$NIFTY: Nifty 50 – India’s Market Meltdown or Hidden Gem?(1/9)
Good Morning, folks! ☀️ NSE:NIFTY : Nifty 50 – India’s Market Meltdown or Hidden Gem?
Gift Nifty’s at 22,555, down 65 points, and the index is off 13% since October 2024! Is this a crash landing or a golden ticket in disguise? Let’s unpack the chaos! 🔍
(2/9) – PRICE PERFORMANCE 📊
• Gift Nifty: 22,555, down 65 points (Mar 6, 2025) 💰
• Recent Trend: 13% drop from Oct 2024 highs 📏
• Sector Mood: Autos, real estate dragging, per web reports 🌩️
It’s a bumpy ride, but bargains might be brewing! 🔧
(3/9) – MARKET POSITION 📈
• Index Weight: 50 top Indian firms, 65% of NSE market cap 🏅
• Scope: Spans 13 sectors, from banks to tech ⏳
• Trend: Bearish streak persists, down 13% since Oct 🎯
Still a heavyweight, but feeling the squeeze! 🌐
(4/9) – KEY DEVELOPMENTS 🔑
• Earnings Slowdown: Growth at 5%, down from 20%+ 🔄
• Macro Woes: U.S. tariffs, trade tensions spook investors 🌍
• Market Vibe: Gift Nifty signals a sour start 📋
Tough times, but sectors might shine through! 💡
(5/9) – RISKS IN FOCUS ⚡
• Geopolitics: U.S. tariff threats hit exports 🔍
• Sector Slump: Autos, real estate under pressure 📉
• Volatility: Bearish trend grips tight 🌪️
Rough waters ahead, but storms pass! 🛡️
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS 💪
• Diversity: 13 sectors, broad economic play 🏆
• Scale: Tracks India’s biggest players 📈
• Value: Potentially undervalued, per web buzz 🔩
A battered champ with fight left! 💼
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES ⚖️
• Weaknesses: 5% earnings growth, macro drag 📉
• Opportunities: Sector plays in banks, tech shine 📈
Can it dodge the punches and rally? 🤔
(8/9) – 📢Nifty at 22,555 (Gift), down 13%—your call? 🗳️
• Bullish: $24K soon, undervalued steal 🦬
• Neutral: Flatline, risks offset ⚖️
• Bearish: $20K next, bears rule 🐻
Vote below! 👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY 🎯
Nifty’s 13% slide and $116 Gift price signal trouble 📉, but undervalued sectors tease upside 🌱. Volatility’s our mate—dips are DCA fuel 🔥. Buy low, aim high! Hit or miss?
Investing
$TSLA worst 4 years are ahead us under president Trump? - What biden couldn't done would be done under $TRUMP.
- NASDAQ:TSLA has always traded at a premium devoid of any fundamentals.
- NASDAQ:TSLA cars are ugly looking cars as compared to NYSE:BYD and $RIVN. It's technology is great but you are basically buying a cheap build quality cars.
- Everyone thought that Trumpn <-> Elon parternship will be great for $TSLA. But my hunch is it will be bad for NASDAQ:TSLA shareholders. Elon's association with Trump will drag the NASDAQ:TSLA shares down and always in the limelight.
- Most elite investors are often leftist and might want to distance with trump and elon.
Fundamentally,
Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028
EPS | 2.90 | 3.85 | 4.96. | 6.40
EPS growth% | 18.02% | 32.82% | 28.87% | 29.12%
Fair forward p/e for a company growing EPS 20%+ with a moat is ~ 30
Fair stock value:
Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028
Stock price ( base case p/e = 30) | $87 | $115 | $148 | $192 |
Stock price (bear case p/e = 20 ) | $58 | $77 | $99 | $128 |
Stock Price ( bull case p/e = 50 ) | $150 | $192 | $248 | $320 |
- Bulltard + Elon musk premium p/e if ELON divorces with Trump = 100
Stock price ( p/e = 100 ) | $290 | $385 | $496 | $640
$MDB: MongoDB Inc. – Data Dynamo or Overreaction Bust?(1/9)
Good evening, tech fiends! 🌙 NASDAQ:MDB : MongoDB Inc. – Data Dynamo or Overreaction Bust?
