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GOLD --> Correction Before Potential Further DeclineOANDA:XAUUSD transitioning to a Correction Phase After Last Week's Economic Data. Market participants are generally confirming the bearish nature after returning to the channel. The market is broadly prepared for a 25% rate cut, but traders seem cautious about hints regarding the Fed's stance: whether the Fed will cut interest rates, shift to a wait-and-see approach, or imply a rate hike based on last week's economic data. Traders are eagerly awaiting the Fed's decision, which will be announced on December 18. Gold prices continue to be supported by safe-haven demand amidst ongoing geopolitical risks. Additionally, China's continued gold purchases are providing further momentum for this precious metal. Technically, after a false breakout at the 2721 level, a deep correction is forming, which typically develops into a local downward trend. Prices are approaching the panic zone of 2615-2600. During the Asian trading session, gold maintained its earlier recovery above $2650 as buyers still held control amidst the persistently weak US dollar and sluggish US Treasury yields, with attention on key resistance levels. Prices are heading toward the imbalance zone in the correction process. A swift approach and retest of resistance could trigger a recovery. Traders may enter the profit-taking phase before major news releases. Best regards, Bentradegold!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bentradegold
2
Gold: Short-Term Fluctuations, Long-Term TriumphsAs a market analyst, I observe that global gold prices currently stand at $2,647 per ounce, with February 2025 gold futures on the Comex New York exchange priced at $2,675 per ounce, reflecting a 0.03% increase from the previous day. Over the past week, gold has shown a solid 0.8% gain. From my perspective, gold has had a remarkable year, and while it is now undergoing a phase of correction, I firmly believe this pullback will not last long. My analysis suggests that gold prices will rise further in the coming months. This outlook is supported by several key factors, including loose monetary policies, strong central bank buying activity, and growing demand for safe-haven assets, all of which are likely to drive gold to new record highs this year. I’m also closely following comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell after each meeting, as these are crucial for shaping investor expectations for 2025. Inflation remains a pressing issue, still falling short of the Fed’s 2% target. According to Nicky Shiels, a metals strategist at MKS PAMP SA, gold prices could reach $2,500 per ounce, or even as high as $3,000 per ounce, depending on how effectively the Fed manages inflation. In the short term, my projection is that gold will trade within a range of $2,647 to $2,760 per ounce. For the longer term, I align with Goldman Sachs' forecast that gold could achieve $3,000 per ounce by the end of 2025. This aligns with the broader trends I’m observing, where persistent economic uncertainties and evolving monetary policies continue to shape a favorable environment for gold.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trader-Briannnn
GOLD → The FED Rate Decision Ahead: What Should You Do?Dear Traders, Gold (XAUUSD) has made a notable move, successfully testing the strong support level at 2633 before traders shifted into buying mode. As a result, the price broke above 2643, sparking new optimism as upcoming discussions around potential rate cuts from the Federal Reserve (FED) take center stage. Currently, there is a 93% probability that the FED will cut rates by 25 basis points. However, the overarching theme is the FED's stance for the future. Hawkish hints regarding 2025 could influence the rate-cutting trajectory, an aspect the market has only partially priced in. This means any indication of a smaller rate cut could fuel strength for the U.S. dollar. Conversely, a deeper cut could act as a bullish catalyst for gold. The spotlight is firmly on FED Chair Jerome Powell's comments, as they will provide crucial insights into the economic outlook for 2024 amidst the backdrop of Trump-era policies that continue to play a pivotal role. That said, downside risks for gold remain elevated, particularly if the FED maintains a hawkish stance in the current climate. Technical Analysis: At the moment, gold prices are consolidating within the range of 2658 - 2633, with a breakout in either direction likely to bring about a strong momentum-driven move. The market is complex and highly volatile right now, which is why traders are advised to hold off on entering positions before the event. Waiting for volatility to subside can offer better clarity on market direction and safer opportunities. Final Advice: Patience is key in such turbulent times. Avoid getting swayed by short-term noise and focus on acting only after a clear trend emerges following the major event.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bentradegold
GBPUSD: Breaking the trend line!GBPUSD is currently trading around 1.2705 and has not changed much since the start of the trading session. Early Tuesday morning, data released by the UK Office for National Statistics (ONS) showed that the ILO Unemployment Rate remained unchanged at 4.3% in the three months to October, as expected. During the period, Employment Change increased by 173,000, while annual wage inflation, measured by Average Earnings excluding bonuses, increased to 5.2% from 4.9%. Although the negative shift in risk sentiment has helped the US dollar gain ground in the European session, the GBP/USD pair remains flat but could fall as the bullish trendline and technical factors are broken.
