XRP exploding up after triggering 4hr inverted head & shoulders A great sign for not only XRP but the rest of the market as well. Many alts are currently pumping. we can see XRP has already reached the projected price target of the inv head and shoulders and is still continuing to climb..this is likely due to the fact that xrp is about to be traded for USD on bittrex on the 20th as well a the fact that XRapid will be launching later this year. COnsidering that XRP has triggered it's inverted head and shoulders already and many other alts are pumping the odds of btc also triggering its inverted h&s are much higher now as well. I am long on both.
Inverted
Potential Inverted Head & Shoulder Pattern on 4hr chartAfter seeing a nice fakeout on the daily of the inverted cup and handle pattern we are now seeing the 4hr chart form both a higher high and at least for now what appears like it will be a follow up higher low...if so the odds are favorable of following that up with another higher high and in doing so very likely we could trigger this currently developing inverted head and shoulder pattern. Though the 4hr chart is looking bullish we must still keep in mind that on the 1 day chart we have a giant bear flag and an inverted c up and handle to tend with...one of these 2 paths will be chosen either the bullish 4hr chart scenario will p;ay out or the bearish 1 day chart scenario. So be ready for either this idea for these reasons will be listed as neutral.
Inverted Cup & Handle Fakeout confirmed?As I said in the last 2 ideas wait for confirmation from the volume in this situation. I also said that with both the 4hr and 1 day charts rsi levels right near the oversold zone it would be very difficult for price action to sustain triggering an inverted cup and handle. Right now we are seeing lots of volume. and a big green candle spike...Odds are very good that we will be breaking upward from here but always be prepared for a fakeout even at this level. So far so good...need to keep a close eye on the close of this 4 hr candle as well as the next one to eb sure we will sustain this pump.
XRP in a potential inverted cup & handle as well.This cup and handle is a little more crude than btc's and is slanted downwad but could still be just as valid. Stay focused be careful and pay close attention. Try to avoid all fakeouts don't act until you see some sort of volume confirmation. Notes for myself of course and not financial advice. Best of luck in whatever strategy you choose to employ.
BTC threatening to break inverted cup and handle necklineHard to believe that when the 1 day rsi is this close to the oversold zone that this inverted cup and handle would have any room to plummet here. However if it does indeed trigger we could be lookin at a dip all the way down to 3.6-3.7k . There's a chance if it does trigger it would be a flash crash of sorts. Which could be what could finally catapult the price back up to where we need it to be. there' is 2 and a half hours left on the current 4hour candle to climb back above the neckline so for now we will wait and see...but it is indeed looking very ominous for now.
We saw a slight bounce but there's a chance of an inverted c&hShown hear is the potential cup of the inverted cup and handle play very close attention to price action and whether or not it dips below this neckline. To trigger an inverted cup and handle here could dip us to 3.6k-4k so I'm hoping this doesn't happen but after the last inverted cup and handle we broke down from its wise to at least be prepares and keep an eye on whether or not this pattern plays out...hopefully we go upward instead 3k is not something this market needs.
Eliminate Bias 1/BTCUSDI found inverting the chart shows a lot about bias and it seems there is a lot of bias on TView with lots of arrows and EW, but if you happen to stumble upon this, tell me, does this chart look bullish or bearish to you? No indicators, no arrows, no pictures of rockets...
I'm a novice btw, but also i don't have the bias of wanting a subscription, money etc. Just sharing a simple chart with you.
The trend is the friend, perhaps not the end for a while.
DGB potentially on verge of an inverted head & shoulder breakoutCould be an impending breakout...could also be a fakeout...watch for bullish volume to confirm. Probability favors a breakout with btc being so bullish lately, however there's not much room to climb up on the 4hr stochrsi...so it could still go either way.
BTCUSD Massive Inverted H&S Just HappenedIts important to study what happened so we know what to look for in the future and we know where we are at now. You can see a near textbook Inverted H&S pattern with some slightly off characteristics but nothing is ever perfect. This at least tells us that we are at the beginning of a new cycle and we should be looking at coming price movements that have followed Inverted H&S movements in the past of BTC.
