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IVR

$BABA volatility pricing skew on CALL side before earningsThe high vertical CALL pricing skew on the options chain shows that the CALL options for the September expiration are already much more expensive than the PUT options at the same expected move distance. This suggests that market participants are pricing in an upward move. Let's take a closer look at the probability curve formed by the options chain. I'm very curious to see whether the 8/8 to +1/8 quadrant line will hold the price for BABA, or if it will continue to surge into the Upper Extreme quadrant, heading towards +4/8 until $100. If everything stays the same, something like this could be an interesting lottery ticket for me. I'm thinking about an OTM call butterfly with a short expiration before earnings. I have to admit, I’m not a big fan of risking on this red/black roulette type of play, but if things stay as they are, I might consider combining it with a 40 or 68DTE credit put ratio below and the call butterfly above before earnings. But we'll see how things look on the day before earnings!
NYSE:BABA
by TanukiTrade
$MSFT iron condor for 33% profit, 83% PoP #tradingHigh IVR, I'm not leaving money on the table. Max profit: $250 Probability of 50%Profit: 83% Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 33% Max loss with my risk management: ~$200 Req. Buy Power: $755 (max loss without management before expiry, no way to let this happen!) Tasty IVR: 80 (ultra high for Microsoft) Expiry: 50 days SETUP: IC for $MSFT, because IVR ultra high, collecting 2.5cr * Buy 1 MSFT Jan21' 290 Put * Sell 1 MSFT Jan21' 300 Put * Sell 1 MSFT Jan21' 360 Call * Buy 1 MSFT Jan21' 370 Call SAFETY ZONES: : Prev. resistance could act as support at ~$306, prev.ATH could act as resistance at $338. Stop/my risk management : Closing immediately if daily candle is closing out of the the box, max loss in my calculations in this case could be ~$200. Take profit strategy: 50% of max.profit in this case with auto buy order at 1.25db Of course I'll not wait until expiry in any case! If you liked this article, check my other ideas. Anyway: HIT THE LIKE BUTTON BELOW , and for fresh option ideas FOLLOW ME( @mrAnonymCrypto ) on tradingview !
NASDAQ:MSFT
by TanukiTrade
$ARKF SHORT PUT for Jan21, high PoP 20% profit #ark #optionsAny kind of ETF naked PUTs are my favorite at high IVR. My choice for today: ARK Fintech Innovation ETF Reasons: - high reward for Jan21 monthly expiry (mangeable with rolling) -> collecting credit - RSI is already oversold - breakeven point is far - PUT strike at 0.618 fib Max profit: $210 Probability of Profit: 89% Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 20% Req. Buy Power: $1035 (max loss without management before expiry, no way to let this happen!) Tasty IVR: 73 (very high) Expiry: 38 days SETUP : NAKED PUT for $ARKF, because IVR is high, for 0.7cr * Sell 3 $ARKF JAN21'35 PUT Management : ROLLING if daily candle is closing below of BE. Take profit strategy : 70% of max.profit in this case with auto buy order at 0.2db Of course I'll not wait until expiry in any case! If you liked this article, check my other ideas. Anyway: HIT THE LIKE BUTTON BELOW , and for fresh option ideas FOLLOW ME( @mrAnonymCrypto ) on tradingview !
AMEX:ARKFLong
by TanukiTrade
$DAL 16% Profit for 16 days? Not bad. #nakedput #daytradingDealta Airlines correction, playing out with naked put option. Reasons: - high reward for next monthly expiry (mangeable with rolling) -> collecting credit - breakeven point is far - RSI is oversold. Max profit: $92 Probability of 50%Profit: 78% Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 16% Req. Buy Power: $558 (max loss without management before expiry, no way to let this happen!) Tasty IVR: 96 (very high) Expiry: 16 days SETUP: NAKED PUT for $DAL, because IVR is high, for 0.92cr * Sell 1 DAL DEC17'32 PUT Management : ROLLING if daily candle is closing below of BE. Take profit strategy: 50% of max.profit in this case with auto buy order at 0.46db Of course I'll not wait until expiry in any case! If you liked this article, check my other ideas. Anyway: HIT THE LIKE BUTTON BELOW , and for fresh option ideas FOLLOW ME( @mrAnonymCrypto ) on tradingview !