MongoDB’s Q4 crushed it with $548.4M revenue, but a soft FY2026 outlook tanked the stock. Is this a market meltdown or a golden buy? Let’s unpack the chaos! 🔍
(2/9) – PRICE PERFORMANCE 📊
• Q4 FY2025: Revenue hit $548.4M, up 20% YoY 💰
• Earnings: EPS $1.28 smashed $0.66 estimate 📏
• Context: Stock dropped 16-20% post-guidance 🌟
It’s a rollercoaster—strong now, shaky later! ⚡
(3/9) – MARKET POSITION 📈
• Market Cap: No exact price today, but historically robust 🏆
• Core: MongoDB Atlas, 71% of revenue, up 24% YoY ⏰
• Trend: AI data demand’s sizzling, per market buzz 🎯
A leader in the database jungle! 🌐
(4/9) – KEY DEVELOPMENTS 🔑
• Earnings Beat: Q4 topped forecasts, Mar 5 release 🔄
• Guidance Flop: FY2026 revenue at $2.24-$2.28B, below $2.32B 🌍
• Bonus: Snagged Voyage AI for $220M, boosting AI play 📋
Thriving, yet spooked the herd! 🌈
(5/9) – RISKS IN FOCUS ⚡
• Guidance Woes: Non-Atlas demand fading 🔍
• Market Jitters: 16-20% after-hours plunge 📉
• Rivals: Cloud giants eyeing database turf ❄️
Rough seas, but storms pass! 🌧️
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS 💪
• Q4 Power: $548.4M revenue, $1.28 EPS 🥇
• Atlas Surge: 24% growth, debt-free balance 📊
• AI Edge: Voyage AI buy fuels future 🔥
A beast with brains and brawn! 🏋️♂️
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES ⚖️
• Weaknesses: FY2026 growth dips to 12.6% 📉
• Opportunities: AI boom, Voyage AI integration 📈
Can it turn panic into profit? 🧐
(8/9) – 📢MongoDB’s Q4 rocked, but guidance flopped—your vibe? 🗳️
• Bullish: Rebound to glory soon 🦅
• Neutral: Holding steady, wait it out ⚖️
• Bearish: More pain ahead, sell off 🐾
Drop your take below! 👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY 🎯
MongoDB’s Q4 flexes muscle at $548.4M 📈, but FY2026 gloom spooked the market 🌫️. Dips are our playground—DCA treasure awaits 💎. Snag ‘em cheap, rise like legends! Hit or miss?
Effective inefficiencyStop-Loss. This combination of words sounds like a magic spell for impatient investors. It's really challenging to watch your account get smaller and smaller. That's why people came up with this magic amulet. Go to the market, don't be afraid, just put it on. Let your profits run, but limit your losses - place a Stop-Loss order.
Its design is simple: when the paper loss reaches the amount agreed upon with you in advance, your position will be closed. The paper loss will become real. And here I have a question: “ Does this invention stop the loss? ” It seems that on the contrary - you take it with you. Then it is not a Stop-Loss, but a Take-Loss. This will be more honest, but let's continue with the classic name.
Another thing that always bothered me was that everyone has their own Stop-Loss. For example, if a company shows a loss, I can find out about it from the reports. Its meaning is the same for everyone and does not depend on those who look at it. With Stop-Loss, it's different. As many people as there are Stop-Losses. There is a lot of subjectivity in it.
For adherents of fundamental analysis, all this looks very strange. I cannot agree that I spent time researching a company, became convinced of the strength of its business, and then simply quoted a price at which I would lock in my loss. I don't think Benjamin Graham would approve either. He knew better than anyone that the market loved to show off its madness when it came to stock prices. So Stop-Loss is part of this madness?
Not quite so. There are many strategies that do not rely on fundamental analysis. They live by their own principles, where Stop-Loss plays a key role. Based on its size relative to the expected profit, these strategies can be divided into three types.
Stop-Loss is approximately equal to the expected profit size
This includes high-frequency strategies of traders who make numerous trades during the day. These can be manual or automated operations. Here we are talking about the advantages that a trader seeks to gain, thanks to modern technical means, complex calculations or simply intuition. In such strategies, it is critical to have favorable commission conditions so as not to give up all the profits to maintaining the infrastructure. The size of profit and loss per trade is approximately equal and insignificant in relation to the size of the account. The main expectation of a trader is to make more positive trades than negative ones.
