IWM volatility ahead! price levels to keep in mind...Forecasted price action shown on chart. Several liquidity levels delineated as bullish & bearish targets.
Both bulls & bears get to eat this holiday season as the market prices in less cuts to Federal funds rate in 2025. Classic holiday chop...
Expecting gap fill at 210-212.6 zone before final breakout above 230 resumes for progression to new all time highs near 246 buy target likely sometime in Feb 2025...
IWM
12/22/24 Weekly Watchlist + NotesAMEX:SPY - Huge sell off across the board from FOMC news on Wednesday. SPY sold off down through previous Broadening Formation range reclaiming previous downside pivot just below 684. So with that in mind, we expand out of the BF below that pivotal low, or come back through range above it. With SPY currently setup to potentially go 3-2 daily, we look to see whether fridays high or low gets taken out. Being above the pivot at 684, we are looking to come back through that BF range and make new ATHs as of now. Of course this can all change depending on whether our W is green or red, but for now we are closer to making a daily HH than a LL. With Christmas being this week, the markets close 2 hours early on Tuesday, and re open on Thursday. Being a short week like this, we need to be extra cautious as there will be lower than normal volume, and simply less time for the weekly candle to form, so expectations on a large move this week as most seem to be predicting, may not happen for the prior reasons. Personally will not be trading Tuesday and possibly not at all this week if I don't see absolute A+ setups.
Watchlist:
Bullish:
NASDAQ:NVDA - Pot. 1-3-2U Daily to trigger failed 2D hammer week. Swept BF lows this past week. Looking to come back through range. This is a big name for the markets, so I expect that if the markets are recovering, this will lead the way or follow with it
NASDAQ:MU - 2-2U reversal potential daily to target gap fill from ER. We took out weekly BF mag on friday, hitting exhaustion levels after finally escaping the motherbar it was stuck in for the last 11 weeks. One side gets toasted, magnitude is hit for W and M. All the ingredients for a big recovery. Only issue is being stuck in last weeks range
NASDAQ:PLTR - potential 3-2D for a simultaneous weekly 2-1-2U trigger. Nuclear green on all TFs. Slight room to go to target ATH again, but mainly looking for the weekly inside up measured move, meaning if we go 2-1-2U, we can expect the same move up as we had in the week prior to last weeks inside bar week.
Cruise Lines: NYSE:CCL + NYSE:NCLH Weekly hammers. NYSE:RCL Not a clean weekly AS, but similar daily to other names in the industry.
Bearish:
NASDAQ:TSLA - 3-1 4Hr to trigger MoMo shooter Daily to trigger Shooter Weekly 2-2. Daily PMG to target from ATH Exhaustion. (Big green day for most names Friday, why was TSLA so bearish with such relative strength lately?)
NASDAQ:AVGO - Shooter 2U Day to trigger 2-2 shooter week. Huge gap up from earnings. Looking to attack the gap.
NYSE:KO - MoMo Shooter 2D day to trigger 2-1-2D week. Having issues making range lately, but daily BF is targeting lower still, and weekly 2-2d has yet to be negated. Inside week will confirm more downside to target our BF magnitudes on the D and W, or it will be negated by a 2U week. Simple plan here. Short under prev week low, exit if back above.
NYSE:UBER - MoMo shooter 2d Weekly to reconfirm M 2D and Q 2U going 3. Check Monthly for the BF. Wanna see continuation lower to Q mag at 54.84. No daily AS but 3-1 4HR. May be a slower mover on the list. Basing all my decisions on the weekly as the momo shooter should simply just trigger and work
HAPPY HOLIDAYS! Stock Market Weekly Preview: Dec. 23rd 📊Stock Market Weekly Preview: Dec. 23rd
NASDAQ:QQQ AMEX:SPY AMEX:IWM
In this video, we’re talking about:
🔹Stock Market & Overall Forecast
🔹Lessons Learned this past week
🔹Technical Analysis: H5 & Williams CB
🔹Current Trades
P.S. I'm getting coal for XMAS because I lied about it being a short video. 😅
Let’s dive into this Holliday Week! 👇
IWM | Bullish AMEX:IWM
Resistance Levels:
There is a significant resistance level at around 224.02. The price needs to close above this level to confirm a breakout.