Linked below you can see some of the patterns that formed while this was taking place so we know what to look for when this happens again.
inverted head and shoulders breakout confirmed target 7.7kguess we wont be waiting for futures to expire afterall...not sure if someone got news that an etf was gonna be approved or what. However this breakout should get us to at least 7.7k Maybe there will be a plummet after this before the futures expire..who knows. I hope for btcs sake it moons though.
BTC may be forming a cup and handle.Just my opinion, but with both the 4hr charts rsi and stochrsi well exhausted and well into the overbought zone and the 1 day chart's indicators now just reaching overbought conditions, I don't think we will be able to sustain an immediate breakout of the inverted head and shoulder pattern and a small correction is due to reset these indicator levels before a breakout can be sustained. at the same time we would like to see the price reach $6850 or so before any type of correction or retracement to establish a higher high on the 1 day chart and keep the ball in the bulls court. We can also see a very cup like price pattern has formed on this right shoulder. Also keep in mind that cme futures are set to expire on July 27th. All things considered my guess is that one of the 4hr candles that occur today will hit the $6850 region to complete the rimline of this cup pattern and then for the next 10 days or so we will see it form a handle until those futures expire at which point we will break above the cups rimline, the neckline of the inverse head and shoulder and the symmetrical triangle pattern we are in. Perhaps it will be Q3 which is the bullish one this year.
Sending bullwicks above the inverted head and shoulders necklineLooking at the 1 day chart we see a very promising sign here that the higher low/higher high bull pattern might continue. We need the price action to climb to 6850 or so to form a new higher high on the 1 day chart before the next significant breakdown happens. If so odds are food the following down trend will only form a higher low on the 1 day chart which will continue to allow the bulls to control the momentum. I already exited my position at 6690 and will be setting a stop buy up around 6894 to be safe. I think once we achieve the higher high on the 1 day chart a correction will be overdue and we will likely dip. I'm thinking we won't dip under 6.1k though before the next uptrend and will confirm a higher low at that point. All just my opinion though I could easily be wrong. As always not financial advice. Thanks for reading and best of luck!
Inverted Head & Shoulders on 1 Day Chart Still Very Much In PlayWe got very close to the original projected price target of the lavender wedges projected breakdown, but jut broke upward from the latest bear flag just before the new day candle started. What's a very encouraging sign is that we dropped to almost the exact same height as the left shoulder of this inverted head and shoulder pattern...always good for the validity of a h&s pattern when the shoulders are that symmetrical...not a necessity but usually when its that picturesque it gives the pattern much greater probability of playing out. For the price to turn around at that exact height increases my expectations of the inverted head and shoulder pattern triggering after all...so wise to keep a close eye on that. You'll recall in my laat idea titled two outcomes...one of the outcomes I saw was the price turning back upward to continue the right shoulder...the other outcome was that we would bounce off the bottom trendline of the pink symmetrical triangle we are in...that outcome is still in play too, and in fact both could happen...reaching the bottom trendline and bouncing up off it would not invalidate the inv h&s pattern....however it's much more encouraging pattern if it stays to the upside now based on the symmetry of everything. Wise to still be prepared for both outcomes though. I'm leaning more towards it going up from here but will keep this idea listed neutral since both outcomes are still in play. I also projected it reaching the neckline of the inv head and shoulder pattern around the 28th just because I'm fundamentally factoring in when the Futures contracts are set to expire on the 27th. Considering how that's still 15 days away that still gives us plenty of time to have another dip again before reaching the neckline so be prepared.
Two Outcomes.Looking at the 1day chart you can see that if we were to break upward here we would be forming a higher low on the 1 day chart and that also the inverted head and shoulder pattern is still in play. However the stochrsi on the 1 day chart has plenty of room to dip still. I think we could still be forming a 1 day inverted head and shoulder pattern however if we were to break downward from here I think we would bounce upward off off the bottom trendline of the symmetrical pink triangle as support around 6k. At this point either outcome is probable and thus this idea will be listed neutral.
