IPO
$SGTX is giving a GREAT IPO LONG opportunity todayIPO intraday trading strategy idea
Sigilon Therapeutics is a biopharmaceutical company that engages in the research and development of therapeutic treatments for a wide range of chronic diseases.
The share price is rising and gonna continue this trend today.
The demand for shares of the company still looks higher than the supply.
These and other conditions can cause a rise in the share price today.
So I opened a long position from $24,20;
stop-loss — $21,30;
take-profit — $32,90.
Do not view this idea as a recommendation for trading or investing. It is published only to introduce my own vision.
Always do your own analysis before making deals. When you use any materials, do not rely on blind trust.
You should remember that isolated deals do not give systematic profit, so trade/invest using a developed strategy.
If you like my content, you can subscribe to the news and receive my fresh ideas.
Airbnb — 30% Yield Potential for the Most Anticipated IPO 2020Airbnb, the world-famous online platform for finding and renting private housing around the world, is launching its IPO on December 9. Since its inception, the platform has catered to over 825M customers.
Airbnb IPO: Key Facts
IPO Date: December 9
IPO Cap: USD 28B
Number of Post-IPO Shares: 596.39M
Shares for IPO: 51.90M
IPO Size: USD 2.44B
Starting Price: USD 44 to USD 50 per share
Target Price: USD 65 per share
Underwriters: Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs
Potential Market
The company estimates its potential market at $3.4T, of which $1.80T accounts for short-term stay or rent.
The core competition includes Booking Holdings (Booking.com, KAYAK, Priceline.com, and Agoda.com), Expedia Group (Expedia, Vrbo, HomeAway , Hotels.com, Orbitz, and Travelocity), Trip.com Group (Ctrip.com, Trip.com, Qunar, Tongcheng-eLong, and SkyScanner), Meituan Dianping, Fliggy (Alibaba) Despegar, MakeMyTrip, Marriott, Hilton , Accor, Wyndham, and InterContinental, among others.
Financial Figures
In 2018, Airbnb's earnings increased by 43%, in 2019, 32%, while over the nine months of 2020, the earnings went down by 32% due to the pandemic.
The EBIT margin reached -3% in 2017, 1% in 2018, -10% in 2019, and -19% over the nine months of 2020.
The main reason for the rising spending and lower margin is the development cost growth: 16% of earnings in 2018 compared to 20% in 2019 and 27% over the nine months of 2020; the G&A reached 13% in 2018, 15% in 2019, and 17% in January to September 2020.
Forecast
The upside potential may reach 30% of the starting price ($50).
The FCFF model projects a net worth estimate of $39.064B, taking into account the conservative values. The target price is at $65 per share, with a 30% yield potential.
Airbnb — 30% Yield Potential for the Most Anticipated IPO 2020Airbnb, the world-famous online platform for finding and renting private housing around the world, is launching its IPO on December 9. Since its inception, the platform has catered to over 825M customers.
Airbnb IPO: Key Facts
IPO Date: December 9
IPO Cap: USD 28B
Number of Post-IPO Shares: 596.39M
Shares for IPO: 51.90M
IPO Size: USD 2.44B
Starting Price: USD 44 to USD 50 per share
Target Price: USD 65 per share
Underwriters: Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs
Potential Market
The company estimates its potential market at $3.4T, of which $1.80T accounts for short-term stay or rent.
The core competition includes Booking Holdings (Booking.com, KAYAK, Priceline.com, and Agoda.com), Expedia Group (Expedia, Vrbo, HomeAway, Hotels.com, Orbitz, and Travelocity), Trip.com Group (Ctrip.com, Trip.com, Qunar, Tongcheng-eLong, and SkyScanner), Meituan Dianping, Fliggy (Alibaba) Despegar, MakeMyTrip, Marriott, Hilton, Accor, Wyndham, and InterContinental, among others.
Financial Figures
In 2018, Airbnb's earnings increased by 43%, in 2019, 32%, while over the nine months of 2020, the earnings went down by 32% due to the pandemic.
The EBIT margin reached -3% in 2017, 1% in 2018, -10% in 2019, and -19% over the nine months of 2020.
The main reason for the rising spending and lower margin is the development cost growth: 16% of earnings in 2018 compared to 20% in 2019 and 27% over the nine months of 2020; the G&A reached 13% in 2018, 15% in 2019, and 17% in January to September 2020.
