Alphabet (GOOGL): Perfect wave reaction. This is our planWhat can we say except—just take a look at this. Alphabet ( NASDAQ:GOOGL ) has followed our analysis perfectly over the last two months, reacting strongly to the targeted area for wave B and selling off immediately after reaching the exact 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Fundamentally, pressure is mounting on Alphabet. Last Wednesday, U.S. prosecutors presented a case to the Department of Justice arguing that Google must sell its Chrome browser, share data and search results with rivals, and potentially sell Android to dismantle its monopoly on online search. This landmark case could reshape how users find information, creating uncertainty around Alphabet’s future operational structure.
From a technical perspective, we still anticipate more downside for $GOOGL. The level of $137.8 now appears even more significant. It aligns with the Fibonacci retracement of wave (2), the Point of Control (POC), and the wave C target—an extremely strong confluence zone. This makes $137.8 a likely magnet and a strong candidate for support, offering a potentially lucrative long setup if the price reaches this level.
We are monitoring closely to see how NASDAQ:GOOGL performs in the coming weeks and how these levels react to ongoing market conditions and DOJ pressures.
Investment
Super Micro Computer (SMCI): Could this be 2024’s comeback?Could we be witnessing one of the most remarkable comebacks of the year?
NASDAQ:SMCI surged an incredible 123% in just eight trading days, turning our position back into profit—a scenario that seemed unlikely not long ago. This highlights how patience in trading often pays off. The key reclaim of the Point of Control (POC) at $26.59 is a pivotal development. It’s crucial that NASDAQ:SMCI remains above this level as the week ends, which could also mark a significant monthly close.
On the technical side, NASDAQ:SMCI was oversold on the 3D timeframe for the first time since March 2020, which may partly explain the rapid recovery and increased buying pressure.
Fundamentally, last week marked the stock’s best five-day stretch on record following the appointment of BDO as its new independent auditor. This move, combined with a submitted compliance plan to Nasdaq, aims to address the delayed filing of its annual 10-K and quarterly 10-Q forms—previously threatening delisting.
If NASDAQ:SMCI successfully files these reports, investor confidence could soar, potentially driving the stock much higher. However, failure to meet these requirements could result in a sharp sell-off. While we could have added at the bottom, patience remains critical as the situation evolves. ✅
Why This Health and Energy Company Could Be a Good InvestmentThis company (NASDAQ: ATPC) is based in Malaysia and focuses on health and energy solutions. Even though its stock prices have had ups and downs, it offers some promising reasons why you might want to consider investing.
1. Wide Range of Health Products
The company provides various health-related items, such as supplements that improve cell health, help detoxify the body, support better blood flow, and reduce aging effects. These products cover many health needs, showing that the company takes a broad approach to wellness.
2. Focus on Innovation and Partnerships
It’s not just about what they sell; the company has teamed up with others to create new solutions. For example, it recently introduced an advanced device to improve breathing, which is a timely response to health concerns around the world. This shows they’re not afraid to innovate and work with others to grow.
3. Expanding into Clean Energy
The company is also looking beyond health and moving into renewable energy. It’s working with partners to make solar energy systems more accessible in Southeast Asia. By diversifying into this booming sector, the company is setting itself up to ride the wave of global demand for sustainable solutions.
4. Staying on Track with Global Standards
The company recently met the stock exchange’s rules to stay listed, which is a sign of good management and stability. Being listed on a major exchange boosts its credibility with investors.
Why It Could Be a Smart Buy
This company’s mix of health products, clean energy efforts, and commitment to staying competitive on the global stage makes it worth considering. Of course, as with any investment, you’ll want to do your own research and weigh the risks before deciding.
ADVENZYMES: Catching the Wave of OpportunityADVENZYMES (Advanced Enzyme Tech Ltd.)
Key Levels:
Demand Zone: ₹333.85 - ₹384.90
Stop Loss: Below ₹333.85 (on daily closing basis)
Target Zone: ₹523 - ₹543 (Golden Retracement Zone of the correction swing)
Structure & Trend:
The stock is currently in an ABC correction wave with Wave C extended.
A strong demand zone is visible near ₹333.85 - ₹384.90.
Buyers are likely to step in at this zone, creating a potential reversal opportunity.
Trade Plan:
Entry: Around ₹366 - ₹385 within the demand zone.
Targets:
First target: ₹450 (midway to retracement)
Final target: ₹523 - ₹543
Stop Loss: ₹333.85 on a daily close basis.
Note: Sellers might use the ₹523-₹543 zone for profit booking.
General Guidelines:
Risk Management: Adhere to strict stop losses as per the plan.
Confirmation: Look for price action signals (bullish candles, volume spikes) near entry zones.
Patience: Allow the trades to develop towards targets gradually.
Educational Purpose only
Indo Count Industries: Stitching Together a Sustainable Future◉ Abstract
Indo Count Industries Ltd., a leading Indian home textile manufacturer, has reported significant growth, with FY24 revenue reaching ₹3,557 crore, an 18% increase year-over-year. Despite supply chain challenges and a decline in sales volume, the company remains optimistic about future growth, driven by strong demand and strategic initiatives. The company’s focus on sustainability and strategic acquisitions has further strengthened its position.
