ADANI WILMAR Showing Breakage in Volume & Structure,NSE:AWL
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Not a Adani Lover.... But Some Bussinesses are Considered as White Collar.... Specially when you are aware of the original Product of the company.
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Strong recovery in Profitability, after subdued profits in H1 of last year.
➢ Trailing 9-Month EBITDA at INR 1,471 Crore.
➢ Profitability was volatile in FY24 due to hedge dis-alignment. However, profitability is improving over the longer-term.
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▪ Q1 volume growth of 12% YoY
▪ Steady growth in staple packaged foods. Edible oils grew by 12% YoY and Foods & FMCG grew by 42% YoY
▪ In Industry essential segment, both Oleo and Castor business grew in double digits, though overall volume impacted due to oil meal business
▪ Q1 revenue at INR 14,169 crores
▪ Revenue grew by 10% YoY in-line with volume growth as lapping of disinflationary impact of edible oil prices on revenue is complete
▪ Highest-ever EBITDA in Q1‘25 at INR 619 crores
▪ Edible oil business profitability has improved on back of stable edible oil prices
▪ Demand Environment (branded oil and foods)
▪ Demand environment stays steady in packaged staple foods on back of ongoing shift towards branded products
▪ Company stays focused on gaining market share, particularly in under-indexed markets & categories
▪ Incorporating local nuances to enhance regional engagement through customized campaigns, specialized packaging, localized pricing strategies, targeted schemes
▪ ESG Update
▪ Adani Wilmar has been included in FTSE4Good Index Series
▪ Company is committed to improve its processes for ESG performance, enhance disclosures and participate in key ESG ratings
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Key Takeaways: Q1’25
▪ Overall volumes grew by 12% YoY in Q1’25
▪ Edible Oil volumes surpasses 1 Million MT in Q1’25
▪ Food & FMCG crossed quarterly revenue of ~INR 1,500 Crores in Q1’25
▪ Edible Oil:
▪ Edible Oil volumes grew by 12% YoY in Q1’25
▪ Both Sunflower oil and Mustard oil grew double digit during the quarter.
▪ Food & FMCG:
❑ Food & FMCG volumes grew by 42% YoY (Ex-G2G business, Food volumes grew by 19% YoY)
❑ The revenue from branded products in the domestic market has been growing consistently YoY at over 30% for the past eleven quarters.
▪ Distribution:
❑ Company’s direct reach grew by 18% YoY to reach 7.4 Lac Outlets at the end of Q1’25
❑ Rural towns coverage grew by 40% YoY to 30,000+ towns at the of June 2024
▪ Channel Growth:
❑ Alternate channel grew by 19% YoY in Q1’25 (in volume terms)
❑ Branded exports grew by 36% YoY in Q1’25 (in volume terms)
❑ HoReCa business grew by 91% YoY (in volume terms), with quarterly revenues crossing ~INR 150 Crore in Q1’25
▪ ESG:
❑ Inclusion of AWL in FTSE4Good Index Series
Investing
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Now, in India, mutual funds are sounding for retail investments
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listed price level breakout and sustain
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AVTNPL Showing Good MomentumNSE:AVTNPL
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Products
The main products of the Co. are - Marigold Extracts for Eye Care, Food Coloring & Poultry Pigmentation; Spice oleoresin and Oils for Food Coloring and Flavoring; Value added Teas - Decaffeinated Teas and Instant Teas; Animal Nutrition Products; and Rosemary extract.
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Subsidiaries
The Co. has 2 wholly owned subsidiaries, namely AVT Natural Europe Ltd. & AVT Natural S.A. De C.v., Mexico. AVT Natural Europe Ltd. is the marketing arm of the Company for decaffeinated tea and instant tea. AVT Natural SA DE C.V, Mexico has been established with an aim to capture the market for the Animal Nutritional products in the South American market and other markets.
