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Super Micro Computer (SMCI): Is This the Greatest Comeback?Could this truly be the greatest comeback of 2024 & 2025? The decision for NASDAQ:SMCI is imminent, and it’s crucial to remain open to all potential scenarios. Over the past month, NASDAQ:SMCI has risen by an impressive 83% and is now trading just below a significant resistance level. Flipping this resistance would mark the first shift from a bearish to a bullish structure since the beginning of the decline. Such a reclaim would also indicate a remarkable V-shaped correction, which holds substantial significance on the weekly chart. It’s likely that NASDAQ:SMCI may experience a slight pullback this week to accumulate more buying momentum before pushing above the $50 mark. However, the stock must not fall below $25, as this remains the Point of Control (POC) since 2022—a critical level that must be respected to maintain the bullish potential.
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by freeguy_by_wmc
Alibaba (BABA): Stimulus Hopes Fade, Correction Ahead?We secured solid profits on NYSE:BABA , with a significant rejection at the breakout gap. The stock is now under pressure, facing potential headwinds due to Donald Trump’s presidency and his proposed tariffs. While Chinese stocks surged recently, driven by Beijing’s increased rhetoric around stimulus ahead of a key policymakers’ meeting, the lack of any immediate announcements until March’s National People’s Congress may dampen sentiment. Despite NYSE:BABA dropping pre-market and likely throughout the week, our strategy remains unchanged. With partial profits taken and the stop-loss at break-even, we are not exposed to unnecessary risk. As long as NYSE:BABA continues trading above $82, the position remains stable unless major news changes the outlook.
NYSE:BABALong
by freeguy_by_wmc
The Russell 2000 has just bottomed! Here's WhyAMEX:IWM CAPITALCOM:RTY AMEX:TNA 🤏🧢 Here I am, standing before you again, putting my name on the line and going against the GRAIN and telling you I believe we just bottomed on the AMEX:IWM The Russell 2000 is front-running this pullback and we are about to see a bounce next week and BIG push into year end! Here's WHY 👇 Before we take a look under the hood of the car lets talk about the weekly chart. Everything is still good: H5 Indicator is GREEN, Williams Consolidation Box is thriving, and we are on the volume shelf. Now lets take a look under the hood at the daily chart. 👇 Daily Chart Analysis: -Most important we are at the bottom of our Wr% Range and at the Green support bounce zone. As you can see every time we've been here over the last three months we've bounced for an average of 9%. -We broke down through our first level at $238 and are right at what I believe to be the final boss before we have our move higher. Why? Simple $234.66 is the previous ATH dated back to the end of 2021. So, I'm coming at you for the 100th time so it's engrained in your brain: A break of prior RESISTANCE needs a retest in order to FLIP it into SUPPORT. This is what I believe we are doing at this time at the second level of right under $235ish. -You may be asking yourself well how come we don't go down to the $228 level. Great question, it could happen but I don't believe it's a strong probability for the reasons laid out above and the fact that we've already flipped that area from resistance to support. Also, we would be caught up in a Anchored volume profile GAP that measures down to $220 and I don't believe we are at that level of a crash instead of a pullback...yet! -Speaking of Anchored Volume Profile Shelves we are currently holding on to this one even at the Level 2 support area. -As I always say we could Lit grab/ flash crash down to the weekly 9ema that sits right around $232 before we fake out to the down side and push back higher towards ATH into year end. In summary, I believe the AMEX:IWM has just bottomed and we’re poised for a bounce next week with a strong push into year-end. The Russell 2000 is leading this pullback, and both weekly and daily charts show positive indicators. With our H5 Indicator green and strong support levels holding, we’re ready to break higher. 🔜🎯$259 🎯$306 Not financial advice.
