EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Sep 13, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During the current week's trading session, the Eurodollar exhibited a modest decline, briefly breaching the predefined support level of 1.103 and decisively transitioning to the freshly established resistance level of 1.110. The transient selling propels the currency downwards to the support level of 1.101, with a potential extension to the supplementary support levels of 1.097 and 1.091 amidst the interim price movement.
Investing
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Sep 13, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The recent market activity demonstrated a resilient rebound from our Key Support level at 53000, surpassing the Mean Resistance levels at 56700 and 59700 and peaking at the newly established Mean Resistance level at 60500. Current market sentiment indicates a potential retracement to the Mean Support level at 57300 before initiating the primary rekindled rebound and progressing into the second phase to retest our completed Interim Coin Rally at 64900.
BEPL LONG ENTRYHi guys, In this chart i Found a Demand Zone in BEPL CHART for Positional entry, Observed these Levels based on price action and Demand & Supply.
*Don't Take any trades based on this Picture.
... because this chart is for educational purpose only not for Buy or Sell Recommendation..
Thank you
VINATIORGAHi guys, In this chart i Found a Demand Zone in VINATIORGA CHART for Positional entry,
Observed these Levels based on price action and Demand & Supply.
*Don't Take any trades based on this Picture.
... because this chart is for educational purpose only not for Buy or Sell Recommendation..
Thank you
CYIENTHi guys,
In this chart i Found a Demand Zone in CYIENT CHART for Positional entry,
Observed these Levels based on price action and Demand & Supply.
*Don't Take any trades based on this Picture.
... because this chart is for educational purpose only not for Buy or Sell Recommendation..
Thank you
HARDWYNHi guys,
In this chart i Found a Demand Zone in HARDWYN CHART for Positional entry,
Observed these Levels based on price action and Demand & Supply.
*Don't Take any trades based on this Picture.
... because this chart is for educational purpose only not for Buy or Sell Recommendation..
Thank you
ALLCARGO Logistics are Stablishing and Sustaining in PerformanceNSE:ALLCARGO
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KEY BUSSINESS HIGHLIGHTS
Global events coupled with high demand across trade lanes during the second quarter of 2024 (calendar year) has led toimproved volumes and increased freight rates. Demand is expected to continue through the peak season till end of theyear.
LCL volume for the quarter ended June’24 stood at 2.25 million CBM, similar on YoY basis and representing a QoQ growth of6%. FCL volume for the quarter stood at 156K TEUs, similar to last quarter and up 9% on a YoY basis.
ECU Worldwide onboarded a new leadership team in Argentina, Uruguay and Paraguay as part of growth initiatives in LatinAmerica.
Contract Logistics business has reported a revenue growth of 13% on a QoQ basis and 22% on a YoY basis on the back ofincreased wallet share from existing clients.
Express Business: Operating cost continues to get optimized to bring about future growth in EBITDA. For Q1FY25 EBITDAstood at Rs. 20 crores, up 11% YoY and 33% on QoQ basis
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Supply chain market is estimated to be at ₹63,000
crores.
• ASCPL is a leading pan india 3PL player with an
expansive network
• Market leadership in chemical warehousing and
dominance in western India
• Building strengths in auto & engineering and ecommerce
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SWSOLAR Getting Ready to Break its 2019's & All Time HighNSE:SWSOLAR
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| KEY HIGHLIGHTS FOR 1Q FY25
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• Unexecuted order value at ~INR 9,396 crore as of June 2024
compared to ~INR 8,084 crore as of Mar 2024
• Company has received new orders / LOI in three domestic
projects worth ~INR 1,016 crore during the quarter
• Company received two turnkey international orders from South
Africa amounting to ~USD 140 mn
• Commenced a pilot project for Solar plus BESS for Reliance
Industries at Jamnagar, Gujarat
• P&L of the company continues to improve
• Consol revenues up ~78% YoY in 1QFY25
• Gross margins at ~11%
• Second consecutive quarter of positive EBITDA, PBT and PAT
at a consolidated level
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• The company’s balance sheet continues to de-leverage
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• Total net debt of ~INR 97 crore as of Jun 2024, compared
to net debt of ~INR 116 crore in Mar 2024
• No upcoming debt repayments till 3QFY25
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Received order of 900 MW DC in 1QFY25
• Received a turnkey solar PV order from AMEA Power in South
Africa for a ~140 MW DC project
• Through this project, SWREL has achieved a key breakthrough in
the rapidly growing South African solar market.
