CLOSING: QQQ JAN 18TH 152/155/175/178 IRON CONDOR... for a .71/contract debit (.37/$38 profit per contract).
Taking some small profit here on my QQQ January cycle core position by mixing and matching profitable put side with profitable call side of iron condors I've put on over the past several weeks.
I'll look to replace this setup with another fairly delta neutral setup in the January cycle, since we've still got 38 days 'til expiry to play with, after which I'll recalculate my January cycle position scratch point given the debit paid here to cover plus the credit received for the new setup.
Ironcondor
JPM - Bearish-neutral Iron CondorStock rally through till early 2018. Choppy price action with range-bound price through remainder of 2018 indicates large volume of shares exchanging hands (in other words, for a better mental picture, larger holders off-loading to more interested but smaller buyers). Expectation is neutral price discovery, with earnings report in January catalyzing subsequent direction move, which is typically bearish/downward with such price action. For now, price is attempting to find a fair value, and as such a bearish-neutral bias is bet on here.
85/90/115/120 JAN19 IRON CONDOR @ 0.67 CREDIT
General plan:
Roll if necessary & if possible mainly to reduce risk, expecially in this case due to earnings report date before expiration
Target maximum profit, unless significant profit appears early.
Comment or direct message for discussion, or on other interesting ideas!
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OPENING: QQQ JAN 18TH 153/156/177/180 IRON CONDOR... for a 1.05/contract credit.
Metrics:
Max Profit: $105/contract
Max Loss: $195/contract
Break Evens: 154.95/178.05
Delta: -2.78
Theta: 1.57
Notes: Layering on some more in the January cycle. With the other two iron condors I've already put on in January, my position scratch point is 3.26/contract. Will look to mix and match profitable put side with profitable call side to peel off risk and/or peel off profitable sides to delta balance.
QCOM - Bullish-neutral Iron CondorYear-long cyclical pattern, within a wide parallel ascending channel (not shown to prevent clutter) is the current predominant price action, showing clear supply and demand zones. Expecting price to finish upswing or remain neutral at least until close to or at the next earnings season.
50/52.5/65/67.5 JAN19 IRON CONDOR @ 0.66 CREDIT
General plan:
Roll if necessary & if possible mainly to reduce risk.
Target maximum profit, unless significant profit appears early.
Comment or direct message for discussion, or on other interesting ideas!
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MGM - Bullish-neutral Iron CondorStock has sold off since Jan, and held the downtrend throughout 2018. Bearish momentum is slowing down, as if recovery is in the works (compare LVS idea); betting this bad boy experiences a slowdown, with price staying in the range or having a quick reversal of the downtrend.
21/22/33/34 FEB19 IRON CONDOR @ 0.25 CREDIT
General plan:
Roll if necessary & if possible mainly to reduce risk.
Target maximum profit, unless significant profit appears early.
Comment or direct message for discussion, or on other interesting ideas!
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OPENING: QQQ 154/157/179/182 IRON CONDOR... for a 1.04/contract credit.
Metrics:
Max Profit: $104/contract
Max Loss: $196/contract
Break Evens: 155.96/180.04
Delta: -1.57
Theta: 1.35
Notes: Layering on in the January cycle (See Post Below for "the first layer."). I'll treat the position as a single setup for take profit purposes and mix and match profitable put side with profitable call side to take profit as we move into opex. Position scratch point is 2.21.
OPENING: QQQ JAN 18TH 149/152/173/176 IRON CONDOR... for a 1.17/contract credit.
Metrics:
Max Profit: $117/contract
Max Loss/Buying Power Effect: $183/contract
Break Evens: 174.17/150.83
Delta: -2.33
Theta: 1.30
Notes: Starting the January cycle run in the broad market exchange-traded fund with the highest background implied volatility. Collecting greater than one-third the width of the wings.
CLOSING: XOP DEC 21ST 28/31/35/40 IRON CONDOR... for a 1.12/contract debit (1.04 profit/contract).