AMEX:IWMLong
by RonnieV29
9
Called the DIP BUY Perfectly, Now we march back to $49+C3.AI - NYSE:AI 🤖 We had a large 16% move higher after earnings yesterday to now 8% down. Lets talk about why and some levels I'm looking at. First, the H5 and Williams Consolidation Box strategies are still intact and no reason to fret. I'm not making the same mistake after we saw this same volatility after NASDAQ:SOUN earnings. Second, I believe the move is based on analysts combining to keep this stocks price targets to sub $30 while it's currently high $30's low $40's last few weeks. I believe this could be a fake out and pullback entry point for Wall Street to enter just as they did on Sound Hound AI. Could be destroying short term options as well as we see on most earnings calls. Finally, I believe we are going to continue higher after some volatility today and this week. They honestly had great earnings with a double beat and raise on guidance. While speaking more on their great new NASDAQ:MSFT partnership. As you can see on the chart the yellow dotted line is the current pre-market price at $38ish which puts it right at previous support and resistance levels dating back to 2022 and keeps it on the volume shelf. With the H5 and WCB being intact while we are at a key support area I'm going to be a buyer here. The white box on the chart below is the buy box according to the factors outlined above. Buy Box: $36-$39 🎯🔜$47 🎯$49 🎯$58 Not financial advice.
NYSE:AILong
by RonnieV29
15
$NVTS - The Next High Five Trade! 300% UPSIDE!!!🚀 The Next H5 Trade 🚀 Navitas Semiconductor - NASDAQ:NVTS 💾 -Falling Wedge Currently Breaking Out! -H5 Indicator is Green and Giving a BUY Signal -Williams R% needs to create support and it's Williams Consolidation Box. I'm thinking we get a big push up to $3.50 - $4 before pulling back to retest the falling wedge breakout and continue higher. -Launching off of a massive Volume Shelf with a large GAP to $4.65 -500M Mkt Cap Name (High Risk / High Reward) -Any partnerships or big news out of this name with Semi's spinning back up the Gain Train then this name won't be hard to EXPLODE higher with it being a small cap. 🎯$4.65 🎯 $8.47 📏 $11.17 ⏳ Before APR 2026 Thank you for all the love 50 was tough for a Monday morning, I really appreciate all of you! Not Financial Advice
NASDAQ:NVTSLong
by RonnieV29
36
Workday is working up to something special! 58% UpsideWorkday - NASDAQ:WDAY We have a falling wedge breakout with a successful retest pushing into a Multi-Year Cup&Handle breakout! We have a great catalyst as well. They've just been added to the S&P500 AMEX:SPY , which sent this stock to $287.26 after hours on Friday. With that move we most likely break above the -20 area on the Williams R% and start to form our Williams Consolidation Box. H5 Indicator is green and we are launching off the AVP shelf into ATH's territory. Will look for a pullback this week in order to enter, targeting previous resistance to turn into support at $265-$275 area. 🎯$310 🎯$490 Multi-year timeframe but will get there much faster IMO. NFA
NASDAQ:WDAYLong
by RonnieV29
4
Investing in Cybersecurity: PANW vs CRWD vs FTNT◉ Abstract The cybersecurity landscape is rapidly evolving, with emerging threats and innovative solutions driving growth in the industry. This article examines the competitive dynamics between three leading cybersecurity stocks: Palo Alto Networks (PANW), CrowdStrike (CRWD), and Fortinet (FTNT). As these companies sprint to become the top cybersecurity provider, we analyse their strengths, weaknesses, and strategies for success. ◉ Global Cybersecurity Market Overview The global cybersecurity market has experienced significant growth and is projected to continue expanding in the coming years. As of 2023, the market was valued at approximately USD 192.4 billion and is expected to reach between USD 501 billion and USD 608 billion by 2033, with compound annual growth rates (CAGR) ranging from 9% to 12% depending on the source and forecast period considered. ◉ Growth Drivers 1. Increasing Cyber Threats: The frequency and sophistication of cyber-attacks, including ransomware and data breaches, are rising, prompting organizations to enhance their security measures. 