• We have successfully executed a 90 MW DC order in South
Africa in 2016 previously, and continue to maintain O&M
operations there
• Bagged our second international order from South Africa with a
turnkey package for a 80 MW AC project from Energy Group
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Shopify (SHOP): Is It Just the Beginning?Shopify has been one of our best entries this year, and we remain very bullish on it. From a technical analysis perspective, it's hard to make a bearish case for this stock. We've even seen a change of structure after catching the bottom on SHOP.
We've already taken some profits off the table and moved our stop loss to break even for the initial trade. We're now expecting this surge to continue, and as a result, we're planning to place another limit order on Shopify, aiming to buy more if the price moves into the $59.38-$54.59 area. We prefer to enter manually to avoid getting triggered by any sudden news events.
If our analysis is correct and this is indeed Wave 2, we could see a really nice rally in the near future on Shopify, potentially breaking the $90 mark and moving even higher.
Let's see what Shopify has in store for us next.
e.l.f. Beauty (ELF): Oversold and Ready for a ReboundIt has been quite some time since we last took a look at e.l.f. Beauty, and our previous conclusion was that we could be seeing some more selling pressure. We were right about it; after a brief relief pump, the stock sold off by more than 45%.
In the end, our prediction about ELF being due for a sell-off was correct, and we are now back in the targeted area. Although we haven't touched the HVN POC yet, the situation looks both promising and concerning at the same time.
Additionally, the RSI is oversold for the first time since October 2023. Given the current market conditions and the prevailing uncertainty, we are not planning to go long on ELF at this time. However, it does appear ready to either fall a bit more or take off. We will continue to monitor it closely and have already set alerts. If we see an upward push, we might consider entering on a retest, but for now, we're staying on the sidelines.
We hope this update has been helpful to you 🔥
Investment Opportunity - Canara BankAs an investor, you need to think exact opposite of traders (in FUNDAMENTALLY strong stocks).
At these major breakdown levels, big players get enough quantities to buy the promising investment opportunities.
To outperform 90% people, you need to out-think them first.
This idea is to spread awareness and should not be considered as basis of any financial commitment. DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH BEFORE TRADING/INVESTING.
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Sep 6, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
In the current week's trading session, the Eurodollar exhibited a rebound from the Mean Support level of 1.102. It effectively breached our Mean Resistance level at 1.109, establishing a newly created Mean Res 1.115. The transient selling pressure led to a significant downward movement and is anticipated to retrace back towards the Mean Support at 1.102, possibly reaching down to the interim level of Mean Support at 1.097 in the interim price action.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Sep 6, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The recent market activity witnessed a continued decline in the value of Bitcoin, leading to a significant drop and triggering a shift to our designated Key Support level of 54000. Current market sentiment indicates a potential recovery towards Mean Resistance 56700, possibly extending to Mean Resistance 59200. It is pertinent to acknowledge that persistent selling pressure at this stage could precipitate a further down towards the previously completed Interim Coin Dip 50000 before a resurgence occurs.
NOC vs LMT: A Valuation War Between Top Defence Manufacturers!ABOUT COMPANIES
Northrop Grumman NYSE:NOC excels in advanced aircraft systems, divided into four main areas: Aeronautics Systems, Defense Systems, Mission Systems, and Space Systems. Aeronautics Systems designs and manufactures cutting-edge aircraft for the U.S. military and global clients. Defense Systems integrates battle management and weaponry, while Mission Systems delivers innovative solutions for defense and intelligence. Space Systems focuses on solutions for national security and commercial purposes. Established in 1939 by John K. Northrop and others, the company is headquartered in Falls Church, VA.
Lockheed Martin NYSE:LMT stands as a top global security and aerospace company, dedicated to the research, design, and production of advanced technology systems. It operates in four primary segments: Aeronautics, Missiles and Fire Control (MFC), Rotary and Mission Systems (RMS), and Space. The Aeronautics segment focuses on military aircraft, including combat and drones. MFC specializes in air and missile defense and precision strike systems. RMS develops military and commercial helicopters and cyber solutions, while the Space segment creates satellites and defense systems. Founded in 1912, the company is located in Bethesda, MD.
MARKET CAPITALIZATION
● Northrop Grumman (NYSE: NOC) - $75.96 Billion
● Lockheed Martin (NYSE: LMT) - $135.53 Billion
TECHNICAL ASPECTS
● Northrop Grumman
➖ The monthly chart shows that the stock price is currently on a distinct upward path.
➖ Previously, it faced resistance around the $360 level, caused a notable pullback.
➖ Subsequently, the price formed a Double Bottom pattern and broke out successfully.
➖ This breakout drove the price to an all-time high near the $556 level but the price started declining from there.
➖ Nevertheless, the stock price found strong support around the $420 level, allowed it to bounce back.
