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SMCI - Climbing out of the GRAVE! 100% UpsideNASDAQ:SMCI 🎯$64 🎯$85 Incoming WOW, from dead company to short attacks into oblivion this company has clawed back from the grave! - Inverse H&S - Fake Out on the S/R Zone - Green H5 with Bullish Cross - Volume shelf with GAP - Up Trending Wr% - RSI/ STOCH breaking out of downtrend If I was to enter this trade I would look for an entry at the retest of the Inverse H&S breakout (Blue Circle) while we also create a WCB! Not financial advice
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by RonnieV29
Made in England.. FTSE 100 Triangle BreakoutFinally the long term triangle pattern in blue chip UK stocks has broken - and the weekly chart for the FTSE 100 index is looking very positive. The breakout weekly candle is a long one with a close right near the highs - showing bulls are well in control of the market. We can see the triangle break in more granular detail on the daily chart with the break confirmed on Thursday and a strong follow-through move on Friday. Support is found first at the former all time high (8450-8475) then back at the broken trendline from the triangle pattern. These support levels define our risk - the price back inside the triangle will inform us the breakout has failed - this time at least. But if things move as we expect, using the height of the triangle pattern as a price objective from the breakout point, the UK 100 could reach 9,000. But - as always - that’s just how the team and I are seeing things, what do you think? Share your ideas with us - OR - send us a request! Comments welcome :) cheers! Jasper The material provided in this article is for information purposes only and should not be understood as trading or investment advice. Any opinion that may be provided on this page does not constitute a recommendation by Trading Writers and has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote investment research independence. If you rely on the information on this page, then you do so entirely at your own risk.
TVC:UKXLong
by jasperlawler
XAUUSD LONG🚀 XAUUSD (GOLD) Technical Analysis - Long Trade Setup Current price action suggests a bullish reversal forming near the 2,882 support zone. Strong momentum indicators (RSI/MACD) align with a potential uptrend continuation. Entry Zone: 2,882 - 2,900 (Optimal long entry on retest) Target: 3,100 🎯 (Key resistance level + Fibonacci extension) Risk Management: Always use stops below key support (2,850-2,860). Chart patterns and institutional buying signals support this move. Let’s ride the wave! 🌊 Always trade with discipline and adjust position sizing to your risk tolerance. 👉 Like & Follow for more updates! #XAUUSD #GOLD #TradingView #Forex #Commodities #Investing
FX:XAUUSDLong
by EagleTraderz
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Feb 14, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: During the recent weekly trading session, the S&P 500 effectively reached and tested the critical Key Resistance level at 6083. It retested the completed Outer Index Rally at 6120, indicating a potential continuation of the bullish trend toward the intermediate target of 6233. However, a market pullback is anticipated due to this price action. Current analyses suggest that the designated downward target is set at the Mean Support level of 6049, with potential extensions to 5995, 5936, and the Outer Index Dip at 5878.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Feb 14, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: During the trading session in the current week, the Euro reached our designated Mean resistance of 1.050 and is establishing a potential resurgence of extending upward momentum to an Inner Currency Rally of 1.060. On the other hand, if the anticipated upward resurgence does not emerge, the cryptocurrency may experience a drop toward the Mean Support of 1.039. Further engaging with the Mean Support level at 1.030 and the Key Support at 1.024, ultimately progressing toward the completed outer Currency Dip target of 1.020 and outermost Outer Currency Dip of 1.005.