Another resistance level is at approximately 233.64.
Support Levels:
The immediate support level is the trendline, which has been acting as a resistance until now. This trendline is likely to act as a support if the breakout is confirmed.
A secondary support level can be seen at around 227.13.
Potential Targets:
If the price closes above 224.02, it signifies a breakout from the current price channel.
The first target after the breakout would be around 233.64.
The second target, based on the price projection, would be approximately 244.46.
Indicators:
The RSI (Relative Strength Index) is currently around 63.34, which is above the neutral 50 level but not yet in the overbought territory. This suggests there is still room for upward movement.
The price action shows higher highs and higher lows, indicating a bullish trend.
Volume: The volume seems consistent, supporting the upward price movement. Higher volume on a breakout above 224.02 would confirm the bullish sentiment.
Conclusion:
If IWM closes green today above 224.02, it indicates a breakout from the current price channel, suggesting a potential further upside. The first target would be around 233.64, followed by 244.46. This position could be highly profitable for call options and futures contracts if the breakout is confirmed and sustained.
Doubt Me If You Want, But My Strategy Speaks for Itself!NASDAQ:QQQ AMEX:SPY
Do you see how my Williams CB is one of the best strategies out there for predicting markets short & long term moves? How coupled with my H5 trading strategy it gives me the best chances to beat these crazy markets.
Two weeks ago we were at the top and called for a no more than 3% market pullback. I was wrong and right at the same time. We got a pullback but it wasn't what I anticipated but who anticipated the FED nuking the markets yesterday? Nobody but the FED.
I show you this so you understand when we get to the barrier we don't know what it's going to be that pulls the market back or causes us to consolidate and peel off the red barrier. BUT, we need to understand where we are at and that running into the barrier is not the time to be adding to trades or exploring new ones. It's the time to take profits, consolidate, and maybe hedge a little.
I'm not putting this out to be applauded or to act like I'm some type of Oracle. I simply want to show all my friends who have decided to stick it out with me the last few days when others chose to leave that you can entrust in my strategies and I will teach you everything I know so you can beat the markets on a consistent basis too!
THIS IS A FAKE OUT IMO! BUY THE DIPNASDAQ:QQQ AMEX:SPY AMEX:IWM
THIS IS A FAKE OUT! BUY THE DIP 👇
-Strong Economic Fundamentals
-Hawkish FED spreading FUD
-Same Government shutdown scares every year
-2T+ in options (mostly call) expiring today
-Gains being pressured to be sold for 24 taxes
-Scare meme coin & gambler bro's out the markets
-Incoming party is for business & the stock market
-VIX spiked faster than Japanese trade crisis
-Inflation still coming down
-AI is still strong and a catalyst
-Company earnings are still hefty
-Global markets are curling up not down
All of these reasons explain my point of this being a FAKE OUT. I will be buying this DIP because I see nothing CONCRETE! All I see is that the market maker and FED Chair Powell teamed up to be the GRINCH & SCROOGE this Holiday season. Not financial advice.
IWM CORRECTIONAs we can see, there has been a correction since the presentation of the FOMC meeting, with a break in the bullish structure we had in the indices. IWM is one of the most bearish indices, breaking bullish structures in the 4-hour timeframe and losing strength in the daily timeframe. Although there hasn’t been a change in the daily timeframe yet, we are losing momentum and should recover the daily channel. In my view, it is the weakest index.
Daily Watchlist (12/17/24) + Market NotesSPY - Failing attempts all over to reclaim highs and lows, so we are making new intraday Broadening Formations. The current one as seen in the chart, is looking to potentially head back through previous range if unable to continue to the upside pivots around 608.40 and 609. Given we have FOMC news Wednesday, I am not expecting too much to happen tomorrow as we are stuck in previous range and keep seeing failed attempts to reclaim pivots. Of course anything can happen, but I will strictly be watching individual names only for trades.