Short
by Trader-Briannnn
GOLD--> Testing $2700: What Awaits with Upcoming PPI?OANDA:XAUUSD at the time of writing, prices are fluctuating around $2706, down 0.42% for the day, with not enough momentum to break the $2711 level. Meanwhile, buyers seem to have paused as the market prepares for the upcoming Producer Price Index (PPI) on Thursday. This report is expected to shed more light on the Federal Reserve’s rate-cut trajectory, keeping investors cautious. While prices are currently hovering around a minor pullback, some fundamental factors suggest that any drop may only be short-lived. Treasury yields have steadily declined throughout the year, a trend that typically supports gold. Moreover, persistent geopolitical tensions remain a strong driver for safe-haven demand, reinforcing the allure of the yellow metal. On inflation, while consumer prices have stopped rising aggressively, they remain stable. This stability makes it almost certain that the Federal Reserve will proceed with a 25 basis-point rate cut at its December 17-18 policy meeting. In fact, traders are pricing in a 96% probability of this move, up from 86% before the recent inflation report. From a technical perspective, gold is attempting to escape its main range, breaking key resistance. The focus is on $2700 and $2670. If buyers hold their ground in this region even after the news, prices will continue to grow in the future, as key liquidity zones remain untested. This projected growth is expected to reach levels such as $2758 and $2790. Always stay ahead of the market with Bentradegold—your trusted source for analysis and deep insights!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Bentradegold
GOLD → Wedge has formed. What next?OANDA:XAUUSD consolidation has been completed as investors rush to take profits after the precious metal’s consecutive price increases, reaching the highest level in more than 5 weeks earlier in the session. Prices are currently testing the gap around 2683 - 2670 (FVG). What’s next? Focusing on policy guidance related to the future of U.S. policies is crucial to determining the certainty of the market's next bullish wave. According to the CME FedWatch tool, there is a 98% probability that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates at next week's policy meeting. Alex Ebkarian, CEO of Allegiance Gold, notes that the Fed is in a very difficult position as the likelihood of a rate cut next week increases, but inflation remains elevated. From a technical perspective, gold is attempting to escape the battlefield, crossing a key resistance level. A breakout at 2687 has already been established. In theory, the development tends to push prices higher. If gold breaks out of the resistance size, it will provide distribution momentum. Conversely, prices may consolidate further. Ultimately, everything depends on the dollar. Best regards, Bentradegold !
