IWM
$FSLR Entering Stage 2 Breakout?NASDAQ:FSLR I have been watching FSLR since Feb 27th earnings. It has been whipping around in a range but in doing so it has managed to keep putting in Higher Lows. The pure definition of an uptrend. They reported earnings again on May 1st and beat expectations. Their guidance was simply in line with future estimates. However, they have gotten several upgrades to Buy or Outperform in the last 2 days, most in the $220 to $250 range.
I have started a full-sized position today with a stop just below the lower band of the current consolidation. “If” the market holds up I expect that FSLR will outperform and could easily run 20% to 30%. Only time will tell.
For a true breakout to happen it will have to get above that flat line on the current flat base. However, I like early entries closer to the 20 EMA. If you decide this trade looks good to you, please make sure it fits your trading rules. My idea but your money.
The chart I am using is the All-In-One LevelUp tool available here on TV. Check it out.
Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Comments always welcome. Thanks for looking.
$XBI Breaks Out of DowntrendAMEX:XBI I put this trade on yesterday morning as it broke above the short term downtrend line. However, I closed it near the end of day as the whole market was giving up its gains. (I did make a small profit).
I am now back in it again as it regains the 20 EMA (green). My stop is just below today’s low which also corresponds with the 20 EMA.
It looks like there “could” be resistance in the area it is trading today. I think if it can get over yesterday’s high, we could see it test the 50 DMA in red above. That is about $4 above where it is trading currently. All to be determined.
I did have a trade idea on this back on March 17th. Link to that idea below.
The chart I am using is the All-In-One LevelUp tool available here on TV. Check it out.
Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Comments always welcome. Thanks for looking.
Opening (IRA): IWM August 16th 170 Short Put... for a 1.78 credit.
Comments: Starting to round out my Q3 rungs here on weakness and higher IV, targeting the <16 delta strike paying around 1% of the strike price in credit to emulate dollar cost averaging into the broad market. Already have June and July rungs on, so going out to August here.
Opened (IRA): IWM June/July 182/180 Short PutsComments: Added at strikes better than what I currently have on in weakness, targeting the <16 delta strikes in the respective expiries paying around 1% of the strike price in credit to emulate dollar cost averaging into the small cap ETF.
June 21st 182: Filled for 1.89
July 19th 180: Filled for 2.22
I also briefly looked at QQQ and SPY, but couldn't get in at strikes better than what I currently have on, so am leaving those positions alone for now.
Opening (IRA): IWM June 21st 175/July 19th 170 Short PutsComments: Targeting the <16 delta strikes paying around 1% of the strike price in credit to emulate dollar cost averaging into the small caps ETF.
Adding here on weakness, better strikes than what I currently have on in those expires.
Filled the June 21st for a 1.75 credit; the July 21st 170 for 1.76.
Opening (IRA): IWM June 21st 185 Short Put... for a 1.87 credit.
Comments: Targeting the <16 delta strike in the shortest duration that pays around 1% of the strike price in credit to emulate dollar cost averaging into the broad market.
The ROC %-age isn't tremendously sexy here, so primarily doing this to keep theta on and burning while I work shorter duration, higher IV underlyings (e.g., SMH, XBI, GDX/GDXJ, etc.).
04/27/2024 - Watchlist, Stocks, Crypto - Video Idea - TA ChartsWatchlist, Stocks Indexes, Bitcoin, Crypto TA Charts by @NoFomoCharts
00:25 Watchlist and News
02:05 Stock Indexes
06:22 Crypto, Bitcoin, Altcoins
Watchlist, SPY, QQQ, DIA, IWM.
TOTAL, Bitcoin (BTC/USD), Halving History, ETH/usdt, BNB/usdt, SOL/usdt, ADA/usdt, XRP/usdt.
04/27/2024, 08:00PM EST Video Idea.
Technical Analysis & Educational Chart Videos.
Follow, Comment, Boost, or Cheer to support. Thank you!
All content is Not financial advice.
$SPY Does it Need a Bigger Correction?I have zoomed out to larger timeframes on AMEX:SPY to come up with some larger / longer timeframes. Here is what I started with; the weekly chart (shown) then zoomed out to the Monthly Chart (not shown) to draw the February 2009 trendline. I came back to the weekly to find the March 2020 trend. I then looked that the latest run starting in October 2023. That trend line is almost parabolic and was unsustainable.
I am not making any prediction here, but it would be prudent to have a plan for a larger correction. I have horizontal lines near the top of the chart that were drawn using the daily chart and it is possible that one of them (or none) could be support areas. It is all to be determined. Keep an open mind. Corrections can happen in price or time or a combination of both.
