$IPI Potash Fertilizer Play Fertilizer stocks like this one and MOS are highly cyclical. Fertilizer has taken a beating lately, if things get uglier this stock could get cut in half. If things go okay it could easily double and outperform others in the group like the bigger MOS. IPI could also get bought out any time.
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EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of March 1, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
In this week's trading, the Eurodollar lacked significant price movement, revolving around the Mean Resistance level of 1.085. This means that the currency has been experiencing a period of consolidation with no clear direction. However, based on recent price trends, we expect the Eurodollar to move towards our Mean Support level of 1.077. This may trigger further downward movement, leading to an additional decline.
If the downward movement continues, the Eurodollar could reach the Inner Currency Dip at 1.065, which is the primary target. The Inner Currency Dip 1.065 is where the currency is expected to have the most significant support, and a reversal in trend can often occur. However, this decline will happen gradually, with Mean Support levels at 1.070 and 1.067 as intermediate upside price effects.
It's important to note that various factors, such as economic data releases, political developments, and global events, can influence the Eurodollar's movement.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of March 1, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Bitcoin's price action saw a remarkable surge in the current week, which should not come as a surprise to this audience. After breaking through the completed Outer Coin Rally at 53000, Bitcoin's legit targets were 55000 and 59829, as this would. Bitcoin is setting itself up for the next launch, the Inner Coin Rally at 69000 and the Outer Coin Rally at 81400, which is expected to break records and disappoint those who have dismissed cryptocurrencies.
However, a pullback to the Mean Sup at the 60400 price is a transient dip before the next rally. Nevertheless, the overall outlook for Bitcoin remains promising as it continues to attract more investors and gain wider acceptance. Therefore, it is crucial to keep a close eye on Bitcoin's price movements and market trends.
5PercentTrade Trade Ideas - SHARDA CROP#5PercentTrade #Equity #5%Profit_Trade_in_21_Days
Stock Name - NSE:SHARDACROP
Launching our next service of Equity Investment which is designed to give you 5% to 10% return in lest than 21 days via #Equity #Investment.
Trade Process :-
✅ - Buy only at Buy Level as recommended in the chart. Use GTT feature available with all online brokers.
✅ - On successful purchase, immediately create a SL GTT (Stop Loss level asper chart).
✅ - Once Stock Price is at Target 1 level, move your SL to Cost Price or 3% down from Target 1.
✅ - Keep Trailing the SL as Stock Price moves to next Targets.
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Suryoday Small Fin Bank - Swing and Mid Term Investment PickThe stock is in up trend in Monthly , weekly.
The Weekly and Monthly RSI are fantastic, just moving above 60 on the way after touching the lower band at 40.
The weekly has given a multi year breakout, has just broken the supply range at 190.
I would consider an entry at 188 zone - Retest and look for 225 as swing trade target . 25 %
For an Investment, I would consider a 1:2 Risk reward , SL at 145 level - weekly closing basis, Target at 280. I consider trailing my investment profits at each level with an exit if closing below 20% from any level.
JAGRAN - Swing trade opportunity 20 % ROI1)The stock is in uptrend in Monthly and weekly time frames.
2)It is in strong consolidation for about 6 months, the stock looks poised for an up move within the zone.
3)The consolidation is happening at 5 year old resistance zone.
4) The upside possible is confirmed through price action, supportive RSI.
Once the stock takes off 121 level, then one can look for 137, 150 for a Mid Term Target.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Feb 23, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
As indicated on the chart analysis for February 16th, the S&P 500 (Spooz) index shined as expected and reached a new high, surpassing all resistance and index rallies, including Key Resistance at 5029, Outer Index Rally at 5035, and 5072. However, its current price action is in retreat, and it is entering a pivotal squeeze mode - a period of consolidation where the index is expected to remain within a narrow range or drop significantly lower to take a breather - Time will tell.
The main down price target for the index is Mean Support at 5060, with a possibility of extending to Mean Support at 4950. Once one or both of these levels are accomplished, the index is expected to rebound strongly and continue its journey toward the Outer Index Rally at 5170.