NYSE:DALLong
by TanukiTrade
S&P500 Iron Condor 60% profit 76% PoP50, high IVR for #optionsI just can't resist the very high IVR for large ETFs, like SPY. My most common strategies these at corrections are the Iron Condors, neutral or negative delta. SAFETY ZONES: 200MA could act as support, ATH could act as resistance. Max profit: $375 Probability of 50%Profit: 76% Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 60% Max loss with my risk management: ~$150 Req. Buy Power: $625 (max loss without management before expiry, no way to let this happen!) Tasty IVR: 49 (ultra high for S&P500) Expiry: 56 days SETUP : IC for , because IVR ultra high, for 3.75cr * Sell 1 SPY Jan21' 420 Put * Buy 1 SPY Jan21' 430 Put * Buy 1 SPY Jan21' 480 Call * Sell 1 SPY Jan21' 490 Call SETUP: IC for SPY, because IVR ultra high. Stop/my risk management : Closing immediately if daily candle is closing out of the the box, max loss in my calculations in this case could be ~150$. Take profit strategy: 50% of max.profit in this case with auto buy order at 1.88db. Of course I'll not wait until expiry in any case! If you liked this article, check my other ideas. Anyway: HIT THE LIKE BUTTON BELOW , and for fresh option ideas FOLLOW ME( @mrAnonymCrypto ) on tradingview !
AMEX:SPY
by TanukiTrade
88% PoP #ironcondor for $BABA in chinese crash #option #optionsChinese crash credit play, because of high IVRank. My Iron Condor Hunter script have signaled a safe entry here. REASONS: 1) Confirmed bear trend This is the safe playground of IC for credit. The backtested 3 years of bullish trend changed. 2) My automatic Iron Condor Hunter script My Iron Condor Hunter script gave a reliable signal to opening IC position. To subscibe for free trial of it: please follow and requeast access for free. Max profit: $188 Probability of 50%Profit: 88% Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 23% Max loss with my risk management: ~$200 Req. Buy Power: $812 (max loss without management before expiry, no way to let this happen!) Tasty IVR: 81 (very high) Expiry: 53 days Buy 1 BABA Sep17' 140 Put Sell 1 BABA Sep17' 150 Put Sell 1 BABA Sep17' 220 Call Buy 1 BABA Sep17' 230 Call Bearish IronCondor for 1.88cr, Tasty IVRank is extreme high (81 IVR). Stop/my risk management : Closing immediately if daily candle is closing OUTSIDE the box, max loss in my calculations in this case could be 100$. Take profit strategy: 65% of max.profit in this case with auto debit order for 0.66db. Of course I'll not wait until expiry in any case! If you liked this article, check my other ideas. Anyway: HIT THE LIKE BUTTON BELOW , and for fresh option ideas FOLLOW ME( @mrAnonymCrypto ) on tradingview !
NYSE:BABAShort
by TanukiTrade
2
$SPY BULL short put spread 90% PoP, 20% profit #options #option After a beartrap switched back to bullish view with large ETF-s. First of all: SPY Max profit: $204 Probability for 50% of Profit: %90 Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 20% Req. Buy Power: $996 (max loss without management before expiry, no way to let this happen!) Expiry: 22 days Buy 3 SPY Jul16' 420 Put Sell 3 SPY Jul16' 416 Put Credit Put spread for 0.68cr each. Stop/my risk management : Closing immediately if daily candle is closing BELOW the box, max loss in my calculations in this case could be 350$. Take profit strategy: 65% of max.profit in this case with auto sell order at 0.24db. Of course I'll not wait until expiry in any case! If you liked this article, check my other ideas. Anyway: HIT THE LIKE BUTTON BELOW , and for fresh option ideas FOLLOW ME( @mrAnonymCrypto ) on tradingview !
AMEX:SPYLong
by TanukiTrade
$TAL is oversold, bullish spread with 72% PoP 33% profit #optionLong time waiting for a pullback at this territory.... Today RSI breaking up, volume arrived, but IVR is still very high. Optimal for some credit put spread. Max profit: $250 Probability for 50% of Profit: 72% Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 33% Req. Buy Power: $750 (max loss without management before expiry, no way to let this happen!) Tasty IVR: 80 Expiry: 22 days Sell 2 TAL Jul16' 22.5 Put Buy 2 TAL Jul16' 17.5 Put Credit Put spread for 1.25cr each Stop/my risk management : Closing immediately if daily candle is closing BELOW the box, max loss in my calculations in this case could be 250$. Take profit strategy: 65% of max.profit in this case with auto sell order at 0.44db. Of course I'll not wait until expiry in any case! If you liked this article, check my other ideas. Anyway: HIT THE LIKE BUTTON BELOW , and for fresh option ideas FOLLOW ME( @mrAnonymCrypto ) on tradingview !