Testing the Neckline of the Inverted Head & Shoulders PatternA nice bull surge has taken us to the neckline of the inverted head and shoulders pattern! We pierced it on the last candle..if we can close a couple candles above the neckline I'm fairly confident we will be revisiting the rimline of the inverted cup and handle pattern we broke down from last month. Breaking out from the inverted head and shoulder pattern will also allow us to break upward from the current pink symmetrical triangle we are in as well. However we need to keep an eye on the top trendline of the rising wedge we are still in (in lavender) breaking above this would be a very bullish sign indeed. As with all head and shoulder patterns...wait for the breakout (lots of bullish volume) to decide what to do, as they often times will end up being fakeouts. Good luck in whatever you decide to do, remember this is not financial advice, and thanks for reading!
Still inside larger rising wedge; Potential inverted h&s in playAfter seemingly breaking down from the first wedge but not getting a big enough red candle to go with it I have readjusted the smaller green rising wedge to fit more of a traditional bull flag shape. Was also able to widen the larger purple rising wedge with the newer candles wicks to see that we are still very much inside the bigger rising wedge. We could essentially however stay inside the bigger wedge and trigger an inverted head and shoulder pattern for a bullish break upward before we break downward out of the larger wedge. If hat were to happen it may allow us to avoid breaking downward from the bigger lavender rising wedge all together. Current stochrsi, and rsi on the 4hr chart seem like tey are ready for an upward climb as well. All these things considered makes this idea a neutral one.
Bitcoin Reversal Currently, it appears to me that bitcoin is following the path of the inverse head and shoulder I have drawn and suggested weeks ago, it has broken the trendline of the last move down in an off shade of blue. So long as 6250 (the green line) stays strong the bullish sentiment will remain and we will continue the pattern. I believe that there is a strong possibility that pattern will be completed. This is also one of the possible last times that the bulls have to reverse this trend.
So, for bitcoin to reverse its trend, it must significantly break the resistance trendline of the descending triangle (the lower purple line was the support and this will now be strong resistance, and the upper purple line was the resistance and it continues to be strong resistance), this would confirm a double bottom and it would send bitcoins price further up and to possible new highs. Failure of breaking the trendline would mean that we are most likely going to continue move sideways or continue our slow decent downwards. Once completed, the inverted head and shoulders has about an 80% chance of reaching its target objective. The Large oval is the point at which I believe bitcoin will test these trendlines.
If the inverse head and shoulder is completed then it will be going upwards to test the trend lines, if not then it will continue moving downwards or sideways.
If bitcoin cannot break the first trendline of the descending triangle, then it will continue downwards, if it can break the first trendline, it must test the true resistance which is the upper limits of 7000 or the lower limits of 8000 dependent on the time frame bitcoin makes a move; however, if it cannot break the second trendline bitcoin's price will continue downwards or sideways.
Take Away:
1.) The inverted head and shoulder must hold (the left shoulder should not dip too low) then it must test the neckline of the inverted head and shoulder, if these do not hold true, expect more downwards action.
2.) If bitcoin breaks the neckline on high volume expect to test the trendlines and expect a possible bullish reversal and a continuation upwards, if not, expect more downwards action.
Previous analysis:
Potential Inverted head and shoulders on the 1/4hr chartsWe got a nice little green impulse past couple candles with some very strange behavior going on with the orderbook over on gdax likely from bots.We can see now that we are a bove a very ugly looking inverted head and shoulder pattern but we can also see the 4hr stoch rsi is overextended and must eventually drop sooner than later. If we can maintain the price action above 6250 for the next couple 4hr candles we should see the inverted head and shoulders triggered which could take it to potentially the 6700s if so. There's an equally good chance however it could be a fakeout and a deeper dip could be on the way below our last low after simply forming a lower high here. For us to form a higher high we would need to impulse above 6.8k not impossible, especially if the inverted head and shoulders is triggered...probability still favors the bears at this point but I will leave this idea as neutral for now. Somehow even though the adam and eve double bottom has sadly been invalidated we still have a chance to trigger a triple bottom. if the triple bottom doesn't occur...I still think we will see a bullish turn around within a weeks time or so simply because the 200MA on the 1day chart is now starting to finally curl downward...it is still currently factoring in all price action from December 7th to now...but once it no longer factors in anything from before December 15th we should see a noticeable drop off on the 200MA, and if we simultaneously are going up ward enough to get the trajectory of the 50ma to point upward then we should see a 1 day golden cross sometime in July which will be a great sign for the bulls and potentially restart the bull market. For now, however I am neutral.