Notes: Further clean-up of my XOP core position in December. Now that I've taken off the 38/41 short call vertical and this iron condor, what remains is two short put verticals, one at 32/35, the other at 30/35. The 32/35 was left over from an iron condor I put on previously, the 30/35 from an iron fly, the call side of which I just closed. The 32/35's a three-wide; the 30/35, a five-wide (for a total of eight wide), so I'll look to sell a 2x4 wide in the December cycle to balance units running into expiry.
KSS - Neutral Iron CondorThe stock price broke out from a range, made what looks like a head-n-shoulders pattern, and can mirror the channel pattern it made before the head-n-shoulders. Volatility is high and this is a neutral directional bet on the price action.
47.5/50/77.5/80 JAN19 IRON CONDOR @ 0.45 CREDIT
General plan:
Roll if necessary & if possible to reduce risk.
Target maximum profit, unless significant profit appears early.
Comment or direct message for discussion, or on other interesting ideas!
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BA - Neutral Iron CondorTaking advantage of mixed market feelings toward stock to place wide neutral iron condor to box in price action.
255/265/365/375 JAN19 IRON CONDOR @ 1.67 CREDIT
General plan:
Roll if necessary & if possible to reduce risk.
Target maximum profit, unless significant profit appears early.
Comment or direct message for discussion, or on other interesting ideas!
Follow for updates.
SMH - Bearish-neutral Iron Condor?Shake my head or nah? Taking advantage of bearish momentum and high volatility for a bearish-neutral bet.
75/76/103/104 JAN19 IRON CONDOR @ 0.21 CREDIT
General plan:
Roll if necessary & if possible to reduce risk.
Target maximum profit, unless significant profit appears early.
Comment or direct message for discussion, or on other interesting ideas!
Follow for updates.
LVS - Bearish-neutral Iron CondorStock has sold off since May/June, with no recovery since last earnings report. Betting on price to stay within this range.
35/40/62.5/67.5 JAN19 IRON CONDOR @ 0.64 CREDIT
General plan:
Roll if necessary & if possible to reduce risk.
Target maximum profit, unless significant profit appears early.
Comment or direct message for discussion, or on other interesting ideas!
Follow for updates.
OPENING: XOP DEC 21ST 28/31/38/41 IRON CONDOR... for an .83/contract credit.
Metrics:
Max Profit: .83 ($83)/contract
Max Loss/Buying Power Effect: 2.17 ($217)/contract
Break Evens: 30.17/38.83
Delta: -.55
Theta: 1.73
Notes: An adjustment trade, primarily to add some additional extrinsic value to my XOP core position with XOP rank/implied still being high (100/42), as well as some short delta (it was shorter when I put it on, but price has continued to erode). I didn't quite collect one-third the width, primarily because I have to "squeeze" it in amongst the various spreads I already have on in the December expiry. As with my SPY core position, I'll look to mix and match profitable short put side with profitable short call side as we run into expiry and/or take the entirety of the position off in profit.
OPENING: QQQ DEC 21ST 151/154/181/184 IRON CONDOR,,, for a 1.06/contract credit.
Metrics:
Max Profit: $106/contract
Max Loss/Buying Power Effect: $194/contract
Break Evens: 152.95/182.05
Delta: -2.43
Theta: 1.19
Notes: Shorting premium in the highest implied volatility exchange traded fund out of the majors (SPY, IWM, QQQ, DIA).
OPENING: NFLX 255/260/355/360 IRON CONDOR... for a 1.65/contract credit.
Metrics:
Max Profit: $165/contract
Max Loss/Buying Power Effect: $335/contract
Break Evens: 263.35/356.65
Delta: -.77
Theta: 2.4
Notes: With earnings in the rear view mirror, rank/implied is still high here at 67/53. Going small, directionally neutral in the December cycle, collecting nearly one-third the width of the wings; will look to take profit at 50% max.
CLOSING: XOP 30/33/41/44 IRON CONDOR... for a .72/contract debit (.38 profit/contract; 34.5% max).