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SNOWMAN Increasing Cold Temperature & New WarehousesNSE:SNOWMAN
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• Network Advantage - Ability to offer customers the largest Pan-India cold chain networkfor storage and distribution
• Expansion Plans – Planned expansion basis our customers’ requirements to reach new markets & to address the demand of the organised sector• Technology Driven - Snowman has developed customised software & apps for increasing efficiency of operations
• 25+ Years of Experience - Snowman has innovated best practices and is a knowledge leader in the industry
• Customer Trust & Satisfaction - Full visibility & transparency provided to customer using in-house tech platforms & many uninterrupted years of satisfactory customer service
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Leading integrated temperature-controlled logistics
• Snowman Logistics Ltd was incorporated in 1993 and Gateway Distriparks acquired a majority stake in 2006• Pan India network of 45 warehouses across 20 cities
• Integrated service offering of warehousing services, transportation, and distribution bundled with value added services• Modern facilities with high quality infrastructure across the country
• Expansion plans to increase warehousing presence for catering to the fast-growing demand of the organised sector• Snowman is first Indian cold chain company to introduce 5PL services, which offer innovative and integrated solutions
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Strengths:
Established market position in the temperature-controlled logistics industry: Snowman is the largest provider in the highly fragmented temperature-controlled warehousing, transportation and logistics industry in India. The company provides quality service and end-to-end solutions to customers in the temperature-controlled industry, thereby resulting in repeat orders and long-term contracts providing around 80% revenue visibility. As on March 31, 2023, the company had warehousing capacity of 1,35,552 pallets across 44 warehouses in 18 cities. It also had 239 refeer vehicles (refrigerated trucks) providing last-mile, inter-city distribution services through a consignment agency model. It caters to marquee customers in diversified end-user industries, such as seafood, pharmaceuticals, dairy, e-commerce and quick service restaurants (QSR). Under the dedicated warehouse segment, the company has opened 4 warehouses for e-commerce and pharmaceutical clients including Amazon, Fraazo, Impelpro, among others.
Adequate financial risk profile: Gearing was 0.25 times as on March 31, 2023, and is expected to remain low in the medium term. Debt protection metrics are adequate with interest coverage and net cash accrual to total debt ratios are ~4.3 times and 0.63 times, respectively, in fiscal 2023. Any higher-than-expected debt for funding capex could adversely impact the capital structure and debt protection metrics and will remain a key rating sensitivity factor.
Continued parentage of GDL: Post settlement of agreement between Snowman and Adani Logistics Ltd (ALL) in July 2020, GDL is the single largest owner with 40.25% stake in the company and substantial control on the board. The rating continues to benefit from moderate operational and strategic linkages with GDL, as both the companies offer complementary services in the logistics industry, thereby providing cross-selling opportunities to customers. GDL is one of the largest private players in the container freight station, railways and inland container depot businesses in India. Furthermore, Snowman is well established amongst the leading organised players, providing temperature-controlled services in India
IOLCP Showing Change in Structure can go towards 52 Week HighNSE:IOLCP
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The Company’s turnover
increased to ₹ 2,133 crore in
FY24 from ₹ 983 crore in FY18
at a CAGR of 13.77%
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The share of regulated
market sale has increased
to ₹ 300 crore in FY24 from
₹100 crore in FY18
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Increased contribution
of non-Ibuprofen drugs
from ₹35 crore in FY18
to ₹431 crore in FY24,
showing a steady upward
trend over the years
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Added more than 10
products since 2017 in
APIs and chemical segments.
The Company has
recently commenced a new
plant of Acetic Anhydride
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• The Indian API market is expected to grow at a
CAGR of 13.7% over the four years.
• India hosts 500 API manufacturers, contributing
approximately 8% to the global API Industry.
• As the largest supplier of generic medicines,
India manufactures around 60,000 different
generic brands across 60 therapeutic categories.
• In FY24 India saw a 4.12% increase in the total
imports of bulk drugs and intermediates,
amounting to ₹ 37,721.88 crore, compared to ₹
36,229.15 crore in FY23.
• Indian medicines are preferred worldwide due to
their combination of low price and high quality,
earning India the title of "pharmacy of the
world."
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Positive factors
• Strongly improving operating performance, resulting in growth of more than 15% in total operating income and sustained
EBIDTA margin of more than 20%, on a sustained.
• Diversifying product portfolio and reducing dependency on its main product Ibuprofen and ethyl acetate to below 65% in the
overall revenue.
