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IS IT Finally Time To Buy NIO !!!. Nio is one of the dominant players in China's hot electric vehicle (EV) market , and the company had to suspend operations at a couple of factories last month as lockdowns were imposed. Fearing Nio's production and deliveries to take a beating, investors dumped the EV stock -- Nio shares lost nearly 33% value in just one month through Nov. 9. One day later, Nio proved its critics wrong. The EV manufacturer beat third-quarter revenue estimates and sees significant growth in car deliveries in the coming months. And Nio's growth plans are even bigger. So if you've been watching Nio stock plunge this year but haven't pulled the trigger yet, it's finally time to buy the EV stock. Now Backed by 29% higher deliveries, Nio generated roughly $1.8 billion in revenue in Q3, up 32.6% year over year WHY WE DECIDE IN REVENUE TO BUY NIO AGAIN ? Nio is planning to launch five new models in 2023 , is still eyeing a mass-market brand , and expects its gross margin to hit 20% to 25% next year if battery costs fall. The company has a lot of cash, so it has the leeway to invest billions of dollars in the research and development of new models. That's what the company plans to do to remain a prominent player in the world's largest EV market, China, even as it expands its footprint in Europe. Europe is also the only international market Nio has ventured into so far. The markets may expect Nio to grow even faster, but Nio's confidence in delivering a record number of vehicles and growing its revenue by 75% to 94% in the fourth quarter despite macro headwinds is nothing to sneeze at. That alone should reinstate investors' faith in this EV stock that has slumped so dramatically to prices last seen more than two years ago. from technical view we see that stock price is going to hit 30$ in 2023 as primary target ***All of the above are published for educational purpose which is not an investment recommendation REVENUE RESEARCH AMMAN / JORDAN November 12
NYSE:NIOLong
by REVENUE_JO
DOW ANALISE The state of affairs on the dow ts kamipanii were distributed relative to the indices on the principle of relative strength in this order despite the fact that many sectors still do not show confident bullish growth, we already have some strong leaders, this company UNH is on the 2nd place, GS is on the 3rd place, HD is on the 4th place with you and me MSFT in 5th place we have the company AMGN look at the relative strength indices that absolutely clearly show our leaders and outsiders But who is the outsider at the moment , now the outsider of the company is the WBA and the relative strength index absolutely clearly shows the position of the shares to the market . I always use this technical parameter together with the foundation parameters when analyzing the market See you for new reviews ! Click like subscribe necessarily if the review came in! Then I will post more ideas . My chat for learning and analysis Wyckoff Analytics search in chats and subscribe Friends, I conduct training in an individual format and in a limited number of students, since a large number will interfere with my trading! The training course includes : The Wyckoff Method Demark method VSA A trading method tailored to your psychotype Psychology of trading For details, write in a personal message I can also introduce you to my own unique indicators , of my own design Wykoff Zone ( You determine the activity and zones of smart money and also gives buy and sell signals ) The Demark indicator , which has no analogues on the platform - since most of the indicator are far from the essence of the Dymerka technique and are too simplified , which violates the basics of the principle For investors, I can shift a 2-week lazy investor course where you can learn how to invest correctly and in which stocks + the tic-tac-toe method supplemented with your own developments taking into account the imbalance of supply and demand The Wyckoff Line indicator was created based on the activity of professionals and the identification of liquidity zones to which the price is attracted. Remember that the market is driven only by supply and demand. No technical indicators will tell you in advance that there has been an imbalance of supply or demand. Listening to the news, you can lead yourself into a state of incorrect decision, so make decisions only on the activity zones of professionals. By understanding where the imbalance of supply and demand occurs, you can correctly build your work strategy. The indicator has a smart algorithm that takes into account the activity zones on several timeframes that are above the working schedule. The indicator also has a VSA system that determines the entry point in order to buy or sell a certain instrument. The entry point