Get started

Nasdaq Composite Index CFD

Daily Market Update for 1/28Summary: We ended a volatile week with one more whipsaw day. Thankfully, this one whipped to the upside. It seems the strong earnings week finally lifted sentiment in the market, overcoming fears of inflation and geopolitical events. Will it stick? Notes Ideas always welcome in the comments. Errors will be amended as comments on TradingView or corrected inline in my blog. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Friday, January 28, 2022 Facts: +3.13%, Volume lower, Closing Range: 100%, Body: 62% Green Good: Closing range, higher high, great breadth (a/d) Bad: Lower low, volume lower on gain Highs/Lows: Higher high, Lower low Candle: Long lower wick underneath thick green body, no upper wick Advance/Decline: 1.79, more than three advancing stocks for every two declining stocks Indexes: SPX (+2.43%), DJI (+1.65%), RUT (+1.93%), VIX (-9.28%) Sector List: Technology (XLK +4.37%) and Real Estate (XLRE +3.47%) at the top. Materials (XLB +0.58%) and Energy (XLE -0.42%) at the bottom. Expectation: Sideways or Higher -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Market Overview We ended a volatile week with one more whipsaw day. Thankfully, this one whipped to the upside. It seems the strong earnings week finally lifted sentiment in the market, overcoming fears of inflation and geopolitical events. Will it stick? The Nasdaq gained +3.13% by the end of the day. A dip in the morning created a long lower wick, but then the bulls came back in to end the day with gains. The 62% green body sits above the long lower wick. The 100% closing range leaves behind no upper wick. Volume was lower than the previous day. There were more than three advancing stocks for every two declining stocks. The S&P 500 (SPX) was the second-best index. Both the Nasdaq and S&P 500 were helped by Apple (AAPL) which crushed earnings estimates on Thursday evening. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) rose +1.65%. The Russell 2000 (RUT) climbed +1.93%. The VIX Volatility Index dropped back by -9.28% but remains elevated. Ten out of the eleven S&P 500 sectors gained for the day. Technology (XLK +4.37%) and Real Estate (XLRE +3.47%) were the top sectors. Materials (XLB +0.58%) and Energy (XLE -0.42%) were the bottom two sectors. Core PCE Price Index data was just slightly higher than forecast, coming in at 4.9% year-over-year. 4.8% was expected. Michigan Consumer Sentiment and Expectations were both lower than the forecast. The US Dollar index (DXY) was steady, rising just +0.01% today. US 30y, 10y, and 2y Treasury Yields all declined. High Yield (HYG) and Investment Grade (LQD) Corporate Bond prices rose. Silver and Gold continued to tumble, losing -1.34% and -0.34% today. The put/call ratio (PCCE) rose to 0.953. The CNN Fear & Greed index remained in Fear. The NAAIM money manager exposure index is at 53.39, down from 56.73 last week. All four largest mega-caps had significant gains. Apple (AAPL) soared +6.98% to close back above its 21d EMA and 50d MA lines. Microsoft (MSFT) climbed +2.81% to close just below its 21d EMA. Alphabet (GOOGL) gained +3.37% and closed just below its 200d MA. Amazon (AMZN) rose +3.11% but had more work to get back to moving averages. Visa (V) and Mastercard (M) were the top mega-caps for the day. Visa gained +1.60% while Mastercard advanced +9.12%. The stocks were lifted by Visa's earnings beat and optimistic outlook on travel spending. There was only one mega-cap in the list to decline. It was Chevron (CVX) which declined -by 3.52%, giving back some of the year-to-date gains. It had risen 16% since the new year. In a surprise reversal from overnight sentiment, Robinhood (HOOD) topped the Daily Update Growth List with a +9.65% advance. Robinhood sank in after-hours yesterday, disappointing investors with almost all of its business metrics. Only a handful of stocks on the list declined. Ehang Holdings (EH) was the biggest loser, dropping -6.51%. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Looking ahead There is not much economic news for Monday. Several Asian markets will be closed on Monday for the New Year holidays. The Chicago Purchasing Managers Index data will be available Monday after the market opens. Next week will be another big week for earnings, including Alphabet (GOOGL), Meta (FB), and Amazon (AMZN). However, Monday doesn't have any earnings reports relevant to this update. Check your own portfolio for earnings events. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Trends, Support, and Resistance The Nasdaq was up and down today but ended the day with an afternoon rally. There seems to be a support/resistance area around 13,800 and the index closed just below that area. If the one-day trend continues, expect a +1.72% advance on Monday. The five-day trend line ends with a -1.21% decline. If the index is to return to the trend line from the 1/12 high, it would mean a -5.28% drop. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Wrap-up The Nasdaq ended a wild week with a +0.01% gain. Not much, but still ends a four-week losing streak. It remains to be seen if this is just a pause before further declines or if the market is getting more support. Is the Fed going to simply take the foot off the gas that has been accelerating growth in the economy, or will it put on the brakes? That's the question large institutions need to answer for themselves. If it is the former, we'll see more support coming into the market with a few higher volume green days. Next, we will need to see investors that have taken profits and moved to the sidelines reengage. That will show up win breath thrust indicators. The most popular one, the Zweig Breadth Thrust indicator is on day one of ten today. The indicator rarely triggers, but if it did, it would provide new life to the bull market. The expectation for Monday is Sideways or Higher. If we get Lower, we can expect more volatility ahead. Stay healthy and trade safe!
NASDAQ:IXIC
by drewby4321
Daily Market Update for 1/27Summary: It was another tough day for the stock market. Indexes opened higher, but then faded throughout the day to close lower. The rally attempt from Monday's low is still intact but the performance since then isn't looking good. Will indexes fail Monday's low and go further down, or will they find support and move higher? Notes Ideas always welcome in the comments. Errors will be amended as comments on TradingView or corrected inline in my blog. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Thursday, January 27, 2022 Facts: -1.40%, Volume lower, Closing Range: 7%, Body: 81% Red Good: Volume lower on the decline Bad: Closing range, low advance/decline ratio Highs/Lows: Lower high, Lower low Candle: Mostly red body, with small upper and lower wicks Advance/Decline: 0.27, nearly four declining stocks for every advancing stock Indexes: SPX (-0.54%), DJI (-0.02%), RUT (-2.29%), VIX (-4.60%) Sector List: Energy (XLE +1.09%) and Utilities (XLU +0.89%) at the top. Real Estate (XLRE -1.80%) and Consumer Discretionary (XLY -2.42%) at the bottom. Expectation: Sideways or Lower -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Market Overview It was another tough day for the stock market. Indexes opened higher, but then faded throughout the day to close lower. The rally attempt from Monday's low is still intact but the performance since then isn't looking good. Will indexes fail Monday's low and go further down, or will they find support and move higher? The Nasdaq dropped -1.4% for the day. Volume was less than the previous day. The index opened the day in the positive but then sold off throughout the session, creating a thick red body that covers 81% of the candle. The tiny lower wick left behind a 7% closing range. There were nearly four stocks that declined for every stock that advanced. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) held up the best, declining only -0.02% thanks for Energy and Cyclical stocks. The S&P 500 (SPX) declined -0.54%. Small-caps took another hit on the chin with a drop of -2.29% in the Russell 2000 (RUT). Despite the declines, the VIX Volatility Index was lower by -4.60%. Six of the eleven sectors ended the day with gains. The top sector was Energy (XLE +1.09%), followed by the defensive sectors of Utilities (XLU +0.89%) and Consumer Staples (XLP +0.67%). The bottom two sectors were Real Estate (XLRE -1.80%) and Consumer Discretionary (XLY -2.42%) at the bottom. GDP data showed the economy expanded by 6.9% quarter-over-quarter in Q43 compared to the forecast of 5.5%. Core Durable Goods Orders (which excludes transportation items) for December met expectations, but total Durable Goods Orders fell by -0.9%. That was more than the -0.5% expected decline. The weekly Initial Jobless Claims were at the forecast with 260,000 claims this week. The US dollar is at its strongest since 2020, with the index (DXY) gaining +0.75% today. US 30y and 10y Treasury Yields declined while the 2y yield rose. The gap between long term and short term treasury yields continues to tighten. High Yield (HYG) Corporate Bond prices continue to plummet while Investment Grade (LQD) Corporate Bond prices rose slightly. Silver and Gold are both dropping sharply as the dollar rises. Crude Oil Futures took off again hitting new highs. The put/call ratio (PCCE) rose to 0.903. The CNN Fear & Greed index moved further into the Fear range. The NAAIM money manager exposure index is at 53.39, down from 56.73 last week. Of the four largest mega-caps, Amazon (AMZN)and Microsoft (MSFT) held onto intraday gains, ending with +0.55% and +1.05% advances. Apple (AAPL) declined -0.29% but is expected to reverse those losses after a surprisingly good earnings report and the declaration that supply chain issues are easing. Alphabet (GOOGL) declined -0.18%. Novo Nordisk (NVO) is at the top of the mega-cap list, gaining +2.51%. That's followed by Chevron (CVX) which gained +2.02% ahead of its Friday earnings report. Tesla (TSLA) dropped -11.55%, weighing down the entire EV sector and placing the mega-cap at the bottom of the list. Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) and Nvidia (NVDA) were also near the bottom of the list as semiconductors continue to fall. ServiceNow (NOW) pleased investors with its earnings report, rising to the top of the Daily Update Growth List with a +9.14% gain today. Netflix (NFLX) took back some of its losses after getting a shot of optimism from Bill Ackman declaring he was buying more. Tesla was also the worst growth stock of the day, followed by three Chinese EV stocks. RobinHood (HOOD) dropped -6.45% and then added another -12.58% after hours with terrible misses across its business. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Looking ahead Inflation will be back in focus tomorrow with the PCE Price Index data for December being available in the morning. After the market opens, we'll see the Michigan Consumer Sentiment and Consumer Expectations data for January. The earnings season continues to be mostly positive. Tomorrow will bring reports from Chevron (CVX) and Caterpillar (CAT) among a smaller list than Thursday. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Trends, Support, and Resistance The Nasdaq had a lower high and lower low today, but held above Monday's low, keeping alive the potential for a market rally. If the index returns to the five-day trend line, it would mean a +0.75% gain for Friday. The trend line from the 1/12 high ends with a -2.01% decline. Continuing the one-day trend would mean a -3.65% decline for Friday. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Wrap-up Among all the worrying about inflation and the Fed tightening monetary policy, it's easy to miss out on the fact that it's all happening because of an expanding economy driven by an exceptional performance from US companies. The evidence is in the earnings reports from Microsoft and Apple. Even Tesla had great results (and guidance) despite sharing that there would be no new models for 2022. Apple shared some really great news today. Not only did it smash holiday records, but said that supply chain issues were easing. That's in contrast to supply chain concerns that Tesla shared in its earnings report yesterday. So investors will continue to be pulled between worries about the Fed tightening monetary policy and the exceptional performance of the US economy. Of course, the Fed tightening has the purpose of slowing down the economy, but so far it appears that corporate America remains confident. If supply chain issues are easing, that's even a better outlook. That means the Fed can tighten without impacting employment or causing a recession (marked by two quarters of decline in GDP). Based on the chart, the expectation is for Sideways or Lower. But cross our fingers for a positive day helped by Apple's rosy outlook. Stay healthy and trade safe!
