EURUSD: Uptrend still prevails!Dear traders!
Yesterday, EUR/USD experienced an impressive short-term rebound, briefly reaching the key resistance level of 1.052. However, lacking further momentum, the pair quickly retreated and stabilized within the day's range.
Looking ahead, as long as the ascending channel remains intact and its internal support levels hold firm, buyers are likely to continue their attempt to break through the next key resistance at the upper boundary of the channel.
Wishing you a successful trading day with plenty of profits!
Intradaytrade
XAUUSD: Buy or sell?Gold continues to decline for the second day, trading around $2,913 per ounce, as the market pauses ahead of key inflation data and uncertainty surrounding Trump’s tariff policies. Despite the drop, strong buyer interest at lower levels signals stability, while expectations of further Federal Reserve rate cuts continue to support the metal.If buyers defend key levels, a short-term rebound may occur.
GBPUSD: Buy or sell?Dear traders,
Recently, GBPUSD has struggled to sustain its new high at 1.269, experiencing a slight downward correction while still holding relatively stable at elevated levels. The primary driver behind this decline is the renewed demand for the U.S. dollar, fueled by rising U.S. Treasury yields and the House of Representatives’ approval of the Republican Budget Plan, which has negatively impacted the pair.
As a result, GBPUSD is likely to undergo a short-term corrective move against the trend, seeking new support levels before resuming its upward trajectory.
GOLD → Volatile. Entering consolidation. What is next?OANDA:XAUUSD after a short-term uptrend, gold is now shifting into a consolidation phase, with speculative traders actively defending key risk zones. In this environment, what can we expect from the precious metal next?
Uncertainty surrounding Trump’s tariff policies and weak U.S. economic data has driven investors back toward safe-haven assets. However, after reaching a record high of $2,956 on Tuesday, gold experienced a pullback due to profit-taking and a decline in Chinese imports. Despite this, weak U.S. consumer confidence data has helped support a partial recovery.
While gold still holds bullish potential, its upside movement is being restrained by a stronger U.S. dollar and rising bond yields. However, trade war concerns continue to fuel demand for the metal.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 2,921 – 2,942
Support: 2,905 – 2,888
At this stage, the market is forming a sideways range, leading to two potential scenarios:
A pullback to retest the 2,905 – 2,888 support zone before a potential rebound.
A breakout above resistance, confirming a continuation of the bullish trend.
If buyers can push gold into the 2,921 – 2,929 zone and maintain control above this level, the metal could regain upward momentum.
Stay tuned and seize the best opportunities!
USD/JPY – Retesting key resistance before declineThe market is undergoing a correction after breaking its bullish structure. The weakening US Dollar (USD) has created favorable conditions for other assets, including the Japanese Yen (JPY). USD/JPY is currently retesting the previously broken trendline following a strong downward impulse.
On Thursday, the Yen reached its highest level in 10 weeks, pushing USD/JPY down to 149.5. Escalating trade tensions driven by Donald Trump’s aggressive tariff policies have led investors to seek safe-haven assets. Additionally, expectations of a Bank of Japan (BoJ) rate hike have further strengthened JPY’s position in the market.
In the short term, USD/JPY may continue a corrective rebound, testing the 0.618 - 0.5 Fibonacci retracement zone before resuming its downward movement.
EURUSD: Attempting to change the trendHello dear friends, Ben here!
Currently, EURUSD is attempting to capture recovery due to the dollar's adjustment. The price is forming a reaction from the resistance channel consolidation before breaking out and growing further.
Accordingly, after breaking through the trend channel resistance level, the price has moved into a consolidation phase around the range of 1.053 to 1.021. Within this, the price is testing the resistance level of 1.038. From this, we can argue that the market is still working to change its trend and become stronger against the dollar's adjustment.
Resistance levels: 1.038, 1.053
Support levels: 1.033, 1.021
Emphasizing the resistance level of 1.038, with confirmation of consolidation above this level, there will be nothing stopping EURUSD from further growth.
Best regards, Bentradegold!
USDCHF: The battle of 0.9000 - Sell or wait?Hello everyone, Ben here!
USDCHF previously broke its uptrend as the fundamental landscape shifted, and the dollar entered a correction phase. Clearly, sellers are in control, as illustrated on the chart.
Fundamentally, the situation is becoming more complex due to the tariff war initiated by Trump, with European countries responding in kind. Economic risks are rising. Additionally, with rumors of rate cuts from Trump and Powell, the dollar has entered a correction phase, which has had a positive impact on the forex market.
From a technical perspective, the 0.9000 level plays a crucial role, as it represents a strong zone. If sellers manage to keep the price below this level, within the selling zone, it will confirm further downside movement.