is determined by an imbalance of volume and price based on the principle of lack of demand, or lack of supply in liquid zones. Take a look at "Figure 1", which clearly shows the test of the offer after which the price reached the next level of liquidity in WMT shares The following example clearly shows a purchase after a downtrend, which, after passing through the liquidity zone, determined a clear signal to buy AAPL shares. The essence of the indicator is that a high volume is always a liquidity zone to which the price will constantly strive. The indicator determines the liquidity zones of professionals that you set on higher timeframes using certain settings of the high volume bar. And together with the package of indicators, I provide a training video where I tell you how to use this indicator. And I also give some author's settings and recommendations for entering or exiting a position. Now let's analyze the sell signal. Here is an example of one of the sell signals in which the indicator has clearly worked The price reached the liquidity zone and he signaled three times that it was time to enter the position. Then, using completely different entry techniques, you could sell the KO stock or, if you were trending upwards and your techniques did not involve selling, you could simply exit your position in time. The uniqueness of the indicator lies in the fact that it works on such a chart as tic-tac-toe. Having established liquidity zones, you can use the signal of this indicator to enter a position without any market noise. See the example below , where the entry into the MSFT promotion was carried out: snapshot To start using the indicator, you need to write to me in a personal message. I will send you instructions for using the indicator and my recommendations (how to enter and exit the position) and the settings of the indicator. During the entire use of the indicator, you can receive free support and advice from me by writing to me in private messages. The ability to use the indicator in different languages: I will provide you with a video instruction for setting up and instructions for use in your native language. Available languages for using the indicator: Russian, English, Chinese, Spanish, German. The translation of the indicator settings into various languages is currently in progress. The subscription price for the indicator is $20. Buying an indicator for unlimited use is $300.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by StudentWyckoff
Lottery Jackpots and Investor PsychologyIf you read my posts in full, you'll find that I find market psychology incredibly interesting. For a school project, I am considering putting together a paper on risk-taking and it's correlation with socio/economic policy and wealth inequality. For fun, here's an example of the kind of data I'd like to use. In this analysis, I present some historical data about the largest Mega Millions lottery jackpots (over $400 Million). I've marked the dates for these events on both the Bitcoin/USD and SPX (S&P 500) charts. The markers don't perfectly line up, since I used the weekly chart. Nevertheless, you'll notice that these unusually large jackpots often occur NEAR a large market downturn. This means a crash has just happened or a crash is about to happen. Very rarely does a large jackpot occur when the market is going up consistently, at least without a substantial correction. An increasing jackpot (beyond $400 Million) more often than not indicates that people are speculating or gambling more than usual, which may happen when they see the value of other things going up. The higher the lottery jackpot gets, the more people are gambling hoping to win big. Here is a study from 2010, explaining how some investors will "substitute" stock investing for playing the lottery, as trading volumes dry up during periods where the lottery jackpot goes up. papers.ssrn.com Based on the simple data I've collected, I'll make a couple of conclusions about recent investor behavior, and I'll speculate as to why this is the case. Mega Millions Biggest Jackpots (red) 17 December, 2013 - $324 (x2 - $648) 18 March, 2014 - $414 Million 8 July, 2016 - $536 Million 30 March, 2018 - $533 Million 24 July, 2018 - $534 Million 23 October, 2018 $1.537 Billion 1 January, 2019 - $437 Million 7 June, 2019 - $522 Million 9 June, 2020 - $414 Million 22 January, 2021 - $1.05 Billion 21 May, 2021 - $516 Million 21 September, 2021 - $431 Million It's pretty interesting for Bitcoin if you look at the 3 most recent jackpots: Powerball (blue) 18 May, 2013 - $590.5 Million 13 January, 2016 - $528.8 Million (x3 winners, over $1.5 Billion) 23 August, 2017 - $750 Million 27 March, 2019 - $768 Million Year (number of winning tickets - Average Jackpot Value (taken from Megamillions.com) 2002 (9) - $42.11 M 