NASDAQ:IXIC
by drewby4321
3
Nasdaq (IXIC) | The best scenario for the fallHello traders, Nasdaq (IXIC) in daily timeframe , this analysis has been prepared in daily timeframe but has been published for a better view in 2 day timeframe. In this index, the waves have ended in a higher stage than in other indicators and have started to correct in a higher stage. In this index, waves 1, 2 and 3 are over and correction for wave 4 has started. If we want to compare Wave 4 with Wave 2, we must say that Wave 4 will have a shallow correction, but its current structure is not like this and it gives the possibility of deepening. Wave 4 is likely to form in the form of a zigzag , and this zigzag will take a long time to complete like a flat. We are still inside wave a of this zigzag and we think that wave a will be completed on Fibo 0.38 and this descent should be done before the range of 14186, otherwise there will be a possibility of structural change. 🙏If you have an idea that helps me provide a better analysis, I will be happy to write in the comments🙏 ❤️Please, support this idea with a like and comment!❤️
TVC:IXICShort
by mahdisoltaninjad
Daily Market Update for 1/26Summary: Jerome Powell says Inflation is bad and possibly getting worse. While the initial release from the Fed meeting met expectations, which predicted an interest rate hike in March, markets turned fearful again when comments from Powell showed much more concern than anticipated. Notes Ideas always welcome in the comments. Errors will be amended as comments on TradingView or corrected inline in my blog. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Wednesday, January 26, 2022 Facts: +0.02%, Volume lower, Closing Range: 25%, Body: 54% Red Good: Higher high and held onto a gain for the day Bad: Lost intraday momentum to make a lower low Highs/Lows: Higher high, Lower low Candle: Outside day, equal size upper and lower wicks surround a red body Advance/Decline: 0.5, two declining stocks for every advancing stock Indexes: SPX (-0.15%), DJI (-0.38%), RUT (-1.38%), VIX (+2.57%) Sector List: Technology (XLK +0.59%) and Financials (XLF +0.26%) at the top. Communications (XLC -1.46%) and Real Estate (XLRE -1.66%) at the bottom. Expectation: Sideways -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Market Overview Jerome Powell says Inflation is bad and possibly getting worse. While the initial release from the Fed meeting met expectations, which predicted an interest rate hike in March, markets turned fearful again when comments from Powell showed much more concern than anticipated. The Nasdaq barely held onto the daily gain, advancing just +0.02% after being up +3.42% intraday. Volume was higher thanks to the volatility. The 54% red body sits in between equal size upper and lower wicks. The upper wick formed from the intraday gains while the lower wick formed during the fear-induced sell-off. There were two declining stocks for every advancing stock. The S&P 500 (SPX) fell -0.15%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) lost -0.38%. The Russell 2000 (RUT) declined -1.38%. The VIX Volatility Index was on the decline but reversed to its highest close since one year ago, when the Fed also caused panic among investors. Technology (XLK +0.59%) and Financials (XLF +0.26%) were the only two sectors to hold onto gains for the day. Communications (XLC -1.46%) and Real Estate (XLRE -1.66%) ended at the bottom of the list. After the Jerome Powell speech all sectors sold off, but the defensive sectors of Utilities (XLU -0.82%) and Consumer Staples (XLP -0.76%) had the smallest declines. The day started off with mixed economic news. The Goods Trade Balance (Dec) show the US was importing far more than it was exporting. Analysts expected a -96.10B imbalance but the actual was -100.96B. New Home Sales for December outpaced expectations. There were 811,000 sales vs the expected 760,000. Crude Oil Inventories showed less demand than forecasted. The biggest economic news for the day was from the Fed. They confirmed a timeline for March to start increasing interest rates and begin reducing the balance sheet. That initial information was Ok with the market, causing a short rally. The rally was ended by Jerome Powell's speech which raised concern about a worsening situation with inflation. The US Dollar index (DXY) rose +0.54% for the day. US 30y, 10y, and 2y Treasury Yields all rose while the gap between long term and short term treasuries narrowed. High Yield (HYG) and Investment Grade (LQD) Corporate Bond prices declined sharply. Gold and Silver both dropped, relative to the dollars increase. The put/call ratio rose to 0.758. The CNN Fear & Greed index continued to