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BTC.D - Market Update 30.09Hello Traders! On the Bitcoin Dominance chart, there was a second test of the 40.12 support level In case the market starts recovering, after correcting to Bitcoin's $46000 - $48000 we may see a significant recovery in altcoin prices as well. This situation will be reflected on the dominance chart by a second attempt to break the support level of 40.12 Bitcoin is currently trading in a wide $40900 - $50500 price range. Continued trading in this range gives chances for an altcoin to rise and decline dominance into the 36.28 - 40.12 zone. The 36.28 - 40.12 range acted as a reversal zone in the 2017 rally. Therefore, altcoin holders should be cautious. Bitcoin's exit beyond the $50500 resistance level could be a trigger for a new rally because at that time, all the money will start to flow into the index. Good luck and watch out for the market P.S. This is an educational analysis that shall not be considered financial advice
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DLong
by UnknownUnicorn10064030
Can MNKD be heading for a run up to $8.40'sMNKD has been consolidating for want seems to be forever, but since April of 2020 it's been catching a little bit of a pump which peaked sometime in March of this year. Since then it has created a symmetrical triangle. On its own a symmetrical triangle does not mean much, but if we look at other indicators like the weekly 200 MA, together with the RSI and the price action, we can try to put something together. What is showing us it that the price has been able to close above the 200 weekly MA for over 15 weeks in a roll. At the same time the 50 EMA on the weekly chart seems to be getting close to going over the 200 EMA and forming a GOLDEN CROSS. This still has not been confirmed, but as long as MNKD price can stay over $3.86, there is a good chance a run up to $8.90's is very possible.
NASDAQ:MNKDLong
by TheKingOfAces
Long Term Passive Investing, Buy the DipAnybody who invests with a long term outlook in mind (20 years +) needs to be able to handle significant draw down and volatility within their investment and resist the urge to increase or trim their positions. As has been observed and proven multiple times by almost every member of the trading and investing community, attempting to time the market without a clear, defined and proven strategy is a guaranteed way to loose money. For this reason if you invest based on the long term fundamental indicators of a company, index, currency, commodity etc, you need to ensure you remain in the market long enough to see the returns on your investment eventuate, unless of course the fundamental picture changes. This brings me to buying the dip. Most investors do not have the capital to make large single purchases of for example an SP500 tracking ETF such as the SPY. For this reason they will usually invest small amounts, weekly, monthly or quarterly. While this is an effective strategy and one that has proven to produce sizeable returns over the long run, its effectiveness can be improved by using simple technical indicators to concentrate your investments near the market lows rather than at random price levels as they happen to coincide with your regular investment timeline. In addition to their regular contributions it can be a useful strategy for an investor to consult an oscillator such as stochastics, rsi, williams %R, or a mean reversion indicator such as bollinger bands and allocate a percentage of their regular contribution to purchase additional equity when these indicators enter oversold levels. This is not designed to time the market as these indicators are by no means affective trading strategies on there own, but they will allow long term investors the ability to capture an extra few percentage points of ROIC by concentrating their purchases at lower price levels. *Not a recommendation to buy or sell, simply for educational purposes*
AMEX:SPY
by MarkE
DASHUSDT TECHNICAL ANALYSIS If the candle couldn’t reach out $191.2 today and If the candles stay below to downtrend line, it may lose more value and fell down till support line ( around $110.7 ). I’m still bearish at the moment and MA changed direction as well. If we have some DASH in our hands at the moment, we may need to sell it. We got SELL signal on August 30th, 2021 from @EngineeringRobo, I sold it in those day and if you sold when we got the signal too, you could save over 37%. “NFA”
by ABSTOCKER
S&P500 | Quite an Important Day For Short-term Movements.S&P500 has got the "deepest" correction since March 2021. Do we see even lower prices? In my opinion, it depends on today's candle close. As you can see the 50EMA (orange line) has held the price really nicely after corrections from last year's September-October. We haven't seen two consecutive Daily candle closes below that - just one candle close below 50EMA and rejections back upwards to capture new ATH. Yesterday the price of SP500 touched the EMA100, which has held the price since June 2020 and got a quite solid rejection from it. Futures are promising and if we can see push back above 4430 then there are quite a high odds that we are going to do it again - printing a new AHT. If not... For me to observe today's candle is quite important because if it closes below EMA50 and below 4400 it increases the odds that we might see lower prices and we may see a bit deeper correction. Just be cautious or just be ready to grab something from lower prices ;) What do grab or what to wait for - maybe you can find something from HERE Regards, Vaido