Stop-Loss is several times less than the expected profit
The second type includes strategies based on technical analysis. The number of transactions here is significantly less than in the strategies of the first type. The idea is to open an interesting position that will show enough profit to cover several losses. This could be trading using chart patterns, wave analysis, candlestick analysis. You can also add buyers of classic options here.
Stop-Loss is an order of magnitude greater than the expected profit
The third type includes arbitrage strategies, selling volatility. The idea behind such strategies is to generate a constant, close to fixed, income due to statistically stable patterns or extreme price differences. But there is also a downside to the coin - a significant Stop-Loss size. If the system breaks down, the resulting loss can cover all the earned profit at once. It's like a deposit in a dodgy bank - the interest rate is great, but there's also a risk of bankruptcy.
Reflecting on these three groups, I formulated the following postulate: “ In an efficient market, the most efficient strategies will show a zero financial result with a pre-determined profit to loss ratio ”.
Let's take this postulate apart piece by piece. What does efficient market mean? It is a stock market where most participants instantly receive information about the assets in question and immediately decide to place, cancel or modify their order. In other words, in such a market, there is no lag between the appearance of information and the reaction to it. It should be said that thanks to the development of telecommunications and information technologies, modern stock markets have significantly improved their efficiency and continue to do so.
What is an effective strategy ? This is a strategy that does not bring losses.
Profit to loss ratio is the result of profitable trades divided by the result of losing trades in the chosen strategy, considering commissions.
So, according to the postulate, one can know in advance what this ratio will be for the most effective strategy in an effective market. In this case, the financial result for any such strategy will be zero.
The formula for calculating the profit to loss ratio according to the postulate:
Profit : Loss ratio = %L / (100% - %L)
Where %L is the percentage of losing trades in the strategy.
Below is a graph of the different ratios of the most efficient strategy in an efficient market.
For example, if your strategy has 60% losing trades, then with a profit to loss ratio of 1.5:1, your financial result will be zero. In this example, to start making money, you need to either reduce the percentage of losing trades (<60%) with a ratio of 1.5:1, or increase the ratio (>1.5), while maintaining the percentage of losing trades (60%). With such improvements, your point will be below the orange line - this is the inefficient market space. In this zone, it is not about your strategy becoming more efficient, you have simply found inefficiencies in the market itself.
Any point above the efficient market line is an inefficient strategy . It is the opposite of an effective strategy, meaning it results in an overall loss. Moreover, an inefficient strategy in an efficient market makes the market itself inefficient , which creates profitable opportunities for efficient strategies in an inefficient market. It sounds complicated, but these words contain an important meaning - if someone loses, then someone will definitely find.
Thus, there is an efficient market line, a zone of efficient strategies in an inefficient market, and a zone of inefficient strategies. In reality, if we mark a point on this chart at a certain time interval, we will get rather a cloud of points, which can be located anywhere and, for example, cross the efficient market line and both zones at the same time. This is due to the constant changes that occur in the market. It is an entity that evolves together with all participants. What was effective suddenly becomes ineffective and vice versa.
For this reason, I formulated another postulate: “ Any market participant strives for the effectiveness of his strategy, and the market strives for its own effectiveness, and when this is achieved, the financial result of the strategy will become zero ”.
In other words, the efficient market line has a strong gravity that, like a magnet, attracts everything that is above and below it. However, I doubt that absolute efficiency will be achieved in the near future. This requires that all market participants have equally fast access to information and respond to it effectively. Moreover, many traders and investors, including myself, have a strong interest in the market being inefficient. Just like we want gravity to be strong enough that we don't fly off into space from our couches, but gentle enough that we can visit the refrigerator. This limits or delays the transfer of information to each other.
Returning to the topic of Stop-Loss, one should pay attention to another pattern that follows from the postulates of market efficiency. Below, on the graph (red line), you can see how much the loss to profit ratio changes depending on the percentage of losing trades in the strategy.