Currently trading at a P/E ratio of 20.3, below the industry average, Indo Count appears fairly valued. Increasing institutional interest indicates growing confidence in the company’s long-term potential. As Indo Count continues to prioritize operational efficiency and market expansion, its future growth prospects remain promising.
Read full analysis here.........
◉ Introduction
The US bed and bath linen market is projected to experience significant growth in the coming years. As of 2024, the market size is estimated at approximately $10.73 billion, with expectations to reach $13.14 billion by 2029, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.14% during this period.
This growth is driven by several factors, including:
1.Increased Homeownership: Rising homeownership rates are boosting demand for essential bed and bath linens like sheets and towels.
2.Consumer Spending: Higher disposable incomes are leading to increased spending on home furnishings, including premium and luxury linen products.
3.Sustainability Trends: There is a growing consumer preference for eco-friendly and sustainable products, influencing purchasing decisions in the bed and bath linen segment.
The market is characterized by a low concentration of major players, indicating a competitive landscape with numerous brands catering to various consumer preferences.
◉ Major Players in the Industry
Several key players dominate the US bed and bath linen market:
1.Indo Count Industries Ltd.: As the largest manufacturer of home textile bed linens globally, Indo Count is a significant player in the US market, known for its extensive product range and commitment to sustainability.
2.Brooklinen: This brand offers modern and luxurious bedding products, appealing to consumers seeking comfort and style.
3.Peacock Alley: Known for its premium quality and craftsmanship, Peacock Alley focuses on high-end bed and bath linens.
4.Crane & Canopy: This company provides stylish yet affordable options for a wide range of consumers.
5.Tempur Sealy International, Inc.: A leading player in the bedding industry, known for its innovative mattress solutions that complement bed linen offerings.
6.American Textile Company: Offers a variety of bedding products with a focus on quality and comfort.
Today, we'll take an in-depth look at Indo count Industries, a prominent player in the US bed linen manufacturing sector, exploring its market positioning and competitive dynamics.
This detailed report undertakes a thorough evaluation of ICIL's technical capabilities and core business fundamentals.
◉ Company Overview
Indo Count Industries Limited NSE:ICIL , established in 1988, is a leading Indian home textile manufacturer. The company offers a diverse range of products, including bed sheets, fashion bedding, utility bedding, and institutional bedding. With showrooms in the UK and US, Indo Count sells its products under 17 distinct brands through multi-brand outlets, large format stores, and e-commerce platforms. Headquartered in Mumbai, India, the company exports its products globally.
◉ Market Capitalization - ₹ 6,288 Cr.
◉ Revenue Breakup (Location Wise)
➖ With a staggering 97.5% of its revenue generated from the US and UK markets, Indo Count Industries Limited has established itself as a prominent global player in the home textile industry.
➖ The remaining 2.5% of its revenue comes from domestic Indian sales.
◉ Challenges and Headwinds:
➖ Sales volume and revenue decline YoY due to supply chain issues, leading to higher inventory.
➖ Anticipated clearance of 2.5 million meters of deferred shipments in upcoming quarters.
➖ Revised EBITDA margin guidance: 15-16% due to upfront HR and brand promotion costs
◉ Margin Guidance and Future Outlook:
➖ Despite near-term challenges, Indo Count Industries Limited's management remains upbeat, fueled by a strong demand outlook and solid market positioning.
➖ Strategic investments in branded segments are expected to yield returns within the next four years, driving improved margin guidance.
➖ To further propel growth, the company is focused on enhancing operational efficiencies and scaling up operations in high-potential segments.
◉ CAPEX
➖ Indo Count Industries Limited has revised its FY25 capital expenditure (CAPEX) upwards to ₹413 crores, a significant increase from the initial estimate of ₹165 crores, driven by strategic acquisitions and investments.
◉ Strategic Acquisitions
➖ Recent acquisitions of Fluvitex Inc. and Modern Home Textiles, enhancing U.S. manufacturing footprint.
➖ Acquisitions strengthen presence in critical U.S. regions, expanding customer base without overlapping existing clientele.
◉ Technical Aspects
➖ Over a prolonged consolidation phase, the stock price developed a Cup & Handle pattern.
➖ Following a breakout, the stock surged sharply, hitting an all-time high near the 448 level.
➖ Nevertheless, it faced significant resistance and retraced to the previously established breakout level.
➖ Currently, the price is at a crucial point that could act as an important support zone.
➖ There is strong anticipation that the stock may rebound from this level and begin to rise again.
◉ Relative Strength
The chart reveals that Indo Count Industries Limited (ICIL) has lagged behind the Nifty Small Cap Index over the past year, generating a 12.7% return compared to the index's impressive 26.3%.
◉ Revenue & Profit Analysis
● Yearly
➖ Indo Count Industries Limited reported strong growth in Fiscal Year 2024, with revenue reaching ₹3,557 crore, an 18% increase from ₹3,012 crore in FY23.
➖ EBITDA surged to ₹562 crore, up from ₹455 crore, while the EBITDA margin improved to 16% from 15%.
● Quarterly
➖ In the quarter ending September, the company's revenue rose to ₹1,036 crore, a 10% increase from ₹941 crore in the previous quarter, slightly higher than ₹1,009 crore in the same quarter last year.
➖ EBITDA for the quarter increased to ₹157 crore, up from ₹145 crore in the previous quarter.