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Feb 23, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
the current week's trading, the Eurodollar has demonstrated remarkable resilience and a keen ability to withstand significant pressure. After initially facing a considerable challenge against our Mean Resistance level at 1.084, the currency has managed to push past it briefly, indicating a bullish trend. However, the bullish run has been short-lived, as the Eurodollar has retreated to its original position, pointing to a potential bearish trend.
Based on recent price action, we anticipate the currency to move towards our Mean Support level at 1.077, which could trigger a further downward slide. If this downward slide occurs, the currency could reach the Inner Currency Dip at 1.065, which will be the primary target. However, this decline may happen gradually, with Mean Support levels at 1.070 and 1.067 acting as intermediate targets.
Overall, the data suggests that the Eurodollar may experience a bearish trend shortly, and traders should consider this while making their investment decisions.
#Kalyani Steel, beautiful cup & handle formation,ready to blast?Although I am not so bullish on Metal sector overall but Kalyani steel has made a beautiful cup & handle/Rounding bottom formation on weekly time frame which got me interested. Also this week Kalyani steel has given all time high weekly close at 471 and if price manage to give 2 close above 472 then upside targets for me would be 1) 574 2) 628 3) 705 4) 849. Once 628 is crossed I will bring my SL either at cost or 574 to mitigate risk. Below 376 it will become weak. Keep eyes on this stock
JSW INFRA - SHORT TERM & LONG TERM SEEMS GOODCan enter at CMP 224
If falls again you need to average at 200 level
Targets - 245,280+
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EMAMI LTD SWING TRADE FOR COMING 3-6 MONTHS1.Bullish Chart Pattern is Forming on Higher TF of Weekly & Monthly
2. Kind Of H&S Pattern is getting structured
3. Currently Trading at Monthly Demand Zone of 450-460
4. Filled a gap on Daily TF
5. Bullish Engulfing on Daily TF with Heavy Volume
6. Fundamentals and company business is intact and showing growth consistently with Profits
7. Share Holding Pattern is also strong among big players & Institutions.
Buy @ 460-465
Stop Loss - 445
Target- 1st- 600 2nd- 700 & 3rd & Final- 900
View Holding For Next 3-9 Months
DILIP BUILDCON - Swing and Short term Idea for a 20% ROI.The stock is in uptrend and consolidation for 2 months, it has given a daily breakout out of the consolidation zone.
The stock may be picked up for a quick swing trade at cmp for a target of 5% - 480.
The stock may be picked for a good short term swing between 420-438 for a target of 573 and trailed to swing top. Shall update confirmation further on price behavior once the retest occurs in the buy area.
RNDR Navigating Virtual Reality Boom with 360% Upside PotentialToday, our focus is on RNDR coin, a potential powerhouse in the long-term landscape. Given the rapid advancements in Virtual Reality technology and the expanding marketplace, RNDR stands poised to play a pivotal role, potentially leading to a meteoric rise in its value over the years. While the long-term outlook is promising, let's delve into the potential price perspectives for the next 3-6 months.
To kick things off, RNDR has solidified a robust uptrend, with each preceding supply area seamlessly transitioning into a demand zone. Notably, RNDRUSDT recently breached the resistance uptrend trendline, signaling an intensified bullish pressure. For the upcoming months, our attention turns to three key resistance levels determined by the Fibonacci retracement indicator.
The initial hurdle, the 361.8% Fibonacci level, could catapult RNDR by an impressive 140%.
The second, more significant challenge lies at the 561.8% Fibonacci level, promising an enormous 250% growth.
The pinnacle of this bullish cycle rests at the 761.8% Fibonacci level, translating to an astounding 360% surge from the latest demand zone.
In summary, RNDR's future appears exceptionally optimistic, and we remain vigilant, closely monitoring this coin's trajectory.