For me, the values located on the red line are the mathematical expectation associated with the size of the loss in an effective strategy in an effective market. In other words, those who have a small percentage of losing trades in their strategy should be on guard. The potential loss in such strategies can be several times higher than the accumulated profit. In the case of strategies with a high percentage of losing trades, most of the risk has already been realized, so the potential loss relative to the profit is small.
As for my attitude towards Stop-Loss, I do not use it in my stock market investing strategy. That is, I don’t know in advance at what price I will close the position. This is because I treat buying shares as participating in a business. I cannot accept that when crazy Mr. Market knocks on my door and offers a strange price, I will immediately sell him my shares. Rather, I would ask myself, “ How efficient is the market right now and should I buy more shares at this price? ” My decision to sell should be motivated not only by the price but also by the fundamental reasons for the decline.
For me, the main criterion for closing a position is the company's profitability - a metric that is the same for everyone who looks at it. If a business stops being profitable, that's a red flag. In this case, the time the company has been in a loss-making state and the size of the losses are considered. Even a great company can have a bad quarter for one reason or another.
In my opinion, the main work with risks should take place before the company gets into the portfolio, and not after the position is opened. Often it doesn't even involve fundamental business analysis. Here are four things I'm talking about:
- Diversification. Distribution of investments among many companies.
- Gradually gaining position. Buying stocks within a range of prices, rather than at one desired price.
- Prioritization of sectors. For me, sectors of stable consumer demand always have a higher priority than others.
- No leverage.
I propose to examine the last point separately. The thing is that the broker who lends you money is absolutely right to be afraid that you won’t pay it back. For this reason, each time he calculates how much his loan is secured by your money and the current value of the shares (that is, the value that is currently on the market). Once this collateral is not enough, you will receive a so-called margin call . This is a requirement to fund an account to secure a loan. If you fail to do this, part of your position will be forcibly closed. Unfortunately, no one will listen to the excuse that this company is making a profit and the market is insane. The broker will simply give you a Stop-Loss. Therefore, leverage, by its definition, cannot be used in my investment strategy.
In conclusion of this article, I would like to say that the market, as a social phenomenon, contains a great paradox. On the one hand, we have a natural desire for it to be ineffective, on the other hand, we are all working on its effectiveness. It turns out that the income we take from the market is payment for this work. At the same time, our loss can be represented as the salary that we personally pay to other market participants for their efficiency. I don't know about you, but this understanding seems beautiful to me.
$TGT: Target Corporation – Retail Titan or Fading Star?(1/9)
Good evening, shoppers! 🌙 NYSE:TGT : Target Corporation – Retail Titan or Fading Star?
Target’s at $116 on March 4, 2025—is this a golden ticket or a clearance rack trap? Let’s unpack the cart and find out! 🔧
(2/9) – PRICE PERFORMANCE 📊
• Current Price: $ 116 as of Mar 4, 2025 🤑
• Past Peek: Down 20% from $145.65 earlier this month 📉
• Sector Vibe: Retail’s feeling the squeeze, folks 🎮
It’s a bumpy ride, but deals might be hiding! 🛠️
(3/9) – MARKET POSITION 📈
• Market Cap: Roughly $53.15B (458.21M shares) 🏬
• Footprint: Around 1,950 stores, online sales popping 📡
• Trend: Brand loyalty high, but rivals are circling 🛡️
Still a heavyweight in the retail ring! 🏋️♀️
(4/9) – KEY DEVELOPMENTS 🔑
• Retail Scene: Spending’s tight, consumers picky 📅
• Digital Gains: E-commerce up, per past trends 🖥️
• Market Buzz: $116 hints at cautious buyers 🎤
Pivoting fast, but aisles are jammed! 🧭
(5/9) – RISKS IN FOCUS ⚠️
• Rivals: Walmart, Amazon playing hardball 🚨
• Economy: Inflation biting, tariffs looming 💸
• Swings: Retail stocks dance to a wild beat 🎶
Rough waters, but storms pass! 🌪️
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS 💥
• Name Value: Trendy goods, solid rep 💎
• Reach: 1,950+ stores, wide net 🗺️
• Online Edge: Digital sales climbing 📱
Loaded with ammo for the retail fight! 🔥
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES 🧐
• Weaknesses: $116 shows hesitation, margins tight 📋
• Opportunities: Push Target Circle, grow e-sales 🚀
Can it snag the prize or just scrape by? 🤷♂️
(8/9) – 📢Target’s $116, retail’s shaky—your call? 🗳️
• Bullish: $130+ soon, undervalued 🚀
• Neutral: Holding steady 🚬
• Bearish: $100 coming, trouble ahead 🕳️
Drop your vote below! 👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY 🎯
Target’s $116 price paints a shaky picture 📈, but its brand’s a rock 🌎. Swings are our playground—dips turn into DCA wins 💰. Buy low, aim high! Hit or miss?
