Ironcondor
Opening (IRA): TSLA March 21st 330/335/465/470 IC*... for a 1.70 credit.
Comments: Post-earnings, IV remains fairly decent here at 57.3. Selling the -20 delta short option legs and buying the wings out from there. Basically, just doing small stuff while I wait for other stuff to play out.
Metrics:
Max Profit: 1.70
Buying Power Effect: 3.30
ROC at Max: 51.2%
50% Max: .85
ROC at 50% Max: 25.8%
Delta/Theta: .95/2.24
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, consider doing a delta adjustment when the delta/theta ratio skews out to >2.0.
* -- Iron Condor.
Opening (IRA): SMH February 21st 195/220/270/295 Iron Condor... for a 3.91 credit.
Comments: Back into the semiconductor ETF, where I don't have a position on currently. Going comparatively low delta, with the short options camped out at the 17 delta on both sides and the wings about 1/10th the price of the underlying in width.
Metrics:
Max Profit: 3.91
Buying Power Effect: 21.09
ROC at Max: 18.54%
50% Max: 1.96
ROC at 50% Max: 9.27%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, roll untested side in toward current price on side test.
Opening (IRA): PLTR Feb 28th 70/75/100/105 Iron Condor... for a 2.11 credit.
Comments: High IVR/IV at 89.1/81.3. Adding to my PLTR position as an earnings announcement volatility contraction play.
Metrics:
Max Profit: 2.11
Buying Power Effect: 2.89
ROC at Max: 73.01%
50% Max: 1.06
ROC at 50% Max: 36.51%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, immediately roll out to March if a side is tested.
Opening (IRA): INTC Feb 21st 15/19/20/24 Skinny IC... for a 2.04 credit.
Comments: High IVR/IV (91.4/69.7) earnings announcement volatility contraction play. Going "skinny"/"almost iron fly" here. For purposes of take profit, treating it as an iron fly, where I generally look to take profit at 25% max.
Metrics:
Max Profit: 2.04
Buying Power Effect/Max Loss: 1.96
25% Max: .51
ROC at 25% Max: 25.0%
Opening (IRA): MSTR 2x225/2x240/460/490 Iron Condor... for a 7.00 credit.
Comments: IV remains high here at 112.4%. Going "double double" (put spread half the width of the call spread, but 2 x the number of contracts) to accommodate skew. Earnings are on 2/4, so will probably want to get out before then.
Metrics:
Max Profit: 7.00
Buying Power Effect: 23.00
ROC at Max: 30.43%
50% Max: 3.50
ROC at 50% Max: 15.22%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, roll in untested side on side test to about half the delta of the tested side. Given earnings on the horizon, will naturally just money/take/run for less if presented with the opportunity.
Opening (IRA): MSTR 180/210/410/440 Iron Condor... for a 6.03 credit.
Comments: High IV at 95.8%. Here, going delta neutral, 1/10th the price of the underlying for my wing width, and setting up my short option strikes at the 16 delta on both sides.
Metrics:
Max Profit: 6.03
Buying Power Effect: 23.97
ROC at Max: 25.16%
50% Max: 3.02
ROC at 50% Max: 12.58%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max; roll in untested side on side test.
Opening (IRA): ARKK Feb 21st 45/50/61/66 Iron Condor... for a 1.43 credit.
Comments: An additive delta adjustment trade. With the short call of the setup I put on Friday (See Post Below) at -20 delta and the short put at 29, layering in an iron condor with the short call at the -28 delta and the short put at the 20 delta to flatten out net delta of the entire position. This is skewed slightly short to offset the slightly long delta skew of the setup I put on Friday, so am indicating that it's "short."
Metrics:
Max Profit: 1.43
Buying Power Effect: 3.57
ROC at Max: 40.06%
50% Max: .72
ROC at 50% Max: 20.03%
Since you can't close out an eight-legged setup, will either look to take off each iron condor individually at 50% max or mix and match profitable call side with profitable put side to reduce units/risk running into expiry.
Opening (IRA): SMH February 21st 200/225/270/295 Iron Condor... for a 5.44 credit.
Comments: At 42 DTE, selling premium in the semiconductor exchange-traded fund here with a neutral assumption ... . Using wings that are 1/10th of the price of the underlying in width.
Metrics:
Max Profit: 5.44
Buying Power Effect: 19.56
ROC at Max: 27.8%
50% Max: 2.67
ROC at 50% Max: 13.9%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max; roll in untested side on side test.
Opening (IRA): ARKK February 21st 47/52/63/68 Iron Condor... for a 1.50 credit.