U
by VaidoVeek
4
Do Not Expect the Next Tencent or Alibaba to Come from ChinaAntitrust, reform in education, real estate and medical care policies, Common Prosperity... all of these show that China is undergoing earth-shaking change. These changes have brought large uncertainty, making many investors afraid to invest in Chinese projects and companies. However, over the next decade, China sure will become the world's largest economy. How to better understand the opportunities and risks of the Chinese market and deal with certainty and uncertainty is a crucial problem. EqualOcean launched a series of research, China's Future Investment Watch, hoping to provide clues for global investors. It is said that one of the most regrettable decisions of Richard Li, PCCW chairman and son of Li Ka-Shing, was not investing in Tencent in 2000. Indeed, the Tencent-led 2C Internet giants, such as Alibaba, Baidu, DiDi, Meituan, and ByteDance, experienced a golden age from 2000 to 2014 and have an increasing influence in China, resembling FAANG (Facebook, Apple, Amazon, Netflix, and Google) in the United States. Some of the companies are now deeply rooted in Chinese life and help their investors make impressive gains. However, we believe that the investment logic of China has changed currently, and investors who plan to invest in China now or in the future should know the new logic behind recent events. We will display the changes in three aspects: political, economic, and people. New tones in the Chinese political environment First of all, we think the Chinese political environment has changed, especially in the past four years. Since the advent of 'Modern Times' in China, the Chinese have been adhering to a rising belief in 'Industry Salvation' – or the transformation of the whole country through industrial advances. Therefore, the Chinese government has been focusing on supporting the development of the traditional industrial business in the first decade of the 21st century to raise the country's manufacturing power and quickly improve its international competitiveness. At the same time, the Chinese government has been looking upon the Internet as a relatively inefficient investment environment, and Internet companies receive little support officially. Unable to receive domestic help, Internet companies have to turn to VC/PE in developed countries or even go for cross-border IPOs. Owing to the capital support from VC/PE in the developed market and the neglect of policies, the Internet industry has experienced a long period of 'barbaric' growth. Many companies have begun to stand out during this time, such as the well-known Alibaba, Baidu, and Tencent. Finally, from about 2013 to 2014, the Chinese government realized the advent of the digital age and the importance of the Internet. However, as the Internet is an emerging industry for China and the development path of other countries is difficult to learn from, Chinese regulators have been paying attention to finding a balance between growth and structural optimization. Between 2013 to 2017, we believe that China paid more attention to the growth side of the Internet instead of setting restrictions to optimize the structure of the Internet industry. Many policies can testify to the point; in November 2014, during the First World Internet Conference, the Chinese premier, Keqiang Li, pointed out that the Internet is a new tool for the Mass Entrepreneurship and Innovation national strategy; in June 2015, the China Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) issued a notice to lift foreign ownership restrictions in the e-commerce sector, while the China State Council issued guidance to encourage the development of cross-border e-commerce companies simultaneously. However, since late 2017, the Chinese government has changed its focus to acting as the Internet's support in terms of industrial (and technology) and legal compliance for Internet-related companies (the structural optimization side). Since November 2017, the policy document issuance has evolved to combine Internet concepts with general industrial and put forward concepts of 'Internet plus Advanced Manufacturing and Industrial Internet'; these were still being emphasized in official documents up to 2021. At the same time, the 2020 Central Economic Work Conference proposed 'strengthening antitrust and preventing disorderly capital expansion' as one of the key tasks in 2021. In December 2020, Alibaba, Tencent, and Hive Box Technology were punished, and the State Administration of market supervision also investigated Alibaba for creating a suspected monopoly. In March 2021, the State Administration of market supervision made administrative punishment decisions targeting many Internet giants, including Alibaba, Tencent, JD.COM, ByteDance, and Meituan. In general, the emergence of large Internet companies such as Tencent and Alibaba was largely due to the neglect and laissez-faire of national policies from 2000 to 2013. More importantly, the neglect of policies has led to chaos in the industry, such