by TradeSelecter
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Feb 14, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: During this week's trading session, Bitcoin has remained closely aligned with the completed Outer Coin Dip at 96000. This development suggests a potential pullback to retest the Mean Support level at 91800, with the possibility of further decline down to the Outer Coin Dip marked at 89000 before a possible resurgence in the bull market. On the other hand, if the anticipated pullback does not occur, the cryptocurrency may experience upward momentum, retesting the Mean Resistance level at 101300. This could lead to an extension toward challenging the completed Outer Coin Rally at 108000 through Key Resistance at 106000.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradeSelecter
TESLA ($TSLA) – PRICE CUTS, NEW MODELS & SHRINKING MARGINSTESLA ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) – PRICE CUTS, NEW MODELS & SHRINKING MARGINS (1/8) Tesla’s Q4 2024 revenue came in at $25.17B (+1% YoY), missing estimates of $25.87B. Full-year revenue hit $97.69B, only slightly above 2023. Let’s break down the numbers! 🚗⚡️ (2/8) – EARNINGS SNAPSHOT • Q4 non-GAAP EPS: $0.71 (vs. $0.74 est.) • Net income slipped from $2.51B (Q1 ‘23) to $1.13B (Q1 ‘24) → margin pressures • Full-year EPS: $2.04. Investors are edgy over slowing profit growth 😬 (3/8) – NEW AFFORDABLE EV • Tesla plans to launch a lower-priced EV mid-2025—could spark future growth 🚀 • However, concerns linger about declining margins due to recent price cuts & softening EV demand 🔻 (4/8) – SECTOR SNAPSHOT • P/E trailing: 177.26, forward P/E: 124.35 → major premium vs. Toyota (~8.5) & GM (~8.7) 🔎 • EV/EBITDA: 87.53—again, quite high • Analyst avg. PT: $307.62 vs. current ~$355 → Some see overvaluation 📈 (5/8) – PERFORMANCE & COMPETITION • Tesla’s revenue growth lags behind EV rivals like BYD (especially in China) 🇨🇳 • High valuation is tough to justify if margins keep slipping & demand cools • Others note the potential for a “market correction” if Tesla doesn’t re-accelerate growth 🔻 (6/8) – RISK FACTORS • EV Demand Slowdown: Price cuts & fierce competition in China • Production Delays: Cybertruck & new affordable EV might take time to ramp • Regulatory: Shifts in incentives or rules could slow sales 📉 • Economic Pressure: High interest rates = less consumer cash for big-ticket items • Elon Musk: Diverted focus (X, SpaceX) + polarizing behavior 🌀 (7/8) – SWOT HIGHLIGHTS Strengths: Leading EV brand & loyal customer base 🔥 Diversified streams (storage, solar) → less auto reliance Massive market cap at $1.16T shows confidence Weaknesses: Shrinking margins (~17.86% in 2024) Production hiccups → scaling issues Sky-high valuations vulnerable to correction Opportunities: 2025 mass-market EV could open huge demand 🚗💨 AI & autonomy (FSD, robotaxis) for new revenue Energy storage growth offsetting auto slowdowns 🔋 Threats: Competition from BYD, GM, etc. Lawsuits & regulatory scrutiny (discrimination, product defects) Global economic uncertainty → lower vehicle sales (8/8) – With Tesla trading around $355 & a P/E near 177, is it still worth the premium? 1️⃣ Bullish—Musk’s vision & new EV model = unstoppable 🚀 2️⃣ Neutral—Waiting to see if margins recover 🤔 3️⃣ Bearish—Overvalued, competition is heating up 🐻 Vote below! 🗳️👇
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by DCAChampion