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Bentradegold
GOLD NEXT MOVEDear Friends, Let’s take a closer look and trade accordingly. From the chart, we are witnessing a promising setup as the price has successfully broken out of the consolidation phase, reaching the $2726 level. Theoretically, based on Elliott Wave Theory, the pair is currently moving within Wave 4, a corrective wave following the completion of Wave 3, which closed below the $2722 level. What’s next? The price is likely to test a key liquidity zone, building momentum for a strong Wave 5, targeting $2758—a compelling and significant resistance level. Good luck, and may you achieve abundant profit:)
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trader-Briannnn
Gold → Breaking through channel resistance. New ATH target?Hello everyone! Ben here! Today, gold has officially broken out of the price channel, while the bulls are striving to maintain control, defending the key support level around 2665. This level was formed in the context of a weakening USD after signs of correction. The precious metal is now facing significant growth potential, with the opportunity to distribute prices at local highs in the near future. Macroeconomic factors are playing an essential role in supporting gold prices. Concerns over rising tensions in the Middle East continue to drive safe-haven demand, making gold a highly sought-after asset. Meanwhile, the U.S. jobs report released last Friday has fueled expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) might consider cutting interest rates in its December policy meeting, which is generally a positive signal for gold prices. However, gold's growth outlook still faces short-term challenges. Investors are currently awaiting key inflation reports, including the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the Producer Price Index (PPI). Both reports are expected to provide critical signals for the Fed's monetary policy direction and could create substantial market volatility. From a technical perspective, the main trend remains bullish, but prices are currently testing strong resistance. To reinforce upward momentum, gold needs to break out of this resistance zone and sustain above it. If this happens, prices could quickly move to new highs. However, if prices fail to break through, a retest of key support areas around 2677 (Fibonacci 0.618) and 2663 (Fibonacci 0.5) should be anticipated before the uptrend can continue. Share your evaluations and questions about XAUUSD so we can discuss further!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Bentradegold
1
Gold--> Is the Upswing Just Starting or Is a Pause Ahead?Hello, Amazing Friends of Brian! Let's Strategize for Today's Market! Gold continues to showcase its resilience today, with prices trending higher and currently hovering around the $2,700 mark, up 0.22% on the day. This movement reflects a growing appetite for the safe-haven metal amid mounting uncertainty in the Middle East and speculation about a potential rate cut by the Federal Reserve. These factors are providing robust support for gold in both the medium and long term. Yet, as the market digests these developments, the critical question arises: Can this bullish momentum sustain, or are we approaching a potential correction? Much of the answer hinges on the trajectory of the U.S. dollar, which remains a decisive force in gold’s price action. From a technical perspective, gold is fast approaching a significant resistance level at $2,720. A breakout above this mark could ignite further buying interest, paving the way for an extended rally. Conversely, failure to breach this level might trigger a short-term pullback. However, the overall bullish structure remains intact, as evidenced by the upward trendline on the 1-hour chart. Looking ahead, I anticipate gold to continue its upward journey, with any correction near resistance presenting a strategic buying opportunity. Key targets to watch include $2,750, $2,790, and $2,800, as highlighted on the 3-hour chart. Let’s seize these market opportunities together—wishing you all a profitable trading day!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trader-Briannnn
EURUSDThe EUR/USD pair continues to trade below the 34 and 89 EMA levels, signaling a short-term bearish trend. Despite attempts at consolidation in recent sessions, the pair remains under pressure, weighed down by a stronger U.S. dollar, geopolitical uncertainty, and diverging monetary policies between the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the European Central Bank (ECB). The U.S. dollar has extended its rally for the third consecutive day, with the Dollar Index (DXY) climbing past the 106.60 mark. This persistent strength has added significant downward pressure on EUR/USD, leaving the pair vulnerable to further declines as market dynamics unfold. From a technical perspective, traders should focus on two key resistance levels. These areas could provide optimal entry points for positioning, with the primary targets set at well-defined support zones. Monitoring price action around these levels will be crucial to aligning strategies with the prevailing market trend. Stay disciplined and vigilant as you navigate today’s trading opportunities. Wishing you success and profitable trades!