as unfair competition, 996 culture, and P2P lending scams. With the endless emergence of reform policies, Internet companies have gradually recovered from the 'barbaric' growth stage to arrive at a relatively normal growth stage. GDP growth driver becoming ineffective in the next decade Second, the growth pattern of Chinese GDP in the past two decades is also a driver. In economics, GDP is defined as: GDP = Consumption + Investment + Government Spending + Net Exports (GDP = C + I + G + NX). After China joined the WTO in 2001, for a long time, China's economic growth mainly depended on official investment and trade surplus. Relying on the whole industrial chain system and developed light industry, China ushered in seven years of high GDP growth from 2001 to 2007. However, such a growth mode is criticized by other economies because it relies too much on the I and NX. High net export indicates a high dependence upon foreign trade, and the excessive investment made by governments causes serious overcapacity, resources wasting, and environmental damage. These are the problems currently being solved by China, which proposes to increase the proportion of consumption-driven growth (which is much higher in developed countries). The slowdown of economic growth is one of the consequences. This is also the main reason why China has asked for speed reduction in recent years. Besides, China's economy grew into the world's second-largest economy one decade ago. It is difficult to maintain a high growth rate with such a large GDP base. Then from 2007, the GDP growth showed a downtrend. We believe that the GDP growth rate change is an important reason for the rapid expansion of Internet companies from a valuation standpoint. As we all know, Discounted cash flow method (DCF) is often used by fund managers as an absolute valuation tool. One of the important parameters is the terminal growth rate, and the countries' GDP growth rate is used as the reference for this rate. The decline in terminal growth rate means an increase in valuation, even if the companies' operating remains consistent. We mentioned that China's GDP growth rate has been declining since 2007, which means that downward GDP boosted Internet companies' valuation, especially overseas-listed companies. We believe that this indirectly accelerates the development of Internet giants. Nevertheless, we think GDP growth has stabilized within 5% to 6% level since the pandemic 2020, and China also said that it no longer pays attention to growth figures. We believe that in the past, the driving effect of downward GDP growth has gradually disappeared. The valuation of the Internet industry is gradually returning to rationality and it is difficult to reproduce the explosive growth. From the 2C era to the 2B era Third, To-Consumer (2C) companies' losing of competitive advantage is also a factor behind the change of the investing logic. In the past two decades, the most well-known players have been all the 2C companies. Such companies mainly gain profit from individual consumers, either directly (self-operated e-commerce and individual services) or indirectly (advertising and commission). Before 2017, the vast majority of Internet companies actually growth along with growing traffic. In other words, part of the company's growth came from the growth of customers and Chinese Internet users. However, with the number of Chinese Internet users reaching the ceiling (the growth rate of 2C companies' customers is slowed down). The companies that were previously relying on user growth need to change their strategies in order to achieve further development. Therefore, many companies have chosen the road of horizontal development, accelerating financing acquisition and marching other industries. There are many temporary winners, such as Tencent and Alibaba. Though it seems like the only way they can take when user bases reaching the ceiling (The penetration rate has grown to over 70%, as chart shows), we do not think all horizontal development 2C companies will succeed because it is hard for such companies to maintain their existing advantages in such a way. Hainan Airlines (HNA) is a bad example. In 2003, HNA began to implement diversified strategic transformation – that is, a horizontal development strategy. After the crisis in 2008, HNA began to accelerate overseas acquisitions. From a single local air transportation enterprise, it has developed into a giant operating in dozens of industries such as air travel, modern logistics, science, and technology. In its heyday, the company had assets of up to CNY 2.5 trillion, ranking 170 in the world, and owned the equity of many well-known companies, such as Hilton Hotels, Deutsche Bank, and Virgin Australia. However, the company's horizontal development over the years has brought high liabilities and serious liquidity problems, even default problems. Finally, in January 2021, the HNA Group went bankrupt. Except for HNA, many other giants also suffer from the same problems, such as Wanda Group and Anbang Group. Based on all these events, we think 2C will find it hard to maintain its previous high growth in the next decade, beginning in 2021. In contrast, To-Business (2B) companies do not charge from individual customers and do not rely on the traffic-oriented business model. A significant