➖ Currently, the stock is approaching its previous all-time high, and if it can overcome that resistance, we can anticipate further price increases in the coming days.
● Lockheed Martin
➖ This stock is on a strong upward trajectory, consistently achieving higher highs and higher lows.
➖ Following a significant breakout around the $500 mark, the stock price surged and is now trading at $568.5, just shy of its all-time peak of $578.7.
➖ From a technical perspective, the price is hovering just below the upper boundary of a parallel channel, which may act as a resistance point.
➖ However, if the price can break through this range and maintain that momentum, we could see even greater upward movement ahead.
Relative Strength
● The chart shows that the NYSE Composite TVC:NYA has provided a solid return on investment of about 18% in the last year. In comparison, Northrop Grumman and Lockheed Martin have done even better, with returns of around 20% and 27%, respectively.
REVENUE BREAKDOWN
● Northrop Grumman
The company derives its income from four main segments.
➖ The largest share comes from the space systems segment, contributing around 33%, which equates to $14.34 billion out of a total revenue of $43 billion.
➖ Next, the aeronautics systems segment adds nearly 27%, bringing in $11.61 billion of the overall revenue.
➖ The mission systems segment follows closely, accounting for about 26%, or $11.12 billion of the total.
➖ Finally, the defense systems segment generates nearly 14%, totaling $5.99 billion of the overall revenue.
● Lockheed Martin
Similar to Northrop Grumman, this company also operates through four segments to drive its revenue.
➖ The aeronautics segment leads the way, contributing around 38.4%, which amounts to nearly $28.77 billion of the total revenue of $74.85 billion.
➖ The rotary and mission systems segment accounts for 26.4% of revenue, equating to $19.76 billion.
➖ Next, the space segment contributes 17.8%, which is $13.33 billion.
➖ Finally, the missile and fire control segment makes up 17.4%, totaling $12.99 billion of the overall revenue.
REVENUE & PROFIT ANALYSIS
● Northrop Grumman
Revenue
➖ For the FY23 the revenue has jumped by 7.3% to $39.3 B from $36.6 B in FY22.
➖ In the recent June quarter there is no significant surge in revenue as the recent quarterly revenue stands at $10.2 B compared to $10.1 B in the march 2024. But from the last year June quarter the revenue has grown by almost 6% from $9.6 B.
Profit
➖ The operating profit has experienced a decline, with FY23 reporting only $2.9 billion, a drop from $6.3 billion in FY22.
➖ In the latest June quarter, the operating profit held steady at $1.3 billion, unchanged from the March quarter.
Basic EPS (LTM)
➖ The basic EPS saw a slight rise in June, climbing to $15.26 (LTM) from $14.33 (LTM) in March 2024. However, compared to the same quarter last year, there has been a significant drop from $30.23 (LTM)
Analyzing these numbers shows that although revenue has risen, the company is having difficulty producing profits, which may impact the share price in the near term.
● Lockheed Martin
Revenue
➖ In FY23, the company experienced a slight revenue increase of 2.4%, rising to $67.6 billion from $66 billion in FY22.
➖ During the recent June quarter, revenue reached $18.1 billion, up from $17.2 billion in the March quarter. Compared to the same quarter last year, this represents a significant growth of approximately 8.6%, up from $16.7 billion.
Profit
➖ The operating income has experienced a year-over-year increase. For FY23, it reached $9.0 billion, marking a 23% rise from $7.3 billion in FY22.
➖ However, there hasn't been a notable change in operating profit on a quarter-over-quarter basis. In June, the operating profit stood at $2.2 billion, slightly up from $2.1 billion in March. This figure is consistent with the operating profit reported in the same quarter last year.
Basic EPS (LTM)
➖ The basic EPS stood at $27.58 (LTM) in June 2024
➖ Over the past year, there has been no notable growth in EPS (LTM)
Lockheed Martin demonstrates a more robust financial standing compared to Northman Grumman.
VALUATION
● P/E Ratio
➖ P/E vs. Median P/E
(1) Northrop Grumman's current price-to-earnings ratio over the past twelve months stands at 33.2x, which appears elevated when compared to its four-year median of 15.2x.
(2) Lockheed Martin's recent twelve-month p/e ratio is 20.1x, also showing a rise relative to its four-year median of 16.2x.
➖ P/E vs. Industry P/E
(1) NOC shows a fair valuation with a Price-To-Earnings Ratio of 33.2x, which is just below the US Aerospace & Defense Industry average of 33.3x.
(2) On the other hand, LMT, with a P/E of 20.1x, seems to be undervalued relative to the industry average of 33.3x.
● P/B Ratio
➖ NOC's current P/B ratio of 5.3x appears inflated when stacked against the US Aerospace & Defense Industry average of 3.2x.