➖ However, diluted EPS (LTM) declined to ₹15.62 in September from ₹17.27 in June 2024.
◉ Valuation
● P/E Ratio
➖ The company's present price-to-earnings (PE) ratio stands at 20.3, lower than its 1-year median PE of 21.4.
➖ When we look at the industry average PE of 26, it indicates that the stock might be considered somewhat undervalued at this time.
● P/B Ratio
➖ ICIL's P/B ratio of 2.86 indicates considerable overvaluation compared to the industry average of 1.46.
● PEG Ratio
➖ A PEG ratio of 0.49 suggests that the stock is undervalued relative to its expected earnings growth.
● Intrinsic Value
➖ Indo Count Industries is currently trading at ₹307, which is nearly 1.1 times its intrinsic value of ₹279, indicating that the stock is fairly valued at this moment.
◉ Cash Flow Analysis
➖ The operating cash flow for Indo Count Industries Limited experienced a notable decline from ₹755 crore in FY23 to ₹146 crore in FY24. This decrease can be attributed to the strategic allocation of capital towards acquiring prominent brands, such as Wamsutta, as part of the company's expansion and growth initiatives.
◉ Debt Analysis
➖ ICIL's debt of ₹1,461 crore and debt-to-equity ratio of 0.66 indicate robust financial health. Furthermore, its impressive interest coverage ratio of 5.74 suggests the company is well-positioned to manage its debt obligations, ensuring greater financial flexibility and stability.
◉ Top Shareholders
➖ The promoters have maintained their 58.74% stake for the last two years.
➖ Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) have maintained their stakes since June, now holding 10.69%.
➖ Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) have continuously increasing their stakes from June 2023 and now holding 3.67%, significantly up from 2.16% from the June quarter.
➖ At the same time, retail investors have been consistently selling their shares over the past few quarters.
**Additionally, Mukul Mahabir Agarwal , a veteran investor, places a strategic bet on Indo Count Industries Limited, acquiring 1.17% of the company's shares, a move poised to reap rewards.
◉ Mutual Fund Exposure
➖ Indo Count Industries Limited witnessed increased institutional interest in October 2024, with thirteen funds holding 70 lakh shares, representing a 9.3% rise from September's 64.1 lakh.
◉ Conclusion
Based on our analysis of key technical and financial metrics, Indo Count Industries Limited's strategic focus on diversification, acquisitions, and premium products positions the company for sustained growth and long-term value creation.
We anticipate that this positive trajectory will be reflected in its stock price performance.
Target (TGT): A Buying Opportunity in the GapAfter three months of waiting and planning this setup on NYSE:TGT , we are finally buying shares following the recent drop into the desired breakout gap. Before this move, the stock hovered around the Point of Control (POC), making a breakout in either direction inevitable. This decline now provides a more favorable risk-to-reward ratio, setting us up to aim for the all-time highs once again.
If the level of wave (4) is breached, we will need to reassess our bullish outlook and consider a potential deeper correction. However, the setup remains promising as the 78.6% and 88.2% Fibonacci retracements align perfectly with the lower edge of the gap.
Historically, NYSE:TGT ’s oversold RSI since 2019 has led to a minimum 50% pump in four out of six cases, further solidifying our bullish view. The next critical level to watch is $180—reclaiming this resistance will be crucial for continued upward movement. Until then, we will stay patient and monitor the situation. ✅
PayPal (PYPL): New Features and Market ImpactPayPal NASDAQ:PYPL is currently up 44% from our initial entry, demonstrating strong performance within a developing trend channel. While not entirely symmetrical, the addition of a smaller trend channel on the upper side showcases nearly perfect alignment, highlighting this stock’s potential for growth.
Last Thursday, PayPal announced a new feature allowing customers to collect money from friends and family for shared expenses, available in the US, Germany, Italy, and Spain. While innovative, this announcement led to a 4% dip in PayPal’s stock, likely due to profit-taking by investors.
From a technical standpoint, we expect a three-wave correction to finalize wave (iv). Currently, the key support zone lies at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level near $76, which aligns with the last level before a low-volume node. If this support fails, the 50% Fibonacci level becomes the next likely target. However, NASDAQ:PYPL should avoid prolonged trading below wave (i)’s range of $70 to maintain its bullish structure.
QUALCOMM (QCOM): Diversified Growth Amid DowntrendQualcomm ( NASDAQ:QCOM ) presents an intriguing setup as we believe the wave I and a larger cycle might have concluded. Following its peak, NASDAQ:QCOM has dropped nearly 30%, retracing back to the range high. To finalize wave (A), we expect an additional leg down to complete the intra 5-wave structure. The likely target lies between $143 and $133, a range that aligns well with the Point of Control (POC) from March 2020 to now. This adds confluence to its significance as a potential support zone.
Despite the technical setup, we caution that the risk for a long position remains high. A more favorable entry could arise once NASDAQ:QCOM reclaims the range, validating the start of a potential bullish wave.
For the current quarter, Qualcomm projects revenues between $10.5 billion and $11.3 billion, with automotive sales anticipated to rise 50% year over year. CEO Cristiano Amon’s strategy to diversify Qualcomm beyond smartphones into chips for PCs, cars, and industrial machines underscores the company’s adaptability.
