consolidating status, the potential for a price decline is still being firmly reinforced. The EMA signal converges along with the downward trend as a resistance level for the price increase of EURUSD. The target for further price decline is emphasized.
GBPUSD: Weight change from decrease to increase in priceDear friends, currently the GBP/USD pair continues to trade within an upward channel during the early Asian trading hours on Thursday.
Today, the GBPUSD price is hovering around 1.2712, marking a 0.1% decrease for the day. After careful observation, we can see that this currency pair has broken through the psychological resistance level of 1.2700 due to risk-accepting sentiment. However, the release of preliminary Q4 GDP data from the US on Thursday could cause market volatility.
In the short term, the 4-hour chart indicates a potential downward correction, with an expected decline towards support levels below 1.2700, with immediate support at 1.2680 before 1.2650.
Looking ahead, the EMA signals and the upward trend support further growth in GBPUSD. The price target is still emphasized at 1.2800.
BTCUSDT: Trend is unclearHello dear friends! Today, BTCUSDT is trading at $40,108 and there isn't much volatility compared to the previous trading session.
Any breakthrough outside of the box in the current picture will cause significant price fluctuations.
My expectation is that the price will still decrease following the negative momentum from the market's previous downward trend. |
How about you? What is your neutral position?
Overview of GoldDear friends, the price of gold remains unchanged compared to yesterday's trading session, mainly fluctuating within a consolidated range. At the time of writing, the price is hovering around $2022, experiencing a 0.12% increase during the day.
Meanwhile, the stock market has surged while government bond yields continue to decline, providing short-term support for gold.
However, there is another major event on the horizon: the United States will release the Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Index for December, which is a favored inflation measure by the Federal Reserve. This announcement on Friday may have a negative impact on gold by the end of the day.
Based on the one-day chart, there is a possibility of a bearish candlestick pattern formation (a descending pennant). I anticipate that gold will remain limited around $2040 and extend its downward momentum with an expected decline to $1978.
BTCUSDT: Falling from the price level of 40,000 USDDear valued readers, as I mentioned yesterday, BTCUSDT has broken out of its upward channel, leading to a significant decline in the price. At the time of writing, the cryptocurrency market is trading around the $40,000 mark. The downward trend is strong as the price has surpassed several important support levels, namely $41,000 and $42,000.
Meanwhile, after the approval of 11 Bitcoin ETF funds, BTCUSD continues to decline on Thursday. It is expected that the price will reach $35,359. What are your thoughts on this matter? Do you agree with me?
USDJPY: Becoming unpredictableHello dear friends!
Today, USDJPY is trading around 147.66 and is in a corrective wave within its trend, as the currency pair has just experienced a downward breakout from a marked support level.
Accordingly, the USD/JPY pair is undergoing a downward trend as market confidence recovers due to expectations that the Federal Reserve will begin implementing interest rate cuts in March. Currently, the probability of this scenario is estimated at around 50:50, indicating the uncertainty of market participants. The USD/JPY pair traded lower near the 147.50 level during the European trading session on Thursday.
The price has reached the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, making this a sensitive moment for sellers to continue their attack once again. In this scenario, the EMA 89 line will be retested and prices may further decline towards 145.500.
BTCUSDTBTCUSDT continues its downward trend on the fourth day of the week, surpassing the psychological support level of $40,000 and trading around $39,600. The strong support for further decline is evident as it trades below both EMA lines and shows a clear reversal signal from the EMA 34.
On the chart analysis and using Fibonacci, there is a possibility of creating a DOW after the correction phase has taken place. The low point below the 1.618 level (which is around $35,100) will be the first profit-taking opportunity for sellers at the current time and in the scenario mentioned above.
Where will the bears push gold?Dear friends,
Today, gold continues to operate in a downward trend channel, as evidenced by its price breaking out of the previous upward channel and dipping below $2,020 in Wednesday's US trading session. At the time of writing, the price is trading around $2,016, showing a 0.12% recovery for the day.