HSBC Day to Investment Conservative Trend TradeConservative Trend trade 7F
+ long balance
+ ICE level
- support level
+ 1/2 correction
+ biggest volume 2Sp+
Calculated affordable virtual stop loss
Take profit:
+ 25% 1/2 R/R
+ 75% T1 of Monthly
Hourly Context
+ long impulse
Daily Context:
+ long impulse
+ 1/2 correction
+ T2 level
+ support level
+ biggest volume 2Sp+
Monthly Context:
+ long impulse
+ SOS level
+ 1/2 correction
+ support level
+ 2Sp- + test"
The most subjective facet of my decision-making systemIn the previous publication I started talking about my decision-making system. I use it when investing in stocks. This system allows me to answer three questions:
- which stocks to choose?
- at what price to make a trade?
- and in what quantity?
In this post, I will continue to answer the question Which stocks to pick? and tell you about another facet of my crystal.
As you can see, my decision-making system is quite formalized. What do I mean? It has clear criteria for which a company must be checked before investing in its stocks. If we go deeper into this idea, we can say that the state of affairs in any public company can be assessed using numbers from its statements and stock exchange prices for its stocks. All this can be visualized, put into a form that is readable for the investor, and accelerate the decision-making process many times over.
However, there is an area with information that hovers around the companies, directly or indirectly influences it, but is poorly formalized: this is News . News can be called a message related to a company and distributed through its website, media, and social networks. This message triggers an almost knee-jerk reaction among stock investors (and traders). They will try to interpret the information received, make a forecast, and in some cases even make a trade. It is for this reason that the moment the news is published is often accompanied by a sharp movement in the stock price and an increase in trading volume. The order book now has a lot more players than before. These are traders excited by the news, confident of what will happen next.
Here I can’t help but recall the allegory about Crazy Mister Market from Benjamin Graham. It presents the market as a partner who is constantly knocking on your door and offering you crazy ideas (stock prices). Where does this mister get his madness from? My answer is simple — from the news. Despite this, I cannot help but pay attention to the news, I cannot help but interpret it, to build predictions in my head. This happens reflexively, as a reaction to boiling water hitting my skin. However, will I make a trade under the influence of this information? We'll talk about this at the end of the post.
Let's find out what news is available and where to find it. In this publication, I will only consider matters relevant to the stock market. That is information that can directly or indirectly affect the state of affairs in the companies. As I work, I divide the news flow into two categories: macro-event and corp-event .
A macro-event is something that can indirectly impact the state of affairs in a company since it impacts the external environment in which it lives.
For example:
1. In the third quarter, US GDP grew by 4.9% year-on-year, which was better than expected (*).
GDP Dynamics are a general economic indicator of economic growth in a particular country. This event only indirectly affects the business of the US companies. In other words, a company can be unprofitable even if the GDP in the country of its business is growing.
(*) In the news, you will often see the following wording:
- better than expected
- worse than expected
- as expected
These are significant clarifications since it is believed that the exchange price already considers expectations for future events. Therefore, the coincidence with expectations will most likely be perceived calmly by market participants. Conversely, price fluctuations can be significant if the news can be qualified as a “surprise”.
2. The EPA is setting rules for a proposed “methane fee” on waste generated by oil and gas companies.
This news also refers to macro events, as it impacts an entire industry: the oil and gas business. Moreover, please note that methane fee is only suggested. That is, it is not at all a fact that it will ultimately be implemented.
Unlike macro events, a corp-event directly affects the state of affairs in the companies. Let's look at some of them.
For example:
3. Hilton's (HLT) 3rd quarter Profit was in line with revenue forecasts.
The news contains information about Hilton's financial results for the 3rd quarter. Of course, this directly impacts investors’ assessment of the company's prospects, and therefore the volume of investment in it.
4. Devastating wildfires have forced California's largest utility, Pacific Gas and Electric Company, to plan the sale of gas assets.
Based on the news headline, we can conclude that the company is considering selling a significant part of its business (since the word “gas” even appears in the company name) to compensate for the damage from the devastating fires. Of course, this directly points to the difficult situation in the companies.
Well, we figured out which news is considered a macro-event and which is a corporate event. Now let's find them where we need to. First, let's look at the event calendars that are available on TradingView. They are convenient because they inform us in advance what event to expect on the date in question.
Let's start with the Economic calendar . You can find it in the main TradingView Products menu (Products -> Economic calendar ). This calendar shows upcoming publications of key macroeconomic indicators such as GDP, interest rate, unemployment, and inflation. It will also reflect national events — for example, presidential elections. Thus, you will only see macro events in it.