The next financial results release is scheduled for January 29, 2025, offering further insights into Qualcomm’s trajectory.
The $143-$133 range is a key zone for potential support, bolstered by its alignment with the POC. A decisive break below this zone could invalidate the bullish outlook, while a breakout above the range high may provide an opportunity to long this stock with lower risk. The completion of wave (A) would ideally coincide with a structural turnaround.
We are closely monitoring NASDAQ:QCOM for any signs of a reversal. Should the stock confirm a reclaim of the range, we may consider initiating a long position with a more precise stop-loss strategy. Until then, patience and vigilance are essential.
The Anime Market, A Booming Industry with Exciting ProspectsThe global anime industry is growing at an incredible pace, evolving from a niche entertainment form to a global phenomenon. Valued at around USD 31.23 billion in 2023, the anime market is expected to grow by 9.8% annually from 2024 to 2030. By 2025 and 2026, the industry is set to reach even greater heights, driven by several key trends.
Anime has become a favourite worldwide, boasting a fanbase of over 800 million people. This popularity has been boosted by streaming platforms like Netflix and Crunchyroll, which bring anime to international audiences with ease. These platforms not only make it simpler for people to enjoy anime but also help new shows gain fans globally at the same time, creating a connected community of enthusiasts.
One of anime’s strengths is its variety of stories, from thrilling action to heartfelt drama, appealing to all age groups and cultures. This flexibility allows anime to attract a wide audience and keep them engaged. Moreover, anime-inspired trends in fashion and media have brought this art form closer to mainstream culture, making it more popular than ever.
More Than Just Entertainment
The anime market isn’t only about shows and movies—it also fuels massive sales of merchandise like toys, clothing, and posters. Anime conventions have become big events, bringing fans together and boosting local economies. Collaborations with well-known brands have also expanded anime’s reach, proving its strong cultural and commercial value.
Advancements in technology are making anime better and more accessible. Animation techniques are improving, and virtual reality (VR) and augmented reality (AR) are starting to give fans immersive experiences. In the future, artificial intelligence (AI) could further enhance production, helping creators bring even more imaginative stories to life.
BloomZ Inc.: Ready to Ride the Wave
Among the companies poised to benefit from this growth is BloomZ Inc. (NASDAQ: BLMZ), a Japanese firm specialising in voiceovers for anime and games. BloomZ has announced plans to dive deeper into the anime market by producing its own shows. With its expertise in voice acting and sound production, the company is well-positioned to create high-quality anime content for a global audience. This move not only aligns with the industry’s growth but also places BloomZ as a key player in the market’s future.
Looking Ahead
The anime market is set to thrive in the coming years, thanks to its universal appeal, technological innovation, and growing fanbase. Companies like BloomZ Inc. are stepping up to play an important role in shaping this exciting industry. As anime continues to capture hearts worldwide, the opportunities for growth seem endless.
NASDAQ: SBC, Empowering the Growth of Aesthetic MedicalSBC Medical Group Holdings (NASDAQ: SBC) is making waves in the aesthetic medicine industry with its dynamic growth strategy and robust franchise model. Analysts at Zacks have set a target price of $15.40, reflecting confidence in SBC's ability to scale its operations and expand internationally. With a current share price of $6.80 (as of November 2024), the company presents a compelling case for investors seeking growth in an underpenetrated market.
Dominance in Japan’s Growing Market
SBC operates the largest network of franchised clinics in Japan, with 220 locations under various brands, capturing an estimated 31% market share. Despite its leadership, the Japanese aesthetic medicine market remains relatively untapped, with just 10% penetration. The company treated 3.9 million patients in 2023, a 26% increase from 2021, highlighting the growing demand driven by social media and demographic trends.
Comprehensive Solutions and Strong Financials
SBC's franchisees benefit from a comprehensive suite of services, including administrative support, marketing, procurement, and technology integration. These offerings enable clinics to focus on high-quality, affordable patient care while expanding their service portfolios.
The company’s financial performance reflects its growth momentum, with revenue reaching $193 million in 2023, up 10% year-over-year. A 5-year revenue CAGR of 24% underscores the scalability of its model, supported by a strong EBITDA margin of 42.5% and a robust cash position of $103.7 million.
Global Expansion Strategy
SBC’s international operations in Vietnam and California signal the early stages of a broader global strategy. The clinics cater to rising demand for popular treatments like liposuction and eyelid surgery, aligning with global trends in non-invasive and surgical procedures. With the global aesthetic medicine market projected to grow from $59.8 billion in 2024 to $81.7 billion by 2032, SBC is well-positioned to capture a significant share.
Outlook and Investor Potential
The $15.40 target price reflects optimism about SBC’s continued network expansion and revenue growth. While challenges like foreign exchange risks and competitive pressures persist, the company’s innovative approach and financial discipline mitigate these risks.
SBC Medical Group stands out as a growth-oriented player in a burgeoning industry. With its proven franchise model and strategic vision, the company offers investors an attractive opportunity to tap into the expanding global aesthetic medicine market.