Forecast
The upside potential may reach 30% of the starting price ($50).
The FCFF model projects a net worth estimate of $39.064B, taking into account the conservative values. The target price is at $65 per share, with a 30% yield potential.
$KNTE is giving a GREAT IPO LONG opportunity todayIPO intraday trading strategy idea
Kinnate Biopharma is a biopharmaceutical company focused on the discovery and development of small molecule kinase inhibitors for difficult-to-treat, genomically defined cancers.
The share price is rising and gonna continue this trend today.
The demand for shares of the company still looks higher than the supply.
These and other conditions can cause a rise in the share price today.
So I opened a long position from $42,89;
stop-loss — $39,89;
take-profit — $51,89.
Do not view this idea as a recommendation for trading or investing. It is published only to introduce my own vision.
Always do your own analysis before making deals. When you use any materials, do not rely on blind trust.
You should remember that isolated deals do not give systematic profit, so trade/invest using a developed strategy.
If you like my content, you can subscribe to the news and receive my fresh ideas.
API over 42.15Agora.io is a developer platform for integrating video and voice connectivity into applications based in Shanghai, China. This name is turning up from oversold conditions and testing the descending trend line. Major fibs, price action, and volume profile provides a nice entry over 42.15. A second, more conservative entry is over 48.
Airbnb (ABNB): Everything You Need to Know for the IPOAirbnb is an online rental marketplace for lodging, home stays, and tourism experiences.
The company does not own any real estate listings, but offers a platform through which people can take part in the sharing economy.
Airbnb announced its filing for an initial public offering (IPO) in August.
In this analysis, we’ll be going over everything investors need to know about the IPO, and my own insight on whether this is a golden opportunity.
Most of the information provided below is based on the S1 Airbnb Submitted to the SEC.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. This is meant for educational and entertainment purposes only.
Business Model
- Airbnb connects hosts who are willing to provide room, with guests
- Airbnb profits from charging a service fee to both the host and the guest
- While it initially started off as hosts providing bedrooms, the company has managed to find and expand on different types of lodges.
- Airbnb is well known for its systematic operations; they have a unique guest/host review system, rules regarding cancellations and deposits, and is oriented and focused on building a community.
Counterparts Cases
- Airbnb’s counterparts include companies like Expedia group (EXPE) and Booking Holdings (BKNG)
- It’s important to take into consideration the growing competitiveness within the booking market.
- Unlike Airbnb, both Expedia group and Booking Holdings are reporting solid earnings as their operating profits increase yoy.
- TripAdvisor (TRIP), which reported $156m in revenue for 2019 and an operating profit of $18.7m, while small, is another example of companies competing against Airbnb
- However, to be fair, these companies also all fell victim to the Covid-19 pandemic.
IPO Information
- The company will be listed on the NASDAQ exchange under the ticker ABNB
- The specific date of the IPO and price per share is yet to be officially announced.
Financials
- Due to Covid-19, the company’s revenue and profitability plummeted in 2020.
- Q2 2020 revenue was $350m, which is a 67% compared to Q2 2019, which recorded a quarterly revenue of over a billion.
- These numbers are less than half of the reported revenue for Q1 2020, of $842m
- As a result, the company’s valuation dropped from $31b to $18b.
- The fact that the company is not profitable yet is also quite fatal.
- In 2017 and 2018, there was a lot of hype around the company as they showed positive numbers for their EBITDA (earnings before interests, taxes, depreciation, and amortization)
- But, the company has been reporting inconsistent revenue ever since, and their sales and marketing
- As of September 30 2020, the company has $2.6b in cash, which is more than numbers reported for cash and cash equivalents in 2019 and 2018.
- Nonetheless, this is way below their short term net liabilities of $4.38b, which is considered a warning sign in terms of financial stability.
- Additionally, they have $1.8b in long term debt as well.
- Taking all of this into consideration, we could make an educated guess that Airbnb is trying to seek for funds through this IPO.
- It has already undergone its Series F investments, and is a unicorn company (a private company with a valuation over $1b), which makes it difficult to receive any further meaningful investments.
Covid-19 Impact
- Airbnb is part of the industry that was arguably most heavily affected by the Covid-19 pandemic
- They had a net 4.1m cancellations in March, when fear regarding Covid-19 peaked.