I also cannot rule out the possibility of a retest of the previous breakout range before a deeper decline. Emphasizing the 0.9000 level!
Best regards,
Bentradegold!
GOLD--> Test ATH 2942. Are buyers ready to act ?OANDA:XAUUSD testing ATH levels which could trigger growth momentum. The target of 3000 is getting closer day by day. Imminent in the near future...
Metals are consolidating after the price surge, maintaining an upward trend. Supported by Trump's tax plan and Fed easing expectations.
Meanwhile, the US Dollar (USD) and US Dollar Index (DXY) are significantly weaker. Markets are reacting to the delay in tariff implementation and comments from Trump and Powell about the need for interest rate cuts (requiring weeks or months before implementation), which has supported gold. Ahead lies potential profit-taking and impact from US Retail Sales data for January to be released.
Resistance levels: 2942, 2950
Support levels: 2929, 2923, 2908
Emphasis on key support levels. From there, price will realize growth potential. I don't rule out the possibility of retesting 2929-2922 before buyers continue their action.
Best regards, Bentradegold!
Gold → Accelerating Upwards NorthOANDA:XAUUSD returning to the trend following news (inflation). The northbound train may continue from 2907. Upcoming unemployment claims and PPI data.
Gold is supported by uncertainty surrounding Trump's tariffs and economic data from the United States. The Fed remains hawkish due to rising inflation, pushing bond yields higher and driving prices down to $2,865 briefly. However, buyers quickly returned, pushing prices back up.
Meanwhile, traders are awaiting PPI data which could influence Fed policy.
Technically, prices are consolidating in the buying zone compared to key points at 2900 and 2907. If buyers can hold and strengthen above the 2907 resistance level, gold could update ATH in the medium term. Additionally, focus is on 2918 - 2920. Price consolidation above this zone will also support prices.
Best regards,
Bentradegold!
GOLD → Accelerating northward. Targeting $3000Hello dear friends, Ben here!
Today, gold continues its strong upward momentum. Taking inspiration from previous growth - high economic risk. The price is moving increasingly closer to the previously anticipated mark of $3000.
Accordingly, gold broke above the trend channel boundary and the $2850 mark at the start of the week in the US, but growth is being limited by the strengthening dollar due to escalating trade risks. Trump announced on Sunday that he would impose new 25% tariffs on all imported steel and aluminum products, exacerbating the pain for the Euro and commodity-linked Australian Dollar (AUD) and New Zealand Dollar (NZD), thereby channeling new buying interest into the safe-haven currency - the US Dollar.
Gold prices also benefited further from the People's Bank of China (PBOC) expanding its gold reserves for the third consecutive month in January and expectations of more stimulus measures from China. However, in the coming days, USD could extend its recovery if risk flows intensify or markets return to profit-taking on USD short positions before US CPI inflation data is released on Wednesday. Moderate expectations from the Fed, hopes for Chinese economic stimulus, and lurking trade war risks will help limit gold's downside.
Technically, we are currently monitoring around the psychological area of 2904 and the main support level is 2882.
Resistance level: 2904 (unconfirmed)
Support levels: 2882, 2870, 2853
Bulls seem to remain hesitant around the 2904 area with prices potentially continuing their upward trend without any reversals. But! The most likely scenario at this point is a false break of 2904, with a short-term correction to retest liquidity before bulls head northward.
GOLD → Heading into tonight: Is 3K still a valid target ?OANDA:XAUUSD has approached the 2950 level but has yet to reach the key psychological threshold. The current price action indicates a correction phase, allowing the market to rest and accumulate liquidity ahead of key news releases, with a potential move northward on the horizon.
Gold is currently testing the 2900 level following Trump’s new tariff announcement, maintaining strong demand. The primary focus remains on Powell’s speech and the U.S. inflation data, as these will be the key factors influencing expectations for a Fed rate cut, which is the main driving force behind gold’s movement... Theoretically, the situation remains unclear as gold approaches strong support levels.
From a technical perspective, a correction is a logical scenario in a strong market. Technically speaking, prices cannot rise indefinitely; they require energy, which is replenished through seller pressure.
Currently, key focus areas include 2912, Fibonacci 0.618, and Fibonacci 0.5 levels.
Resistance levels: 2912, 2930
Support levels: 2901 (Fibonacci 0.618), 2888 (Fibonacci 0.5)
Powell’s speech, scheduled for tonight, and tomorrow’s U.S. inflation data will be the main catalysts. High volatility is inevitable. However, overall economic conditions continue to support this precious metal.
Before moving higher, gold may first test 2901 and 2888. The target remains within the familiar range of 2950 to 3000.