2003 (14) - $65 M 2004 (11) - $101.72 M 2005 (10) - $132 M 2006 (15) - $79.33 M 2007 (17) - $92.52 M 2008 (14) - $110.85 M 2009 (18) - $65 Million. GREAT RECESSION 2010 (13) - $86.23 M 2011 (16) - $100.87 M 2012 (16) - $84.56 M 2013 (13) - $104.53 M 2014 (10) - $127.9 M 2015 (8) - $149.62 M 2016 (9) - $129.77 M 2017 (7) - $138.42 M 2018 (5) - $641.2 M $3.2 B largest yearly pool 2019 (7) - $187.7 M 2020 (5) - $176.2 M. $881 M lowesst yearly pool 2021 (5) - $429.6 M The total yearly pool ranges between $880 Million and $3.2 Billion. The pool remained largely consistent until 2018. The largest amount of money poured into the lottery has occurred in the last 3 years. Some observations 1) The powerball win from March 27th, 2019 was the only instance that did not involve a decent-sized market drop somewhere around that date. Both crypto and stocks were recovering from the late 2018 crash. 2) The average jackpot size has been increasing steadily over time, while the number of winners has been decreasing. In the last few years, the total yearly jackpot pool has begun increasing as well. 3) Only 3 of the top 10 Mega Millions jackpot winners won prior to 2018. The frequency of these large jackpots is increasing. Conclusion There are a number of factors that might be at play here. Clearly, markets keep going up. The wealth gap keeps increasing while monetary policy remains loose. Perhaps there is an element of desperation. There are probably deeper psychological components to this that would be difficult to evaluate. I'm just putting this out there to show an intriguing relationship. Since the jackpot size was relatively low after big market crashes (both in 2002 and in 2009), this tells us what should be common sense: People are more careful with their money when the market is doing poorly. People are less careful with their money when things are going well. The trend is consistently up for the size of the average jackpot AND the jackpot pool. This could imply we're actually seeing an unreasonable amount of risk and leverage across markets. It might be a warning signal. This is related to a post I made about the psychology behind asset growth and leverage: In that post, you can read more about my thoughts regarding where we are collectively at the moment. After all, the market is a representation of our collective psychology. What's nice is that the lottery is a donation pool - most of it goes towards prizes and funding for public resources like schools, even though people contribute to it out of greed. It's kind of like a weird voluntary tax with a slight chance for a big payoff. It almost reminds me of crypto - you participate in a network, which rewards some more than others, with the hope of making it big. There is more chance involved in the lottery, but obviously the more tickets you buy, the higher the chance of winning. That's it! I will of course be writing more on this subject. This is not financial advice. This is meant for education, speculation, and entertainment. -Victor Cobra
SP:SPXLong
by VictorCobra
9
WTC - My Love/Hate RelationshipWell, well, well. The one coin that I've sold and rebought a number of times due to FUD and my personal annoyance with their marketing efforts. HOWEVER, that doesn't stop this from being a good trade setup. I am at a net loss on this coin, but I added a bunch more at the 39000 satoshi level, after seeing a clear bottom happening on August 13th, 2018. I added a few coins on that day, because it seemed like a great buying opportunity. I also added a bit recently at 49000 with some BATBTC profits. Since then, WTCBTC seems to have formed a "classic" Adam & Eve double bottom. The Adam (pointy) bottom had a huge rejection, that took it all the way up to 80K sats, only to lose steam and form a more rounded (Eve) bottom. Looking at the chart we have today, it seems like WTCBTC just bounced off its short term uptrend line. RSI still seems a little high though, so our bottoming could extend for a bit longer. If we hold above 50000, we should see a move up from here. If not, as I said, the bottom will extend further, and there may be another buying opportunity near strong support at 41000. These scenarios are shown in Orange and Maroon. Another thing to note is that there was a lot of coordinated FUD on this coin recently. Since the FUD abated, the coin has been on a steady rise. Doesn't seem like a coincidence to me. Anyway... BUY Targets: 41000-42000 49000-52000 (STOP LOSS below 49000) SELL Targets: 80000 100000 150000 - Will likely redistribute my portfolio a bit here, if it makes it. All time High+ This is not investment advice, nor am I a qualified professional financial advisor. This is just another one of my long term setups, for personal use, and for people to follow along with the trade. -Victor Cobra
WLong
by VictorCobra