Short
by Trader-Briannnn
Gold-> Testing Resistance Levels: A Decline or a False Breakout?OANDA:XAUUSD currently consolidating within a descending channel, trading near $2,669. Technically, investors are caught in a dilemma, and the fundamental backdrop remains murky. So, what will happen next with the precious metal? The focus early in the week shifts to demand catalysts, with news of the People's Bank of China continuing its aggressive gold buying capturing attention. This, coupled with expectations of further monetary easing, creates a supportive foundation for gold prices. Traders are pricing in an 87% probability that the central bank will cut interest rates by another 25 basis points during its meeting on December 17-18. However, despite these factors, the path forward is far from clear. Theoretically, it remains uncertain whether prices can climb higher as they approach a strong resistance level and traders remain cautious ahead of key economic data like CPI and PPI, which could shift market sentiment. From a technical perspective, the market seems to lack a decisive trigger to escape its current consolidation phase. Personally, I foresee a high probability of a false breakout in the near term. However, if price action at the $2,677 resistance level and the upper boundary of the descending channel shows sufficient rejection, a decline could occur sooner than expected. In such a scenario, the downside target appears to be around $2,615. Share your thoughts, opinions, and questions—let’s discuss what’s happening with OANDA:XAUUSD :)
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bentradegold
Gold price clings to gain around $2,670/two-week topDear friends, let's explore the gold price after yesterday's big move! Gold prices rebounded near a two-week high and received support from a combination of factors. Geopolitical risks continue to favor the safe-haven XAU/USD amid the Fed's December rate cut. The current technical setup looks bullish and supports the outlook for further gains... This rally is expected to reach $2700, which is in line with the resistance channel limits.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trader-Briannnn
2
GOLD--> Consolidation. Waiting for new move to change trend.OANDA:XAUUSD mild fluctuations on Friday and a second consecutive weekly decline were recorded. Accordingly, the precious metal lost approximately 0.5% this week, after hitting its lowest level since November 26 at the start of the trading session. So, do you wonder what factors have impacted XAUUSD? Talking About Influencing Factors: The sentiment among short-term traders and technical positioning in the gold market has clearly cooled, with efforts underway to find momentum to improve sentiment in the short term. Throughout the day, gold showed little reaction to the much-anticipated employment data of the week. The latest report revealed that although job growth remains relatively stable, cracks in the U.S. labor market have begun to emerge, suggesting potential vulnerabilities. Regarding U.S. monetary policy, midweek, Fed Chair Jerome Powell noted that the U.S. economy is stronger than it was in September and adopted a more cautious stance regarding rate cuts. According to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool, with two rate cuts already this year, traders predict a 68% probability that the Fed will cut rates by another 25 basis points at its December 17–18 meeting. Theoretically, it remains unclear whether gold can sustain an uptrend as prices approach a strong resistance level. Talking About Technicals: Gold is currently in a sideways trend, so we are considering trading within the range's boundaries. Our focus is on the local channel from H1 2660 - 2615. At this point, gold is heading toward the upper zone of interest. A false breakout of the main resistance zone and price consolidation in the selling area may lead to a price decline toward the lower boundary of the sideways range. Assess, share your thoughts and questions, and let’s discuss what’s happening with OANDA:XAUUSD :))
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bentradegold
XAUUSDOver the past week, spot gold prices (XAU/USD) have shown little significant movement, continuing to trade sideways within the narrow range of 2613 to 2656. Market sentiment has weakened following U.S. President Donald Trump's threats to impose tariffs on certain countries. Despite the Nonfarm Payrolls report bolstering the U.S. dollar, investor sentiment remains cautious, with focus shifting to the Federal Reserve's potential interest rate cut on December 19. Interestingly, the dollar's upward momentum mirrors gold's movements, reflecting a unique dynamic in the current market environment. Technical Analysis On the H4 timeframe, gold prices remain trapped in a sideways channel. The EMA 34 and EMA 89 lines are moving in parallel and remain close together, indicating that the price is likely to continue ranging within this zone in the short term. This week, the release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report is a critical event that could act as a catalyst for breaking out of this sideways pattern. If the price breaks out, gold could either rally or fall further to key support levels at 2593-2595 and potentially deeper to 2540-2545. Key Levels to Watch BUY : 2610 - 2615 ; 2592 - 2594 SELL: 2660 - 2665 ; 2680 - 2685 Specific Trade Strategy XAU/USD SELL Zone: 2654 - 2656 Stop Loss (SL): 2659 Take Profit (TP): 2652 - 2649 Given the current sideways trend, it is advisable to wait patiently for prices to reach clearly defined support or resistance zones to maximize the risk-reward ratio. Additionally, closely monitoring this week’s CPI release will help refine strategies as the market reacts to new data. Wishing everyone a productive and successful trading day!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trader-Briannnn
1
GBP/USD → Breaks Out, Eyes New Trend Target Around 1.300Hello everyone, Ben here! The GBP/USD pair has found an opportunity to recover as a breakout from the previous parallel channel around the 1.271 region takes shape amid the dollar's ongoing correction. Key levels of interest are now set around the 1.300 area, with market sentiment cautiously optimistic. A notable test of the intermediate low near the 1.248 mark was followed by an impressive reversal pattern, suggesting a bullish shift in momentum. Theoretically, the outlook leans toward further upside. However, the bigger question remains: How sustainable is this rally? The answer primarily lies in the trajectory of the U.S. dollar. According to the CME FedWatch tool, the market is currently pricing in a 71.8% probability that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December. This scenario implies increased downside pressure on the USD, potentially opening the door for a moderate recovery in other currencies, including the pound. From a technical perspective, the channel breakout provides a promising bullish signal, potentially setting the stage for a stronger upward move. However, traders appear cautious, waiting for further confirmation. If a false breakout above resistance occurs and the price falls below 1.271, a move back toward 1.240 could be on the horizon. For now, though, the mid-term outlook hints at a gradual climb from 1.275 to the psychological level of 1.300, supported by positive technical signals. What are your thoughts on the current dynamics of GBP/USD? Share your insights, questions, or observations—let’s analyze this fascinating setup together!