I would like to point out that on any of the charts that I post I am only correct about 50% of the time. My posts are more about self-accountability than anything else. However, I do hope that you find some value in the technical aspect of the posts.
Thanks for looking.
SPY min upside 5150 and up to 5330 june 6thThe chart posted is that of the spy in which I posted back in March I have NOT changed the labeling as it was correct .We are at the end of wave A down and should see a rather sharp ABC rally back up to a min of 5150 and then a pullback followed by the last wave up I do think it can reach as high as 5330 this is the alt to my 5261. We are now one of the most over sold in a few years . Best of trades WAVETIMER
04/21/2024 - News, Stocks, Commodities, Crypto - Video IdeaNews, Stocks, Indexes, ETFs, Commodities, Bitcoin, Crypto TA Charts by @NoFomoCharts
00:22 Part 1 - News and Watchlist
03:32 Part 2 - Stock Indexes, Metals, Commodities
10:58 Part 3 - Crypto market, Bitcoin, Altcoins
Watchlist, SPY, QQQ, DIA, IWM, GLD, SLV, USO.
TOTAL, Bitcoin (BTC/USD), Halving History, ETH/usdt, BNB/usdt, SOL/usdt, ADA/usdt.
04/21/2024, 09:00PM EST Video Idea.
Technical Analysis & Educational Chart Videos.
Follow, Comment, Boost, or Cheer to support. Thank you!
All content is Not financial advice.
$DIS Hanging onto the 50 DMANYSE:DIS I have taken a long position here as DIS seems to be holding the 50 DMA (red). My stop is nearby, just below the low on April 16th. This is a very early entry as it is below the 8 and 21 EMA but just reclaimed the 5 DMA (white).
The chart I am using is the All-In-One LevelUp tool available here on TV. Check it out.
Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Comments always welcome. Thanks for looking.
$DELL Bouncing Off 21 EMANYSE:DELL I was in this 2 weeks ago and made good $$$. I closed it out on April 8th on the second big red bar. This morning as it opened over the 21 EMA, I put ½ size position on with a stop below Fridays low of $117.61.
If the market holds up and moves higher, I expect it to test the previous highs. I am also aware that it could have been a double top, and this is simply a bounce.
The chart I am using is the All-In-One LevelUp tool available here on TV. Check it out.
Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Comments always welcome. Thanks for looking.
$PANW – Looks like it may have bottomedNASDAQ:PANW This cybersecurity leader got beat-up on the last earnings report. It looks to me that it may have bottomed out. On this weekly chart (the week is still young) it is in the process of setting up as an inside week. It is regaining the 40 Week MA which I view as important. Additionally, the volume has been declining since the big sell-off. I take that to mean that the selling pressure is over or about over. I am going to be patient with this one and look for it to close above that 40-week MA. If it does, I will look at a lower timeframe chart for a good entry where I can find a good risk reward entry.
For now, it is on my watchlist as a B+ set-up in the making.
The chart I am using is the All-In-One LevelUp tool available here on TV. Check it out.
Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Comments always welcome. Thanks for looking.
$U Early Break-out?NYSE:U is a bottom fishing play for me this morning. It has both broken the downtrend line and can be considered an undercut and rally as it undercut the low of March 19 and has risen above it. My stop will be just below that March 19 low of $25.13 Giving me a nice risk reward stop.
The chart I am using is the All-In-One LevelUp tool available here on TV. Check it out.
Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Comments always welcome. Thanks for looking.
$ENPH Breaking Downtrend LineI have been tracking NASDAQ:ENPH for awhile now and I like how it is behaving this morning. I went long 1/2 size and already up $4.50 a share. It is now consolidating on the 5 min chart. I may add more. TBD.
The chart I am using is the All-In-One LevelUp tool available here on TV. Check it out.
Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Comments always welcome. Thanks for looking.
Watching for IWM to bounce off support
IWM is currently in a strong accumulation area based on the volume profile delta. The indexes were a bit oversold after yesterday's CPI report and FOMC minutes, leading to a bounce in the afternoon. I am skeptical as to whether today's PPI report and fed speakers will have the same effect so I closed my puts. Here is my reasoning:
VIX keeps rejecting above $16.25. If it does not move up sharply at market open, I expect it to reject again and move back down towards $13.00.
The 10y bonds chart looks like yields have topped out for the week after hitting the R3 fib pivot point. I see it retracing down the channel until next week.
Same situation with the Dollar.
I expect a small rally into the weekend or early next week. Timing will depend on the reaction to today's PPI report. I'd like to see a dip in the morning so I can minimize risk in case there is not enough momentum to get to $206. I expect some choppiness there so we can either continue moving up next week or head for new lows.
Also thinking this looks like another bullish wedge on NYSE..