2. Digital Transformation: The rapid adoption of digital technologies, such as cloud computing and the Internet of Things (IoT), expands the attack surface and necessitates robust cybersecurity solutions. 3. Regulatory Compliance: Stricter regulations regarding data protection, like GDPR and CCPA, compel organizations to invest in cybersecurity to ensure compliance and protect sensitive information. 4. Proliferation of Smart Devices: The increasing use of connected devices in homes and industries creates more entry points for cyber threats, driving demand for advanced security solutions. 5. E-commerce Growth: The rise in online transactions increases the need for secure payment systems and data protection, further fuelling the cybersecurity market. Remote Work Trends: The shift towards remote work has heightened the need for secure remote access solutions to protect organizational data from cyber threats. ◉ Regional Insights ● North America: This region dominates the global cybersecurity market, accounting for over 36% of the market share. The presence of major tech firms and a high incidence of cyber threats contribute to its leadership position. ● Europe: The European market is also growing rapidly due to increased digital transformation efforts and regulatory pressures that emphasize data security. ● Asia-Pacific: Expected to exhibit the fastest growth rate during the forecast period, driven by industrialization, rising internet penetration, and awareness of cybersecurity risks. ◉ Major Players in the Cybersecurity Market 1. Palo Alto Networks NASDAQ:PANW - $132.7 B 2. CrowdStrike Holdings NASDAQ:CRWD - $89.7 B 3. Fortinet NASDAQ:FTNT - $75.26 B In this comparative analysis we are focused to provide a detailed understanding of the competitive dynamics of three cybersecurity giants: Palo Alto Networks, CrowdStrike Holdings, and Fortinet. ◉ Company Overviews ● Palo Alto Networks Palo Alto Networks, Inc. is a leading provider of cybersecurity solutions worldwide. The company offers a range of products and services, including network security platforms, cloud security solutions, security operation solutions, subscription services, and professional services. Headquartered in Santa Clara, California, Palo Alto Networks was incorporated in 2005 and has since become a trusted partner for organizations seeking to protect themselves from cyber threats. ● CrowdStrike Holdings CrowdStrike provides cloud-delivered cybersecurity solutions, offering endpoint, cloud workload, identity, and data protection. Its Falcon platform provides various security services, including threat intelligence, vulnerability management, and AI-powered workflow automation. Headquartered in Austin, Texas, CrowdStrike was incorporated in 2011. ● Fortinet Fortinet, Inc. was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Sunnyvale, California. The company provides comprehensive cybersecurity and converged networking and security solutions worldwide. Its offerings include secure networking solutions, network firewall solutions, wireless LAN solutions, and secure connectivity solutions. Additionally, Fortinet provides Unified SASE solutions, security operations solutions, and a range of security services and support. The company serves a diverse customer base, including enterprises, service providers, governments, and small and medium-sized businesses. ◉ Strategic Growth Initiatives of Leading Cybersecurity Players ● Palo Alto Networks 1. Platformization: Transitioning from a traditional firewall vendor to a comprehensive cybersecurity platform provider, offering a wider range of security solutions. 2. Next-Generation Security: Continuing to deliver advanced security solutions to address evolving cyber threats. ● CrowdStrike 1. Innovation: Leveraging AI-powered capabilities to enhance the Falcon platform and maintain a competitive edge in the cybersecurity market. 2. Expansion: Expanding into adjacent markets, such as cloud security and identity protection, to broaden its customer base and product offerings. ● Fortinet 1. "Rule of 45" Framework: Adhering to the "Rule of 45" framework to balance revenue growth with profitability, ensuring a sustainable business model. 