1
COINBASE ($COIN) – RECORD EARNINGS, VOLATILE REACTIONCOINBASE ( NASDAQ:COIN ) – RECORD EARNINGS, VOLATILE REACTION (1/8) Coinbase just posted a Q4 2024 revenue of $2.27B (+138% YoY, +89% QoQ!)—crushing estimates of $1.87B. Transaction revenue soared 194% YoY to $1.6B. Ready to dive in? Let’s go! 🚀💸 (2/8) – EARNINGS BEAT • EPS: $4.68, smashing estimates of $2.04 🤯 • Net income: up 300% YoY, fueled by trading volume +185% 📈 • Assets on platform: +46%, sign of growing trust and adoption 👥 (3/8) – STOCK REACTION? • Surprisingly flat or slightly down post-earnings 🤔 • Market may have priced in these mega-growth numbers already • High beta (3.61) means volatility—strap in! ⚠️ (4/8) – SECTOR SNAPSHOT • P/E ratio ~49.5 (forward 43.76)—high, but robust growth could justify 🏦 • Analysts’ avg. price target: $274.65 vs. current price ~$300—some see overvaluation unless growth keeps surging 💹 • Faster revenue growth than many fintech peers, yet higher volatility 🌀 (5/8) – RISKS TO WATCH • Crypto Volatility: If the market cools, trading volume slides 😰 • Regulatory Battles: SEC classification = potential compliance woes ⚖️ • Competition: Binance, Kraken, DeFi—Coinbase must keep innovating 🏁 • Economic Sensitivity: Slowdowns can reduce trading appetite 🌐 (6/8) – SWOT HIGHLIGHTS Strengths: • U.S. market leader, regulatory advantage 🇺🇸 • Growing subscription/services revenue (+71% YoY) • User base & brand loyalty remain strong 🌟 Weaknesses: • Reliance on crypto market sentiment → volatility • Elevated valuation vs. peers, less margin for error Opportunities: • Expand into regions with surging crypto adoption 🌍 • Tokenization, stablecoins, new blockchain products • Potentially friendlier crypto regs = less legal risk 👀 Threats: • Regulatory crackdowns → higher costs, narrower product offerings • DeFi could disrupt centralized exchanges • Market saturation → possible price wars 💢 (7/8) –Is Coinbase overvalued at $300 despite epic growth? 1️⃣ Bullish—Crypto momentum will keep fueling NASDAQ:COIN 🚀 2️⃣ Neutral—Growth is great, but so is the price 🤔 3️⃣ Bearish—Regulatory & competition threats loom large 🐻 Vote below! 🗳️👇
NASDAQ:COINLong
by DCAChampion
1
APPLE ($AAPL) – Q1 FY25 EARNINGS & WHAT’S NEXT APPLE ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) – Q1 FY25 EARNINGS & WHAT’S NEXT (1/8) Revenue: $124.3B (+4% YoY) – A new all-time record! Services soared +14% to $26.3B, offsetting a slight dip in iPhone sales. Let’s see how Apple’s holding up. 🍎📈 (2/8) – EARNINGS BEAT • EPS: $2.40 (beat by $0.06) • Gross margin: 46.9%, topping estimates 🔥 • Despite China sales dropping 11% to $18.51B, Apple still racked up big gains elsewhere 🌏 (3/8) – SECTOR SNAPSHOT • Market cap $3.5T+, P/E ~30 • Some call it pricey vs. tech peers, but brand strength + services + potential AI expansions = possible undervaluation 🤔 • Compares favorably to Microsoft, Samsung, etc., given stable product + services synergy 🌐 (4/8) – RISKS TO WATCH • Geopolitical: China manufacturing & sales reliance → Trade tensions? Tariffs? 