Comments: High IVR/IV. Doing a little delta neutral premium-selling stuff while I hand sit and wait for stuff to come in/be managed.
Metrics:
Max Profit: 1.50
Buying Power Effect: 3.50
ROC at Max: 42.9%
50% Max: .75
ROC at 50% Max: 21.4%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, roll in untested side on side test.
Opening (IRA): COIN December 20th 220/230/380/390 Iron Condor... for a 2.67 credit.
Comments: High IVR/IV at 74.1/91.5. Going low delta with the short option legs and narrower than usual with the wings.
Metrics:
Max Profit: 2.67
Buying Power Effect: 7.33
ROC at Max: 36.4%
50% Max: 1.34
ROC at 50% Max: 18.2%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max; roll in untested side on side test.
IRON CONDOR ON DJTTHIS STOCK HAS SUCH CRAZY WILD VOLATILITY.
Be smart with this position, but understand you can sell puts and calls and bring in gorgeous premiums.
I will do the 80-85 20-15 iron condor OVER election. Obviously this is what brings in so much premium and risk on this trade.
But ... I am certainly willing to get put shares at $20 IF trump does get elected because it seems I would be able to sell that stock $20+ at SOME point during his election..?
Opening (IRA): NVDA Nov 15th 83/98/143/158... for a 2.70 credit.
Comments: 30-day IV remains fairly decent here at 48.9%. Going wider than I usually do from a delta standpoint, with the short option legs camped out at the 16 delta, but with the wings at standard width (1/10th the price of the underlying), knowing that I will probably adjust the setup at some point given its duration (56 DTE).
Earnings haven't been firmly announced yet, but are likely to occur right around mopex (~11/14), so will look to be out of the trade by then.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect: 12.30
Max Profit: 2.70
ROC at Max: 21.95%
50% Max: 1.35
ROC at 50% Max: 10.98%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max; roll in sides to delta balance.
Opening (IRA): SMH Nov 15th 190/215/280/305 Iron Condor... for a 4.13 credit.
Comments: IV remains "adequate" here at 39.1%. Selling the 16 delta short options and buying the wings 1/10th of the price of the underlying out from there ... .
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect: 20.87
Max Profit: 4.13
ROC at Max: 19.79%
50% Max: 2.07
ROC at 50% Max: 9.90%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max/roll up untested side on side test.
Opening (IRA): COIN Oct 18th 130/140/200/210 Iron Condor... for a 3.66 credit.
Comments: High IV at 73.4%. More small stuff while I twiddle my thumbs. Skewing this just a smidge long, with resulting delta at 2.35.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Max Loss: 6.34
Max Profit: 3.66
ROC at Max: 57.72%
50% Max: 1.83
ROC at 50% Max: 28.86%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max; roll in untested side on side test.
Closed (IRA): SMH July 19th 189/199/275/285 Iron Condor... for a 1.17 debit.
Comments: Mixing and matching profitable put wing with profitable call wing from iron condors put on at different times (See Posts Below) to de-risk running into NVDA earnings on 5/22. (NVDA is around 21% of SMH holdings).
The resulting setup is a July 19th 205/215/255/265 on which I've collected a net 3.23 in credits; delta/theta -.28/3.45.
I'll look at doing a delta adjustment post-earnings if necessary.
Opening (IRA): SMH July 19th 205/215/275/285 IC... for a 2.17 credit.
Comments: An additive delta adjustment to the current SMH IC I have on. (See Post Below).
With the original setup's short call aspect converging on -25 delta and the short put converging on +10, selling a skewed IC with the oppositionally delta'd short call/short put (i.e., at the +25 short put and the -10 delta short call) to bring back the position back to net delta flat with 63 days until expiry.
4.40 total credits collected with a current delta/theta of 1.02/5.81.
Opening (IRA): SMH July 19th 189/199/255/265 Iron Condor... for a 2.23 credit.
Comments: A small engagement trade in the semiconductor ETF (31.5% 30-Day IV).
Going somewhat wide here with the deltas, with the short option legs camped out at 16 delta on both sides. I generally like to collect one-third the width of the wings in credit for these, but am going a little more long-dated than usual, so want to give it a smidge more room to be wrong.
The assumption here is neutral, with the bet being that it slops around between my short option strikes. I'll generally look to take profit at 50% max and/or adjust sides on approaching worthless or on side test.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect: 7.77
Max Profit: 2.23
ROC at Max: 28.70%
ROC at 50% Max: 14.35%
Delta/Theta: .37/3.01