Why is Allbirds stock down 70% since its IPO?Allbirds (NASDAQ: BIRD), the New Zealand footwear company, was listed on the Nasdaq in November 2021 at a starting price of US $21.21 and found a range between US $20 and $30 for one month.
Its mission to create the world's first carbon-neutral shoe brand appealed to investors, perhaps those of the ESG persuasion, who have pushed a record US $650 billion of funds into ESG project in 2021. As noted by the Financial Post, Allbirds mentioned the word "sustainability" 112 times in its IPO filing.
Starting December 2021, up to the time of writing, BIRD stock has plummeted to US $5.99, and its market cap has reduced to US $4 billion from US $900 million. While the company has been performing admirably, as per its quarterly report released on February 23, BIRD's stock price has flown south for the winter, as it's caught up in the same winddown experienced by many other of its growth stock brethren.
Over the past few months, investors have generally turned against growth stocks ever since it became apparent that the US Federal Reserve would be hiking interest rates to combat the countries inflation that is famously at a 40-year high.
Allbirds is firmly in the category of a growth stock and a unique growth stock at that, as its typically eco-conscious customers return less frequently to the Allbirds checkout aisle. This means its growth strategy and attempt to build brand awareness has to be particularly aggressive.
As such, Allbirds is ploughing its cash flow and cash reserves into gaining more customers, opening brick-and-mortar stores, and expanding its apparel range. The company is projecting revenue of US $360 million in the 2022 financial year, a big lift in revenue over 2021, but still expects to make a loss of approximately US $11 million. Interestingly, it should be noted that about US $8 million of this shortfall is attributed to compliance costs associated with becoming a public company.
Even though Allbirds may bootstrap its growth expenses with its cash flow and reserves, it does have US $40 million available under a revolving credit agreement. The cost of borrowing capital moving forward, should it need to meet its aggressive growth strategy, may become increasingly costly in line with the US Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes.
IPO
$CRDO ready to move higher after a great ER?* New IPO with a strong up trend even in this market
* Great earnings report
* Sector: Technology - Communication Equipment
* Relative Strength vs. Sector: 2.62
* Relative Strength vs. SP500: 4.18
* U/D Ratio: 1.07
* Base Depth: 28.05%
* Distance from breakout buy point: 0.31%
* Volume 66.03% above its 15 day average.
* Bullish candle with high volume with a great ER
Trade Idea:
* Now's a great time to enter as the price is just above the breakout level.
US Stock In Play: $USER$USER new IPO name, sitting on VWAP from IPO after breakout (+27%) from its first quarterly ER this week.
this name has built higher lows since late january, rising 10/20MA momentum. key pivot for further strength is at $11.15
Ipo bubbleThis chart shows clearly the ipo bubble we have seen. However if this drops more i would enter a position by selling puts. I expect the trend channel to stay intact
US Stock In Play: $RYAN$RYAN 6mth old insurance name IPO. based off (-12%) the January market weakness and looking to reclaim its ATH close of $40.36. RS is at ATH.
trading above all critical VWAPs, MAs. a trading idea to take on BO for further trending action.
$EDR new highs$EDR is an April 2021 IPO that is trading at fresh ATHs
I am long above $33.20 and will raise my stop if the stock continues to rally
Notably, the IPO ETF, $IPO, is down sharply from highs set in February 2021
US Stock In Play: $FXLV$FXLV still a position that i have yet to trim and size out. it is currently in a cluster of supports (rising 10/20MA, VWAP from high, and classical resistance turned support level).
looking to add this further at $12.65. new IPO stocks (<1yr) tends to dictate its own movement
$IPO/$SPY$IPO ETF strongly outperformed the $SPY from March 2020 to February 2021 but has been very weak ever since
This is a relationship to keep in mind when considering deploying capital to recent $IPOs
On Holding Tries to Reclaim the 50-day SMASwiss sneaker company On Holding went public in mid-September for $24. It peaked near $56 in mid-November following a strong quarterly result and has now pulled back.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the 50-day simple moving average (SMA). ONON broke under that line in on December 13 as the retail sector crashed. But it’s chopped sideways since and yesterday closed back above it.
