Enough Confluence For A Long Position?My mentor, and I have a totally different bias on AU. I heard him out, and watched as he charted both sides. His main confluence was a bearish engulfing candlestick on the monthly chart. Pushing him toward "sells" only in the month of April. While that can be intimidating, on the technical side, along with his other confluences, I see potential continuation of an uptrend ; due to Australia raising interest rates! , I decided to soak in his bias, and counter his bias, with my own. Knowing fundamental analysis is usually the total opposite I decided to share why AU may go up, While the USD is strengthening, the Australian Dollar may go "Long" going into Monday.
Inverse Head and Shoulders
Inverted HS Pattern on Weekly?Possible inverted HS forming on the weekly Ethereum / BTC chart. Question is - are we forming the right shoulder now, or will we see a strong dip forming a more symmetrical right shoulder first?
Chart is marked Long, but could be a strong short down towards 0.02 btc prior to turning long. Need to see weekly break and hold above the neckline before actually positioning a long.
US30 | INVERSE HEAD AND SHOULDER | Bullish An inverse head and shoulders pattern is a bullish chart pattern that forms after a downtrend. It consists of three lows, with the middle low (the head) being lower than the two other lows (the shoulders). The pattern is completed when the price breaks above the neckline, which is a trendline that connects the high points of the two shoulders.
On the other hand, the CURRENCYCOM:US30 US30 chart a pattern of lower lows and lower highs is typically associated with a downtrend, as each subsequent low and high is lower than the previous one. This suggests that the market is making lower lows and failing to make new highs, indicating a lack of buying pressure.
It is important to note that technical analysis is just one tool in investing and should be used in conjunction with other forms of analysis, such as fundamental analysis and risk management strategies. It is also important to remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results, and investing always carries risk.
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XLMUSD finally validating the inv h&sStellar’s XLM looks like its finally gonna trigger the inv h&s pattern it had previously done a fakeout or 2 above the neckline of. We can see before on its first trip above the neckline the original right shoulder was extremely small…it then went back under the neckline and has since created a much more robust right shoulder before now finally breaking back above the neckline with the type of authority that gives me confidence that it will reach the measured move target this time. In doing so it should also take price action above this descending trendline its currently testing the resistance of which if it can do so and then flip that trendline to solid support should also trigger a breakout from a triangle pattern its been in for quite sometime that can then eventually lead to much higher breakout targets than just this inverse head and shoulder target allows for. *not financial advice*
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upFollowing a profitable week for us, the Pound tested a seven-week high of the 1.23500 zone during the course of last week's trading session. The BoE raised interest rate by 25bps on Thursday to a new 15-year high of 4.25%, an attempt to tame double-digit inflation in the UK and the Sterling rose 0.5% against the dollar on the back of the news but was unable to hold the momentum as price action broke down the trendline that has been supporting the bullish momentum in the last couple of weeks. The Dollar steadied as a result of this development as confidence in the banking sector remained fragile. In this video, we analyzed the charts from a technical standpoint to figure out tendencies of price action in the coming week(s).
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
HBAR POSSIBLE 4X#HederaHashgraph enthusiasts! My analysis shows that the crypto is currently forming a bullish head and shoulders pattern, indicating a possible surge of more then 378%
With its innovative technology and growing ecosystem #hedera is definitely worth keeping an eye on. Don't miss out on the potential profits! #crypto #inevesting #blockchain
NVDA: Bullish, But Be Aware of These Patterns.• NVDA is about to retest the previous top at $275.89, after a quick correction to the $258.50;
• NVDA is in a very strong bull trend, and the last correction couldn’t even hit the 21 ema in the daily chart;
• By breaking the resistance at $275.89, NVDA would trigger another bullish pivot point, reinforcing the bullish bias. Its next target is the $289.46, which is better seen in the weekly chart;
• However, it is important for NVDA to break the $275.89 as soon as possible, as if it does a top sign in this area, the market may see a Double Top – we discussed this possibility last week, in our last analysis (the link is below this post, as usual). If it loses the $258.50 (previous bottom), then it’ll give another confirmation sign of a bearish reversal.
• In the weekly chart, we see that NVDA reversed the bear market by doing an upwards breakout from its Descending Channel, and it triggered an IH&S chart pattern;
• The $289.46 is a previous top from March 2022, and it is a technical resistance for us now. It appears NVDA wants to hit this target. So far, there’s no top sign nor bearish reversal structures;
• In theory, a pullback before it hits its target would be normal, as pullbacks after the breakout of the neckline of an IH&S occur 65% of the time (Bulkowski, Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns);
• If NVDA triggers a sharp correction in the weekly chart, I see it retesting its 21 ema next;
• I’ll keep you updated on this, as usual.
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SHOP - Rising Trend Channel [MIDTERM]- SHOP is in a rising trend channel in the medium long term.
- An inverse head and shoulders formation is under development.
- A decisive break of the resistance at 57.16, ideally with an increase in volume, signals a further rise.
- SHOP has given a positive signal from the inverse head and shoulders formation by a break up through the resistance at 44.
- SHOP is between support at 42 and resistance at 53.
- The RSI curve shows a rising trend, which supports the positive trend.
- Overall assessed as technically positive for the medium long term.
*EP: Enter Price, SL: Support, TP: Take Profit, CL: Cut Loss, TF: Time Frame, RST: Resistance, RTS: Resistance to be Support LT TP: Long Term Target Price
Verify it first and believe later.