The Browser Underdog: Opera's Surprising Surge◉ Abstract
Opera Limited (OPRA) presents a compelling investment opportunity, boasting an attractive valuation with a P/E ratio of 10.1x, significantly lower than the peer average of 66.5x. The company demonstrated strong financial performance in FY23, with 20% revenue growth reaching $396.8 million, accompanied by impressive cash flow growth of $82.8 million. Opera's debt-free status adds to its financial health. However, challenges persist, including its limited 2.4% market share in the competitive browser market, heavy dependence on browser revenue, and regulatory and technical risks. Despite these challenges, Opera's strengths and resilience, coupled with the industry's growth prospects, make it an attractive investment choice.
Read full analysis here.........
◉ Introduction
The internet browsing market is highly competitive, with approximately 5.3 billion monthly active users as of 2024. Google Chrome dominates the market with a 65.18% share, followed by Safari at 18.55%, Microsoft Edge at 5.26%, and Mozilla Firefox at 2.74%.
The market is expected to continue growing, driven by increasing internet penetration, the proliferation of smart devices, and the demand for enhanced web experiences. Additionally, the shift towards mobile browsing, with mobile devices accounting for a significant portion of internet traffic, will further fuel this growth, leading to projected expansion and innovation in the industry.
◉ Key Growth Drivers
1. Increased Internet Penetration: Global internet user numbers are steadily rising, particularly in developing regions where access to technology is improving.
2. Mobile Device Usage: The shift towards mobile browsing is significant, with browsers like Chrome and Safari leading in mobile usage due to their integration with popular operating systems (Android and iOS) respectively.
3.Technological Advancements: Continuous improvements in browser technology, including speed enhancements, security features, and user-friendly interfaces, attract more users.
4. Focus on Privacy and Security: Growing concerns about online privacy have led to increased demand for browsers that prioritize user data protection. This trend benefits browsers like Firefox and Opera, which emphasize privacy features.
5. Integration with Ecosystems: Browsers that integrate well within their respective ecosystems (e.g., Safari with Apple devices) tend to retain users more effectively due to seamless functionality across devices.
◉ Major Players
Today, our discussion will center on Opera, a niche browser vendor navigating the global internet browsing market dominated by Google Chrome and Safari.
This report presents an in-depth examination of Opera's technical and fundamental metrics.
◉ Company Overview
Opera Limited NASDAQ:OPRA is a Norway-based tech innovator, established in 1995. Listed on NASDAQ (OPRA), Opera boasts a global team of 500+ employees. Its diverse portfolio includes Opera Browser, Opera Mini, Opera GX, and Opera News. The company operates through four segments: Browser and Search, Advertising, AI-driven Content Discovery, and Fintech (Opera Pay). Opera's growth strategy focuses on emerging markets, AI enhancements, advertising expansion, and fintech development.
◉ Investment Advice
💡 Buy Opera Limited NASDAQ:OPRA
● Buy Range - 16.8 - 17.8
● Sell Target - 23.5 - 24.5
● Potential Return - 33% - 38%
● Approx Holding Period - 12-15 months
◉ Revenue Breakdown (FY23)
● Total Revenue: For the full year 2023, Opera reported total revenue of $396.83 million, up from $331.04 million in 2022, marking a 20% year-over-year growth.
● Advertising Revenue: Advertising revenue constituted approximately 59% of total revenue, amounting to around $234 million. This segment grew by 24% year-over-year, driven by the success of the Opera Ads platform and browser monetization strategies.
● Search Revenue: Search revenue accounted for about 15% of total revenue, totaling approximately $60 million, with a growth rate of 15% year-over-year. This growth is attributed to targeting users with higher monetization potential, particularly in Western markets.
● Technology Licensing and Other Revenue: This segment represents a smaller portion of the overall revenue, contributing roughly $0.1 million, reflecting the company’s ongoing efforts to monetize its technology beyond its core browser offerings .
◉ Strengths & Weaknesses
The company has experienced significant growth and innovation in recent years. However, it also faces various challenges. Here’s a detailed analysis of its strengths and weaknesses:
● Strengths:
1. Innovative Features:
➖ Opera GX Gaming Browser: Tailored for gamers with CPU and RAM limiters, plus integrations with Twitch and Discord.
➖ Built-in Ad Blocker: Improves browsing speed by blocking ads and tracking cookies.
➖ Free VPN: Enhances privacy by encrypting traffic and hiding IP addresses, allowing access to region-restricted content.
2. Diverse Revenue Streams: Revenue comes from multiple sources, including advertising (about 59%) and search (around 15%), providing financial stability.
3. Financial Growth: Consistent revenue growth, reaching $397 million in 2023, with positive projections for 2024.
4. Strategic Partnerships: Collaborations with major tech companies enhance service offerings and market reach.
● Weaknesses:
1. Limited Market Share: Holds only about 2.4% of the global web browser market, significantly trailing competitors like Google Chrome.
2. Heavy Dependence on Browsers: About 82% of revenue comes from web browsers, making the company vulnerable to shifts in user preferences and market trends.
3. Regulatory Vulnerability: Risks associated with changes in affiliate marketing regulations and data protection laws could impact revenue.
4. Technical Challenges: Users report stability issues and bugs that affect overall experience.
◉ Technical Aspects
● Weekly Chart
➖ In July 2023, the stock peaked at around the 27 level but then encountered considerable selling pressure, leading to a drop towards the 10 level.
➖ Following an extensive period of consolidation, the price has recently achieved a breakthrough and is trending upwards.