ALGO to provide us with some GAINS as well?Hi guys,
Again as seen on the chart and historic price action or ALGO we can clearly see the PAIN points of where price is reacting and providing opportunities.
If we manage to break this trendline my first BUYS will begin at $0.16.
Risk here is holding drawdown of around -26% if price drops towards second area, so yes, in my eyes it is worth it!
Second area of accumulation and buying ALGO would be my ALL IN BUY ZONE from $0.10 to $0.14.
Potential gain from first zone towards our first target - HIGH of this cycle in 2024 is 280%!
Potential gain from ALL IN BUY ZONE is around 400%!
Second TP zone would be of course psychological level $1 where our gains from first buying area would be around 500% and from the second area would be around 700%
Please invest only what you are willing to lose, play it smart and be patient as patience is the key.
CRV low risk high return? Ou YES!Hello followers and haters,
I figured out that almost everyone here hates longterm analysis so I will post another one.
We can see CRV is in our FIRST BUY ZONE , zone where I personally started accumulating tokens just now and will continue as long as we are in the zone.
IF we drop lower to the ALL IN zone as I call them :D I will be putting even more money in this coin. Hopefully we can see that happen as we broke the trendline.
We are looking to take some profits on the FIRST TP where we can expect anywhere from 220% to 270% depending on our average buy price which is an amazing return imo.
Second TP will bring us around 760% from the first buy zone!
IF we drop lower second TP will bring us an amazing 1260%!!! And that is not even an ATH for CRV!
Just to add something to make you think.
From where price is right now if we drop to ALL IN zone we are talking about -30% to -55% drawdown. Are you will to hold this small drawdown in order to get from 220% to possibly over 1200% gain?
As always please play it smart, do not over risk and invest only what you are willing to lose. And most importantly be patient!
XRP IS GOING TO 0.00 !!!!!!!!!!!!
Now that I have your attention...
XRP/USD
Aggressive analysis
------------------------------
If you want to aggressively scale into this asset, then your pool should be distributed around the 1.60 - 2.15 AOI's.
Here are the risk's
- You might get demolished if they do decide to send it to the weekly AOI's I have also shared above
- Your pool that you could have used on the weekly AOI's are now not as strong (unit accumulation) as it could have been had you waited.
- Your ROI is now worse since you accumulated at higher levels
Here are the reward's
- You gained more units if we do decide to fly
- You now have "PLAY TOKENS" which essentially mean tokens you will be selling at certain TP areas (which does not harm the bigger bag)
- You cant go wrong literally buying some right now but you have to accept the fact that youre inside the fluff and you will be taken through the crypto roller coaster.
Regards,
MR.OAZB
DOT in accumulation zone!Hello followers and haters,
I figured out that almost everyone here hates longterm analysis so I will post another one.
We can see DOT once again in beautiful accumulation zone , zone where I personally started accumulating tokens in previous cycle and in this one as well.
We are looking to take some profits on the FIRST TP where we can expect anywhere from 1 00% to 200% depending on our average buy price.
Second TP will bring us anywhere from 300% to 350%.
If we however drop even lower (WHICH WOULD BE AMAZING) there is an ALL-IN zone where I will be looking to put more money on my buys.
My accumulation is buying some DOT every 2-3 days while we are in the zone.
I marked only 2 TP zones for and as we will move UP in the BULL RUN I will post updates on where my next TP zones are.
Hope this helps, play it smart and stay patience!
How to pick a benchmark for you portfolio and beat the market What is a benchmark?
A benchmark is an index or a basket of assets used to evaluate the performance of an investment portfolio In the context of portfolio analysis the benchmark serves as a point of comparison to determine whether a fund a strategy or an investment is performing better worse or in line with the reference market.