• Improving total debt to gross cash accruals (TD/GCA) and TD to profit before interest, lease rentals, depreciation, and taxation
(TD/PBILDT) to below unity.
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Established market position and diversified product offering
The company was incorporated, 1986 with the commencement of business in chemical segment.
In 2000, the company started
production of Ibuprofen.
IOLCPL is one of the largest manufacturers of Ibuprofen with significant global share and the company
is backward integrated for manufacturing Ibuprofen.
IOLCPL has a market presence across more than 50 countries with sales
contribution from exports forming around 28% of total sales in FY24 (PY: 29%).
The company’s overseas customers are spread
across Switzerland, Bangladesh, Spain, Indonesia, Hungary, United Kingdom, Nepal, China, Turkey and Japan, among others.
The company is one of the largest manufacturers of Ibuprofen (capacity of 12000 MTPA) and has the second largest manufacturing
capacity (12000MTPA) for Iso Butyl Benzene (key raw material for Ibuprofen)
Chevron (CVX): Approaching a Critical Support ZoneIt's been a while since we last analyzed CVX, but we’re now approaching a very important area on the chart. You might wonder why we’re focusing on the weekly chart instead of the daily. The reason is simple: sometimes you need to zoom out to get a clearer perspective, and in this case, the weekly chart holds far more significance than the daily. There’s no point in searching for entries on the daily when the more crucial entry level on the weekly is just below.
We’re looking to find support at the HVN POC (High Volume Node Point of Control) at $117, which would also serve as a retest after the last breakout in 2022. We’re still determining the best way to place a limit order at this level, but for now, we’re waiting on the sidelines with alerts set and a light game plan ready.
Super Micro Computer (SMCI): Awaiting the Final Leg DownWe are considering a bullish scenario for SMCI, but it's not time to act just yet. We continue to believe that we are still in Wave (2) and that one more leg down is needed before we can see a surge higher, potentially breaching the all-time high at $1,229. Although the stock has already retraced more than 60% since reaching this ATH, we think there's still room for a bit more downside.
We believe we are in Wave C of the ABC corrective movement, and typically, this Wave C contains a five-wave structure (in this case, moving downward). This five-wave structure hasn't fully played out yet, as you can clearly see. Even though a lot of longs have been opened at $512, which is the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, we believe this is just Wave ((iii)). We're not looking to short this stock but are instead waiting to see if our analysis holds true so we can go long once we have more clarity on the ending of Wave ((iv)). This will help us better determine the end of the overarching Wave (2).
$VIX Could Experience a Sharp Decline on MondayWith reports that Mideast mediators are advancing towards a cease-fire deal, the TVC:VIX could experience a sharp decline on Monday. 📉 This reduction in volatility might lead to increased market stability and potential gains across equities. How are you positioning your portfolio in response to these developments? #VIX #MarketVolatility #Equities #InvestmentStrategy #GeopoliticalRisk
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Aug 16, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The S&P 500 Index demonstrated significant resiliency during this week's trading session, surpassing the Inner Interim Index Rally 5443 target. Following a springy rebound, the current market price action is positioned below the newly established significant Mean Res 5564. Anticipated interim downward pressure toward the Mean Support at 5445 is probable before the index resumes its upward trajectory. The prevailing price action indicates a sustained uptrend towards the Inner Interim Index Rally at 5666, with the achieved targets expected to exert considerable downward pressure.
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Aug 16, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The Eurodollar exhibited consistent upward momentum throughout the current week's trading session. It successfully retested the Mean Resistance level of 1.099 and the completed Inner Currency Rally at 1.100. The breakthrough of these thresholds led to the establishment of a new Mean Resistance at 1.104. A breach of this pivotal level may incite rapid upward movement, targeting the Key Res 1.111 and culminating in the completion of the Inner Currency Rally at 1.112. Conversely, the prevailing downward analysis projects a sustained descent toward a critical Mean Support level of 1.097.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Aug 16, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During this week's trading, Bitcoin underwent a retest of our Mean Resistance level of 61700 and, subsequently, the Mean Support level of 57400, marking the completion of the Interim Coin Rally at 62600. The presence of intermediary selling pressure may lead to a decline in the coin's price action toward the Mean Support level of 56600, 54000 and potentially result in a retesting of the completed Interim Coin Dip at 50000. On the positive side, the overall trend remains optimistic, with a focus on retesting the completed Interim Coin Rally at 62600 and potential extensions to the Mean Resistance levels of 65500 and 68500, respectively.
