$ABNB is giving a GREAT IPO LONG opportunity todayIPO intraday trading strategy idea
AirBNB is an American vacation rental online marketplace company.
The share price is rising and gonna continue this trend today.
The demand for shares of the company still looks higher than the supply.
These and other conditions can cause a rise in the share price today.
So I opened a long position from $155,00;
stop-loss — $134,00;
take-profit — $218,00.
Do not view this idea as a recommendation for trading or investing. It is published only to introduce my own vision.
Always do your own analysis before making deals. When you use any materials, do not rely on blind trust.
You should remember that isolated deals do not give systematic profit, so trade/invest using a developed strategy.
If you like my content, you can subscribe to the news and receive my fresh ideas.
IPO
DoorDash (DASH): Everything You Need to Know After the IPOThis is my analysis on DoorDash (DASH), written prior to the IPO. Most of the information below is available from the S1 that the company filed to the SEC.
This is not investment advice. This was written for educational purposes only. You are responsible for your investments and trades. Invest at your own risk.
About DoorDash
- DoorDash (DASH) is America’s #1 delivery & takeout platform, covering over 51% of the market share.
- They currently have over 390,000 merchants, 1.8 million users, 1 million delivery workers (dashers), with an average delivery time of 35 minutes.
- During the latest series H, which took place in June 2020, the company raised $400 million, and was valued at $16 billion.
- Main competitors of this firm include Uber Eats (which acquired Postmates for $2.65b), covering 30% of the market share, and Grubhub, which covers 18% of the market share.
IPO (Initial Public Offering)
- DoorDash priced its IPO price at $102 a share
- There was tremendous buy volume as soon as the market opened, with the stock reaching $195 at one point
- The stock closed at $189 yesterday, after a successful IPO
Business Model
- DoorDash charges restaurants a 20% fee on average, for every order made on its platform.
- On top of that, they earn money by charging customers fees for delivery, which normally ranges between $6-8 depending on the distance and current demand.
- They also offer a subscription service – Dashpass – which exempts its users from paying service fees.
- They have an extremely systematic virtuous cycle involving consumers, merchants, and dashers, in which the cycle creates local network effects, economics of scale, and increasing brand affinity.
Financials
- The company has shown tremendous and consistent growth in revenue over the years.
- Nonetheless, they also continue to spend more and more and sales and marketing costs, as well as general administrative costs.
- DoorDash is also one of the many companies that benefited from the Covid-19 Pandemic.
- In 2019, the company generated $885 m in revenue, and in the first nine months of 2020, they generated over $1.9 b.
- While these are extremely impressive numbers, it’s still important to take into account the fact that the company is still not profitable.
- In 2019, they had a net loss of $667 million, and in the first nine months of 2020, they lost $149 million.
- Nonetheless, a company not being profitable is common with unicorns and startups, as they seek growth as their number one target, keeping in mind that profitability follows easily once they dominate the market.
- Another good news is that they currently have more cash and cash equivalents to cover their total liabilities, and thus won’t suffer from issues regarding lack of cash.
- Given the current momentum in the delivery market caused by Covid-19, experts anticipate 2021’s revenue at $5.2 billion, which is a 93% yoy growth rate, with operating profits of $280 million, which is a 23% yoy growth rate.
Risks
- The company might not continue to grow on pace with historical rates
- There is intense competition within the delivery industry
- Reliance on merchants for the success of the platform
- Their focus on expansion might not maximize financial results, and could result in lagging stock prices.
Precedent
- There are precedents of success regarding delivery & takeout platforms in other countries as well.
- Baedal Minjok, South Korea’s largest food delivery app, is in talks of being acquired by Delivery Hero.
- Baedal Minjok is a unicorn, which recorded a revenue of close to $8 billion in 2019.
- Considering that their 2020 records will be even higher, due to the Covid-19 pandemic, we could expect DoorDash to do even better, since it’s the most dominant company of a bigger delivery market.
- Precedent cases demonstrate that the food delivery industry has significant room for growth.
- Nonetheless, considering that Baedal Minjok’s revenue is 8 times higher than that of DoorDash, and yet is valued at $4 billion is quite concerning for DoorDash, as it indicates that the hype and growth potential is factored into its valuation.