NYSE:TALLong
by TanukiTrade
1
$NKE 8% profit in one day with Iron Condor #nike #options$NKE 8% profit in one day with Iron Condor #nike #options 8% profit in one day at event? Let's see! Max profit: $45 Probability of Profit: %75 Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 8% Req. Buy Power: $554 (max loss without management before expiry, no way to let this happen!) Tasty IVR: 24 Expiry: 1 days Buy 1 NKE Jun25' 120 Put Sell 1 NKE Jun25' 126 Put Sell 1 NKE Jun25' 145 Call Buy 1 NKE Jun25' 150 Call Iron Condor spread for 554cr, because IVR is relative high because event. If you liked this article, check my other ideas. Anyway: HIT THE LIKE BUTTON BELOW , and for fresh option ideas FOLLOW ME( @mrAnonymCrypto ) on tradingview !
NYSE:NKE
by TanukiTrade
Prepared for S&P500 correction with Buying PUT optionI've closed every other position, staying in cash and playing for SPX correction because: 1/ SP500 RSI falling down 2/ Strong trendline broken 3/ Selling Volume increased My strategy is simple: BUY SPY Jun30' 415 PUT for 3.85db, because VIX is realive low SIZING: only a little of my CAP is used for this binary play. Stop/my risk management : Closing immediately if daily candle is closing ABOVE the box, max loss in my calculations in this case could be 50% of position. Take profit strategy: selling about ~38cr (x10). Of course I'll not wait until expiry...! If you liked this article, check my other ideas. Anyway: HIT THE LIKE BUTTON BELOW , and for fresh option ideas FOLLOW ME( @mrAnonymCrypto ) on tradingview !
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by TanukiTrade
2
$EDU short put vertical 73% PoP for credit at support$EDU short put vertical 73% PoP for credit at support New Oriental Education & Tech Group had a big move and a big correction. It's time to playing some bullish move. Weekly timeframe: Oversold on weeky and on daily too, sitting on the bullish trendline. Daily timeframe: Oversold too, bullish divergence. Playing short put vertical here, because IVR is relative high: 60. Max profit: $236 PoP50: 73% Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 30% Max loss with my risk management: ~$150 Req. Buy Power: $764 (max loss without management before expiry, no way to let this happen!) Tasty IVR: 60 (relative high) Expiry: 24 days Buy 4 EDU Jul16' 5 PUT Sell 4 EDU Jul16' 7.5 PUT Short put spread for 0.6cr each, because IVR is relative high. COMMENT: Because of very low RSI and daily divergence it could be a good choice into my investment bag/portfolio too. Stop/my risk management : Closing immediately if daily candle is closing BELOW the box, max loss in my calculations in this case could be 150$. Probability of loss in this way: ~27% . Take profit strategy: 65% of max.profit in this case with auto sell order at 0.20db. Probability of profit this way: ~73%. Of course I'll not wait until expiry in any case! If you liked this article, check my other ideas. Anyway: HIT THE LIKE BUTTON BELOW , and for fresh option ideas FOLLOW ME( @mrAnonymCrypto ) on tradingview !
NYSE:EDULong
by TanukiTrade
$IVR - Quick High Risk TradePersonally, I am very concerned with what will happen in the real estate market come July when people are expected to start being foreclosed on... Due to COVID this has been delayed for months... It could keep being delayed, but I have been hearing July is when it will start. This is what makes this trade HIGH RISK. Based on my TA I have given trend lines, entry points, and the highest price target I see in the next 2 months. This is a short term swing trade, not a long hold, IMO.
NYSE:IVRLong
by ObiWanJacoby93
COINBASE 72% PoP 30% Profit with short put vertical strategy TA at 1HR TF (because this stock is new, no daily history) Quick Coinbase play at high IVR, reasons: - trend changed: higher high , lower lows - divergence at bottom - my strike is last bottom as support- $260 - I have very plenty safety zone - Buying power arrieved as volume Max profit: $220 Probability of Profit: 72% Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 28% Max loss with my risk management: ~$290 Req. Buy Power: $780 (max loss without management before expiry, no way to let this happen!) Tasty IVR: 93 (ultra high) Expiry: 38 days Buy 1 COIN Jun18' 250 Put Sell 1 COIN Jun18' 260 Put Credit Put spread for 2.2cr, because IVR is very high. Stop/my risk management : Closing immediately if daily candle is closing BELOW the box, max loss in my calculations in this case could be 290$. Probability of loss in this way: ~10% . Take profit strategy: 65% of max.profit in this case with auto sell order at 0.77db. Probability of profit this way: ~90%. Of course I'll not wait until expiry in any case! If you liked this article, check my other ideas. Anyway: HIT THE LIKE BUTTON BELOW , and for fresh option ideas FOLLOW ME( @mrAnonymCrypto ) on tradingview !