Best regards, Bentradegold!
Gold price rally continues from resistance level 2934 !Hello everyone, today is the last trading session of the week, let's see how the gold price fluctuates!
⭐️Market Summary:
- Gold has broken the resistance level of 2919-2921 to form a continued uptrend in today's Asian trading session, and the resistance zone of 2919-2921 will be formed to create a new support zone here
- If we observe and trade on the H1 time frame, we can see the price increasing in a clear trend according to Dow theory.
Trading plan:
Wait for the price to consolidate above the resistance level and continue following the Buy wave
👨💻XAUUSD Buy zone 2931 - 2933
🔹SL 2929
🔹TP 2935 - 2937 - 2940
Wishing you all FULL TP ❤️❤️
Sharing a strategyFor my scalping or Intraday trade, I created this pine script combining various indicator (namely the famous Alphatrend by @KivancOzbilgic, Previous Day Close and 52WeeksHigh/Low) into one indicator.
If price goes above the PDC and Alphatrend is a buy then I will make quick long trade. If price goes below the PDC and Alphatrend is a sell then I will make quick short trade. I added a percentage based on PDC to give me where I need to put my stoploss. Not really important as I always have proper risk reward ratio but it comes handy most of the time.
USD/JPY ---> Will the Bulls Recognize the False Breakout?Dear friends!
Overall, USD/JPY, after hitting support and forming a false breakout below the local trend channel's lower boundary, the currency pair has resumed its upward movement, supported by the strengthening dollar at this time.
Currently, the price has stabilized above the support level but remains below the 34 and 89 exponential moving averages (EMA). Fundamentally, the recent context has been unstable and depends more heavily on US economic data. People have long forgotten about interest rate growth in Japan and are focusing on economic data from the West.
On the chart, the uptrend remains the primary trend, so we maintain a buying preference. If the pair can consolidate above 152.00, then in the short and medium term, we should expect prices to reach the targets as indicated on the chart.
Best regards, Bentradegold!
USDJPY - Analysis and Potential Setups (Intraday- 10.02.25) Overall Trend & Context:
The OANDA:USDJPY pair is in an overall downtrend on the higher time frames and has reached highly significant support/demand levels. Lower time frame has given bullish indications, we can try to capitalize on this.
Technical Findings:
Price broke above the 200 EMA - this can act as dynamic support so watch current levels.
Demand zone was formed after sweeping internal liquidity (which resulted in an impulsive bullish break).
RSI shows overbought conditions - resulting in a pullback which is what we want to see to confirm price action (currently trading below the 50% level of the RSI)
Potential Scenarios:
Since we have seen a reaction off HTF supply zones we should wait for proper confirmations prior to entry.
If the demand fails, short positions should be considered - analysis will need to be adjusted to adapt to changing supply levels.
GOLD → First declines, then continues to conquer $2,900OANDA:XAUUSD is currently moving slowly on a bullish trend platform, with the price fluctuating around $2,868 and rising by approximately 0.45% on the day.
Inflation remains on an upward trajectory, and gold is responding as a safe-haven asset. "Gold is on track to reach $2,900 per ounce, and market sentiment remains highly optimistic, despite the short-term strength of the U.S. dollar."
Furthermore, recent statements from Federal Reserve officials indicate that major policy uncertainties—including tariffs and other issues stemming from the early days of former President Donald Trump's administration—are among the biggest challenges in determining monetary policy direction in the coming months.
Currently, the market's focus is on the upcoming Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, set to be released on Friday, which will provide further insights into the overall strength of the economy and the Fed’s policy path. Theoretically, a disappointing jobs report could strengthen the case for interest rate cuts in the U.S., thereby boosting gold prices. However, the opposite scenario is also possible.
From a technical standpoint, gold prices may decline from the $2,870 resistance level to accumulate liquidity and prepare for further upward movement. Specifically, the price could react to lower trend boundaries and the previously broken resistance of the ascending channel. There are no fundamental or technical reasons to break the current trend, and growth may resume after a potential false breakout.
Regards Bentradegold!
USD/JPY: What's Changing at Year-End?Hello, dear friends!
As the year comes to a close, USD/JPY has shown significant movement, reversing course and dropping below the 157.00 mark. This late-year shift comes as market participants prepare for midweek closures and reduced activity around the New Year holiday. Despite lighter trading volumes, price action remains dynamic, signaling potential shifts in the trend.
Technically, USD/JPY has failed to maintain its position within the parallel ascending channel, suggesting the emergence of a new trend. A key level to watch now is the immediate support at 156.03. The critical question is whether this support will hold and for how long. Looking at the bigger picture, sustained consolidation below the broken channel could lead to a move toward lower targets, as indicated on the 4-hour chart.