In the current chart, Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is displayed with a solid and larger blue line in relation to other cryptocurrencies for the current period.
Benchmarks are essential tools for institutional and private investors as they allow measuring the effectiveness of asset allocation choices and risk management Additionally they help determine the added value of an active manager compared to a passive market replication strategy.
Benchmark analysis example: NASDAQ:TSLA - NASDAQ:NDX
Benchmark analysis example: NASDAQ:TSLA - NASDAQ:AAPL - NASDAQ:NDX
What is the purpose of a benchmark
The use of a benchmark in portfolio analysis has several objectives
1) Performance Evaluation: Provides a parameter to compare the portfolio's return against the market or other funds
2) Risk Analysis: Allows comparing the volatility of the portfolio against that of the benchmark offering a measure of risk management
3) Performance Attribution: Helps distinguish between returns derived from asset selection and those linked to market factors
4) Expectation Management: Supports investors and managers in assessing whether a portfolio is meeting expected return objectives
5) Strategy Control: If a portfolio deviates excessively from the benchmark it may signal the need to review the investment strategy
How to select an appropriate benchmark?
The choice of the correct benchmark depends on several factors:
1) Consistency with Portfolio Objective: The benchmark should reflect the market or sector in which the portfolio operates
2) Representativeness of Portfolio Assets: The benchmark should have a composition similar to that of the portfolio to ensure a fair comparison
3) Transparency and Data Availability: It must be easily accessible and calculated with clear and public methodologies
4) Stability Over Time: A good benchmark should not be subject to frequent modifications to ensure reliable historical comparison
5) Compatible Risk and Return: The benchmark should have a risk and return profile similar to that of the portfolio
Most used benchmarks
There are different benchmarks based on asset type and reference market Here are some of the most common.
Equity
FRED:SP500 Representative index of the 500 largest US companies.
NYSE:MSCI World Includes companies from various developed countries ideal for global strategies
FTSE:FTSEMIB Benchmark for the Italian stock market
NASDAQ:NDX Represents the largest technology and growth companies
Bonds
Barclays Global Aggregate Bond Index Broad benchmark for the global bond market
JP Morgan Emerging Market Bond Index EMBI Benchmark for emerging market debt
[* ]BofA Merrill Lynch US High Yield Index Representative of the high-yield bond market junk bonds
Mixed or Balanced
6040 Portfolio Benchmark 60 equities SP 500 and 40 bonds Bloomberg US Aggregate used to evaluate balanced portfolios
Morningstar Moderate Allocation Index Suitable for moderate-risk investment strategies
Alternative
HFRI Fund Weighted Composite Index Benchmark for hedge funds
Goldman Sachs Commodity Index GSCI Used for commodity-related strategies
Bitcoin Index CoinDesk BPI Benchmark for cryptocurrencies
A reference benchmark is essential in portfolio analysis to measure performance manage risk and evaluate investment strategies The selection of an appropriate benchmark must be consistent with the strategy and market of the portfolio to ensure meaningful comparison.
Understanding and correctly selecting the benchmark allows investors to optimize their decisions and improve long-term results.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Feb 28, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
In the recent weekly trading session, the S&P 500 did not succeed in retesting the Mean Resistance level of 6082. Instead, the index experienced a notable decline, reaching the Mean Support level of 5939 and narrowly approaching the Key Support level of 5827.
Following this downturn, a significant rebound occurred, resulting in the establishment of a new Mean Support level at 5860. The index is now positioned to target the Mean Resistance level of 5967. Should the index initiate an upward movement from its current level and successfully surpass the critical Mean Resistance of 5967, it may continue to rise toward the Mean Resistance level of 6032, potentially reaching the Key Resistance level of 6143.
Conversely, if the index declines from its present position, it may create a retest pullback to revisit the Mean Support level of 5860 before resuming further upward momentum.
Let it SNOW - Long Term SETUP! 183% UpsideLet it SNOW - Long-Term SETUP! 183% Upside
If you have time on your hands and are looking for a patient buy and hold then here is your name!
- Rising Wr%
- Bullish Cross on H5 Indicator
Bull market continues this name will fly.
Bull market ends then retest the breakout area and could hold as long as earnings stay good.