Mike’s Insight
In my opinion, I think DoorDash is a company worth looking into. It operates in a solid industry that benefits from the Covid-19 pandemic, and while the growth rate will slow down once the pandemic is over, precedent cases from other countries demonstrate significant room for growth. Nonetheless, since expectations for future growth seem to be factored into the company’s valuation, I’d be cautiously bullish on this company.
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Why RKT not rocketing higher?Bull Case:
Technically:
1. AO divergence
2. Stoch oversold
3. Vol spike
4. Consolidation / Accumulation between 20-21
Fundamentally:
5. Forward P/E 11
6. 60% institutional ownership (croweded?)
Last Earnings results:
-Closed origination volume up 122% year-over-year to a record $89.0 billion
-Increased GAAP net income 506% year-over-year to $3.0 billion
-Announces $1 billion share repurchase authorization
-“Rocket Companies assisted more clients in the third quarter of 2020 than any quarter in our 35-year history,” said CEO Jay Farner.
Bear Case:
I cant find any. You tell me.
Housing is hot now
IPOs are hot too
Why isn't RKT much higher?
$AI is giving a GREAT IPO LONG opportunity todayIPO intraday trading strategy idea
C3.ai deploys artificially intelligent software for business applications,
The share price is rising and gonna continue this trend today.
The demand for shares of the company still looks higher than the supply.
These and other conditions can cause a rise in the share price today.
So I opened a long position from $102,00;
stop-loss — $82,00;
take-profit — $162,00.
Do not view this idea as a recommendation for trading or investing. It is published only to introduce my own vision.
Always do your own analysis before making deals. When you use any materials, do not rely on blind trust.
You should remember that isolated deals do not give systematic profit, so trade/invest using a developed strategy.
If you like my content, you can subscribe to the news and receive my fresh ideas.
$PUBM is giving a GREAT IPO LONG opportunity todayIPO intraday trading strategy idea
PubMatic provides a sell side programmatic advertising platform for publishers and app developers.
The share price is rising and gonna continue this trend today.
The demand for shares of the company still looks higher than the supply.
These and other conditions can cause a rise in the share price today.
So I opened a long position from $29,01;
stop-loss — $24,13;
take-profit — $43,65.
Do not view this idea as a recommendation for trading or investing. It is published only to introduce my own vision.
Always do your own analysis before making deals. When you use any materials, do not rely on blind trust.
You should remember that isolated deals do not give systematic profit, so trade/invest using a developed strategy.
If you like my content, you can subscribe to the news and receive my fresh ideas.
IPO Breakout Long - MAZDOCK --- Bullish FlagHi Aliens,
Here we are with a brand-new price structure of a newly listed company MAZDOCK. After 1.5 months, it has started creating an interesting price structure.
TRADE LONG
===========
BUY above 180-185
STOP LOSS = 170 even u can keep lifetime low as Stop Loss
Target is Open as it's the first time it will be breaking its highs. Hence, it depends on how strongly it breaks 220 levels.
I hope you will benefit from this knowledge.
-MetaVish
$SGTX is giving a GREAT IPO LONG opportunity todayIPO intraday trading strategy idea
Sigilon Therapeutics is a biopharmaceutical company that engages in the research and development of therapeutic treatments for a wide range of chronic diseases.
The share price is rising and gonna continue this trend today.
The demand for shares of the company still looks higher than the supply.
These and other conditions can cause a rise in the share price today.
So I opened a long position from $24,20;
stop-loss — $21,30;
take-profit — $32,90.
Do not view this idea as a recommendation for trading or investing. It is published only to introduce my own vision.
Always do your own analysis before making deals. When you use any materials, do not rely on blind trust.
You should remember that isolated deals do not give systematic profit, so trade/invest using a developed strategy.
If you like my content, you can subscribe to the news and receive my fresh ideas.
Airbnb — 30% Yield Potential for the Most Anticipated IPO 2020Airbnb, the world-famous online platform for finding and renting private housing around the world, is launching its IPO on December 9. Since its inception, the platform has catered to over 825M customers.