Notes: As with my SPY core position, I'm mixing and matching profitable short put side with short call side of oppositional setups that I put on over time to take off some risk, book some profit, and (where possible) to get a bit of delta adjustment where I need it. (Here, I pick up a smidge of needed long delta by closing this out, since price of the underlying has moved to the call side of the pairing). This also has the side benefit of allowing me to recenter a setup in the underlying if I want to and/or frees up buying power to make an adjustment trade if necessary.
CLOSING: SPY DEC 21ST 243/247/286/289 IRON CONDOR... for a .93/contract debit (.36 profit/contract).
Comments: Mixing and matching profitable put side with profitable call side of a number of iron condors I've layered on over the past several weeks. I'm not getting much out of this, since I was looking for between .50 and .60/contract profit per "pair.". However, with elections around the corner, I'm just taking off a little risk, as well as a smidge of short delta that was in this particular pairing.
OPENING: AMD 17/20/27.5/30.5 IRON CONDOR... for a 1.06/contract credit.
Metrics:
Max Profit: $106/contract
Max Loss/Buying Power Effect: $194/contract
Break Evens: 18.94/28.56 (wide of expected move)
Delta: -1.18
Theta: 2.97
Notes: High rank/implied at 85/87 and announcing earnings after market close. Looking for an inzee outzee quickee dirtee, hopefully for 50% max. Two other naked possibilities: the November 16th 23.5 short straddle (paying 4.61; 1.15 profit at 25% max) or the November 16th 20/27.5 short strangle (paying 1.81; .90 profit at 50% max).
CLOSING: SPY DEC 21ST 252/256/292/296 IRON CONDOR... for a .96/contract debit (.40/$40 profit per contract).
Notes: Mixing and matching profitable put side with profitable call side of iron condors I've put on over the past few weeks, while freeing up buying power for further adjustments or other trades without affecting my SPY net delta much. The scratch point of the entire SPY position was 5.87/contract and is now 5.87 (credit) minus .96 (debit) or 4.91 (credit) with the net delta of the December SPY at -1.94/contract.
OPENING: SPY DEC 16TH 255/258/286/289 IRON CONDOR... for a 1.11/contract credit.
Notes: Another adjustment trade to keep my overall SPY position neutral to slightly short. Picking up -2.38 delta/contract. My scratch point for my SPY positions as a group is 4.35/contract. I'll look to mix and match profitable short call/short put sides to peel off units going forward and/or adjust as net delta of the position dictates.
OPENING: XOP DEC 21ST 32/35/41/45 IRON CONDOR... for a 1.10/contract credit.
Metrics:
Max Profit: 1.10 ($110)/contract
Max Loss/Buying Power Effect: 1.90 ($190)/contract
Break Evens: 33.90/42.10
Delta: -1.25
Theta: 1.08
Notes: Going Plain Jane, delta neutral iron condor (although you can certainly short strangle it, too) in relatively high implied (rank 62/implied 32. Will look to take profit at 50% max.
OPENING: SPY DEC 21ST 253/257/290/294 IRON CONDOR... for a 1.30/contract credit.
Layering on some additional slightly short delta SPY to my existing December setup to bring the entire position back to neutral.
Notes: In delta balancing existing setups, you have several basic options: (a) roll the untested side toward current price on significant decrease in value to reduce net position delta;* (b) add units to the side on which delta is needed (i.e., short puts/short put verticals if long delta is required; short calls/short call verticals if short delta is required); or (c) layer on a slightly skewed oppositional setup (short strangle/iron condor, short straddle/iron fly) that has the delta you need to balance the setup out or reduce directional delta.
Here, I'm opting for an oppositional setup, since it brings in more credit than just adding units to one side.
After layering on this additional position to what I've already got on out in December (see Post Below), I proceed to treat both trades as a single position for scratch point/take profit purposes: the scratch point of the original SPY iron condor was 1.94; with this position's credit of 1.30, the scratch point for the entire ball of wax is 3.24.
* -- I tend to roll at 50% max for the side and attempt to reduce position net delta by at least half.