Again, LONG TERM (Noted by Monthly chart) Trade or Investment here.
$470 Target
Not financial advice
Markets have Bottomed - Here's WHY!I believe Markets have Bottomed - Here's WHY! NASDAQ:QQQ AMEX:SPY AMEX:IWM CBOE:MAGS TVC:VIX
In this video, I will go over what I believe is going on in the markets and where we will go next from here.
Doing all this while looking at all the probabilities and what they are telling us.
Not financial advice
S&P500 How Expensive Is It?The Average Wage Earner Needs To Work166.5 Hours To Buy One Share Of The S&P500
If this chart does not drive the point home. Nothing will.
Sometimes simple common sense is more powerful than all the fancy analysis one can buy or think of to create.
Price is what you pay, and value is what you get! Remember that my friends.
DANGER IS SCREAMING AT YOU!
NN GROUP ($NN) Q4—INSURANCE CASH SHINES IN EUROPENN GROUP ( EURONEXT:NN ) Q4—INSURANCE CASH SHINES IN EUROPE
(1/9)
Good evening, TradingView! NN Group ( EURONEXT:NN ) is humming—H2 revenue hit $ 7.94B, topping estimates 📈🔥. Q4 earnings and a cash boost spark buzz—let’s unpack this Dutch dynamo! 🚀
(2/9) – REVENUE RUSH
• H2 Haul: $ 7.94B—beats $ 7.41B est. 💥
• Full ‘24: $ 12.36B—up 12% from $ 11.03B 📊
• OCG: $ 1.9B—hits ‘25 goal early
EURONEXT:NN ’s cash flow’s sizzling—steady wins!
(3/9) – BIG MOVES
• Buyback: $ 300M—shares get a lift 🌍
• Dividend: $ 3.44—up 8%, juicy payout 🚗
• Deals: $ 360M settled—risks trimmed 🌟
EURONEXT:NN ’s flexing—insurance muscle shines!
(4/9) – SECTOR SNAP
• P/E: ~10—below 11.9x avg 📈
• P/B: 0.57—vs. sector’s 1.04—cheap?
• Edge: 12% growth tops peers 🌍
EURONEXT:NN ’s a bargain—or just quiet strength?
(5/9) – RISKS ON DECK
• EPS Miss: $ 2.21 vs. $ 3.60—hiccup ⚠️
• Rates: Volatility stings returns 🏛️
• Climate: Claims could climb—yikes 📉
Solid run—can it dodge the bumps?
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS
• Cash: $ 1.9B OCG—rock solid 🌟
• Payouts: 8% divvy, $ 300M buyback 🔍
• Europe: 20% new biz—growth zip 🚦
EURONEXT:NN ’s a steady beast—built tough!
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES
• Weaknesses: EPS slip, Dutch lean 💸
• Opportunities: Eastern Europe perks 🌍
Can EURONEXT:NN zap past the risks?
(8/9) – EURONEXT:NN ’s Q4 cash surge—what’s your vibe?
1️⃣ Bullish—Value shines bright.
2️⃣ Neutral—Solid, risks hover.
3️⃣ Bearish—Misses stall it out.
Vote below! 🗳️👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY
EURONEXT:NN ’s $ 7.94B H2 and $ 1.9B OCG spark zing—insurance hums 🌍. Low P/E, but EPS wobbles—gem or pause?
BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY ($BRK.A) Q4—INSURANCE & CASH SHINEBERKSHIRE HATHAWAY ( NYSE:BRK.A ) Q4—INSURANCE & CASH SHINE
(1/9)
Good afternoon, TradingView! Berkshire Hathaway ( NYSE:BRK.A ) is humming—Q4 operating earnings soared 71% to $ 14.5B 📈🔥. Insurance and a record cash pile spark buzz—let’s unpack this titan! 🚀
(2/9) – EARNINGS SURGE
• Q4 Ops: $ 14.5B—up from $ 8.5B last year 💥
• Full ‘24: Insurance jumps 51%—key driver 📊
• Net: $ 19.7B Q4—profit stays juicy
NYSE:BRK.A ’s flexing—steady as she goes!