➖ In the case of LMT, it stands out as significantly overvalued, boasting a P/B ratio of 21.9x, which is far above the industry average of 3.2x.
FREE CASH FLOW ANALYSIS
● Northrop Grumman
➖ In FY23, cash flow from operations saw a remarkable increase, climbing to $3.9 billion, a notable rise from $2.9 billion in FY22.
➖ In the most recent quarter, this figure reached $4.4 billion, up from $3.9 billion in March.
● Lockheed Martin
➖ There was little change in operating cash flow, with FY23 reporting $7.9 billion, which is nearly the same as the $7.8 billion recorded in FY22.
➖ On a quarterly basis, there has been an uptick; for the June quarter, operating cash flow stood at $8.8 billion, an increase from $8.0 billion in March and $7.7 billion in the same quarter last year.
DEBT ANALYSIS
● NOC currently has a debt of $16.3 billion, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 114%. While this may raise some concerns, the company boasts an interest coverage ratio of 5.2, indicating a solid ability to manage interest payments on its debt.
● In contrast, LMT carries a debt of $19.3 billion, leading to a debt-to-equity ratio of 311%, which suggests poor financial health. However, with an impressive interest coverage ratio of 8.9, the company is in a strong position to meet its interest obligations.
TOP SHAREHOLDERS
● Northrop Grumman
➖ State Street Global has a notable 9.59% ownership in this firm, while The Vanguard Group possesses a considerable 8.22% stake.
● Lockheed Martin
➖ In addition to the 11.2% held by Lockheed Martin's Employee Stock Ownership Plan (ESOP), State Street Global and The Vanguard Group own 15.1% and 8.99% respectively.
➖ BlackRock also maintains a significant 7.13% interest in this company.
CONCLUSION
After reviewing all the financial metrics, it becomes evident that each company possesses distinct strengths and weaknesses. It's difficult to determine which one is the superior investment choice at this moment. A look at the monthly chart indicates that both companies are currently at a high point, but they could be good candidates for accumulation during any significant downturns.
In 2023, the US spent $916 billion on defense, which was more than any other country. This was an increase of $55 billion from 2022. and this figure could increase given the current global landscape. Therefore, companies like Northrop Grumman and Lockheed Martin are expected to perform well in the foreseeable future.
Deutsche Bank (DBK): A Perfect Reversal?Our analysis on Deutsche Bank (DBK) dates back to June, but we've continued to monitor the stock closely for you. We saw that DBK respected the last possible level within our targeted area, which was aligned with the level of Wave 1. Typically, for a Wave 4, we don't want to see the asset linger too long in this area, but in the case of DBK, it only dipped into it briefly before reversing, showing a strong and positive reaction.
We now anticipate a surge above the Wave 3 level, which would also push the stock above the trend channel. Such a conclusion to this cycle would be a very bullish sign, likely leading to a deeper pullback in the overarching Wave (2). At that point, we would definitely consider buying shares as the setup looks promising for long-term gains.
Meta (META): Watching for a SetbackIt has been a lovely rise within META since 2023. However, we are now continuing to range for some time, which is usually a sign of a possible setback before a continuation. This setback could be beneficial for sustainable growth and further rises.
Zooming in, we can observe a range building since February 2024. This range has been respected multiple times so far, and it seems likely to continue. However, the small breach of the top looks somewhat like a Swing Failure Pattern (SFP) and could be a signal of profit-taking by many traders. If we breach through the $440 level, we could see a change of structure if a candle closes below it. If this happens, it would confirm our analysis. Until then, we might see higher prices as this is technically still a bullish trend within this range.
Another small indicator supporting our view is the bearish divergence on the RSI. While RSI is a good indicator with a high win rate, it’s not infallible, so this scenario might not play out. Still, this seems the most likely outcome to us at the moment.
UCAL - 6 YEARS OF "W" PATTERN BREAKOUT6 Years of "W" Pattern Breakout breakout
BUY PRICE : 190
SL : 150 (only for swing traders)
TARGET : 250, 330 (72%)
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
PLASTIBLENDS - ROUND BOTTOM BREAKOUT8 Months of Round Bottom breakout
BUY PRICE : 353
SL : 304 (only for swing traders)
TARGET : 480 (36%)
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
SEQUENT SCIENTIFIC - Multi Year Breakout StockINVERSE HEAD & SHOULDER PATTERN BREAKOUT STOCK FOR SWING TRADING
> 2 Years of Inverse head & shoulder breakout
BUY PRICE : 155
SL : 125 (only for swing traders)
TARGET : 202, 250, 305 (100%)
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.