In the process it managed to reclaim its 8-day exponential moving average (EMA).
Next, ONON’s recent turn occurred near the bottom of the Keltner Channel. Price has also held $34.50, the low of its first trading session.
Third, stochastics are trying to climb back from oversold territory.
Finally, the pullback from the November highs represents a potential ABC correction pattern.
The fundamentals could also interest some investors after management cited “hyper-growth” and “significant pricing power” on its last quarterly call.
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Artificial Intelligent Insurance Upstart Holdings
Leading artificial intelligence (AI) lending platform designed to improve access to affordable credit while reducing the risk and costs of lending for our bank partners. Our platform uses sophisticated machine learning models to more accurately identify risk and approve more applicants than traditional, credit-score-based lending models. They are considered a financial insurance company.
Since its IPO back in December 2020, it has had a 1400% gain.
We are currently at 3 levels of support :
Horizontal support
Uptrend support
61.8% Fibonacci retracement line
****
$VIX is at 28 as I write this, so I advise smaller positions to be able to handle more volatility.
****
NRSN High Volatility IPONeuroSense Therapeutics Ltd. (NRSN) listed yesterday only 2,000,000 shares on NASDAQ Capital at a price of $6.00.
Due to the extremely low liquidity, high volatility is expected.
I rarely see 2Mil shares float in a stock which also dropped from 6usd to 3.83usd in the pre-market right now.
I rate this a Buy!
$HCP is giving a GREAT IPO LONG opportunity todayIPO intraday trading strategy idea
The share price is rising and gonna continue this trend today.
The demand for shares of the company still looks higher than the supply.
These and other conditions can cause a rise in the share price today.
So I opened a long position from $87,73;
stop-loss — $78,95;
take-profit — $114,07/MOC price.
Do not view this idea as a recommendation for trading or investing. It is published only to introduce my own vision.
Always do your own analysis before making deals. When you use any materials, do not rely on blind trust.
You should remember that isolated deals do not give systematic profit, so trade/invest using a developed strategy.
If you like my content, you can subscribe to the news and receive my fresh ideas.
Is Intel Headed for a Bull Market ? (TL;DR @ end)For the past 5 years, NASDAQ:INTC has been through quite the 'ride' of market price. For a good portion of their existence - they ran the multi-core CPU world almost entirely unchallenged. As of about 3 years ago, Advanced Micro Devices ( NASDAQ:AMD ) suddenly emerged from the mist with cheaper, greater performing chips that were idolised by the gaming and high-performance workstation community. While this was happening, Intel was far more interested in the large scale server industry, supplying various high capacity servers to various institutions such as universities and state owned research facilities. The public eye began to look down on Intel. AMD had come up neck and neck with Intel in performance and price yet Intel didn't exactly make their 'best efforts' to get ahead. Inevitably AMD surpassed them and Intel's market price fell.
Although, recently, new developments have come out of Intel (possibly consequent to the COVID pandemic). Last week, they announced the IPO of their daughter company, Mobileye. The IPO is planned for the middle of next year but this drove the stock price up slightly. Furthermore, their biggest rival, AMD has been falling behind both in the graphics card and CPU markets. The release of the 12th generation Alder Lake chips from Intel and the (stated) high performance (supposedly far better than available AMD chips) have also driven the price further up.
Intel also recently stated that they have adjusted their budget for development in desktop and laptop chips which should in theory result in the further production of even better products, even sooner.
So with an optimistic outlook on the company, the value should begin to increase and soon. If you're lucky enough to put money in now and results turn out as expected, COVID restrictions may just settle (due to Omicron not being as much of a threat) and the shortage of hardware across the industry may very well give the price that added 'leg-up'.
For investors and traders, all I would suggest is keeping your eyes peeled and thinking about the possibilities of this market dominated by only 2 companies. As usual, other opinions, facts and news are definitely welcome, so comment away!