2. Product Refresh Cycle: Implementing a strategic product refresh cycle to drive upgrade activity among existing customers and stimulate revenue growth. ◉ Technical Standings ● Palo Alto Networks ➖ The stock has been on a strong upward trajectory, marked by a consistent pattern of higher highs and higher lows. ➖ Following a significant breakout last month, it is currently trading at an all-time high, with expectations for further increases. ● CrowdStrike Holdings ➖ In general, this stock is trending upward, although it has faced considerable price volatility over an extended period. ➖ After reaching an all-time high close to the 400 mark, it underwent a sharp correction. However, the stock is now climbing again and nearing its previous peak. ● Fortinet ➖ This stock had undergone a lengthy consolidation phase lasting nearly three years, resulting in the development of a Broadening pattern. ➖ After a recent breakout, the price is now targeting new highs. ◉ Relative Strength ➖ The chart clearly demonstrates Fortinet's exceptional performance, showcasing an impressive return of nearly 88%. In comparison, Mastercard and Visa have generated returns of 53% and 41%, respectively. ◉ Revenue & Profit Analysis ● Palo Alto Networks ◾ Year-over-Year ➖ In FY24, Palo Alto Networks (PANW) celebrated an impressive revenue surge of 16.5%, achieving $8,027 million, a notable increase from $6,893 million in FY23. ➖ The EBITDA for FY24 also experienced a substantial boost, reaching $1,094 million, up from $590 million in FY23. ◾ Quarter-over-Quarter ➖ In the most recent October quarter, PANW reported revenues of $2,139 million, a slight dip from the $2,190 million recorded in July 2024. However, this still represents a year-over-year growth of nearly 14% from $1,878 million in the same quarter last year. ➖ The company also reported its highest-ever EBITDA of $413 million in October, an increase from $314 million in July 2024. Compared to the same quarter last year, this figure has risen by almost 20% from $279.5 million. ➖ In October, the diluted EPS rose to $7.69 (LTM), up from $7.28 (LTM) in July 2024, marking an extraordinary year-over-year increase of 333% from $1.78 (LTM). ● CrowdStrike ◾ Year-over-Year ➖ CrowdStrike (CRWD) saw a robust revenue growth of 36.3% in FY23, reaching $3,055 million, up from $2,241 million in FY22. ➖ Conversely, the EBITDA for FY24 has seen a decline, reporting $106 million, down from $118 million in FY23. ◾ Quarter-over-Quarter ➖ In the latest October quarter, CRWD's revenue rose to $1,010 million, compared to $964 million in July 2024. This reflects a year-over-year increase of nearly 28.5% from $786 million in the same quarter last year. ➖ The EBITDA for the most recent June quarter was $15.3 million, showing a significant drop from $52.4 million in July 2024. ➖ In October, the diluted EPS decreased to $0.51 (LTM), down from $0.69 (LTM) in July 2024. ● Fortinet ◾ Year-over-Year ➖ In fiscal year 2023, Fortinet reported a remarkable revenue increase of 20%, reaching $5,304 million, up from $4,417 million in fiscal year 2022. ➖ The EBITDA also saw a significant rise, with the 2023 fiscal year totaling $1,350 million, compared to $1,070 million the previous year. ◾ Quarter-over-Quarter ➖ In the latest September quarter, revenue continued to grow, hitting $1,508 million, an increase from $1,434 million in June 2024. This represents a substantial year-over-year growth of nearly 13% from $1,335 million. ➖ Furthermore, EBITDA for the September quarter neared $500 million, up from $465 million in the prior quarter, reflecting an impressive increase of nearly 51% from $330 million in the same quarter last year. ➖ The diluted earnings per share (EPS) also saw a significant increase in September, rising to $0.7 (LTM) from $0.5 (LTM) in June 2024, marking a notable jump of 70% compared to $0.41 (LTM) in the same quarter last year. ◉ Valuation ● P/E Ratio ➖ PANW stands at a P/E ratio of 48.6x. ➖ CRWD is at a P/E ratio of 707.9x. ➖ FTNT shows a P/E ratio of 49.2x. ◾ These numbers indicate that CRWD is considerably overvalued when compared to its competitors. ● P/B Ratio ➖ PANW's P/B ratio stands at 22.5x. ➖ CRWD's P/B ratio is 29.3x. ➖ On the other hand, FTNT's P/B ratio is significantly higher at 82.9x. ◾ FTNT's high P/B ratio may indicate overvaluation, but its asset-light business