WEEK OF 9/28: NON-EARNINGS PLAYS FOR PREMIUM SELLING OPPSAlthough we are starting back into another earnings season, I'm just not all that fond of earnings plays; I prefer the relative boredom of index ETF trades or things like sector SPDR's for the generation of steady income as opposed to flash-in-the-plan earnings plays which are generally binary in nature. They either work out quickly and dirtily or go horribly awry such that you have to devote buying power to managing a tested side post-earnings, potentially for several options cycles going forward.
Since I have a play already going in OIH (current IVR at 66), I'm looking to add either index ETF trades this coming week or, in the alternative, sector ETF trades that are not correlated to what I've already got on in my portfolio and that have sufficiently high IVR so that a premium selling play is attractive.
Looking at the Dough Grid with the drop-down menu set to "TastyTrade", XLV is a possible candidate, with an IVR currently at 62 ... .
POSSIBLE TRADE:
Nov 20th 59/61/72/74 Iron Condor
POP % -- 61%
Max Profit: .61 credit/contract
Buying Power Effect: 1.39/contract
Break-Evens: 60.39/72.61
Delta: -2.36/contract
Notes: The short put side of the setup is placed around the 1 SD; the long side, at the edge of the expected move to the topside for that expiration. Due to the price of the underlying, the spread of the wings is reduced to 2 strikes, although you can certainly expand the width to 3 strikes in order to harvest more credit from the trade. I wouldn't go wider than 3, however. Look to take off the entire setup at 50% max duration.
In all likelihood, the strikes may require a bit of adjustment at NY York open to accommodate overnight, broader index price movement.
Ironcondor
TIF 'diamond' condor87.50 / 85 Bull put spread July expiration
AO 6/10/15
This is a bullish gap!
The bear call spread will come close Likely.
.25 limit on the spread
On a 1-10 bear to bull I'm a 6
YHOO IRON CONDORYHOO Is between 100 200 SMA on the daily. Nice gap providing resistance for the bear call and 200 SMA, hammer, gap, candle providing support for the bull put. 20% potential, less than 3 weeks time.
SCTY bear call spread62.50 / 65 Bear call spread .15 limit (looking to leg into a 45/44 bull put spread making an iron condor)
March expiration.
I would not even LOOK at this bcs unless we close above 59 on the daily
AO 2/23/15
GMCR weekly Iron Condor I would not even look at bear call spread portion unless we close above 120 on the hourly. 121 is the line in the sand to make a decision. (this spread goes along with the daily moving averages.
On the bull put spread portion, I would not even look at spread unless we close below 116.50 on the hourly. 114.83 is line in the sand. I'm basing this spread on volume and candles.