NASDAQ:COINLong
by TanukiTrade
EEM 62% PoP for quick 18% profit spreadQuick option spread play for the next 2 weeks: * 1 year trendline still holding * bullish trend Max profit: $154 Probability of Profit: 62% Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 18% Max loss with my risk management: ~$150 Req. Buy Power: $846 (max loss without management at expiry, no way to let this happen!) Tasty IVR: 12 Expiry: 13 days Sell 2 EEM May21' 55 Put Buy 2 EEM May21' 50 Put Credit Put spread for 0.77cr each, because IVR is average Stop/my risk management : Closing immediately if daily candle is closing BELOW the box, max loss in my calculations in this case could be 150$. Probability of loss in this way: ~20% . Take profit strategy: 65% of max.profit in this case with auto sell order at 0.27db. Probability of profit this way: ~80%. Of course I'll not wait until expiry in any case! If you liked this article, check my other ideas. Anyway: HIT THE LIKE BUTTON BELOW , and for fresh option ideas FOLLOW ME( @mrAnonymCrypto ) on tradingview !
AMEX:EEMLong
by TanukiTrade
SMH 75% PoP & 18% profit in 2 weeks with monthly verticalQuick 2 week vertical play: * Bullish triangle * Buy volume * 14 month bullish trend Max profit: $156 Probability of Profit: 75% Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 18% Max loss with my risk management: ~$250 Req. Buy Power: $844 (max loss without management before expiry, no way to let this happen!) Tasty IVR: 5.4 Expiry: 15 days Buy 2 SMH May21' 230 Put Sell 2 SMH May21' 235 Put Credit PUT spread for 0.78cr each. Stop/my risk management : Closing immediately if daily candle is closing BELOW the box, max loss in my calculations in this case could be 250$. Probability of loss in this way: ~12% . Take profit strategy: 65% of max.profit in this case with auto sell order at 0.27db. Probability of profit this way: ~88%. Of course I'll not wait until expiry in any case! If you liked this article, check my other ideas. Anyway: HIT THE LIKE BUTTON BELOW , and for fresh option ideas FOLLOW ME( @mrAnonymCrypto ) on tradingview !
NASDAQ:SMHLong
by TanukiTrade
Bullish Iron Condor with 64% PoP for 41% profit at eventMax profit: $291 Probability of Profit: 64% Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 41% Max loss with my risk management: ~$200 Req. Buy Power: $709 (max loss without management at expiry, no way to let this happen!) Tasty IVR: 53 (high) Expiry: 43 days Buy 1 SQ Jun18' 190 Put Sell 1 SQ Jun18' 200 Put Sell 1 SQ Jun18' 290 Call Buy 1 SQ Jun18' 300 Call Bullish Iron Condor for 2.91cr with +4.82 delta Stop/my risk management : Closing immediately if daily candle is closing outside the box, max loss in my calculations in this case could be 200$. Probability of loss in this way: ~20% . Take profit strategy: 65% of max.profit in this case with auto sell order at 1.02db. Probability of profit this way: ~80%. Of course I'll not wait until expiry in any case! If you liked this article, check my other ideas. Anyway: HIT THE LIKE BUTTON BELOW , and for fresh option ideas FOLLOW ME( @mrAnonymCrypto ) on tradingview !
NYSE:SQLong
by TanukiTrade
SAGE 62% PoP Bearish Iron Condor after event My favorite bearish neutral trade for today. Losing only upside, I like the extreme high IVR values to play. Reasons to play this: 1/ After event, big selloff, high implied volatility. 2/ Extreme High Implied Volatility, good for credit strategies 3/ I can boost my original bearish vertical spread with 2 bottom legs at fib 0.786 to boosting my reward almost zero risk to the downside (max loss below strike 35 is $17 ...) 4/ Secure zones are 88$ and the 40$ So the winner is the negative delta Iron Condor Strategy. Max profit: $483 Probability of Profit: %62 Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 42% Max loss with my risk management: ~$250 Req. Buy Power: $1050 (max loss without management at expiry, no way to let this happen!) Tasty IVR: 92 (ultra high) Expiry: 45 days Buy 1 SAGE Jun18' 35 Put Sell 1 SAGE Jun18' 40 Put Sell 1 SAGE Jun18' 90 Call Buy 1 SAGE Jun18' 105 Call IRON CONDOR for 4.83cr with negative -8.3 delta, because IVR is very high and I'm bearish. Stop/my risk management : Closing immediately if daily candle is closing ABOVE $90, max loss in my calculations in this case could be 250$. Probability of loss in this way: ~20% . Take profit strategy: 60% of max.profit in this case with auto sell order at 1.69db. Probability of profit this way: ~80%. Of course I'll not wait until expiry in any case! If you liked this article, check my other ideas. Anyway: HIT THE LIKE BUTTON BELOW , and for fresh option ideas FOLLOW ME( @mrAnonymCrypto ) on tradingview !
NASDAQ:SAGE
by TanukiTrade