TL;DR: Intel has been potentially pulling themselves up through these 3rd and 4th quarters. The release of 12th gen chips and the announcement of the IPO for Mobileye could all lead up to a hefty price climb. Conveniently AMD (biggest competitor) is also having a tough time and to add to this 'stroke of good luck', if COVID restrictions are eased due to the lack of intensity of the omicron, the price could climb higher.
INTC Mobileye Intel's self-driving-car unit IPOThe chipmaker said it would be taking public its Mobileye self-driving-car unit.
The initial public offering of Mobileye in the U.S. is planned for the middle of next year.
The move could value Mobileye at more than $50 billion, Intel being the biggest shareholder.
My short term price target is the 59usd resistance.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
3 Indian IPOs To Watch In 2022India has, in the past, been called the “next China” for possessing some of the same growth potential and investment opportunities. The truthfulness of this claim was supported recently when Chinese authorities began cracking down on its tech sector giants, prompting investors to look elsewhere for a more reliable home for their money. Coincidently, Indian tech companies are currently experiencing a boom, with Paytm (NSE: PAYTM) and Zomato (NSE: ZOMATO) going public in 2021 and producing some of the country’s largest IPOs to date.
While opportunities can be found outside India’s stock exchanges, I want to explore these regulated markets and upcoming IPOs in this article.
India’s stock exchanges
India is home to eight stock markets with its listed companies worth a combined US $3.46 trillion. To put this into perspective, UK listed companies are worth a total of US $3.59 trillion, less than US $100 billion more than the former British colony. By 2024, Indian listed companies are projected to surpass the value of UK companies’ value and hit approximately US $5.00 trillion.
Hosting these companies are the countries well-known exchanges, including the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) and National Stock Exchange (NSE), and the Multi-Commodity Exchange (MCX)
3 Indian IPOs to watch in 2022
Snapdeal IPO
Snapdeal is an Indian e-commerce platform catering to the country’s growing middle class, similar to the US’s Amazon.com (NASDAQ: AMZN) or China’s Alibaba (HKG: 9988).
The Company is said to be ready to file preliminary documents signalling its intent to IPO next year at a valuation of approximately US $1.50 billion. Snapdeal is currently backed by Japan’s Softbank (TYO: 9984) and China’s Alibaba Group, which are expected to continue to hold significant stakes after the Company’s IPO.
Data Patterns (India) IPO
Data Patterns has developed a vast array of electronic systems for the defence and aerospace sectors for the past 35 years.
The Company filed to IPO with regulators in September 2021, expecting to raise ₹700 crores, or US $100 million, to help it repay debt and aid expansion. The funds will assist Data Patterns to deliver on its order book, which has grown by 40.7% over the past four years.
Data Patterns is seeking a valuation of US $340 million when it goes public. However, no official date has been scheduled for its IPO.
MapMyIndia IPO
The digital mapping company, headquartered in Delhi, MapMyIndia, develops mapping technology used by some of the world’s largest companies.
The Company has received approval (as of the last week of November) from the country’s financial authority to go public. MapMyIndia is perhaps the highest-profile Company on this list, with business relationships with US tech giants Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL), Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN) and Uber Technologies (NYSE: UBER), among others.
MapMyIndia is seeking a valuation of US $825 million when it IPOs, which it could do before the end of the year. The Company has expressed that the funds will, in part, be used to lift its marketing, helping it compete with the likes of Google (NASDAQ: GOOGL) and Dutch-based TomTom (AMS: TOM2).
An IPO few are watchingDEN (Denbury Inc) is an oil and gas company that focuses on CO2 enhanced oil recovery. Boring right? I assume that is the reason it has been under the radar, after all, Technology tends to get more attention.
Since September 2020, when it IPO'd, DEN has increased by over 300%.
There are 2 potential measured moves, one by using the horizontal range transposed on top of the current support (purple arrow), and the extended target (light-blue arrow) by using the ascending triangle pattern.
In late June we tested and failed $80 (approximately), since then, we tested the bottom of the horizontal range (purple dashed-line) and are now breaking to all-time highs.
Important Note
Earning are Thursday 4th before the market opens, so we could experience a volatile move.
AHI Advanced Human Imaging | Is this the future?Smartphone-based human scanning technology, with a diverse range of data-driven applications across multiple industries.