(3/9) – BIG MOVES
• Cash Hoard: $ 334B—up from $ 270B mid-year 🌍
• No Buybacks: Q4 skips—$ 7B spent earlier 🚗
• Apple Trim: Half sold off—cash king 🌟
Buffett’s stacking bucks—ready for action!
(4/9) – SECTOR SNAP
• Market Cap: ~$ 1.075T—top tier 📈
• P/B: 1.55—vs. JPM’s 1.9, Allstate’s 1.3
• Outrun: 25.5% ‘24 vs. S&P’s 25% 🌍
NYSE:BRK.A ’s a beast—value or peak?
(5/9) – RISKS IN SIGHT
• Stocks: Apple, Chevron swings—volatility nips ⚠️
• Succession: Buffett’s exit looms—jitters? 🏛️
• Economy: Rail, retail soften if cash tightens 📉
Solid, but not ironclad—watch out!
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS
• Diverse: Insurance leads—51% growth 🌟
• Cash: $ 334B—ultimate cushion 🔍
• Track: 19.8% CAGR—beats S&P’s 10.2% 🚦
NYSE:BRK.A ’s a fortress—built tough!
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES
• Weaknesses: Insurance lean, cash sits 💸
• Opportunities: Deals, yields lift—$ 14.5B zing 🌍
Can NYSE:BRK.A zap the next big win?
(8/9) – NYSE:BRK.A ’s Q4 surge—what’s your vibe?
1️⃣ Bullish—Cash rules, value shines.
2️⃣ Neutral—Solid, risks balance.
3️⃣ Bearish—Growth stalls, succession bites.
Vote below! 🗳️👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY
NYSE:BRK.A ’s $ 14.5B Q4 and $ 334B cash spark zing—insurance flexes 🌍. Premium P/B, but steady wins—champ or chill?
ARISTA NETWORKS ($ANET) ZAPS Q4—AI & CLOUD FUEL SURGEARISTA NETWORKS ( NYSE:ANET ) ZAPS Q4—AI & CLOUD FUEL SURGE
(1/9)
Good evening, TradingView! Arista Networks ( NYSE:ANET ) is buzzing—$ 7B in 2024 revenue, up 19.5% 📈🔥. Q4 shines with AI and cloud demand—let’s unpack this tech titan! 🚀
(2/9) – REVENUE RUSH
• 2024 Haul: $ 7B—19.5% jump from $ 5.86B 💥
• Q4 Take: $ 1.93B—25.3% up, beats $ 1.9B 📊
• EPS: $ 0.65—tops $ 0.57, up 25%
NYSE:ANET ’s humming—cloud’s got juice!
(3/9) – BIG PLAYS
• Q1 ‘25 Guide: 1.93 − 1.97B—above $ 1.907B 🌍
• Stock Split: 4-for-1—shares for all! 🚗
• AI Ties: Meta, NVIDIA deals spark buzz 🌟
NYSE:ANET ’s wiring the future—full throttle!
(4/9) – SECTOR SNAP
• P/E: ~54—premium vs. Cisco’s 17 📈
• Growth: 19.5% smokes sector’s 7%
• Edge: 70-80% Microsoft share—kingpin 🌍
NYSE:ANET ’s hot—value or stretch?
(5/9) – RISKS IN VIEW
• Clients: Microsoft, Meta—big eggs, one basket ⚠️
• Comp: Cisco bites back—AI race heats 🏛️
• Economy: Capex cuts could sting 📉
High flyer—can it dodge the turbulence?
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS
• AI Lead: $ 750M ‘25 target—cloud king 🌟
• Margins: 64.6%—profit punch 🔍
• Cash: 95% flow jump, no debt 🚦
NYSE:ANET ’s a lean, mean machine!
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES
• Weaknesses: Client lean, high P/E 💸
• Opportunities: AI clusters, enterprise zip 🌍
Can NYSE:ANET zap past the risks?
(8/9) – NYSE:ANET ’s Q4 buzz—what’s your vibe?
1️⃣ Bullish—AI keeps it soaring.
2️⃣ Neutral—Growth’s solid, risks linger.
3️⃣ Bearish—Premium fades fast.
Vote below! 🗳️👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY
NYSE:ANET ’s $ 1.93B Q4 and AI deals spark zing—$ 7B year shines 🌍. Premium P/E, but growth rules—champ or chase?