- I’ve mentioned this in a previous analysis, but Covid-19 has fundamentally changed the way we live forever
- As a result, Airbnb’s goal of creating a community of hosts and guests has faced a huge obstacle, as people prefer to stay at hotels, which involve lower risk of Covid-19 infections.
- Thus, whether people would want to travel via Airbnb after the pandemic is solved still remains extremely murky, as clear solutions to the current situation are yet to be proposed.
- Unlike other large tech companies, Airbnb lacks the cash to endure a long phase of hardship.
- Due to the impact of Covid-19, the company has laid off over 1,900 employees to cut costs.
Historical Cases
- We have seen other companies within the sphere of the sharing economy take part in IPOs that have failed miserably
- Companies such as Uber Technologies (UBER) and Lyft (LYFT) are prime examples. (Refer to the charts on the right)
- They were provided multiples way above their actual value, and their stock prices eventually fell way below the IPO price.
- WeWork, once valued at $47b, failed its IPO due to massive debt and shaky corporate structures, and is now valued at $2.9b
- Given past cases of other tech companies within the realm of the sharing economy having undergone failed IPOs due to overvalued multiples, it’s important to consider why Airbnb might be exempt from this case.
Mike’s Insight
In summary, while Airbnb’s listing is arguably the most important IPO of 2020, investors need to consider all possible factors before participating in the IPO. Its growing number of users suggest that the business is on the right track over the long run, but is faced with a serious external risk that the company has no control over. As this risk extends throughout time, the more damaging it is to the fundamentals of the business, thus providing room for investors to reconsider the proper valuation of the company. In my humble opinion, given that the company goes public at a $30b valuation, I think we’d see prices drop sharply after the IPO. Nonetheless, I could consider adding it to my portfolio as we see clearer signs of the world recovering from the coronavirus.
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$NGMS is giving a GREAT IPO LONG opportunity todayIPO intraday trading strategy idea
NeoGames is a technology-driven provider of end-to-end iLottery solution.
The share price is rising and gonna continue this trend today.
The demand for shares of the company still looks higher than the supply.
These and other conditions can cause a rise in the share price today.
So I opened a long position from $22,77;
stop-loss — $20,38;
take-profit — $29,94.
Do not view this idea as a recommendation for trading or investing. It is published only to introduce my own vision.
Always do your own analysis before making deals. When you use any materials, do not rely on blind trust.
You should remember that isolated deals do not give systematic profit, so trade/invest using a developed strategy.
If you like my content, you can subscribe to the news and receive my fresh ideas.
Fib channel gives path to 255Taking a different approach with this one and seeing how accurate the fib channel will prove to be. Whether a fib channel or not, price has been traveling in this channel with some exceptions bottoming out or breaking out. Overlaying volume profile indicates its about to find a base over 228-230 and may make its next move from there.
MMED, The Second Psychedelic Stock That Will Reach NASDAQAs some of you have witnessed CMPS IPO climb from 17$ to 43$ in 3 days, most of investors wonder what is the next psychedelic stock that will perhaps result in the same behavior. Of course, a lot of stocks from the psychedelic sector are still penny stocks and mostly Canadian stocks. Penny Stocks are a scary investment to some of you and I completely can relate and understand this. However, remember that around 3-5% of Penny Stocks still can be valuable stocks. But in any case, I am not here to convince you to invest in Penny Stocks or not, I am here to predict which one will rise and will have a very promising returns. The stock that I predict a strong rise called MMED or Mind Medicine, A Canadian penny stock traded on NEO exchange. The stock is a small cap, around 325 Million Dollars. Which leaves us a lot of space for a good long term rise. The stock by the time I write is around a 1.09$ and I am riding this stock from July, where it was around 0.45$. Around 6 weeks ago, MMED announced a NASDAQ up-listing, and rumors speculate that MMED will do a reverse split 4:1 in order to get the minimum price 4$ to be able to up-list on NASDAQ. In my experience, the stock is very reactive to news and rumors, and any announce of good news, will drive the stock 10% up minimum easily. Most of USA investors are not allowed to invest in Penny Stocks from any other exchange than NASDAQ, this is a good opportunity to buy this stock now and retail it on the NASDAQ up-listing to other investors. Of course, everything has a risk, and as MMED says, they do not guarantee to be accepted by NASDAQ, but once there is a confirmation, this stock will very bullish until the date to up-listing. I predict the price will hit minimum 2$ a share before NASDAQ, and once we up-list on NASDAQ, whether there was a reverse split or not, the day of up-listing will drive the stock minimum from 150% to 300% or more.