Airbnb IPO: Key Facts
IPO Date: December 9
IPO Cap: USD 28B
Number of Post-IPO Shares: 596.39M
Shares for IPO: 51.90M
IPO Size: USD 2.44B
Starting Price: USD 44 to USD 50 per share
Target Price: USD 65 per share
Underwriters: Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs
Potential Market
The company estimates its potential market at $3.4T, of which $1.80T accounts for short-term stay or rent.
The core competition includes Booking Holdings (Booking.com, KAYAK, Priceline.com, and Agoda.com), Expedia Group (Expedia, Vrbo, HomeAway , Hotels.com, Orbitz, and Travelocity), Trip.com Group (Ctrip.com, Trip.com, Qunar, Tongcheng-eLong, and SkyScanner), Meituan Dianping, Fliggy (Alibaba) Despegar, MakeMyTrip, Marriott, Hilton , Accor, Wyndham, and InterContinental, among others.
Financial Figures
In 2018, Airbnb's earnings increased by 43%, in 2019, 32%, while over the nine months of 2020, the earnings went down by 32% due to the pandemic.
The EBIT margin reached -3% in 2017, 1% in 2018, -10% in 2019, and -19% over the nine months of 2020.
The main reason for the rising spending and lower margin is the development cost growth: 16% of earnings in 2018 compared to 20% in 2019 and 27% over the nine months of 2020; the G&A reached 13% in 2018, 15% in 2019, and 17% in January to September 2020.
Forecast
The upside potential may reach 30% of the starting price ($50).
The FCFF model projects a net worth estimate of $39.064B, taking into account the conservative values. The target price is at $65 per share, with a 30% yield potential.
Airbnb — 30% Yield Potential for the Most Anticipated IPO 2020Airbnb, the world-famous online platform for finding and renting private housing around the world, is launching its IPO on December 9. Since its inception, the platform has catered to over 825M customers.
Airbnb IPO: Key Facts
IPO Date: December 9
IPO Cap: USD 28B
Number of Post-IPO Shares: 596.39M
Shares for IPO: 51.90M
IPO Size: USD 2.44B
Starting Price: USD 44 to USD 50 per share
Target Price: USD 65 per share
Underwriters: Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs
Potential Market
The company estimates its potential market at $3.4T, of which $1.80T accounts for short-term stay or rent.
The core competition includes Booking Holdings (Booking.com, KAYAK, Priceline.com, and Agoda.com), Expedia Group (Expedia, Vrbo, HomeAway, Hotels.com, Orbitz, and Travelocity), Trip.com Group (Ctrip.com, Trip.com, Qunar, Tongcheng-eLong, and SkyScanner), Meituan Dianping, Fliggy (Alibaba) Despegar, MakeMyTrip, Marriott, Hilton, Accor, Wyndham, and InterContinental, among others.
Financial Figures
In 2018, Airbnb's earnings increased by 43%, in 2019, 32%, while over the nine months of 2020, the earnings went down by 32% due to the pandemic.
The EBIT margin reached -3% in 2017, 1% in 2018, -10% in 2019, and -19% over the nine months of 2020.
The main reason for the rising spending and lower margin is the development cost growth: 16% of earnings in 2018 compared to 20% in 2019 and 27% over the nine months of 2020; the G&A reached 13% in 2018, 15% in 2019, and 17% in January to September 2020.
Forecast
The upside potential may reach 30% of the starting price ($50).
The FCFF model projects a net worth estimate of $39.064B, taking into account the conservative values. The target price is at $65 per share, with a 30% yield potential.
$KNTE is giving a GREAT IPO LONG opportunity todayIPO intraday trading strategy idea
Kinnate Biopharma is a biopharmaceutical company focused on the discovery and development of small molecule kinase inhibitors for difficult-to-treat, genomically defined cancers.
The share price is rising and gonna continue this trend today.
The demand for shares of the company still looks higher than the supply.
These and other conditions can cause a rise in the share price today.
So I opened a long position from $42,89;
stop-loss — $39,89;
take-profit — $51,89.
Do not view this idea as a recommendation for trading or investing. It is published only to introduce my own vision.
Always do your own analysis before making deals. When you use any materials, do not rely on blind trust.
You should remember that isolated deals do not give systematic profit, so trade/invest using a developed strategy.