Meanwhile, the Bank of Canada (BoC) has announced that it will maintain its benchmark interest rate at 5% in line with its January policy. This statement is slightly more hawkish than expected, reducing the likelihood of an interest rate cut in April to about 40%. However, the stock market remains positive as Wall Street resumes its record-breaking rally due to better-than-expected earnings reports signaling economic health, which has a negative impact on gold.
The 4-hour chart shows a long bearish candlestick from the previous peak of $2,036 down to $2,011, stabilizing within this downward channel despite a slight correction. Further evidence for this bearish momentum is provided by the 34 and 89 exponential moving averages (EMA), indicating a potential further decline. Immediate resistance is seen at $2,019, with immediate support at $2,011. Breaking below this support level will open up more opportunities for further decline in this precious metal.
GBPUSD: Continuing downtrendHello everyone, The GBP/USD pair has recovered from recent losses in the first trading hours in Asia on Wednesday. The major currency pair touched its lowest level in 4 days near 1.2650 and bounced back towards the 1.2700 mark.
Meanwhile, Investors are awaiting the release of the UK's Manufacturing and Services PMI for January to gain new momentum.
With the potential formation of a top at 1.2746, indicated by the Dow Theory added to that, the current support level is at 1.2648. Additionally, Fibonacci also points to a retracement of the gold price reaching the perfect levels of 0.5 and 0.618. The expected downward trend is likely to commence with a price decline reaching the level of 1.618, which is at 1.2587, breaking through the current support level.
USDJPY: Continuing uptrendThe Japanese Yen benefited from the hawkish stance of the Bank of Japan on Tuesday, despite a lack of further action. The uncertain global political and economic landscape provides a safe haven for the JPY. Betting on an early interest rate cut by the Fed will support the USD and the USD/JPY pair.
My personal observation: The upward trend remains dominant, trading with the trend is always safe.
From an analytical perspective: EMA 34 and 89 continue to reinforce this, as indicated by Fibonacci.
I highly emphasize a profit target of 151.59 at this time, which is also a Fibonacci retracement level of 1.618.
EURUSD: Movement becomes unpredictableHello everyone.
From the 4-hour chart, the downtrend remains the dominant trend for this currency pair, with further evidence of this decline being that EURUSD continues to stay below the resistance level of 1.0900. This movement appears to be influenced by the convergence of the EMA line and nearby resistance levels.
Currently, EURUSD is trading sideways with little volatility, but there are signs indicating a potential peak forming from the previous EMA test area around 1.0917. The current support level is around 1.0860-1.0850. If this level is breached, it could push the EURUSD exchange rate further down, potentially reaching the 1.0725 level, which coincides with the final support level that bulls need to defend, as any price support above this level would be meaningless.
What about you? Do you think EURUSD will decrease in the future?
EURUSD: declineDear valued readers, Escaping the previous recovery channel has caused the product to decrease in price. At the time of writing, the currency market is still trading below the 1.0900 barrier. The downward trend is very strong because it cannot take advantage of the previous price increase.
Furthermore, the Euro is facing downward pressure after consumer confidence in the EU on Tuesday. This has contributed to a more negative market than ever before. It is expected that this price decline will reach 1.0821 and then break through this support level to reach 1.0761 as mentioned on the 4-hour chart.
What are your thoughts on this? Do you agree with me?
XAU/USD 24 Jan 2024 Intraday Analysis-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
-> Has reached EQ.
Following swing BOS price very aggressively pushed to the upside.
Currently price has printed a bearish iBOS where we are now in the pullback phase.
Price has printed a bullish CHoCH which is the first sign (but not confirmation) that internal pullback has initiated. Internal EQ is marked in green.
Sub-structure to internal structure is marked in red.
Internal structure traded past 50% EQ where we saw a reaction at premium. Sub-internal structure is now bullish.
Price could potentially continue bullish, react at H4 supply level to continue bearish.
Price is currently trading sideways between sub-internal structure
XAUUSDIn the European trading session on Wednesday, the price of gold (XAU/USD) continued its downward trend, despite a lack of strong selling pressure. The trading range has been maintained for several days, with traders exercising caution and waiting for further signals from the Federal Reserve regarding interest rate cuts. The market's focus is currently on key economic data from the United States this week, starting with the flash PMI index today, followed by Q4 GDP figures and Core PCE Price Index on Thursday and Friday.