Edit: I do not take responsibility for any of your investment, strong return always represents a strong risk.
$AVIR is giving a GREAT IPO LONG opportunity todayIPO intraday trading strategy idea
Atea Pharmaceuticals is a biopharmaceutical company engaged in the discovery and development of next-generation therapeutics for severe human viral infections.
The share price is rising and gonna continue this trend today.
The demand for shares of the company still looks higher than the supply.
These and other conditions can cause a rise in the share price today.
So I opened a long position from $30,37;
stop-loss — $26,19;
take-profit — $42,91.
Do not view this idea as a recommendation for trading or investing. It is published only to introduce my own vision.
Always do your own analysis before making deals. When you use any materials, do not rely on blind trust.
You should remember that isolated deals do not give systematic profit, so trade/invest using a developed strategy.
If you like my content, you can subscribe to the news and receive my fresh ideas.
$LESL is giving a GREAT IPO LONG opportunity todayIPO intraday trading strategy idea
Leslie's is the largest and most trusted direct-to-consumer brand in the U.S. pool and spa care industry.
The share price is rising and gonna continue this trend today.
The demand for shares of the company still looks higher than the supply.
These and other conditions can cause a rise in the share price today.
So I opened a long position from $21,30;
stop-loss — $20,30;
take-profit — $24,30.
Do not view this idea as a recommendation for trading or investing. It is published only to introduce my own vision.
Always do your own analysis before making deals. When you use any materials, do not rely on blind trust.
You should remember that isolated deals do not give systematic profit, so trade/invest using a developed strategy.
If you like my content, you can subscribe to the news and receive my fresh ideas.
⚖ deal 181 (2) USA trump - Biden: $130 million for trump!
On Tuesday, November 3, 2020, the US presidential election will be held. The us presidential election is less than a week away, and at first glance, things are not going well for Donald trump-Democrat Joe Biden leads in all national ratings, pulling ahead by 10 or even more points, but if the President in the States was elected by a simple majority of votes, the probability of a trump victory would be quite insignificant. But thanks to the peculiarities of the American electoral system and a combination of several favorable factors, trump has a chance of being re-elected for a second term. Our Fund will bet on trump's victory at a coefficient of 2.86 (this is a chance to make almost +200%) and will tell you why we are doing this.
At the end of the article, we present the last 5 "gold" and several "silver" transactions of the Fund.
Warning! Any bet can lose, so it is important to remember about money management and invest in one transaction no more than what you can lose! We not only describe our own opinion, but also put our funds on it. If you do not hedge the position during the event when it occurs, the results may differ significantly from the Fund's performance! If you have any questions, please send a personal message to the founder Ivan Kuznetsov.
Description before the event
What is the difference between American elections and ours? You probably already know that the us election system differs significantly from the election system in other countries, such as Russia, the CIS, and other European countries. In Russia, to choose a President, it is enough to count the number of votes for each of the candidates, while in the United States, they decided that relying on the will of the entire people is unreliable. An electoral College was created, which currently has 538 members. It is approved at the party conventions of Democrats and Republicans, and according to the results of the votes of these electors (at least 270 votes), the President of the country is elected. As a result, the President is not the candidate for whom the majority of voters voted, but the candidate for whom the majority of States voted (with the exception of Maine and Nebraska, where the laws on the distribution of electoral votes are different). One of the most important components of the American mentality is reading traditions. And we want to draw your attention to this very much. Mentality plays a CRUCIAL role in US elections. In other words, to win the US presidential election, you need to conform to the image of the "American dream" - hard work, use of opportunities, respect for others. "Substitute" this dream for Trump and Biden — who has more matches, he will win. Who was financially successful before running for President? Who respects other countries and doesn't want a war with Russia? Who will solve the most pressing problem of recent months, which is shaking the "American dream"? Now in the United States, all records are broken for diseases and deaths from COVID-19. To solve this problem is to almost win the election.