If you like my content, you can subscribe to the news and receive my fresh ideas.
API over 42.15Agora.io is a developer platform for integrating video and voice connectivity into applications based in Shanghai, China. This name is turning up from oversold conditions and testing the descending trend line. Major fibs, price action, and volume profile provides a nice entry over 42.15. A second, more conservative entry is over 48.
Support levels for PLTRYou can be bullish and still see that this run needs a correction. Some trend-based fib extensions acting as support below.
Airbnb (ABNB): Everything You Need to Know for the IPOAirbnb is an online rental marketplace for lodging, home stays, and tourism experiences.
The company does not own any real estate listings, but offers a platform through which people can take part in the sharing economy.
Airbnb announced its filing for an initial public offering (IPO) in August.
In this analysis, we’ll be going over everything investors need to know about the IPO, and my own insight on whether this is a golden opportunity.
Most of the information provided below is based on the S1 Airbnb Submitted to the SEC.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. This is meant for educational and entertainment purposes only.
Business Model
- Airbnb connects hosts who are willing to provide room, with guests
- Airbnb profits from charging a service fee to both the host and the guest
- While it initially started off as hosts providing bedrooms, the company has managed to find and expand on different types of lodges.
- Airbnb is well known for its systematic operations; they have a unique guest/host review system, rules regarding cancellations and deposits, and is oriented and focused on building a community.
Counterparts Cases
- Airbnb’s counterparts include companies like Expedia group (EXPE) and Booking Holdings (BKNG)
- It’s important to take into consideration the growing competitiveness within the booking market.
- Unlike Airbnb, both Expedia group and Booking Holdings are reporting solid earnings as their operating profits increase yoy.
- TripAdvisor (TRIP), which reported $156m in revenue for 2019 and an operating profit of $18.7m, while small, is another example of companies competing against Airbnb
- However, to be fair, these companies also all fell victim to the Covid-19 pandemic.
IPO Information
- The company will be listed on the NASDAQ exchange under the ticker ABNB
- The specific date of the IPO and price per share is yet to be officially announced.
Financials
- Due to Covid-19, the company’s revenue and profitability plummeted in 2020.
- Q2 2020 revenue was $350m, which is a 67% compared to Q2 2019, which recorded a quarterly revenue of over a billion.
- These numbers are less than half of the reported revenue for Q1 2020, of $842m
- As a result, the company’s valuation dropped from $31b to $18b.
- The fact that the company is not profitable yet is also quite fatal.
- In 2017 and 2018, there was a lot of hype around the company as they showed positive numbers for their EBITDA (earnings before interests, taxes, depreciation, and amortization)
- But, the company has been reporting inconsistent revenue ever since, and their sales and marketing
- As of September 30 2020, the company has $2.6b in cash, which is more than numbers reported for cash and cash equivalents in 2019 and 2018.
- Nonetheless, this is way below their short term net liabilities of $4.38b, which is considered a warning sign in terms of financial stability.
- Additionally, they have $1.8b in long term debt as well.
- Taking all of this into consideration, we could make an educated guess that Airbnb is trying to seek for funds through this IPO.
- It has already undergone its Series F investments, and is a unicorn company (a private company with a valuation over $1b), which makes it difficult to receive any further meaningful investments.
Covid-19 Impact
- Airbnb is part of the industry that was arguably most heavily affected by the Covid-19 pandemic
- They had a net 4.1m cancellations in March, when fear regarding Covid-19 peaked.
- I’ve mentioned this in a previous analysis, but Covid-19 has fundamentally changed the way we live forever
- As a result, Airbnb’s goal of creating a community of hosts and guests has faced a huge obstacle, as people prefer to stay at hotels, which involve lower risk of Covid-19 infections.
- Thus, whether people would want to travel via Airbnb after the pandemic is solved still remains extremely murky, as clear solutions to the current situation are yet to be proposed.
- Unlike other large tech companies, Airbnb lacks the cash to endure a long phase of hardship.
- Due to the impact of Covid-19, the company has laid off over 1,900 employees to cut costs.