🏭 • Innovation Pace: Competitors could leapfrog Apple in AI or other emerging tech 💡 • Regulatory: Antitrust cases (App Store) could pinch profitability ⚖️ • Economy: Premium pricing in downturn—brand loyalty helps, but can’t ignore recession effects 💸 (5/8) – SWOT HIGHLIGHTS Strengths: Legendary brand loyalty & huge install base Growing services revenue (+14%!) Massive cash reserves for R&D & buybacks Weaknesses: Heavy dependence on iPhone sales China manufacturing concentration Opportunities: AI, AR/VR expansions (Vision Pro, maybe more) Emerging markets → untapped smartphone penetration 🌍 Services sector continuing to expand ⚡ Threats: Fierce competition (especially in China) 🦖 Trade tensions & supply chain hiccups 🌐 Shifts in consumer tech tastes or new disruptors (6/8) – CHINA SALES DENT • China down 11%—that’s a chunk given its importance • Local giants (Xiaomi, Huawei) are snapping at Apple’s heels 🦾 • Will Vision Pro + AI upgrades woo Chinese consumers back? 🤔 (7/8) – Is Apple undervalued at a $3.5T market cap & P/E of 30? 1️⃣ Bullish—Brand power + AI = unstoppable 🍀 2️⃣ Neutral—Solid, but watch those China risks 🔍 3️⃣ Bearish—Too expensive, competition’s rising 🐻 Vote below! 🗳️👇
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by DCAChampion
1
ETHEREUM ($ETH) – COULD STAKING ETFs TRANSFORM THE NETWORK?ETHEREUM ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) – COULD STAKING ETFs TRANSFORM THE NETWORK? (1/7) Ethereum fees (i.e., network revenue) are climbing as DeFi, NFTs, and now potential staking ETFs attract more usage and institutional capital. Let’s see what’s moving the second-largest crypto by market cap! 🚀💎 (2/7) – RECENT “REVENUE” TRENDS • Network fees jumping with higher on-chain activity (DeFi, NFTs) • Potential ETF staking could funnel institutional money and supercharge Ethereum’s fees & usage • ETH price at $2,647—some say undervalued vs. historical highs & future prospects 💸 (3/7) – STAKING NEWS & IMPACT • CBOE BZX filed to add staking to 21Shares Ether ETF—a first in the U.S. if approved 🏆 • ETH spiked +3% on Feb 13, 2025, after the news broke 📰 • Could pave the way for more institutional ETH adoption & yield opportunities (4/7) – CRYPTO SECTOR COMPARISON • NVT ratio (network value to transactions) suggests Ethereum might be undervalued given expected usage hikes • Competitors (e.g., Solana, Cardano) also have DeFi & smart contracts, but ETH’s brand & developer base remain top-tier 🏅 • If staking ETFs become mainstream, ETH’s yield potential could shine even brighter 🌟 (5/7) – RISK ASSESSMENT • Regulatory: SEC scrutiny of staking—could they tighten the reins? ⚖️ • Market Volatility: Crypto can pivot from bull to bear in a heartbeat 😱 • Tech Hurdles: Ongoing Ethereum upgrades (sharding) face potential delays ⏳ (6/7) – ETHEREUM SWOT HIGHLIGHTS Strengths: Leading smart contract platform, huge dev community Growing staking potential, possibly extended to ETFs Weaknesses: High gas fees + ongoing scalability concerns Regulatory uncertainties around staking Opportunities: If ETF staking passes, institutional inflows could surge 💰 DeFi & NFT expansion continue to drive demand Threats: Lower-fee rivals like Solana or Polygon on the rise 🌐 Potential crackdowns on staking by regulators (7/7) – Is Ethereum undervalued at $2,647 given the ETF staking hype? 1️⃣ Bullish—ETH’s about to skyrocket! 🚀 2️⃣ Neutral—Show me actual adoption first 🤔 3️⃣ Bearish—Competition & regulation overshadow it 🐻 Vote below! 🗳️👇
BINANCE:ETHUSDLong
by DCAChampion
1