AHI, Advanced Human Imaging, uses pictures from smart phone to create a representation in the form of a 3D avatar for health and fitness, life and health insurance, telemedicine/digital health, online apparel, and wellness industries.
My short term price target is 10usd!
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
$LITM is giving a GREAT IPO LONG opportunity todayIPO intraday trading strategy idea
The share price is rising and gonna continue this trend today.
The demand for shares of the company still looks higher than the supply.
These and other conditions can cause a rise in the share price today.
So I opened a long position from $14,23;
stop-loss — $9,91;
take-profit — $27,19/MOC price.
Do not view this idea as a recommendation for trading or investing. It is published only to introduce my own vision.
Always do your own analysis before making deals. When you use any materials, do not rely on blind trust.
You should remember that isolated deals do not give systematic profit, so trade/invest using a developed strategy.
If you like my content, you can subscribe to the news and receive my fresh ideas.
CRSR - Price moving within a descending wedgeHi All, my main 3 take-outs from this analysis are the following:
1- After IPO jump up to 50$ price started consolidating into a huge descending triangle, and the movement is still in progress
2- Price might be heading to another touch of the higher part of the descending wedge, which might occur in my opinion between February and March at arund 30$ level
3- Price is rebuncing from a second touch of an uptrend line that started with the IPO prices. Next closest target 27-28$ and from there we'll be possibly attacking the 30$ level at beginning of 2022
Not a financial advice, just personal opinion. Do your own due diligence and good luck!
SentinelOne $S, recent IPO breakoutSentinelOne is a cybersecurity company with presence in the US, UK and Tel Aviv. Some of its clinets are Aston Martin, NASDAQ:JBLU , NASDAQ:ADSK and NYSE:FVRR . Its Price/Earnings ratio is negative but had a +120% change in sales from the last quarter. That's the kind of fundamentals I like to see on IPOs.
As is a recent IPO, its stock price is still too volatile. So, even though today's breakout respects all my BUY filters, I got in with half my position sizing. If tomorrow's price action follows through correctly, I'll but the rest. With a stop loss at $69.74, my target sell will be beyond $84.60. When the price crosses that target I'll adjust my stop to breakeven.
IBD Investors gives NYSE:S a 19 in its Industry Rank with a 94 RS rating.
UPST retracement - Publishing my own idea, come to own conclusions.
Fibonnacci says it's retraced and MACD and RSI are near bottom. CCI is at a low and doubt going lower. CCI with other indicators are best to buy at bottom or crossing 0.
UPST earnings a year ago was positive and now $0.60 for QTR, reported revenue is up 3x from a year ago and only double from $125.
Good entry point to not worry about, but fun enough to watch. Too many panic around earnings looking at all the red and green spikes.
$WEAV is giving a GREAT IPO SHORT opportunity todayIPO intraday trading strategy idea
The share price is falling and gonna continue this trend today.
The demand for shares of the company still looks lower than the supply.
These and other conditions can cause a fall in the share price today.
So I opened a short position from $20,84
stop-loss — $22,47
take-profit — $15,98/MOC price
Do not view this idea as a recommendation for trading or investing. It is published only to introduce my own vision.
Always do your own analysis before making deals. When you use any materials, do not rely on blind trust.
You should remember that isolated deals do not give systematic profit, so trade/invest using a developed strategy.
If you like my content, you can subscribe to the news and receive my fresh ideas.
$LVLU is giving a GREAT IPO SHORT opportunity todayIPO intraday trading strategy idea
The share price is falling and gonna continue this trend today.
The demand for shares of the company still looks lower than the supply.
These and other conditions can cause a fall in the share price today.
So I opened a short position from $12,68
stop-loss — $14,62
take-profit — $6,86/MOC price
Do not view this idea as a recommendation for trading or investing. It is published only to introduce my own vision.
Always do your own analysis before making deals. When you use any materials, do not rely on blind trust.
You should remember that isolated deals do not give systematic profit, so trade/invest using a developed strategy.
If you like my content, you can subscribe to the news and receive my fresh ideas.