● Daily Chart
➖ The daily chart reveals the formation of an Inverted Head & Shoulders pattern.
➖ After a recent breakout, the stock price is currently consolidating just above the breakout level, with expectations of future increases.
◉ Technical Indicators
1. RSI (Daily Chart)
➖ Current RSI of this stock is 66.42, which indicates the strength of buyers.
2. ADX & DI (Daily Chart)
➖ Increasing ADX value above 20, indicated the strength of the trend, thereby uptrending ADX confirms the bullish or bearish supportive decisions. Along with the rising ADX, and the +DI is above (or crossing) -DI, indicates the long trades should be favoured.
3. MFI (Daily Chart)
➖ The current MFI is 59.04, suggesting that the stock is not in an overbought state.
4. EMA’s (Daily Chart)
➖ The stock price is currently positioned above all key EMAs, indicating robust momentum.
◉ Relative Strength
➖ The chart highlights Opera's impressive outperformance of the Nasdaq Composite index, driven by a substantial 50% annual return.
◉ Revenue and Profit Analysis
● Year-over-Year
➖ Opera Limited reported strong financial performance in fiscal year 2023, with revenue reaching $396.8 million, representing a 20% increase from $331 million in fiscal year 2022.
➖ The company's EBITDA also saw significant growth, rising 35% to $69.2 million from $51.2 million in the prior year, while the EBITDA margin expanded to 17.4% from 15.5%.
● Quarter-over-Quarter
➖ Opera Limited's quarterly performance ending September 2024 was equally impressive, with revenue climbing 12% to $123.2 million from $109.7 million in the preceding quarter and 21% from $102 million in the same quarter last year.
➖ Additionally, EBITDA increased 5% to $27.3 million, and diluted earnings per share (LTM) edged up to $1.78 from $1.75 in the previous quarter.
◉ Valuation
1. P/E Ratio
● Current P/E vs. Peer Average P/E
➖ Analyzing the P/E ratio reveals that OPRA stands at 10.1x, highlighting a substantial undervaluation when compared to the peer average of 66.5x.
● Current P/E vs. Industry Average P/E
➖ Within the US software sector, OPRA's P/E ratio of 10.1x is markedly lower than the industry average of 41.9x, signaling that it is relatively inexpensive.
2. P/B Ratio
● Current P/B vs. Peer Average P/B
➖ Examining the P/B ratio, OPRA's current figure of 1.8x falls short of the peer average of 5.5x, indicating a relative undervaluation.
● Current P/B vs. Industry Average P/B
➖ When juxtaposed with the industry average, OPRA's P/B ratio of 1.8x points to a notable undervaluation, as the industry average stands at 3.7x.3.7x.
3. PEG Ratio
➖ A PEG ratio of 0.07 implies that the stock is undervalued in relation to its anticipated earnings growth.
◉ Cash Flow Analysis
➖ In the fiscal year 2023, operational cash flow saw impressive growth, soaring to $82.8 million, a significant rise from the $56.7 million recorded in fiscal year 2022.
◉ Debt Analysis
➖ The company proudly maintains a completely debt-free status, showcasing its strong financial health.
◉ Top Shareholders
➖ Arrowstreet Capital's stake in the company stands at 1.23%, indicating a 4.9% reduction in holdings from the prior quarter.
◉ Analyst Price Target
➖ The 12-month consensus price target for Opera stands at $24.20, implying a substantial potential appreciation of 32% from current levels, presenting an attractive investment opportunity.
◉ Conclusion
Opera's attractive valuation and impressive financial performance make it a compelling investment opportunity. However, the company's financial outlook is not without challenges. Market uncertainty and unforeseen events pose risks, while its e-commerce monetization efforts remain vulnerable to market volatility and competition. Additionally, Opera operates in a highly competitive browser market, where intense rivalry could impact user engagement, retention, and revenue. Despite these challenges, the industry's significant growth prospects support a positive outlook, driven by Opera's strengths and resilience, making it an attractive investment choice.
A Glimpse into My 2025 Stock Picks (US Edition)As we enter 2025, the U.S. stock market presents a landscape ripe with opportunities. The Federal Reserve's recent meeting minutes indicate a cautious yet optimistic approach, suggesting that while inflationary pressures are being monitored, the overall economic outlook remains positive. This balanced stance bodes well for investors seeking growth in the coming year.
Janux Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: JANX)
Janux Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company specializing in the development of novel immunotherapies for cancer treatment. Leveraging its proprietary Tumor Activated T Cell Engager (TRACTr) and Tumor Activated Immunomodulator (TRACIr) platforms, Janux aims to create therapies that are both effective and safe. In the third quarter of 2024, the company reported financial results highlighting its ongoing commitment to advancing its pipeline, with significant investments in research and development.
LandBridge Company LLC (NYSE: LB)
LandBridge is a landowner in the oil-rich Permian Basin, focusing on leasing its extensive acreage to oil and natural gas producers. Since its IPO in mid-2024, where shares debuted at $19 each, the company has demonstrated robust revenue growth. In the third quarter of 2024, LandBridge reported a 60% year-over-year increase in revenues, reaching $28.5 million. This growth underscores the company's strategic positioning and the strong demand for its assets.