Long
by Bentradegold
11
ITI Hits TP1! Target ₹450—Daily Chart Breakout!Indian Telephone Industries (ITI) on the daily timeframe has achieved TP1 and shows strong bullish momentum, making it highly probable to achieve TP2, TP3, and TP4. This trade was identified using the Risological Swing Trading Indicator , providing clear entry, stop-loss, and target levels. Key Levels: TP1: 301.40 ✅ TP2: 357.90 (Pending) TP3: 414.40 (Pending) TP4: 449.30 (Pending) Technical Analysis: The trade entry at 266.50 was confirmed with a breakout above key resistance levels, supported by bullish price action. The stop-loss is tightly placed at 238.25, ensuring risk is well managed. The current upward trajectory aligns with the Risological trend, signaling strong continuation toward the upper targets. Traders should monitor the price action near TP2 and TP3 for any signs of consolidation or resistance, with the expectation of further upside potential.
NSE:ITILong
by ProfitsNinja
GOLD--> Consolidation. Which Direction Will Momentum Take?Hello dear friends, Ben here! Gold prices continue to consolidate sideways within a familiar range as the market eagerly awaits a new catalyst to determine the next directional move. What lies ahead, and what scenarios could unfold? Meanwhile, sellers are holding back as they await key developments, including comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, U.S. employment data, and the CPI report, to gain insights into the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, traders currently assign a 74% probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points at the upcoming policy meeting. However, theoretically, this remains uncertain, and the market may remain in consolidation until new information emerges. On the technical side, gold may build bullish momentum to test critical resistance levels, which could potentially lead to a decline afterward. However, if the price breaks below the 2636 support level and consolidates beneath it, bearish pressure may emerge earlier than expected. What are your thoughts? Share your insights, forecasts, and questions—let’s explore the ongoing dynamics of XAUUSD together!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bentradegold
Gold prices continue their downward trend, falling from $2,710. Gold prices today continue their downward trend, trading around $2,642. This decline comes as the market braces for the release of the highly anticipated U.S. labor report from the Department of Labor, scheduled for Friday. According to a Bloomberg survey, nonfarm payrolls for November are expected to show an increase of approximately 200,000 jobs. However, remarks made by Federal Reserve Chair Jay Powell on Wednesday in New York also had a significant impact. Powell emphasized that the U.S. economy is in "very good shape," with risks to the labor market diminishing. This has raised concerns among investors that the upcoming jobs report could outperform expectations, potentially weakening gold’s outlook further. From a technical perspective, the focus is on the descending wedge channel. If sellers manage to defend the resistance levels within this channel, the downtrend may persist. The next projected targets for the sell-off are $2,605, $2,547, and $2,471, respectively. Share your thoughts, opinions, and questions—let's discuss what’s unfolding in the market!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bentradegold
6
GOLD--> The bears are gaining strength! Next target: 2605OANDA:XAUUSD is declining after a false breakout of the resistance range. The fundamental backdrop is mixed and still does not allow for a clear medium- and long-term strategy to be formed. But!... Trump's tariff policy and rising geopolitical tensions are influencing metal prices. Against the backdrop of a strengthening dollar and expectations of a Fed rate cut, gold prices are declining and confirming the market's structure. Looking ahead, all eyes will be on U.S. employment data as the country will release multiple job-related figures ahead of the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report on Friday. From a technical standpoint, we have a trend to watch after leaving the rising channel support and the 2636 area, reflecting the prevailing bearish sentiment. A breakout below 2636 could trigger aggressive selling against the backdrop of a newly strengthened dollar. However, the possibility of a retest of the area of interest before continuing the downward trend cannot be ruled out. Gold prices are expected to decline and reach levels of 2610 and 2596, respectively.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bentradegold