Palo Alto (PANW): A Golden Pocket OpportunityPalo Alto's chart is looking particularly promising in a market where many stocks seem to be constantly soaring. These defined ranges present a strong trading opportunity, which we're closely monitoring. It appears that Palo Alto has completed its Wave (3) and is now in the midst of Wave (4). We anticipate that Wave (4) will conclude within the 38.2% to 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels, providing a potential entry point.
The golden pocket around the 61.8% level is particularly intriguing, though we haven't highlighted the 50% retracement as it doesn’t align with key support levels. We see two potential scenarios for Palo Alto: a correction to the 38.2% level, meeting the support zone around $249, or a deeper retracement into the broader support area and golden pocket between $191 and $160.
If we take a long position at the first support zone, we would likely move the stop loss quickly to secure the position, with plans to add to our position if the price drops further into the lower support range. For now, we're waiting on the sidelines, keeping a close watch on the upcoming earnings call. If it brings any significant news, we’ll outline our strategy for PANW.
Cisco (CSCO): Ready for a Post-Earnings Drop?As we approach Cisco's earnings report, it's time for another pre-earnings analysis. We're examining both the higher time frame and then zooming in for a closer look. On the higher time frame (Daily), Cisco is following a nearly perfect trend channel. While a retest of the lower range of this trend channel seems the most probable, I suspect that the price could breach this level and wick into our target zone between $38 and $32.
If this scenario unfolds as anticipated, it could present a great opportunity to take a long position in Cisco, potentially holding into 2025 for more significant gains.
The bearish outlook is further supported by a shoulder-head-shoulder formation that has caught our eye. Although we typically don't trade based on these formations, this one is hard to ignore. Ideally, we'd see a breach below the lower trend channel range, followed by a retest, and then a sell-off into our target zone.
We're watching closely for the first signs of movement following Wednesday's earnings report.
UBS (UBSG): Too Big to Fail?Remember this analysis from over four months ago? We didn't place a limit order at that time (which is why it's greyed out), but if you followed our setup during the livestream back then, congratulations! The chart reacted beautifully at the desired level, just as we anticipated.
In my opinion, this is a great-looking chart, showing a strong reaction at a key level. I'm now looking for some long plays on UBS to gain some exposure to the Swiss market. UBS is a relatively safe stock, which is a good thing to have during phases of uncertainty.
The worst-case scenario would be a banking crash, but we believe UBS is still too big to fail. As long as it maintains this status, we like it. I'll send out a limit order once I find a good setup. For now, I wouldn't recommend any FOMO into this stock, as it could be a dead cat bounce, but we'll closely monitor it for you.
EURUSD 1D1D - On the daily timeframe, a large FVG (Fair Value Gap) has formed, and it will take at least another week to work through it. Simply put, we are in an MS Range, where the price is likely to react from the boundaries and eventually move higher. The scenario would be invalidated if the price consolidates below 1.076.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Aug 9, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The S&P 500 Index displayed severe downward movement during the current week's trading session as we blasted through Key Sup 5238 and completed our long-time flagged target, Inner Index Dip 5131. The resilient rebound occurs, and the current market price action rests at Mean Res 5345. The likelihood of interim downward pressure toward the Mean Support at 5280 exists before the index resumes its upward trajectory. However, the prevailing price action suggests a sustained uptrend toward the Inner Interim Index Rally 5443, possibly extending to Mean Res 5525. However, these attained targets are likely to exert downward pressure.