DOORDASH ($DASH) – FROM FOOD DELIVERY TO GLOBAL POWERHOUSEDOORDASH ( NASDAQ:DASH ) – FROM FOOD DELIVERY TO GLOBAL POWERHOUSE (1/7) DoorDash just reported 25% YoY revenue growth to $2.9B! That’s a hearty slice of the delivery pie. 🚀🍕 Let’s dig into the numbers, risks, and what might lie ahead for $DASH. (2/7) – EARNINGS SPOTLIGHT • GAAP net income: $0.33/share—the second profitable quarter since going public! 💰 • Net revenue margin: 13.5%, inching up from last quarter. • Plus, a SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:5B share repurchase plan signals management’s confidence in future earnings. 💎 (3/7) – SECTOR COMPARISON • Market cap ~$80.2B, with the buyback at ~5% of that. • Analysts (e.g., Oppenheimer) raising price targets → suggests undervaluation vs. Uber Eats & Grubhub. 🤔 • Strong performance in new verticals & international markets = diversification & growth advantage. 🌐 (4/7) – RISK FACTORS • Market saturation: Competitors might lower prices or offer bigger discounts. 🛍️ • Regulatory: Gig worker laws could drive up costs. ⚖️ • Economic sensitivity: Consumer spending on delivery can be fickle during downturns. 💸 • Restaurant health: If restaurants stumble, so does DoorDash. 🍽️ (5/7) – SWOT HIGHLIGHTS Strengths: • Leading U.S. food delivery market share 🍔 • Expanding into grocery & retail → less restaurant dependence 🛒 • Solid international growth 🌍 Weaknesses: • High operational costs to maintain delivery network 🚚 • Customer loyalty can be promo-driven vs. brand-driven 💳 Opportunities: • Enter underpenetrated regions → more global share 🌐 • Expand non-restaurant deliveries → bigger wallet share 🏪 • AI-driven efficiency → streamlined ops 🤖 Threats: • Heavy competition (direct & from self-delivery restaurants) ⚔️ • Consumer shift back to in-person dining if economy improves 🍴 (6/7) – BULL OR BEAR? With 25% growth and a second profitable quarter, is DoorDash set to dominate? Or are looming regulatory and market saturation risks a speed bump? 🏁 (7/7) Where do you stand on DoorDash? 1️⃣ Bullish—They’ll keep delivering the goods! 🚀 2️⃣ Neutral—Impressed, but risks loom 🤔 3️⃣ Bearish—Competition & costs will weigh them down 🐻 Vote below! 🗳️👇
NASDAQ:DASHLong
by DCAChampion
1
FRESHWORKS ($FRSH): DRIVING AI-POWERED GROWTH IN SaaSFRESHWORKS ( NASDAQ:FRSH ): DRIVING AI-POWERED GROWTH IN SaaS 1/7 Revenue Growth: Freshworks just posted $194.6M in Q4 2024 (+22% YoY), with full-year revenue hitting $ 720M (+21% YoY)! ⚡️ Growth is fueled by new customer wins and the rising AI demand in customer service, sales, and IT solutions. 2/7 – EARNINGS BEAT • Non-GAAP EPS: $0.14 (beat by $0.04) 💰 • Operating profit for FY2024 doubled to $ 99M from $ 44.5M in 2023 🔥 • FY2025 guidance: Revenue $ 809M–$ 821M (12–14% YoY growth) 🚀 3/7 – CASH FLOW & PROFITABILITY • Free Cash Flow margin at 21% in Q4—showing major profitability strides 💸 • Shifting from less profitable past to a more robust, scalable business model 🏆 4/7 – SECTOR SNAPSHOT • Competes with Salesforce, HubSpot, Zendesk in the SaaS arena 🌐 • Enterprise Value to Revenue ratio is on the lower end—could be undervalued given its growth 📈 • Mid-market & SMB focus → niche advantage vs. pricier enterprise solutions 5/7 – RISK FACTORS • Market Competition: Big fish (Salesforce) + fresh entrants (Zendesk) 🏦 • Customer Acquisition: High marketing costs, must maintain ROI 🤝 • Economic Sensitivity: Downturn = possible budget cuts on software 💼 • Tech Shifts: Rapid AI innovation—no resting on laurels! 🤖 6/7 – SWOT HIGHLIGHTS Strengths: • Strong AI-driven revenue growth • Wide product portfolio (sales, IT, support, etc.) • Growing customer base & retention ✅ Weaknesses: • Less profitable historically (though improving) • Revenue heavily reliant on core products 😬 Opportunities: • Expand into untapped global markets • Double down on AI for new revenue streams 🌍 Threats: • Market saturation & intense competition 🏁 • Data privacy regs could disrupt operations ⚖️ 7/7 Freshworks: undervalued gem or just another SaaS player? 1️⃣ Bullish—AI + mid-market niche = unstoppable! 🏅 2️⃣ Neutral—Need more proof of profitability 🤔 3️⃣ Bearish—Competition & economy hold it back 🐻 Vote below! 🗳️👇