reason why investors did not favor 2B companies before 2017 is that s2Cks prices rose slowly, which was not in line with the rapid capital increase desired by Chinese and foreign VC/PE. However, when the growth of 2C companies slows down, the values of 2B companies may become understood. We believe that 2B companies will become a new direction for China's development in the future. In other words, it is not easy to see such fast-growing 2C companies as Pinduoduo in China in the next decade. Heading toward a semi-developed market In conclusion, on the one hand, we believe that the standardization of policies, the decline of economic growth, and Internet users' situations all indicate the development phase of China: the Chinese market is switching from an emerging market to a semi-developed market. Moreover, based on observation of the macro and micro levels, we believe that this trend is happening rapidly and irreversibly. On the other hand, we believe that China is learning lessons from Germany now rather than the United States. Germany has many hidden world champions in different micro-sectors, such as Hauni Maschinenbau and JF Hillebrand. This is also in line with China's Specialization, Refinement, Differentiation, Innovation of SMB strategy – that is, to support technically advanced small and medium-sized companies who focus on specific markets, rather than diversify giants that covering many different businesses such as Alibaba and Tencent. Bottom line For investors, based on the above analysis, we still firmly believe that China is a market worthy of investment. However, the logic of investing in China has changed, and small and medium-sized Chinese companies with core technology (potential invisible world champions) may become high-quality investment targets in the future.
NYSE:BABA
by EqualOcean
Btc; investment idea and heavy supportsHello everyone As some of you know I use the % wallet strategy and I also like to explain my "layered investments" or Dollar cost average (dca) as some like to call it. Anyway, we are currently holding about 34% crypto. Most of this was bought at 30k, 40k or even lower (1 year ago) but our most recent buys were at 45k zone. This were also alts (some of which are still in good profits: dot, lyxe, waves fully sold) The next zones where I am aiming for are described in the chart. I will be aiming for the 40-42k zone (where everyone aims for) But a heavy buy is also under this at the (red square) 38k zone! Reason is 0.618 fib Ending with the 0.5 fib zone: 35-36k. Also a bigger buy. For now I want to reserve 49% stablecoins for a possible bearish leg, a lot has happened this year.. a lot of whaleplay too. The moneyprinter in the USA keeps printing and the SPX looks dangerously high. For this reason I am not going full bull atm. 51% is already a heavy investment for me. If we go up from one of the zones and if things look more relaxed I will happily invest another 10% of the stablecoins. Also I do not expect to hit zone 35k or even 38k, but who knows :-) we could be lucky! can always invest extra later if we go up from here (45k). We got time enough since we sold 51500 past week and 64k a couple of months ago. Overall.. I am feeling super bullish on crypto, but we simply can not turn a 100% blind eye to the stock markets as they are right now. As we like to say in the south of Holland "Everything beautiful knows an end". (Aan al het moois komt een einde). I believe. Haven't heard this saying for ages hahah. Anyway, don't skip on investing right now but do reserve some funds for the 42k or even 38k zone. Invest heavily and we will probably swim in crypto money in a few weeks. If not: we are all rekt because of stocks; we simply hodl and wait for another 4 years while buying the 25k minus dip with the rest of our 49% stablecoins (or less if we decided to fomo in some more in the coming weeks :-) )
Long
by Bitcoinleverage
LINA/USDT - potential 210% setupHello Traders! LINA price is currently in the main trading range of $0.03000 - $0.05320 After the correction, we can expect a re-entry upwards and the continuation of the movement to update the price highs. Buy entry can be observed in two ranges : 1) from the current levels between $0.04400 - $0.05320 2) in case of correction continuation of $0.03000 - $0.03670. Stop-loss can be placed under the price level of $0.02400. The targets for continuation of ascending movement: $0,07200 $0,09300 $0,11400 Good luck and watch out for the market P.S. This is an educational analysis that shall not be considered financial advice
Long
by UnknownUnicorn10064030
4
XTZUSDT TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Tezos (XTZ) has gained over 29% last 24 hours and we got some signal from our robo advisor. The candle already break out down trendline and resistance line and still staying above to up trend line. If new candle stay above the resistance line (this mean resistance line will may change to support line) and next candle open close completely above the down trend line, it may some opportunities for buy. But we need to do really careful on our trade as well. Let’s follow our chart closely. “NFA”
by ABSTOCKER