Most interesting.
As you know, Donald trump got sick with coronavirus a month before the election, and after that, all betting companies stopped betting on the election and closed all lines. But then the quotes returned, but with a clear favorite in the race in the person of John Biden. Such strange coefficients can be explained by the fact that analysts and traders, having learned that trump was ill, immediately began to bet millions of dollars on Biden, thereby bringing down the market (the maximum was 4.0). But today, trump is not only cured of COVID-19, but is going to use his own antibodies (if necessary) to make a vaccine! I do not rule out that on the eve of the election, trump will present the world with a vaccine. Or some advanced pill. At the moment, the United States does not have a 100% panacea for coronavirus, but trump is the person who can solve this issue dramatically. Get sick and get well, exactly one month before the election. It's as if everything is always calculated 5 steps ahead for trump. Or is it just a coincidence? We do not believe in accidents and recommend that you pay attention to the book of the future winner of the presidential election "Think like a champion"! We also recommend watching a good movie "Tail wagging dog" by Barry Levinson to understand how everything works. And most importantly, "icing on the cake", think about how in 2016, Hilary congratulated herself on the victory a week before the election and find the match (thanks for the tip TG)
PS: In any case, put no more that willing to lose, remember the emotion management, capital and system, and know that any idea and the deal can lose!
5 recent gold transactions for Fund (pre-published online, 10% on the transaction):
At the moment, the equity of all positions +3.5% (start of the Fund 24.10.2020)
1) 23.10.2020 (1) Habib-Geiji result +35%
2) 18.10.2020 (0) Rublev-Chorich result +29%
3) 11.10.2020 (0) Djokovic-Nadal result +75%
4) 30.09.2020 (0) PAOK-Krasnodar result +60%
5) 26.09.2020 (0) Adansonia – Costa result +60%
A few recent "silver" deals on the Fund (available to the Fund's partners, 2% per transaction):
at the moment, the equity of all positions is +45.92% (the Fund started working on 13.08.2020)
28.10.2020 (180) Tsitsipas-Struff result +130%
28.10.2020 (179) IPO Atea Phar. (AVIR) result 0% (deal not closed)
26.10.2020 (178) IPO Mavenir plc (MVNR) result 0% (deal not closed)
26.10.2020 (177) IPO Root Inc (ROOT) result 0% (deal not closed)
20.10.2020 (176) Dynamo-Juventus result +122%
25.10.2020 (175) Gombos — Sachko result +150%
25.10.2020 (174) Auger Shvartsman, the result is +38%
25.10.2020 (173) Porto Lived Vincere the result is +0%
If you have any questions about cooperation, write to the founder and Manager Ivan Kuznetsov in personal messages.
Keyword:betfair, trump, election, opportunity, isnaid
$MAX is giving a GREAT IPO LONG opportunity todayIPO intraday trading strategy idea
MediaAlpha enables insurance companies to more effectively connect with consumers through its digital advertising management system.
The share price is rising and gonna continue this trend today.
The demand for shares of the company still looks higher than the supply.
These and other conditions can cause a rise in the share price today.
So I opened a long position from $23,05;
stop-loss — $20,67;
take-profit — $30,19.
Do not view this idea as a recommendation for trading or investing. It is published only to introduce my own vision.
Always do your own analysis before making deals. When you use any materials, do not rely on blind trust.
You should remember that isolated deals do not give systematic profit, so trade/invest using a developed strategy.
If you like my content, you can subscribe to the news and receive my fresh ideas.
$GATO is giving a GREAT IPO SHORT opportunity todayIPO intraday trading strategy idea
Gatos silver is a U.S.-based precious metals production, development, and exploration company with the objective of becoming a premier silver producer.
The share price is falling and gonna continue this trend today.
The demand for shares of the company still looks lower than the supply.
These and other conditions can cause a fall in the share price today.
So I opened a short position from $6,1;
stop-loss — $6,87
information about take-profit will be later (or MOC price as default)
Do not view this idea as a recommendation for trading or investing. It is published only to introduce my own vision.
Always do your own analysis before making deals. When you use any materials, do not rely on blind trust.
You should remember that isolated deals do not give systematic profit, so trade/invest using a developed strategy.
If you like my content, you can subscribe to the news and receive my fresh ideas.