IPO
Earnings Stock of the Day: VERIVERI is reporting earnings today and was chosen to remind traders that IPOs are not usually profitable. It is very rare to have a company that IPOs with high profits and revenue. Therefore, IPOs are generally speculative as this stock was. It IPO’d around the summer of 2017 and ran up for a month to a new all-time high. Retail investors and smaller funds drove price upward due to HFT activity and the encouragement of financial advisors. AccumDist shows smaller funds buying speculatively, creating the momentum run of August into September. HFTs created the huge black engulfing candle at the peak. Smaller funds and the retail crowd “bought on the dip” and have lost a lot of money since then. Preferred Clients sold into the speculative gains.
It is now near the low that should provide stability to the downtrend and eventually commence the bottom formation. There is no bottom yet as there is no Dark Pool Buy Zone™ yet.
There are no major companies reporting today. It is all small to mid-cap companies. Earnings Season is in the final days of reporting.
Earnings Stock of the Day: ROKUI started monitoring this stock shortly after it IPO’d as it appeared frequently on the large lot pre market activity list as Dark Pools accumulated this IPO early on. Roku Inc. is in the Communications Services Sector under the Pay TV Industry. It is a new young public company challenging companies like NFLX with a new form of streaming video content for consumers. ROKU reports its earnings today after the market closes. It's stock chart shows it is now in the typical and expected IPO correction pattern. ROKU weekly chart shows it is finding support from the IPO correction that started late December of 2017.
XIAOMI IPO - oh, snap!Many people ask me about my thoughts of Xiaomi IPO and what i think is:
I personally like/love Xiaomi products. But i will skip this IPO and continue specializing on the small tech IPOs.
What i think of IPO as investment:
- Overcrowded (mostly with people who don't participate in IPOs)
- low demand (read latest news, price range reduction).
- its from China (look at falling china indexes - bad IPO timing)
- risk of future in US-market (ZTE-risk, Apple copy-cat etc.)
- no profitability NOW (but really high revenue - is key for future)
Long-term - might be very good (due to really good products), but in that case i will wait for 1 year to see how the market reacts to this stock.
AS a result, please look at Snapchat Chart. Imho it will repeat for the Xiaomi too. First day/week hype - and falling into abyss.
China Mobile: If you have to own 1 name...If you have to own one name today right now, this is IT. Boring old cash rich China Mobile has been trading in this channel since 2009 and this is the 3x time 941 is testing the lower end of the range. There is 5% to pick up before it hits the 1st resistance and potentially +35% if it tests the top of the range. To sweeten the deal, if you hang on till the end of the month, specifically the 25th, the kind folks at China Mobile will cut you a check for 2.1% yield. If you need more convincing, China Mobile owns 38% of China Tower which just filed for a $10bn IPO in HK. State-own IPOs in HK are just like butter on popcorn, nothing will taste better than China Mobile when China Tower starts popping on IPO day.
The Fundamental reason for NIO weaknessNIO's IPO was welcomed with much fan fare but has weak since close of its second day trading. I'm watching a tight 4hr pattern here, but coming across some fundamental information has me leaning bearish on this stock.
As for the fundamental news, the author of the article linked below poses the $12 billion question:
"A question. Is the untested EV startup NIO without its own plant, or manufacturing license, backed by Netease, an internet gaming company, with its $1.67 BV/Sh and $12B market cap, really worth a 60 times higher Market Cap than time tested profitable NASDAQ listed Kandi Technologies, (KNDI) with only a $200 million market cap?"
finance.yahoo.com
LET INSPIRE FROM SPECULATIVE MOUVEMENTJust looked at IPO in switzerland this year. After a speedy scroll I was captured by two projects. Medartis and Sensirion.
Sensirion just mooned and if I had a little more time for stock market it was a clear buy for me.
Now let analyse Medartis.
IPO are tricky. There are differents movement after an IPO and you can enter in a golden egg goose but you can easily be trapped in a bad affair.
Now we can identify some important similarities.
let look at sensirion right.
1) post IPO speculative push
2) overbought corrective sell off
3) shy afflux of investor with a growth within the channel
4) break out of the top.
5) consolidation on the old top
6) explosion $$$$
left Medartis
1-4 are done.
felt 5) consoldation and 6) explosion
Now. I noticed it yesterday and I was concerned to buy or not.
Now is approaching the superior resistance of the channel and is inside a small rising wedge with some bearish divergence on indicators on higher timeframe.
So I decided to stay out and buy a pull back, and I will protect me inbetween with a stop above the channel.
Will it work what I'm telling you?
Maybe. There is a clear difference between this two ideas
Sensirion growth so fast in less time, as sign of strong interest. Medartis is growing but more slowly.
Even if this two movement are similar you can see that in august there were 3 big spike (first before the break out), signaling that someone passed big buy orders.
Medartis is more shy but the break out put him in an interesting situation and the pullback would be for me a clear buy opportunity that I won't miss. From there reevaluation of what happens with easy to place stop loss.
High Reward/Risk ratio
BIO
NIO, IPO, Tesla Competitor? Huge Potential Gains!This was released under IPO price. Im long @ 5.99.
Tesla competitor and much more involved with this company, just no need to go into much detail.
Cant beat under IPO price, and huge long term possibilities with this company.
They may be the first producers of an affordable electric car to start.
This is high risk, as noone knows what could happen.
I have a 100% success rate with IPOs this year so far, just mentioning.
Happy trading , debating, and speculating!