Historical Cases
- We have seen other companies within the sphere of the sharing economy take part in IPOs that have failed miserably
- Companies such as Uber Technologies (UBER) and Lyft (LYFT) are prime examples. (Refer to the charts on the right)
- They were provided multiples way above their actual value, and their stock prices eventually fell way below the IPO price.
- WeWork, once valued at $47b, failed its IPO due to massive debt and shaky corporate structures, and is now valued at $2.9b
- Given past cases of other tech companies within the realm of the sharing economy having undergone failed IPOs due to overvalued multiples, it’s important to consider why Airbnb might be exempt from this case.
Mike’s Insight
In summary, while Airbnb’s listing is arguably the most important IPO of 2020, investors need to consider all possible factors before participating in the IPO. Its growing number of users suggest that the business is on the right track over the long run, but is faced with a serious external risk that the company has no control over. As this risk extends throughout time, the more damaging it is to the fundamentals of the business, thus providing room for investors to reconsider the proper valuation of the company. In my humble opinion, given that the company goes public at a $30b valuation, I think we’d see prices drop sharply after the IPO. Nonetheless, I could consider adding it to my portfolio as we see clearer signs of the world recovering from the coronavirus.
If you like this analysis, please make sure to like the post, and follow for more quality content!
I would also appreciate it if you could leave a comment below with some original insight :)
$NGMS is giving a GREAT IPO LONG opportunity todayIPO intraday trading strategy idea
NeoGames is a technology-driven provider of end-to-end iLottery solution.
The share price is rising and gonna continue this trend today.
The demand for shares of the company still looks higher than the supply.
These and other conditions can cause a rise in the share price today.
So I opened a long position from $22,77;
stop-loss — $20,38;
take-profit — $29,94.
Do not view this idea as a recommendation for trading or investing. It is published only to introduce my own vision.
Always do your own analysis before making deals. When you use any materials, do not rely on blind trust.
You should remember that isolated deals do not give systematic profit, so trade/invest using a developed strategy.
If you like my content, you can subscribe to the news and receive my fresh ideas.
Fib channel gives path to 255Taking a different approach with this one and seeing how accurate the fib channel will prove to be. Whether a fib channel or not, price has been traveling in this channel with some exceptions bottoming out or breaking out. Overlaying volume profile indicates its about to find a base over 228-230 and may make its next move from there.
Bullish uptrendGood name, accessible price, nice uptrend since IPO and looks to have some big % gain days ahead.
MMED, The Second Psychedelic Stock That Will Reach NASDAQAs some of you have witnessed CMPS IPO climb from 17$ to 43$ in 3 days, most of investors wonder what is the next psychedelic stock that will perhaps result in the same behavior. Of course, a lot of stocks from the psychedelic sector are still penny stocks and mostly Canadian stocks. Penny Stocks are a scary investment to some of you and I completely can relate and understand this. However, remember that around 3-5% of Penny Stocks still can be valuable stocks. But in any case, I am not here to convince you to invest in Penny Stocks or not, I am here to predict which one will rise and will have a very promising returns. The stock that I predict a strong rise called MMED or Mind Medicine, A Canadian penny stock traded on NEO exchange. The stock is a small cap, around 325 Million Dollars. Which leaves us a lot of space for a good long term rise. The stock by the time I write is around a 1.09$ and I am riding this stock from July, where it was around 0.45$. Around 6 weeks ago, MMED announced a NASDAQ up-listing, and rumors speculate that MMED will do a reverse split 4:1 in order to get the minimum price 4$ to be able to up-list on NASDAQ. In my experience, the stock is very reactive to news and rumors, and any announce of good news, will drive the stock 10% up minimum easily. Most of USA investors are not allowed to invest in Penny Stocks from any other exchange than NASDAQ, this is a good opportunity to buy this stock now and retail it on the NASDAQ up-listing to other investors. Of course, everything has a risk, and as MMED says, they do not guarantee to be accepted by NASDAQ, but once there is a confirmation, this stock will very bullish until the date to up-listing. I predict the price will hit minimum 2$ a share before NASDAQ, and once we up-list on NASDAQ, whether there was a reverse split or not, the day of up-listing will drive the stock minimum from 150% to 300% or more.
Edit: I do not take responsibility for any of your investment, strong return always represents a strong risk.