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IWM

Watching for IWM to bounce off support IWM is currently in a strong accumulation area based on the volume profile delta. The indexes were a bit oversold after yesterday's CPI report and FOMC minutes, leading to a bounce in the afternoon. I am skeptical as to whether today's PPI report and fed speakers will have the same effect so I closed my puts. Here is my reasoning: VIX keeps rejecting above $16.25. If it does not move up sharply at market open, I expect it to reject again and move back down towards $13.00. The 10y bonds chart looks like yields have topped out for the week after hitting the R3 fib pivot point. I see it retracing down the channel until next week. Same situation with the Dollar. I expect a small rally into the weekend or early next week. Timing will depend on the reaction to today's PPI report. I'd like to see a dip in the morning so I can minimize risk in case there is not enough momentum to get to $206. I expect some choppiness there so we can either continue moving up next week or head for new lows. Also thinking this looks like another bullish wedge on NYSE..
AMEX:IWMLong
by ap769
3
QQQ (Nasdaq etf) - Potential Bearish Momentum - WeeklyQQQ (nasdaq etf) has been uptrending for over a year (2023 to 2024). However, signs of a potential pullback in the long-term charts are showing with the price and rsi oscillator. In the long-term, a potential pullback may occur in the price, and the price could fall down to $426, $419, $400, $394 support levels. Long-term resistance levels are: $460, $470, $480, $500. QQQ etf volatility and trend can be affected by FOMC Interest Rates, Corporate Earnings, Consumer Sentiment, and Global Event Catalysts. A major bearish catalyst or a series of bearish events would be needed to reverse the price back down. Note: Without bearish events, the price of QQQ could continue rallying to new all-time highs.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by NoFomoCharts
$ARKK - VCP (Volatility Contraction Pattern)AMEX:ARKK Mark Minervini made famous the VCP as a set-up. It is also simply a wedging pattern that can break either way. However, where there was a previous uptrend, like in this chart, the direction of the break is usually to the upside. The path of least resistance is a continuation of the previous trend. ARKK had a move of over 60% from the Oct 30th low to the Dec 27th high. It pulled back about 18% from that high and has been digesting since and is now down less than 8% from that most recent high. As in life there are no guarantees on this. But here is my plan, I have an alert set on the upper downtrend line. Should that trigger, I will look to go long with a stop either below that day’s low or a close below the 20 EMA (White). All TBD. Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Comments always welcome. Thanks for looking.
CBOE:ARKKLong
by jaxdog
SPY Correction Coming?Hello everyone! First two new charts for 2024. Another year another upside logic market. We're breaking ATH with continually decaying economic data, new banking troubles, new wars, and an election year and markets ignore it all. It's a Fed controlled market so mysterious!? Anyhow, in this chart I did a vague not so accurate EW that began Jan 2022 that bottomed in Oct 2022 which basically bounced off the Feb 2020 highs which pushed us into this new bull market. We finally broke the ATH for the S&P today with 5015ish, which makes me believe we should soon see a corrective wave hit. The first support will be early Jan support of 475. If this stays within this channel, we should see the correction over (C) at the same level as (2) of the bear market of 2022 which is March/April of 455ish giving us about a 10% correction. Now, this is all IF markets go as planned and there are no external factors influencing selling such as a larger scale geopolitical war, banking failures and so on. This is based off a market that is going at the current pace. That being said, I do see a major geopolitical event that will shake markets to their core but until then, we base our market moves on the Feds dovish nonsense. Technicals: - RSI, MACD are about peaked. - VIX is at critical levels
AMEX:SPY
by WorldEconomics
Opening (IRA): IWM April 19th 176 Monied Covered Call... for a 171.23 debit. Comments: Buying stock and selling the -75 call against to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta put. This setup gives me a slight bump in premium over selling the 25 delta put due to call IV skew, along with built-in position defense with the short call. Laddering out over time after flattening out at the end of the year. I'll naturally look to add in shorter duration if I can get in at strikes/cost basis below what I currently have on, but will probably continue laddering out to the end of the second quarter (June) for a bit here. Will generally look to take profit at 50% max; look to roll out the short call to reduce cost basis further should price traverse the short call strike (since extrinsic is highest in at-the-money strikes).
AMEX:IWMLong
by NaughtyPines