QQQ - New ATH again today. Nothing special to note besides the fact that tech is obviously leading things this week
DIA - Polar opposite of QQQ. Industrials getting slammed again this week as DIA puts in its 8th consecutive Daily lower low
IWM - Green today but similar to DIA
Overall market notes: Its clear that the market continues to see cyclical names move higher while more defensive and noncyclical names continue lower. In light of FOMC this week, it doesn't seem like any sectors are making too big of shifts besides financials finally seeing some buying again. Mainly just concerned with what SPY does this Wednesday as it seems like usual we are waiting for the news before making the next significant move.
WATCHLIST:
Bullish :
NASDAQ:PLTR - Potential 3-2U daily with a potential 3-1-2U 4HR to trigger the day. FTFC green, but week is inside with lots of room to go for either side to go 2
Bearish :
NYSE:UBER - Potential 2-1-2D Daily. Shooter inside day to put week 2D and confirm Q attempting to go 3 after hitting hammer revstrat upside magnitude earlier this Q
NYSE:PFE - Potential 3-2D daily to put week 3-2D. Weekly reversal occurred at Q exhaustion, but failed 2 upside attempts now. "Fail one side, target the other"
NYSE:PINS - Potential 3-2D Daily to confirm Weekly 3-2-2D in force with magnitude left
Notable winners from weekly watchlist (posted Sunday 12/15):
ETSY, RBLX, RKLB, OXY, WMT
Daily Watchlist (12/17/24) + Market NotesSPY - Failing attempts all over to reclaim highs and lows, so we are making new intraday Broadening Formations. The current one as seen in the chart, is looking to potentially head back through previous range if unable to continue to the upside pivots around 608.40 and 609. Given we have FOMC news Wednesday, I am not expecting too much to happen tomorrow as we are stuck in previous range and keep seeing failed attempts to reclaim pivots. Of course anything can happen, but I will strictly be watching individual names only for trades.
QQQ - New ATH again today. Nothing special to note besides the fact that tech is obviously leading things this week
DIA - Polar opposite of QQQ. Industrials getting slammed again this week as DIA puts in its 8th consecutive Daily lower low
IWM - Green today but similar to DIA
Overall market notes: Its clear that the market continues to see cyclical names move higher while more defensive and noncyclical names continue lower. In light of FOMC this week, it doesn't seem like any sectors are making too big of shifts besides financials finally seeing some buying again. Mainly just concerned with what SPY does this Wednesday as it seems like usual we are waiting for the news before making the next significant move.
WATCHLIST:
Bullish :
NASDAQ:PLTR - Potential 3-2U daily with a potential 3-1-2U 4HR to trigger the day. FTFC green, but week is inside with lots of room to go for either side to go 2
Bearish :
NYSE:UBER - Potential 2-1-2D Daily. Shooter inside day to put week 2D and confirm Q attempting to go 3 after hitting hammer revstrat upside magnitude earlier this Q
NYSE:PFE - Potential 3-2D daily to put week 3-2D. Weekly reversal occurred at Q exhaustion, but failed 2 upside attempts now. "Fail one side, target the other"
NYSE:PINS - Potential 3-2D Daily to confirm Weekly 3-2-2D in force with magnitude left
Notable winners from weekly watchlist (posted Sunday 12/15):
ETSY, RBLX, RKLB, OXY, WMT
Get Ready for a MASSIVE Week Ahead! Watch now! 🚨 Get Ready for a MASSIVE Week Ahead! 🚨
Don't miss out on preparing for the upcoming week and the year-end Santa Claus Rally! Make sure to watch this entire video to stay ahead of the game.
📊 In this video, we'll cover:
-Major economic news and events
-Market trends for NASDAQ:QQQ , AMEX:SPY , and AMEX:IWM
-Latest updates on all current H5 Trades such as NYSE:HIMS NASDAQ:MBLY NYSE:SQ NASDAQ:MARA NYSE:FUBO & more!