Ryde Group Limited (NYSE: RYDE)
Ryde Group is a transportation and mobility services provider, offering a range of solutions from ride-sharing to electric scooter rentals. In Singapore, the recent surge in Certificate of Entitlement (COE) prices has significantly increased the cost of car ownership, pushing consumers toward more affordable e-mobility options. Ryde, as a niche player in this industry, stands to benefit from this shift. Additionally, the company's current low valuation provides a safety net for investors, making it an attractive prospect in the evolving mobility landscape.
In conclusion, the U.S. stock market in 2025 appears poised for continued growth, supported by a stable economic environment and strategic corporate advancements. Investors should consider companies like Janux Therapeutics, LandBridge Company, and Ryde Group, each offering unique value propositions in their respective sectors.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investors should conduct their own research or consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disney (DIS): Strong Recovery After Oversold LevelsWhat a pity! Back in late June, we anticipated that Disney would find its support at a maximum of $89, and it ended up bottoming out at $84 – perfectly aligned with our prediction ✅. Since then, the stock has surged nearly 37%, driven by today’s earnings report. This looks like a very strong bottom for NYSE:DIS , as it was deeply oversold and perfectly touched the 88.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
The surge today was fueled by robust results for its fiscal fourth quarter, showing better-than-expected profits in both streaming and domestic theme parks — Disney’s two most critical business units. Additionally, Disney broke tradition by offering detailed earnings projections for the next two years, emphasizing its forward-looking confidence. With annual revenue of $91.4 billion, Disney achieved a new record, showcasing its growth momentum.
With today’s move, NYSE:DIS closed the remaining gap between $108-$111. However, the close doesn’t look very promising on the 3D chart, and if Disney ends up below this range, it could signal a pullback. A retest of $104-$97 seems likely and could provide the necessary momentum to fully reclaim this resistance zone.
We will continue to monitor the situation closely and will update if key levels are breached.
Gold (XAUUSD): Trend channel broken amid latest economic dataGold futures ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) have fallen to a two-month low, influenced by a stronger U.S. dollar at a one-year high and Bitcoin’s rise to $90,000, amid a shifting economic narrative highlighted by Donald Trump’s resurgence in the political arena.
This recent drop has prompted us to revise our technical scenario. Losing the trend channel on the chart has triggered our alternative outlook, leading to adjustments in the wave count. While it is theoretically possible that the wave ((4)) hasn’t concluded yet, this seems increasingly unlikely given the current price action and market environment.
Gold’s continued decline coincides with the latest U.S. economic data. Both the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) reports aligned with expectations, but they failed to reinforce hopes of an interest rate cut in January. Higher real yields on U.S. Treasury bonds have made non-yielding assets like Gold less attractive, adding to the bearish momentum.
Looking forward, we are closely monitoring the price reaction to these developments. While the possibility of a short-term rebound exists, the loss of the trend channel is a key bearish signal that could point to further downside. We remain cautious and ready to update our strategy as the situation evolves.
Cisco (CSCO): Waiting for an entry after earningsCisco NASDAQ:CSCO recently reported its Q1 earnings, and the results exceeded expectations. With a reported revenue of $13.841 billion versus the estimated $13.775 billion, and earnings per share (EPS) coming in at $0.91 against an expected $0.872, the company delivered a positive surprise. This marks the ninth consecutive quarter where Cisco has beaten revenue estimates.
On the technical side, the previously bearish outlook has been invalidated. We have updated our chart, adjusting the wave (4) bottom to align with the lower trend channel. After a remarkable 33% rally in just 100 days, the stock is due for a “healthy” pullback, potentially targeting the range high of $52-$48. However, this will heavily depend on further market reactions to the earnings report.
From a broader perspective, we are now targeting a push towards or even above the upper trend channel for the wave 3 and subsequently the wave (5). However, these moves are long-term prospects and will take time to materialize.
The focus remains on recurring revenue, which has grown significantly year-over-year, reaching $29.6 billion in the fourth quarter. While recurring revenue from subscriptions is a bullish factor, potential concerns regarding company spending in the second half of 2024 need to be monitored.
We are closely observing the lower time frame for potential entry opportunities, keeping an eye on the anticipated pullback to confirm healthy growth momentum.
Agape ATP Corporation (NASDAQ: ATPC) Q3 Results AnalysisAgape ATP Corporation (NASDAQ: ATPC) is progressing through a strategic gestation period, investing in key areas to drive long-term growth. While Q3 2024 saw a slightly higher net loss compared with Q3 2023, these numbers reflect ATPC’s commitment to building its foundation for sustainable growth.
Revenue reached $331,289 for the quarter and $962,971 for the nine months, slightly down year-over-year, as the company realigns its product offerings and marketing strategies to capture new market segments.
A significant contributor to ATPC’s current resilience is its complementary health therapies sector, which showed a revenue increase to $227,249 for the quarter and $688,415 for the year-to-date, reflecting demand for health services that align with wellness trends.
To further diversify, ATPC’s new venture in renewable energy—spearheaded by ATPC Green Energy Sdn. Bhd. (AGE)—positions the company within a high-potential sector committed to environmental sustainability.
Despite the current challenges in its network marketing segment, ATPC’s focus on refining this channel and expanding its product range indicates a proactive approach to overcoming temporary setbacks.