SAND Investment Analysis 07-09-2021 by TheSocialCryptoClubGood evening everyone! We present an analysis on the SAND asset. Fundamentals : For those who don't know, SAND is a token related to the world of NFT Gaming and will be used to buy and sell items, land and more in the SandBox Game metaverse. The gaming industry was one of the few that held up very well during the corona crisis, and the rise of play to earn games is totally changing the gaming paradigm around the world. SandBox is a very interesting project, with a solid structure behind it, a populous universe of gamers, game makers and asset creators since before the project was launched. As seen with Axie Infinity (AXS) this could be a great medium to long term investment opportunity. The long term outlook remains always bullish even in view of the release of the game, of which many major players in the crypto world, for example Binance , ATARI , Square Enix , have already purchased multiple lots of land in order to create levels of the metaverse and consequently have a return linked to the amount of players who will play it. Technical Analysis : As we can see the token has suffered, like the rest of the sector, a steep decline due to the May dump. Recovering thanks to the news on the game, we can see that a definite ascending channel was formed with the formation of a triangle that was broken towards new highs. Currently we are in price discovery and it is not advisable to start an accumulation plan, but as visible from the volumetric profile, it is possible to identify a new POC in formation. Below it there is a strong volumetric gap that could lead the price towards the retest at the base of the channel coinciding with the break out levels of the triangle. If this does not hold we could return to the levels of the previous poc. Also the CryptoFall indicator confirms that these levels are important for the price right in the area between 0.382 and 0.618. This area could be interesting for a series of equidistant orders of small equal amount to make a well dosed accumulation plan on the depth of an eventual retracement. Thanks for your attention and happy to support the TradingView community!
SLong
by TheSocialCryptoClub
15
BTC September Historic dataLooking at the past doesn't guarantee certainty for the future, but it can give us a good idea of what might happen. Looking into the price action of the last 8 years of Bitcoin's history, we can see that the performance is not that great. The price action in September has been either sideways, or sideways with some downwards momentum. Comparing the historical data to predict the future, it's possible that mean reversion strategies could yield good performance while challenging the trend following strategies. On the other hand, in the past, we don't see high values of market noise which is great for breakout strategies. If we dig deeper into the lower time-frames there are clear trends and smaller breakouts. (This would be another opportunity for lower time frame strategies). September will be an outstanding test for the different strategies because market cycles, so far, have shown different behavior than in prior years. Pre-Sep 2021 Insights: BTC didn't have a significant rally since the dump of May/June, however, there is RSI divergence (slowing momentum), and MACD was still bearish; on the other hand, BTC will face the ATH wall soon. Last year, before September we had a strong move that ended up with a correction and choppy market conditions in September. There are some similarities between pre-September of 2021 and the other years, for example, RSI divergence, strong moves in prior months. It will be interesting to see how it will play out and if the similarities will keep up. Explanation per Year: 2020 In 2020 after the March dump, BTC had a strong rally until August and September was the cooling-off of that move. Also, the RSI continued making lower highs while the price was making higher highs, giving the indication of a trend reversal. 2019 Sept 2019 had a different story but the outcome was kind of similar. Dec2018 to March 2019 we saw the accumulation phase after the bear market and when the price started to move the rally was almost vertical; Vertical moves are emotional moves and normally don't last long. September arrived while prices keep falling to make higher highs and end up with a dump in September. The market structure from 2019 differs from 2020 but the outcome is similar, sideway-move and/or crash 2018 In 2018 we came from the 17 Dec 2017 ATH right at the end of the bear market. Price tried to break the EMA21 week and failed, giving continuation to the bear market. Price once again was choppy after a small rally confirming EMA21 week as resistance (once again). 2018 situation was different from 2020 and 2019 but the September outcome was similar. 2017 In 2017 the similarities are probably more noticeable since we were in the middle of the bull market preparing for the last move. On the other hand, in 2017 there was no death cross and we didn't see the price action going below the EMA21 week, not MA 200. The move from March to August was strong, way stronger than in 2021, but we had the correction here and the RSI divergence was there as well. 2016 In 2016 BTC was right in the middle of the bull market and after a rally, the price came to the mean support areas and consolidate over September after a good V shape recovery.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Tuned_Official