NASDAQ:FRSHLong
by DCAChampion
2
CONFLUENT ($CFLT) – DATA STREAMING’S RISING STARCONFLUENT ( NASDAQ:CFLT ) – DATA STREAMING’S RISING STAR 1/7 Ready for a snapshot of Confluent? Here’s what’s sparking chatter on X: 23% YoY revenue growth, $0.09 EPS (beats by $0.03), and free cash flow at $ 29M—above estimates! Let’s dive in. 🚀💹 2/7 – REVENUE & EARNINGS BLAST • Overall revenue: +23% YoY • Subscription revenue: +24% YoY 💳 • Q4 EPS: $0.09 (est. $0.06) ⚡️ • FCF: $ 29M vs. est. GETTEX:27M 💰 3/7 – CONFLUENT CLOUD SHINES • Cloud revenue: +38% YoY 🌥️ • Big piece of their puzzle—shows they’re nailing the cloud-based approach • Key to future scaling & recurring income streams 🔑 4/7 – SECTOR SNAPSHOT • Confluent competes in data streaming & management • Growth suggests they’re keeping pace—maybe even undervalued if adoption keeps climbing 🤔 • Keep an eye on how they stack up vs. other cloud/data players like Snowflake or Datadog 🏭 5/7 – RISK ASSESSMENT • Market Saturation: More competitors in cloud/data → potential pricing pressure 💼 • Tech Shifts: Rapid changes could leave older solutions behind 🔄 • Economic Downturn: Slowed IT budgets might delay or shrink deals 🌐 • Customer Concentration: If a few big clients leave, it stings big time 🏹 6/7 – SWOT HIGHLIGHTS Strengths: Strong Confluent Cloud growth (+38% YoY!) Broader customer base (+17%) 🙌 Weaknesses: Heavily niche in ‘data in motion’ 🤏 High acquisition costs in a crowded market 🏷️ Opportunities: Expand into new verticals & geographies AI/ML integration for next-level analytics 🤖 Threats: Fierce giants with deep pockets 🦖 Regulatory changes in data privacy ⚖️ 7/7 – Where do you see Confluent heading next? 1️⃣ Bullish—Cloud growth = unstoppable! 🌟 2️⃣ Neutral—Need more consistent profitability 🤔 3️⃣ Bearish—Competition is too intense 🐻 Vote below! 🗳️👇
NASDAQ:CFLTLong
by DCAChampion
1
UPSTART ($UPST): AI-DRIVEN LENDING ON THE RISEUPSTART ( NASDAQ:UPST ): AI-DRIVEN LENDING ON THE RISE 1/8 – REVENUE & EARNINGS BLAST • Q4 2024 revenue: $219M (+56% YoY) 🔥 • Powered by a 68% jump in loan originations 💸 • EPS: $0.26, beating estimates by $0.30 (analysts expected -$0.04) 🚀 • Positive Adj. EBITDA—Upstart’s inching closer to sustained profitability 🏆 2/8 – BIG FINANCIAL EVENTS • Strong focus on AI model innovation + expanding funding supply 🤖 • Management bullish on earnings call—AI improvements = growth catalyst 🚀 • Renowned for bridging lenders & borrowers via advanced, automated credit assessments 🌐 3/8 – SECTOR COMPARISON • Some valuation measures say overvalued (e.g., GF Value ~$28 vs. market ~$65) 🧐 • Outpacing fintech peers like SoFi, PayPal, Ally in revenue growth 📈 • Profitability & multiples (P/E, P/S) lag behind due to recent net losses 😬 • Unique AI-lending angle may justify a premium—if it pays off 💡 4/8 – RISK ASSESSMENT • Partner Dependence: A few big lenders = high exposure ⚠️ • Economic Sensitivity: Loan defaults rise if consumer conditions worsen 🌪️ • Regulatory Hurdles: Shifting financial rules could dent operations 🏛️ • Credit Risk: Holding loans on the balance sheet—watch out in downturns 💥 5/8 – SWOT HIGHLIGHTS Strengths: • Advanced AI for credit analysis 🤖 • High automation in approvals ⚡️ • Scalable via partner expansions 🌍 Weaknesses: • Limited operating history ⏳ • Recent financial losses 📉 • Reliance on key partners 🤝 Opportunities: • New loan products (auto, HELOC, etc.) 