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Aug 9, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The Eurodollar demonstrated consistent upward momentum during this week's trading session, reaching our Mean Resistance level of 1.094 and retesting the completed Inner Currency Rally at 1.094. The substantial breakthrough of these targets resulted in establishing a new Mean Resistance at 1.099 and a complete Inner Currency Rally at 1.100. The prevailing analysis indicates a sustained downward trajectory toward a critical Mean Support level of 1.089. The breach of this significant target may prompt rapid downward movements, potentially extending to target the subsequent Mean Support level of 1.079.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Aug 9, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Bitcoin encountered a substantial decline during this week's trading session, reaching Mean Support 55800 and Key Support 53800, and subsequently retesting completed Outer Coin Dip 54000. The considerable selling pressure finalized Outer Coin Dip 51000 and major Key Support 50700. The overall upward trend remains ongoing, leading to the establishment of a new Mean Resistance 61700 and the completion of the Interim Coin Rally 62600. The potential extension towards Mean Resistance 65500 and 68500 holds significant promise for the forthcoming week's sessions. The likelihood of temporary downward pressure toward the Mean Support at 57400 exists before the coin resumes its upward trajectory.
GBPUSDLast day of the week, the truth is it has been a very beautiful week despite the difficulty, today Friday presents a very interesting day since it is the end of the week and there is always interesting movement, we also have a high impact news in the Canadian currency at 1:30 p.m. London time which can give a strong movement, since it indirectly affects the American currency and therefore our pair, so we will be aware of what the price presents. This morning I bring you two scenarios that present the price at this moment depending on how its movement reacts in one way or another. Remember that we react to what the price tells us we do not predict anything we are not witches hehehe have a great day trader a hug and greetings from your.
HanderBanksFX service
ITDCEM Going 2 Break All Time High With Huge Positive NumbersNSE:ITDCEM
Over 90 years of rich industry experience
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Company is expected to give good quarter,
Company has delivered good profit growth of 26.4% CAGR over last 5 years
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Amongst the leading infrastructure & construction company in Thailand
for over 60 years.
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Received ‘The Royal Seal of Garuda’ in 1985 - Highest and most
honorable achievement for civilian companies in Thailand
Global presence in India, Bangladesh, Lao PDR, the Philippines,
Vietnam, Africa etc.
Access to the latest technology and know-how, international design and
engineering as well as skilled personnel to augment our local strength.
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MULTI YEAR REVENUE VISIBILITY ORDERBOOK OF RS 18,536 CRORE.
• Secured orders worth over Rs 1,053 crore in Q1 FY25.
• Clientele comprises of Government (48%), PSU (17%) and Private Sector (35%).
• Established presence in India with 13 states / 1 union territory and is currently executing project in Sri Lanka and Bangladesh
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Major Projects under execution worth of Rs 6,401 crore.
Marine project in Bangladesh.
West Container Terminal in the Port of Colombo, Sri Lanka.
Balance Outer Harbour Works in Andhra Pradesh.
Piers, Landside Tunnels & Building in Karwar, Karnataka.
Udangudi project in Tamil Nadu.
Wharf and Approach trestle works at JNPT in Maharashtra.
Captive Oil Jetty at Kamarajar Port in Tamil Nadu.
Third Berth (Jetty) at Dahej LNG Terminal in Gujarat
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Major Projects under execution worth of Rs 3,936 crore.
Underground tunneling and stations for metros in Chennai, Bengaluru, Mumbai and Kolkata.
Elevated metro stations and buildings in Kolkata
Depot metro building in Surat
Modification & Refurbishment of terminal buildings in Ahmedabad airport
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Major Projects under execution worth of Rs 2,717 crore
Six laning road project in Uttar Pradesh
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Major Projects under execution worth of Rs 2,341 crore
Redevelopment of Residential colony at
Kasturba Nagar in New Delhi.
Circuit bench of Calcutta High Court at Jalpaiguri in West
Bengal.
Thal Sena Bhawan in Delhi.
Aerospace museum at AF station in Palam, Delhi.
Piling and Civil work for Coke Oven Project at
Hazira plant in Gujarat.
Construction of buildings for Sikkim University
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Major Projects under execution worth of Rs 2,120 crore
Railway tunnels in West Bengal and Sikkim.
Civil & Hydro-Mechanical Works of 500 MW Hydel Power, Pumped Storage Project in Andhra Pradesh.
Water conveyor system of lined gravity canal/tunnels in Telangana