Gold → Consolidation. One more step to distribution...OANDA:XAUUSD fluctuating slightly due to high risk ahead of the news. Meanwhile, at this moment, strong momentum is forming. The price is consolidating within a local range. Previously, the price broke through the local ascending support... Ahead of economic data, traders are consolidating. Volatility is decreasing, and the market is not yet ready to take risks. Investors' attention will shift to the private sector employment report, Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech, and the non-farm payroll report. Currently, the market is pricing in a 69% probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut at the December 17-18 meeting. Since there is no clear trend in the market and the price is within a channel, we will consider trading from its borders. Therefore, a false breakout of the key resistance level could trigger a drop to the support of the range.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bentradegold
2
XAUUSDGold prices have recovered slightly, trading at $2,639.97 an ounce, marking a modest gain of 0.20% over the past 24 hours. The recovery comes after a recent decline, driven by a stronger US dollar and rising US Treasury yields. The current rise reflects cautious optimism among investors as the market awaits key economic data from the United States. The upcoming labor market report is expected to provide insights into the Federal Reserve’s future monetary policy, especially its stance on interest rates. Despite the temporary relief, gold remains sensitive to moves in the dollar and bond yields. Market focus on key economic indicators could shape the trajectory of gold in the coming sessions, keeping traders on their toes.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jack5cu
GBP/USD --> Counter-Trend Correction Before Further DeclineFX:GBPUSD during the correction process, the price has reached the area of interest and resistance from which further bearish momentum can be expected, in the context of the dollar returning to its upward trend. Overall, the market continues to struggle around the 1.267 area, which is considered a strong support zone. However, buyers appear to have limited opportunities to push the price higher as the dollar strengthens, fueled by Trump’s policies that exert significant pressure on the forex market. From a technical perspective, GBP/USD is attempting to break out of the main range, testing the key support level. However, with the price currently testing strong support, we might see a corrective move toward the 1.275–1.285 area (0.618 Fibonacci retracement) before resuming the downtrend. It is also worth emphasizing the 1.256–1.248 range. A break and consolidation below this zone would confirm the bears’ intentions.
Short
by Bentradegold
AEVOUSDT --> Just One Step Away From a Price SurgeThe AEVOUSDT chart presents an interesting scenario where price action remains constrained within a key resistance zone, but recent developments suggest the possibility of a breakout. Currently, the price is facing significant resistance near the 0.53–0.60 USDT level, a region where sellers have previously maintained control. Despite this, the chart reflects encouraging signs: the formation of a higher low (a newly established bottom) supported by an ascending trendline. This development is particularly noteworthy in the context of broader market dynamics. As Bitcoin’s dominance in the cryptocurrency market gradually diminishes, altcoins like AEVO are finding opportunities to gain momentum. This shift in capital flow creates a fertile environment for AEVO to realize its bullish potential. Before the price can decisively break through the resistance, a retest of the trendline is reasonable. This retest, likely within the 0.40–0.45 USDT range, will serve as a litmus test for the strength of buyer support. If the trendline holds, AEVO will be well-positioned to push higher, eventually targeting the 1.1 USDT mark as investor confidence builds and resistance levels are surpassed.
Long
by tradingsmithaltcoin