As ATPC completes this foundational phase, its broadening scope in wellness and green energy promises a strengthened and more versatile position in the market, setting the stage for a promising trajectory.
Rising Costs Drive Singaporeans Away from Car OwnershipOwning a car in Singapore has long been associated with substantial financial commitments, but recent developments have further escalated these costs, making vehicle ownership increasingly prohibitive for many residents.
A significant contributor to the rising expenses is the Certificate of Entitlement (COE), a mandatory permit required to own and operate a vehicle in Singapore. COE prices have surged dramatically; as of May 2024, premiums for smaller cars (Category A) reached S$92,700, while those for larger vehicles (Category B) climbed to S$105,689. These figures represent record highs, reflecting intensified competition for limited vehicle quotas.
Beyond the COE, additional taxes such as the Additional Registration Fee (ARF) have been adjusted to further deter car ownership. The ARF is calculated as a percentage of the vehicle's Open Market Value (OMV), with rates escalating for higher-value cars. In February 2023, the government increased ARF rates for luxury vehicles, imposing a tax of up to 320% on cars with an OMV exceeding S$80,000.
Operational costs have also risen. Fuel prices have been affected by global oil market fluctuations, leading to higher expenses at the pump. Additionally, Electronic Road Pricing (ERP) charges, which are levied to manage traffic congestion, have seen periodic adjustments, adding to the daily costs of driving. Parking fees, maintenance, and insurance premiums have similarly trended upwards, contributing to the overall financial burden of car ownership.
These escalating costs have prompted a shift in consumer behaviour. Many Singaporeans are reconsidering the necessity of owning a personal vehicle, opting instead for alternative modes of transportation. Public transport systems, including buses and the Mass Rapid Transit (MRT), offer comprehensive coverage and are viewed as cost-effective alternatives. Additionally, the rise of ride-hailing services provides flexible and convenient options without the long-term financial commitments associated with car ownership.
In this evolving landscape, companies like Ryde Group Limited stand to benefit. Established in 2014, Ryde is a Singapore-based technology company specialising in mobility and quick commerce solutions. Its services include on-demand and scheduled carpooling and ride-hailing options, connecting riders with a network of driver-partners. Additionally, Ryde offers real-time, on-demand, scheduled, and multi-stop parcel delivery services through its driver-partner app. In March 2024, Ryde became the first Singaporean ride-hailing startup to list on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol " RYDE ", raising US$12 million through its initial public offering.
By providing cost-effective and convenient alternatives to car ownership, Ryde is well-positioned to cater to individuals seeking to navigate Singapore's transportation network without incurring substantial expenses.
Shopify (SHOP): Riding the 130% rally after the earnings surgeShopify kicked off the earnings week with a significant surge, rising 130% since our entry. We’ve taken additional profits at this level and canceled our second limit order. The stock has reached the 161.8% Fibonacci target at $111, aligning with our strategy.
In its third-quarter earnings report, Shopify reported revenue that exceeded Wall Street’s expectations, with double-digit gross merchandise volume growth. Looking ahead, the company forecasts a mid-to-high-twenties percentage growth in revenue for Q4, supported by the same factors driving its strong performance this year.
While Shopify continues its upward momentum, there’s no clear indication of when this rally might lose steam. The RSI is currently overbought, suggesting a potential pullback in the near future. If we spot a wave 4 correction, we will reassess and update the chart for a potential new entry.
NIFTY50 // Breakdown or Reversal?www.tradingview.com
Everyone has seen a severe breakdown in Nifty in recent days and approx. 11% correction. But hey, wait a minute.
Did you checked the level where it is holding right now?
It is the same level from where it has taken a pause and breakout in past. Meaning, we can consider it as a strong buying zone.
Along with the above, it is also a level where 38% retracement is there from Fibonacci retracement perspective.
Consider the level of support at 23500, if Nifty doesn't goes below from here next week, be ready for a resume of bull run again.
So, the next resistance will be : 24500, 26300, 28200, 30000
and, the support will be : 22500, 21600, 21000.
Please note, there is an open gap between 20300-20500. That is the only concerning area. If it goes there to fill the gap, the last support will be 19900.
So, wait for the end of the current weekly candle. If you could see there are approx 6 divergence too on weekly candle which suggest change in situation.
Good luck.
Thanks
StoxWare team
Trading Idea: BloomZ Inc. (NASDAQ: BLMZ) | 12 November 2024Animation audio specialist BLMZ has recently showed a consolidation trend with a diminishing selling pressure (as indicated by volume). We see this as a potential start of a trend reversal, on the basis where BLMZ is able to sustain above its current key support level of $0.760. Regardless, we see this as a low risk trade as this support has been tested over multiple times in the past weeks, and we think this is a good chance for traders with zero position.
We rate "Trading BUY" for BLMZ based on the current junction.
"En Route to Recovery" - EuroSports Global Ltd. (SGX: 5G1)Based on our observation, EuroSports Global has been showing signs of recovery alongside with a sign of collection (as indicated by the MCDX indicator), while RSI shows a neutral-positive upwards trend. Currently, EuroSports is challenging its key resistance at S$0.200, with a potential to challenge higher upon breaching the resistance, while key support remains at S$0.160 as tested multiple times over the past week.
We keep a "BUY" rating for EuroSports Global, given the encouraging momentum the share price is showing.