This video is JAM-PACKED with insights and valuable gems you don't want to miss! 💎
Buckle up and check it out now! 👇
Watchlist (12/16-12/20) Using TheStratSPY Analysis: Month is 2U but back under previous M high and close to flipping red. Last week was 2D but failed to get to magnitude and closed red, but above the reversal trigger at previous week lows. Daily was 2D on Friday, so the daily actionable signal would be a 2D-2U reversal if buyers were strong enough to make a higher high on the daily come Monday. To get us lower, we have a 3-1 4HR setup as well as a shooter 2U Hourly candle. Trigger and target levels can be seen on the chart. Overall, we have some confliction as the D and W are red while the M is still green. This shows an attempt to flip the month red and we must view it this way until we see a daily higher high. If that were to happen, then we look to see the week flip red and then possibly make a higher high on the week for the weekly reversal back to the upside, which would re confirm the month being 2U and green. Traditional TA traders will see a wedge or bull flag on the daily/4HR, but as Strat traders, we know this is just a lack of strength from either side as we continue seeing failed attempts to make HHs and LLs. Although unconventional, if you check the 3 Day TF through the 8 Day TF, you will see they are all currently inside bars in formation still. We also know that inside bars restart the process of making broadening formations, so now its just a waiting game. We see the current attempt is to make lower lows on the daily since we failed to take highs out after the daily reversal, so we now either take out lows, or fail and move back through previous range to the upside. With conflicting situations like this, you just have to rely on timeframe continuity. Until the M, W, D, and 60 are all the same color, simply fall back on top down analysis and timeframe continuity to see what's really going on regardless of how the charts may look
Weekly Watchlist:
Bullish:
ETSY - 2-1 Week, Failed 2D Day. FTFC Green, so looking for BF expansion on the weekly
CRWD - 2-1 Hammer Week. 4HR inside bar. Monthly 3-2-2 still slowly compounding 2Us to Mag
RBLX - MoMO Hammer 2U week. 2-1 Daily to trigger week
RKLB - 3-2D Hammer Week. Relatively large ATR and high rVol
Bearish:
MCD - 3-1 Week, Shooter 2U Day
PINS - 3-2U failed Week, No Daily AS. Weekly Motherbar issues so caution here
PDD 1-2U failed week (Revstrat). No Daily AS. Going for large weekly BF magnitude
ROKU - Failed 2U Week. At Monthly exhaustion risk. Daily PMG and gap fill potential
OXY - 2-1 Shooter Week. Not much range, but clean weekly AS and all big oil names deep red
DDOG - 2-1 Week (Huge red week), Daily 1-3. 2 Daily gap fills, and some weekly lows to target
LVS - 2-3 Week. At Q exhaustion. Will be FTFC Red before W triggers the 3-2D
Neutral:
WMT - 2-1 Week, Daily 3-2D failed. Daily AS could send it back into ATH. Alternatively there is an 11 pivot PMG to the downside + a small gap to fill
Epic Bounce Ahead! Why $IWM, $RTY, and $TLT Are Set to SoarIn this video, I will explain to you why I believe we are about to have an EPIC bounce in the AMEX:IWM CAPITALCOM:RTY NASDAQ:TLT
I've put out write ups on this topic but I wanted to get all my thoughts in one cohesive video analysis to give you the visuals you deserve for my BOUNCE prediction.
🔜🎯$259
⏳Before March2025
Not Financial Advice. Check it out here 👇
The Russell 2000 has just bottomed! Here's WhyAMEX:IWM CAPITALCOM:RTY AMEX:TNA 🤏🧢
Here I am, standing before you again, putting my name on the line and going against the GRAIN and telling you I believe we just bottomed on the AMEX:IWM
The Russell 2000 is front-running this pullback and we are about to see a bounce next week and BIG push into year end! Here's WHY 👇
Before we take a look under the hood of the car lets talk about the weekly chart. Everything is still good: H5 Indicator is GREEN, Williams Consolidation Box is thriving, and we are on the volume shelf. Now lets take a look under the hood at the daily chart. 👇
Daily Chart Analysis:
-Most important we are at the bottom of our Wr% Range and at the Green support bounce zone. As you can see every time we've been here over the last three months we've bounced for an average of 9%.
-We broke down through our first level at $238 and are right at what I believe to be the final boss before we have our move higher. Why? Simple $234.66 is the previous ATH dated back to the end of 2021. So, I'm coming at you for the 100th time so it's engrained in your brain: A break of prior RESISTANCE needs a retest in order to FLIP it into SUPPORT. This is what I believe we are doing at this time at the second level of right under $235ish.