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BABA: INVERTED HEAD AND SHOULDERS PLAYThis is Alibaba daily chart.
Price currently just below 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level from October low to January high.
Possible inverted head and shoulders to consider as well.
RSI in the lows.
There are a few gaps that could be filled. so I see 77-82 as a potential buying zone for a long term investment into this Chinese beaten down stock OR a good bounce zone for a short/mid term trade.
Trade safe!
$RIF - Inverse Head & Shoulder Formed. Let's LONG$RIF has formed Inverse Head & Shoulder on daily TF which is heavily bullish sign. After a sharp downtrend and price reversal at around 0.1350-0.1400, it has clearly made another shoulder which is a right shoulder.
I am waiting for candle close at 4H TF and then I'll take entry. Entry will be around 0.1425 to 0.1450 with a first TP target in sight at 0.2000, and then if the momentum continues I'll again take entry for second TP target around 0.3000.
Let's hope for the best. Let's LONG.
SPY close analysis, 3/27/2023 -- Inverse head and shoulders?Choppiness prevails. This is a premium sellers dream and a nightmare for swings.
Looks to me like the low is in for the short term cycle. Price never dipped low enough into the diag demand zone I projected on the 23rd for the bullseye target
Price seems to have found some support off the indecision zone today. I'm neutral-to-bullish until we lose 394.5.
In the *what if* crystal ball projections spirit, I propose a potential inverse head and shoulders, taking price into the >420 zone depending on completion date. Now THAT would be interesting.
A look at the inv h&s and rising channel on btcusdI focused on the bullish pennant btc recently broke up from on my last chart, so for this one I wanted to focus now on the inv h&s patterns and the rising channels since btc price action is now above them. The green inv h&s pattern is the most obvious one, however there is also one with an ascending neckline(in lavender) even though the lavender inv h&s is smaller than the green, because it’s neckline is slanted upward its breakout target is slightly higher than the larger green one. We can also see price action now above the teal blue rising channel. On the daily chart you can see how the bottom teal line is also valid with multiple touches, which essentially makes the channel twice as big as most people realize. I have posted the measured move targets for the top half of the ascending teal channel as well as a target for if the bigger channel is more valid. Odds are they are both valid but we will know by how close price gets to each target. There are several other bullish patterns I left off this chart as I wanted to focus on the most current patterns I’m currently focused on and with price action just now closing multiple daily candles above these patterns I knew now was the time to post a chart focusing on them. You can look back through my chart ideas to see all the other bullish chart patterns currently in play including a bullish pennant, descending channel that is also a potential inverse Bart, and the falling wedge that encompassed most of the bear market. *not financial advice*
ADA is going to increase soon!ADA has created an Inverse head and shoulder pattern which means a great bullish trend is on the Horizon. If the price follows this pattern's expected movement,we shall see it reach 0.70 pretty soon or at least in mid term duration. The expected movement is as much as the measured price movement ( AB=CD ). The Break out has not Happened yet.
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🌍Thank you for seeing idea .
Have a nice day and Good luck.
Bitcoin - The bottom is not in! 15k or 10k (careful)
Everyone thinks that the bottom is in and we are going to a new all-time high, but in my opinion, that's definitely not true. In this analysis, I will tell you why!
First of all, we need to take a look at the huge dump that occurred in 2021–2022 (from 69k to 15k). From the Elliott Wave perspective, it's most likely an impulse wave, not a corrective wave, because there are no overlaps between swings and the price action was extremely steep and bleedy. Also, there are no triangles in this structure whatsoever. You may say that it's not an impulse but a WXYXZ triple-three corrective pattern. It's possible, but in my opinion, these patterns tend to have more sideways price action than steep. You may also say that it's an ABC correction, but there are clearly 5 waves.
We should be in a major corrective B wave followed by a major C wave, which should end between 15k and 10k. I am not saying we will reach 10k for sure, but we should at least take liquidity below 15.5k to complete the ABC correction. That means if you buy Bitcoin now, you will experience a big drawdown on your account.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
10k is a strong psychological level, and there is plenty of reason to buy Bitcoin here. 0.618 LOG FIB retracement and the start of the GAP are definitely reasonable targets.
Right now, we are clearly in an uptrend on the weekly chart, and Bitcoin could reach 30k to 40k. The invalidation point for this analysis is 45k. If we reach this level, then I am wrong and I will buy BTC and ride the bull market to 150k. Targets will be specified for sure in one of my next analyses, so make sure you follow me and my updates!
The potential reversal point for this major corrective wave is, in my opinion, at 30k (strong horizontal support and POC) or 39k (0.618 LOG FIB). Then we should go down to 15k at least.
Also, if we take a look at the previous price action from 2018 - 2020, we had an exponencial pump from 3k to 14k followed by an exponencial dump from 14k to 4k. But we didn't take liquidity below the 3k level. This time I expect liquidity to be taken below the 15.5k level.
I hope this analysis is clear for you, and considering the upcoming recession and upcoming stock market crash, it's also possible to go down to 15K from a fundamental perspective.
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
POSSIBLE INVERSE HEAD AND SHOULDERS ON BITCOIN $9,300 PUMP??How about you guys but I clearly see a inverse head and shoulders with a perfect neckline to perfection. Let me know what you guys think. It looks a lot better and different time frames as in smaller time frames, where it actually shows two smaller little shoulders on each side as well like those small appendixs on an inverted head and shoulders although this goes against my Elliot wave theory analysis, this still looks highly valid