Given the risks associated with this important data, expectations for the first interest rate cut by the Fed have now been pushed back from March to May, negatively impacting the price of gold. This is reflected in the slight decline in US Treasury bond yields, strengthening the US Dollar (USD) and limiting the recovery potential of XAUUSD.
It is expected that the long-term downward trend in gold prices will continue in the near future.
Gold Market Update
Gold prices today continued a subdued trading pattern with minimal fluctuations, mainly moving sideways around $2025 USD, confined within a narrow price wedge.
The precious metal is facing pressure as investors reduce their expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in March 2024. This sentiment has bolstered US bond yields and the value of the USD, exerting downward pressure on gold prices.
The market's focus is currently on the upcoming release of US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data for Q4 2023 on January 25, followed by the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index on January 26.
These two pieces of data are eagerly anticipated by the market as they are expected to more clearly define the Fed's monetary policy direction in the near future, which will significantly influence the global gold price trend.
Gold clings to modest gains near 2,030 USD - XAUUSDHello dear friends, in today's trading session, the longer-term moving averages EMA 34 and 89 are slightly lower than the current level, limiting the price increase. Finally, the technical indicators do not provide clear direction, as they are not reaching any significant levels.
With the potential formation of a cup and handle pattern, I expect gold to rise to around $2040 and then retreat.
The "buy on dips" trading strategy for gold continues as long as the significant static support level of $1988 is maintained. The uptrend could strengthen further if strong buying pressure is received from this final support level.
Support levels: $2016.40, $2001.60, $1988.60
Resistance levels: $2033.10, $2047.20, $2056.80
AUDCHF I Potential rise to top of the channelWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** AUDCFH Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future.
Thanks for your continued support!
USDJPY: stays below 148.00Dear readers, USD/JPY is experiencing downward pressure and has dropped to the 147.50 level during the European trading session on Tuesday. Following the Bank of Japan's decision to maintain their policy settings as expected, Governor Ueda stated that they will assess whether to keep negative interest rates when the current price target is achieved.
As a result, the US Dollar is showing signs of depreciation, so I anticipate that USD/JPY will decline towards the support level at 146.00, where the EMA line is converging, before any new catalysts emerge.
NIFTY INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 23/01/2024BUY ABOVE - 21670
SL - 21620
TARGETS - 21720,21840,21920
SELL BELOW - 21580
SL - 21630
TARGETS - 21530,21480,21420
NO TRADE ZONE - 21580 to 21670
Previous Day High - 21720
Previous Day Low - 21530
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement
HAPPY TRADING 👍
USDJPY developments today"USDJPY This Week: Continuation of Uptrend or a Correction in Sight?"
Faced with the challenging question of USDJPY's direction this week, we observe that the currency pair is maintaining a remarkable upward streak, reaching 147.89 in the early trading hours of the week.
In the short term, technical indicators continue to support the upward trajectory of USDJPY. The pair is attempting a recovery after finding significant support around 148.00. This upward momentum could be further bolstered as the US Dollar Index (DXY) gains traction from bets favoring a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in March.
Change gold positively on the weekend!Hi, dear friends, nice to meet you in the game to transfer gold price today!
On the fourth day, Gold carried out a strong weakness, the price reached the psychological level of $ 2000 but made the adjustment again and lasted to this day.
The precious metal is currently trading around US $ 2022 and is close to Fibonacci's 0.5 - 0.618 regression, so the prospect of this precious metal is still high.
However, if it can overcome that regression level and overcome the temporary resistance level at 2033 USD it can open for gold more and more strongly recovering opportunities with the contribution from stress. Political escalation will push high risks globally.
The economies will continue to suffer from inflation pressure due to goods deficiency. This will make the global economy difficult to recover as expected, so they will boost gold to make profits and prevent risks for capital flows. The forecast of gold price has increased sharply, when stress has not ended.
In your opinion, how will gold move in the near future?