If you find this idea insightful, don’t forget to leave your thoughts in the comments below and share it with your network. Your support gives me immense motivation to continue sharing valuable experiences and strategies in the forex market. Let's conquer this journey together!
USDJPY: Correction before dropping to 153.00-152.00Hello everyone, Ben here!
USDJPY has yet to resume its upward trend. Rumors about potential actions from the Bank of Japan (BoJ) are beginning to surface. Meanwhile, the US dollar continues to gain strength.
The 158.46 level represents a strong resistance zone established by the sellers. Strong expectations for an additional interest rate hike by the BoJ this week are also lending support to the JPY. Overall, this influence appears relatively weak but could still provide significant backing for this currency pair.
In theory, any upward movement of this major pair might be limited due to trade policy risks from the soon-to-be-inaugurated US President Donald Trump, which have constrained any significant bullish moves for the safe-haven JPY.
The focus this week will be on Trump’s inauguration speech on Monday and the highly anticipated two-day BoJ policy meeting beginning on Thursday.
From a technical standpoint, the price is attempting to break out of a major range and test key support levels. A false breakout around the 156.56 level could lead to the price targeting newly formed resistance zones. However, if the price settles below 156.56 or even drops under 155.95, it could trigger strong selling pressure sooner than expected.
Best regards, Bentradegold!
GOLD → Testing Key Resistance with Potential to Reach 2726-2790OANDA:XAUUSD currently testing an important resistance level from which we can expect the price to continue rising to key levels such as 2726-2790. Technically, gold has entered the buying zone and the fundamental context supports it.
Gold is supported by weak US inflation data, moderate Fed expectations, hopes for Chinese stimulus measures, and fading concerns about President-elect Trump's disruptive trade tariffs which have supported the risk-on sentiment prevailing in markets, causing the US dollar to decline sharply.
Focus shifts to other economic data releases from the US, including December Retail Sales and Weekly Unemployment Claims, which will provide more clarity on the Fed's interest rate trajectory after January. Markets have fully priced in a rate pause at the Fed's policy meeting later this month. Gold prices will also remain dependent on any speculation surrounding Trump's tariff plans.
Technically, all eyes are now on the resistance zone at 2697-2700. If gold can consolidate above this area, buyers will quickly enter the medium and long-term playing field. But don't forget about the upcoming news releases.
Best regards, Bentradegold!
GOLD → False or true resistance breakout?OANDA:XAUUSD is trying to consolidate above the previously broken boundary of the ascending channel. The struggle that has not ended creates risks for both buyers and sellers.
The weakening USD, coupled with the lack of clarity surrounding President Donald Trump's policy plans and ongoing trade wars, continues to provide support for gold.
Inflation expectations are rising amid a period of economic and geopolitical uncertainty, forcing the Federal Reserve (Fed) to maintain high interest rates for an extended period to control increasing price pressures. Since taking office, President Trump has provided little detail on his proposed tariffs, raising questions about the seriousness of these measures and their potential impact.
In the coming days and weeks, the precious metals market will be influenced by constantly shifting news from Washington.
Resistance levels: 2758, 2770
Support levels: 2750, 2745, 2730
Currently, prices are consolidating above previously broken resistance levels. If there is no bullish momentum and the price breaks through a false resistance channel, gold may decline toward 2745 - 2730.
However, a breakout above the local resistance level could trigger buying and push the price to the target: 2770.
Best regards, Bentradegold!
15min - 1 hour short term Day trade Idea for MES15min - 1hr trading idea for short term gain. Thoughts.
After reviewing and studying the chart I found myself pondering on a short term gain for the upcoming trading session. Thoughts and critique welcome.
The use of FVG that has not been mitigated is in play
Oversold on an RSI
Momentum on slowing down on a bear trend
As always. Not offering financial advice. Just food for thought.
Gold → A Bear Wedge Pattern is forming. What's Next?OANDA:XAUUSD consolidating above the 2715 level, while simultaneously a bearish wedge pattern maintains the recent upward trend. Theoretically, the price will break the support level, creating a breakout at the 2715 zone.
On the H1 timeframe, the support zone of 2715-2715 has formed and price is moving towards reacting at this support area. If buyers maintain this zone, price may retest the upper boundary of the rising channel or the important psychological level of 2748 before further decline. However, a breakthrough below this level will lead to an earlier price drop. Additionally, the USD is also consolidating above the support zone, creating a corresponding reaction in the gold market.
Resistance levels: 2738, 2748, 2758
Support levels: 2716, 2703, 2693
I expect a correction following the false break of the 2715 level. Price consolidation below this level will lead to a deeper decline.