Click on globe and select the country you are interested in, a group of countries, or the whole world: this way you will filter events by geography. If you are interested in tracking only important events, there is a special button for this High importance . There is also a three-column importance indicator next to each event. If all are shaded, the event is of maximum importance. You can expand any event, read information about it, view statistics, and even add it to your personal calendar.
In terms of importance, the higher the importance of the event, the stronger the market reaction may be after the information is released. Furthermore, the strength of the reaction will depend on how much reality diverges from expectations for this event (with the forecast). Please note that the current value published is published to the left of the forecast, and the value for the previous period is published to the right. This allows you to evaluate the released metric over time.
So, my standard set of filters for the economic calendar is:
- Geography: all over the world;
- High importance;
- This week;
- All categories.
The economic calendar has been set up. There is another calendar on TradingView: this is Earnings calendar . It is located in the interface for working with Supercharts and, of course, is intended for analyzing corporate events. Once you go to the chart, click on the calendar icon in the menu on the right, and the events panel will open in front of you.
The Earnings calendar will contain the names of the companies, their next reporting date, and analysts' estimates of earnings per share: EPS. In its meaning, this estimate is an average expectation or forecast. Therefore, any strong discrepancy between current data and the forecast value can greatly change the value of the company's stocks. By the way, you can check this simply by clicking on the company's name in the calendar: the window with the stock price chart will update instantly. The released earnings per share value can be viewed both on the chart itself and in the company's information (the top menu button on the right). The current value will be marked with either a red circle (below the forecast) or a green circle (above the forecast). The gray circle indicates the forecast itself.
Calendars are convenient because they present us with the main essence of the news in a compressed, digitized form. The description of such news is not as important as the value of the key indicator. However, if you want to read classic text news about a related company, simply click on the lightning bolt icon on your chart.
You can also find news grouped by asset class, region, news agency, etc. in the main menu of the TradingView site's root page. Of the groups presented, I most often use News Flow to get a general context of what is happening.
Returning to my decision-making system, there is news (let's call it critical ) that can trigger the closure of a position or non-opening of a position in the shares of a particular company, even though the main indicators do not suggest this.
To determine such news, I ask myself three questions:
1. Do I trust this news source?
We are surrounded by many sources of news: social networks, news sites, television, etc. It’s easy to check everyone’s reputation on the Internet. Therefore, to take the news into account, you must trust its source. If you see significant news about a company, but it is not in reputable media resources and/or on the company's website, this is a reason to think whether the source is trying to increase its popularity through a loud headline and unverified content.
2. Does this news describe an accomplished fact?
Even in reputable publications, you can find publications with versions of events, forecasts, and opinions. This is good food for thought. However, when deciding, I constantly try to separate the standpoint from the fact confirmed by a reliable source. Only facts can be considered when deciding.
3. Is an accomplished fact capable of leading the company to bankruptcy?
This is a difficult question that requires an assessment of the company's economic damage, and its comparison with the level of total debt to creditors and current assets. Even if a company is facing bankruptcy, it can be saved by providing assistance from the government or other businesses. Answering this question, I can listen to the opinions of analysts and my intuition. Therefore, this is the most subjective facet of my decision-making system. I just have to tell myself: “Yes, this fact can lead the company to bankruptcy” or vice versa: “No, this news is bad, but it does not pose a critical threat to the business.”
So, if I answer “yes” to all three questions, then I can close a position in the shares of a particular company or not open it, guided simply by my “yes, this should be done.” The fact is that critical news comes out now, and reporting on a specific date in the future: there is a time gap between these events. Therefore, I find myself in a situation where I just need to decide and evaluate it later, in the future, based on published reports. It is similar to flying an airplane that fails during transit. The pilot may not fully understand what happened, but the choice must be made right now. If I answer “no” to any of the three questions, then I continue to use other facets of my “crystal” in standard mode, and leave the news “just for my information.”
In future publications, I will continue to elaborate on my decision-making system and share my approach to choosing the price and quantity of a stock trade.