model reduces the significance of this metric. ● PEG Ratio ➖ PANW boasts a PEG ratio of 0.14. ➖ CRWD's PEG ratio is recorded at 0.66. ➖ FTNT, meanwhile, has a PEG ratio of 1.26. ◾ Analyzing the PEG ratios reveals that PANW is currently undervalued relative to its peers. ◉ Cash Flow Analysis ➖ PANW has achieved an impressive operating cash flow of $3,257 million for the fiscal year 2024, a substantial rise from $2,777 million in fiscal year 2023. ➖ In a similar vein, CRWD has also seen a positive trend in its operating cash flow, which has climbed to $1,166 million in fiscal year 2024, compared to $941 million the year before. ➖ Furthermore, FTNT has reported a remarkable increase in its operating cash flow, growing from $1,730 million in fiscal year 2022 to $1,935 million in fiscal year 2023. ◉ Debt Analysis ● Palo Alto Networks ➖ Debt to Equity Ratio: Approximately 0.1 as of October 2024, indicating a stable financial structure. ➖ Total Debt: About $645 million. ➖ Total Shareholder Equity: $5,911 million. ◾ PANW's ratio reflects a cautious debt approach, balancing equity and debt financing, with net debt well-supported by operating cash flow, enhancing financial stability. ● CrowdStrike ➖ Debt to Equity Ratio: Approximately 0.24. ➖ Total Debt: $743 million. ➖ Total Shareholder Equity: $3,096 million. ◾ CRWD's ratio suggests a thoughtful strategy regarding debt, maintaining a balance between equity and debt financing. ● Fortinet ➖ Debt to Equity Ratio: Approximately 1.1, indicating a significant level of debt relative to equity. ➖ Total Debt: $993 million. ➖ Total Shareholder Equity: $908 million. ◾ FTNT’s ratio shows a considerable reliance on debt financing, which can facilitate growth but also introduces risks related to interest obligations. ◉ Top Shareholders ● Palo Alto Networks ➖ The Vanguard Group has significantly increased its investment in Palo Alto Networks, now holding an impressive 9.13% stake, which marks a 1.53% rise from the last quarter. ➖ In comparison, Blackrock holds a notable 7.65% share in the company. ● CrowdStrike ➖ Turning to CrowdStrike, The Vanguard Group has also enhanced its position, elevating its ownership to an impressive 8.76%, reflecting a 1.84% increase since the previous quarter. ➖ Conversely, Blackrock possesses a considerable 7.35% stake. ● Fortinet ➖ Regarding Fortinet, The Vanguard Group commands a substantial 8.79% share in the firm. ➖ In contrast, Blackrock holds a 7.44% stake. ◉ Conclusion After conducting an exhaustive analysis of the major players in the cybersecurity sector, which included an in-depth look at both technical features and financial reports, we have determined that although Palo Alto Networks (PANW) might seem more appealing in terms of valuation, Fortinet (FTNT) stands out as the leading candidate in the industry due to its solid financials. Although concerns about debt exist, the company's strong cash reserves mitigate these worries significantly. On the other hand, CrowdStrike (CRWD) has faced a recent setback with an outage that has shaken investor trust, leading to a decline in its stock price and rendering it a less favourable investment option for the foreseeable future. Moreover, the cybersecurity sector is set to grow significantly due to rising cyber threats, fast-paced technology changes, and stricter regulations. Investors are advised to conduct thorough research, define clear investment goals, and maintain a long-term outlook to take advantage of this growth while minimizing risks.
NASDAQ:PANWLong
by NaranjCapital
12
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Dec 6, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: The Eurodollar has demonstrated strong upward momentum during this week's trading session. It retreated to our designated support level, Mean Support at 1.049. Then, it bounced back vigorously to retest the significant resistance level, Mean Resistance, marked at 1.060, which was reached in the previous week's price action. The Eurodollar appears poised to move toward the target value of Inner Currency Rally 1.072 after surpassing the critical resistance level at 1.060. However, it is essential to note that the Eurodollar may retest the support level at 1.049 before continuing its upward trend.