🚗🏠 • Expanding digital lending market 🌐 • Gaining market share as AI evolves 🔬 Threats: • Fierce fintech competition 🏁 • Possible regulatory changes ⚖️ • Macro headwinds affecting credit demand 🌩️ 6/8 – UN/UNDERVALUATION DEBATE • Some see big future potential → undervalued by growth prospects 💹 • Others worry about multiples & an over-reliance on economic upswings 😬 • Recovery depends on broader economic rebound & strong risk management 🏦 7/8 Is Upstart a gem or a risk? 1️⃣ Bullish—AI lending will transform fintech 🏅 2️⃣ Cautiously Optimistic—Need more stability 🤔 3️⃣ Bearish—Valuation & macro risks are too high 🚫 Vote below! 🗳️👇 8/8 – STRATEGY WATCH • Keep tabs on new loan products & partnerships 🛠️ • Monitor economic indicators (defaults, credit demand) impacting revenue 💼 • Regulatory shifts can either boost or bury AI-lending advantage ⚠️
NASDAQ:UPSTLong
by DCAChampion
1
$SMCI (SUPER MICRO COMPUTER): AI-DRIVEN GROWTH AMID GOVERNANCESMCI (SUPER MICRO COMPUTER): AI-DRIVEN GROWTH AMID GOVERNANCE WOES 1/8 Super Micro Computer ( NASDAQ:SMCI ) just revealed prelim Q2 FY2025 sales of $5.6–5.7B (+54% YoY), riding AI’s wave. But delayed filings & margin pressure spark caution. Let’s dig in! 💻⚡️ 2/8 – REVENUE & EARNINGS SNAPSHOT • Q2 sales: $5.7B (vs. $5.9B est.), EPS: ~$0.59 (est. $0.64) • Full-year outlook trimmed to $23.5–25B (was $26–30B) • Non-GAAP gross margin: ~11.9%; operating margin: ~7.9%—still under pressure 🏭 3/8 – KEY FINANCIAL EVENTS • $700M in 2.25% convertible senior notes → fueling AI server growth • Filing delays (10-K, 10-Qs) → must meet Feb 25, 2025 to avoid Nasdaq delisting • New auditor BDO checks the books—no fraud found, but concerns linger about governance 🧐 4/8 – GOVERNANCE & INVESTIGATIONS • Ongoing SEC & DOJ probes after Hindenburg’s short-seller report • CEO says they’ll meet filing deadline, but trust is still shaky • Market watchers: “No fraud found” is good, but the uncertainty stings 🤔 5/8 – SECTOR CONTEXT • Competes with Dell ( NYSE:DELL ), HPE ( NYSE:HPE )—both see AI demand, but SMCI more focused • SMCI trades at ~11x 2025 earnings (vs. Dell at 15x, HPE at 12x) • Could be undervalued—but only if governance issues don’t overshadow the AI growth story 🚀 6/8 – RISKS • Margin Pressure: R&D + product mix + potential GPU shipment delays (Nvidia Blackwell) • Debt Load: Total debt now ~$1.9B, plus $700M in convertible notes • Regulatory Overhang: Missing that Feb 25 deadline = serious delisting risk ⚠️ 7/8 Is SMCI worth the gamble? 1️⃣ Bullish—AI potential outweighs the risks 2️⃣ Neutral—Need clarity on filings & margins 3️⃣ Bearish—Governance red flags trump growth Vote below! 🗳️👇 8/8 – STRATEGIC OUTLOOK • 70%+ revenue from AI platforms → big edge if servers remain hot • Partnerships w/ Nvidia & push into liquid-cooled data centers • Delaying or messing up compliance could sabotage all that potential 🌐
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by DCAChampion
1