-You may be asking yourself well how come we don't go down to the $228 level. Great question, it could happen but I don't believe it's a strong probability for the reasons laid out above and the fact that we've already flipped that area from resistance to support. Also, we would be caught up in a Anchored volume profile GAP that measures down to $220 and I don't believe we are at that level of a crash instead of a pullback...yet!
-Speaking of Anchored Volume Profile Shelves we are currently holding on to this one even at the Level 2 support area.
-As I always say we could Lit grab/ flash crash down to the weekly 9ema that sits right around $232 before we fake out to the down side and push back higher towards ATH into year end.
In summary, I believe the AMEX:IWM has just bottomed and we’re poised for a bounce next week with a strong push into year-end. The Russell 2000 is leading this pullback, and both weekly and daily charts show positive indicators. With our H5 Indicator green and strong support levels holding, we’re ready to break higher.
🔜🎯$259
🎯$306
Not financial advice.
$NNE Flagging and Ready to Resume Uptrend?NASDAQ:NNE may be one for your watchlist. This one has had a nice uptrend since its IPO sell-off and has put in a series of Higher Lows (HL). It has just tested the 50 DMA (red) and has a nice green hammer candle off that area. It looks to be struggling with the 10 and 20 DMA’s right now.
I have an alert set on the upper downtrend line. Should that trigger, I will go to a lower time frame chart to look for a good entry with a tight stop. There could be resistance at the AVWAP from the most recent high which is something to be aware of.
In summary I am looking for this one to continue its uptrend after this shake-out and consolidation. All TBD.
UPDATE for the Markets and Active H5 TradesUPDATE for the Markets and Active H5 Trades
🎂 Today is my oldest sons second birthday. We already celebrated this morning, had birthday donuts and opened gifts. Got my market time in and now...
I'm logging off for the day and going to be with him on his special day. Especially after the scary times we've been through with him the last two weeks.
Family First ♥️
See you all tomorrow!
Here's a last minute 🎁 from my son to you. Updates👇
Stock Market Weekly Preview: Dec. 9th📊Stock Market Weekly Preview: NASDAQ:QQQ AMEX:SPY AMEX:IWM
In this video, we’re diving into:
🔹Stock Market & Economic News
🔹Market Direction
🔹My H5 Tools & Strategies
🔹New & Current Trades
Let’s dive in and uncover the insights you need to stay informed and strategic! 👇
Russell 2000 Small Caps (IWM) Breakout cup and handle on RUTRussell 2000 Small Caps TVC:RUT and AMEX:IWM on the Cusp of a Breakout?
The Russell 2000 small-cap index, tracked by the iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM), is forming a cup and handle pattern. This technical formation could be indicative of a significant breakout.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: $230-$232
Support: $220-$222
A decisive close above $234 confirmed the breakout, potentially leading to further upside. Conversely, a failure to hold above $220 could negate the pattern.
Keep a close eye on IWM as it navigates this critical juncture.
#TheStrat Weekly/Monthly Setups For DecemberSPY - Closed previous D/W/M close to HOD after making new ATH, so the D/W/M all finished bright green. No evidence of sellers anywhere since every TF above the 60 is currently green. 60 closed slight green, but this can easily be justified as eod corrective activity since all 60 min candles before the last one of the day were green, and every TF above the 60 is green. Going into the new week and month, we can expect buying to continue until we see a lower low on the D, but the real sign of buyers vanishing / sellers gaining control for me will be a Lower Low on the weekly.
Main Monthly Setups To Watch:
Bullish :
DKNG - 1-2-2 Q revstrat in force, 1-3 M, 2-1 W
PM - Hammer 3-1 M
BA - Counter Hammer Failed 2D M
MRK - Hammer M at Downside Exhaustion Level
Bearish:
MU - Shooter 1-3 M, Failed 2U W
ZIM - Rev Strat M at Upside Exhaustion
Main Weekly Setups To Watch:
Bullish:
RTX - 3-1-1 W
PLTR - MoMo Hammer W, Inside D
GOOG - RevStrat Hammer D, Inside W
Bearish:
GAP - 3-1 at Exhaustion
COIN - 2-1 W, Failed 2U D
PINS - Shooter RevStrat Week, Shooter Inside D
RDDT - Inside W (11 Consecutive Weekly HLs)
SQ - Red Inside D/W at Q Exhaustion