by TradeSelecter
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Dec 6, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: Bitcoin displayed substantial volatility during this week’s trading sessions, reaching our Mean Support level of 91800 and completing our Inner Coin Rally of 103600. Currently, the threshold for Bitcoin is established at Mean Support 96000, with the completion of the Inner Coin Rally 103600 now noted. Recent analyses indicate that the cryptocurrency will likely surpass the completed Inner Coin Rally 103600, which may rekindle its upward trajectory towards the anticipated Outer #1 Coin Rally 110000 and beyond. The possible pullback to Mean Support 96000 will effectively position the market for the next phase of a bullish trend.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradeSelecter
QQQ & the market are heading higher! BULL RUN CONTINUATION! NASDAQ:QQQ and the overall markets are heading higher based on our High Five Setup Trading Strategy and what the charts are telling us! - Ascending triangle breakout_retest_next is higher. This was a tricky one as we broke out and over shot the rest area but we are now back above the breakout area and set for ATH push this upcoming thanksgiving week IMO. - Dropped down to our support zone and caught a bid as we anticipated due to AVP shelf and the 9ema. - Williams R% needed that pullback last week, and now we have a retest of support and a bounce higher in our consolidation box. Giving us a strong signal we will build on the week we just had and head towards ATH's once more. Measure move for the Ascending Triangle is: $560 Measure Timeframe is: March2025 For everyone that is calling a TOP across social medias. I say NO SIR! The charts DON'T LIE! NFA
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by RonnieV29
Nasdaq100 ETF - $QQQ - LET ME TALK TO YA!Nasdaq100 ETF - NASDAQ:QQQ - LET ME TALK TO YA! 🗣️ The charts know better than any FUD FURU just using whatever data to get their point across (metrics, valuation data, economic data, and valuation formulas). Unless you can get everyone on this planet to align to include the charts you or me don't know what this market will do at the end of the day/week/month/year! Now that we got that out of the way as a follow up to all the fear spreading top callers, lets talk about the charts! Just like with NASDAQ:AMZN we need to give room for retests, we had an ascending triangle, our H5 Indicator stayed green and so we gave the candlestick and ascending triangle pattern retest some wiggle room! Thus allowing for the bounce off the H5/ 9Ema and breaking back out over top of the pattern which is HIGHLY BULLISH as we have a successful retest now. I expect to claw back to ATH's now very soon! Williams R% is also respecting the consolidation box and uptrend at the same time as seen on the chart. No bullet points just a lot of words and thoughts! Here's a chart too: 🎯$560 🎯$580 NFA
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by RonnieV29
Salesforce - $CRM - Set to FLYSalesforce is primed for a major move higher, and here’s why: 1️⃣ H5 Indicator is GREEN 2️⃣ Hasn't reach bull flag measured move yet 3️⃣ Massive 3-Year Cup-and-Handle Pattern Breakout with a retest. Now NYSE:CRM will move higher! 4️⃣ Wr% consolidation box is thriving 5⃣ All Time High Free Range 🐔 6⃣ Impressive FCF Growth: Driving higher margins and profitability. Intrinsic Value (Fair Value): $419 - 21% higher 🎯 $383 (Aug 2025) 📏 $502 (Before 2028) Are you sold on this H5 Setup? NFA
NYSE:CRMLong
by RonnieV29
15
Your not ready for MARAs next move! 118% Upside🚀 Hold on tight! MARA's Next Move is Coming! 🚀 Get ready for an explosive 118% upside! MARA is showing off a stunning Cup and Handle pattern that's about to break out any moment! And guess what? We've already broken out of a pristine Bull Flag! Here's the breakdown: - H5 Indicator: GREEN and ready for action! - Volume Shelf Launch: With Free Roam Space above. - WR%: Sitting comfortably in the Consolidation Box. 🚩 Bull Flag MM: $50 Cup and Handle MM: $65 This is Not Financial Advice (NFA), but don't say I didn't warn you—buckle up! 🚀
NASDAQ:MARALong
by RonnieV29
4
LINK according to EliotMarket at this moment is showing the perfect story of the Elliot wave wave.. After the outbreak of liquidity on June 13, 2023, the link moved impulsively to its 5 waves. Now we see that the correction took place at 0.61 Fibonacci, which I see as an ABC correction. The only thing I'd like to see at this point is fill the wick on the daily chart or at least half Keep in mind that this is a large market cap and it will take time to realize this. The invalidation of this analysis is a return to the $8 range. Tell me what you think about this analysis and whether you are buying now link?
Long
by learnfromfailure