move further into the Fear range. Microsoft (MSFT) outperformed the other largest mega-caps. After beating earnings expectations and providing a positive surprise for 2022 guidance, the company was up +6.76% intraday. Microsoft held onto a +2.85% gain. Alphabet (GOOGL) also closed the day in the positive, gaining +1.81%. Apple (AAPL) declined -0.06% and Amazon (AMZN) was down -0.80%. Broadcom Inc (AVGO) was the top mega-cap today, winning some favorable analyst praise and a +4.20% advance. Alibaba (BABA) was at the bottom of the mega-cap list, losing -4.84%. The Daily Update Growth List lost a lot of gainers after the Fed meeting, but some held on to finish in the green. The top performer was Draft Kings (DKNG) which gained +5.23% after Morgan Stanley upgraded the stock to equal weight. FUTU Holdings (FUTU) declined -7.36% to end up at the bottom of the growth list. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Looking ahead Tomorrow morning will start with the Durable Goods Orders data for December. We'll also get a reading on GDP for Q4 of 2021. The weekly jobless claims data will be available before the market opens and Pending Home Sales for December will print after the market opens. Apple (AAPL) is the big earnings report for tomorrow. Will the positive earnings week continue? In addition to Apple, Visa (V), Mastercard (MA), Comcast (CMCSA), McDonald's (MCD), SAP (SAP), Atlassian (TEAM), Western Digital (WD), and Southwest Airlines (LUV) are among many companies reporting earnings on Thursday. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Trends, Support, and Resistance The Nasdaq rallied today but then gave up the gains to close just above yesterday's close. The one-day trend line points to a -1.10% decline for tomorrow. The five-day trend line and the trend line from the 1/12 high point to a -2.47% decline. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Wrap-up Shock is never a good thing for investors and Jerome Powell's comments today set off nerves driving selling in the late afternoon. Now that the market is closed, analysts can look closer at his comments and reassess what they think the Fed's timeline is for interest rate hikes and reducing the balance sheet. We'll see what the institutional opinion is in tomorrow's market moves. After an inside day, following by a volatile outside day, the expectation for tomorrow is Sideways. Stay healthy and trade safe!
NASDAQ:IXIC
by drewby4321
2
Daily Market Update for 1/25Summary: Markets were lower on Tuesday as investors awaited the Fed's interest rate decision on Wednesday. The energy sector tracked oil prices hire on fears that the Ukraine standoff would put pressure on supplies. Notes Ideas always welcome in the comments. Errors will be amended as comments on TradingView or corrected inline in my blog. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Tuesday, January 25, 2022 Facts: -2.28%, Volume lower, Closing Range: 34%, Body: 19% Red Good: Higher low, less volume on decline Bad: Lower high, failed rally in afternoon Highs/Lows: Lower high, Higher low Candle: Inside day, spinning top indicating indecision Advance/Decline: 0.75, more declining than advancing stocks Indexes: SPX (-1.22%), DJI (-0.19%), RUT (-1.45%), VIX (+4.21%) Sector List: Energy (XLE +3.88%) and Financials (XLF +0.42%) at the top. Communications (XLC -2.05%) and Technology (XLK -2.31%) at the bottom. Expectation: Sideways or Lower -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Market Overview Markets were lower on Tuesday as investors awaited the Fed's interest rate decision on Wednesday. The energy sector tracked oil prices hire on fears that the Ukraine standoff would put pressure on supplies. The Nasdaq fell -2.28% for the day. Despite the decline, volume was lower than the previous day and the spinning top candle with a lower high and higher low indicate indecision in the market. The 19% red body sits in the middle of the candle above a 34% closing range. There were more declining stocks than advancing stocks. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) was down only -0.19% thanks to outperformance in large Energy and Financial stocks. The S&P 500 (SPX) declined -1.22%. The Russell 2000 (RUT) fell -1.45%. The VIX Volatility Index climbed +4.21%. Energy (XLE +3.88%) and Financials (XLF +0.42%) were at the top of the sector list. Communications (XLC -2.05%) and Technology (XLK -2.31%) were at the bottom. Consumer Confidence for January beat the forecast, coming in at 113.8 against an expected 111.8. The US Dollar index (DXY) was higher by +0.10%. US 30y and 10y Treasury Yields were slightly down while the 2y yield rose. High Yield (HYG) and Investment Grade (LQD) Corporate Bond prices were both lower. Gold moved higher as investors bought it for a safe haven. Crude Oil Futures moved higher on potential supply issues from a possible Ukraine standoff. The put/call ratio (PCCE) dropped to 0.682. The CNN Fear & Greed index moved further into the Fear range. The four largest mega-caps were down for the day. Microsoft (MSFT) closed below its 200d moving average for the first time since the beginning of the pandemic. Apple (AAPL) had an intraday rally for a gain, but then fell back to close with a -1.14% decline. Amazon (AMZN) and Alphabet (GOOGL) produced inside days and declines of -3.15% and -2.96%. Chevron (CVX) and Exxon Mobil (XOM) were the top mega-caps for today. Chevron advanced +4.25% while Exxon Mobil climbed +2.94%. ASML Holding (ASML) was at the bottom of the mega-cap list, declining -5.65%. Nvidia (NVDA) was also near the bottom, dropping -5.29% today. Only three of the Daily Update Growth List stocks gained. Penn National Gaming topped the list with a +1.86% climb. After two days of gains, Peloton (PTON) found itself at the bottom of the list again, declining -10.70%. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Looking ahead The biggest news for tomorrow will be results of the Fed meeting and their Interest Rate decision. That news will come around 2pm. In the morning, we'll get the Goods Trade Balance and Retail Inventories for December. After the market opens, we'll have New Homes Sales data for December. Later in the morning, the weekly Crude Oil Inventories will be available. Tesla (TSLA), Abbot Labs (ABT), Intel (INTC), AT&T (T), Boeing (BA), ServiceNow (NOW), ADP (ADP), and Progressive (PGR) are among the earnings reports for tomorrow. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Trends, Support, and Resistance The index opened lower, then nearly rallied to a gain before finally fading back to a loss. The one-day trend line points to a +2.02% advance for Wednesday. The five-day trend line ends with a -2.45% decline. The trend line from the 1/12 high results in a -3.96% decline. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Wrap-up There's not much investors could do on Tuesday but wait for Wednesday. That resulted in lower volume and a soft rally attempt in the afternoon. The spinning top candle represents that indecisive sentiment. Earnings reports will significantly impact sentiment this week. Microsoft beat estimates and provide very positive guidance for 2022. That could help bring some support into the market, including the Nasdaq. Based on the candle and downtrend, the expectation for tomorrow remains Sideways or Lower. Stay healthy and trade safe!
NASDAQ:IXIC
by drewby4321
2
Daily Market Update for 1/24Summary: Markets rebounded after a massive dip in the morning brought on by worries over the Fed interest rate decisions mid-week and what's happening between Russia and NATO over Ukraine. Notes Ideas always welcome in the comments. Errors will be amended as comments on TradingView or corrected inline in my blog. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Monday, January 24, 2022 Facts: +0.63%, Volume higher, Closing Range: 97%, Body: 48% Green Good: High closing range, gain on higher volume, high advance/decline ratio Bad: Big dip in the morning, lower high, lower low Highs/Lows: Lower high, Lower low Candle: Long lower wick underneath a 48% green body, tiny upper wick Advance/Decline: 1.29, more advancing than declining stocks Indexes: SPX (+0.28%), DJI (+0.29%), RUT (+2.29%), VIX (+3.64%) Sector List: Consumer Discretionary (XLY +1.20%) and Communications (XLC +0.73%) at the top. Health (XLV -0.33%) and Utilities (XLU -0.96%) at the bottom. Expectation: Sideways or Higher -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Market Overview Markets rebounded after a massive dip in the morning brought on by worries over the Fed interest rate decisions mid-week and what's happening between Russia and NATO over Ukraine. The Nasdaq closed with a +0.63% gain. That came after dip of -4.90% in the morning. The candle has a 48% green body above a long lower wick from the morning dip. The recovery and rally into close led to a 97% closing range. Volume was higher than the previous day. There were more advancing stocks than declining stocks. At its lowest point, the Nasdaq was down -19.23% from its all-time high. The Russell 2000 (RUT) outperformed for the day. The small-cap index rose +2.29%. The S&P 500 (SPX) climbed +0.28% while the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) rose +0.29%. All three indexes dipped severely in the morning. The VIX Volatility Index soared 35% intraday, but ended the day just +3.64% higher. The intraday top was the highest reading since November 2020. Consumer Discretionary (XLY +1.20%) and Communications (XLC +0.73%) were the top sectors for the day. Health (XLV -0.33%) and Utilities (XLU -0.96%) were at the bottom. From the upside reversal around 12:00p, all sectors gained with Technology (XLY +0.52%) leading the list. The Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers Index came in lower than expected. However both prints were above 50 which signals expansion in their respective sectors. The US Dollar strengthened, with the index (DXY) gaining +0.24% The US 30y and 10y Treasury Yields rose while the 2y yield declined. Both High Yield (HYG) and Investment Grade (LQD) Corporate Bond prices declined. Silver retreated while Gold advanced. Crude Oil, Timber, Copper and Aluminum all retreated. The put/call ratio remained at a relatively bearish level, declining to 0.950 today. The CNN Fear & Greed index remained in the Fear area. All four largest mega-caps recovered from morning dips. Only Apple (AAPL) could not end the day with a gain, declining -0.49%. Microsoft dipped well below its 200d MA, but recovered to close above the line and gain +0.11%. Amazon (AMZN) rose +1.33%. Alphabet (GOOGL) improved by +0.35%. Home Depot (HD) gained +4.21% today to top the mega-cap list. Adobe (ADBE) was the next best with a +3.95% advance. At the bottom of the list was Alibaba (BABA) and Pfizer (PFE) which lost -2.32% and -2.37%. The Daily Update Growth List had some big winners. Chewy (CHWY) topped the list with a +13.72% gain. Peloton (PTON) continued its rebound, advancing +9.79% today. Chinese stocks were at the bottom of the list, with Nio (NIO) having the most significant decline, losing -9.07%. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Looking ahead CB Consumer Confidence for January will be available after the market opens tomorrow. Microsoft (MSFT), Johnson&Johnson (JNJ), Verizon (VZ), Texas Instruments (TXN), Raytheon (RTX), American Express (AXP), General Electric (GE), Lockheed Martin (LMT), 3M (MMM), and Logitech (LOGI) are among the earnings reports tomorrow. All eyes will be on Microsoft to set a tone for the mega-cap reports coming later this week and next. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Trends, Support, and Resistance The index dipped to almost 13,000 before catching some support and recovering to close higher. Still, the trend is downward with a lower low and lower high. If the one-day trend line continues into Tuesday, expect a +1.11% advance. The trend line from the 1/12 high and the five-day trend line both represent the steep declines over the two time periods. After today's rally, if the index returns to those lines it would mean a decline of -3.29% to -4.55%. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Wrap-up We are not out of the woods yet, but today was a positive day. The candle itself has a long lower wick that can indicate a reversal when in a downtrend. The result is a move higher on higher than average volume (although a large portion of that volume came in the dip). The closing range of 97% shows the rally rode right into close. We also have more advancing stocks than declining stocks. To continue the momentum, look for another positive day tomorrow on increased volume. We also want to see the advance/decline line remain above 1.0 and a good closing range. The last thing we need to see and we didn't get today, is a higher high and a higher low. The expectation is for Sideways or Higher. Stay healthy and trade safe!
NASDAQ:IXIC
by drewby4321
Daily Market Update for 1/21Summary: That’s four days in a row with a long upper wick from a failed morning rally and a dismal closing range under 10%. Panic sets in for investors as the Fed's rate hike decision approaches to fight higher inflation while risking the possibility of a recession. Notes Ideas always welcome in the comments. Errors will be amended as comments on TradingView or corrected inline in my blog. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Friday, January 21, 2022 Facts: -2.72%, Volume higher, Closing Range: 1%, Body: 68% Red Good: Nothing Bad: Fourth failed rally attempt this week, low closing range Highs/Lows: Lower high, Lower low Candle: Long upper wick with large red body. No lower wick. Advance/Decline: 0.24, four declining stocks for every advancing stock Indexes: SPX (-1.89%), DJI (-1.30%), RUT (-1.78%), VIX (+12.74%) Sector List: Consumer Staples (XLP +0.08%) and Real Estate (XLRE -0.06%) at the top. Consumer Discretionary (XLY -2.93%) and Communications (XLC -3.38%) at the bottom. Expectation: Sideways or Lower -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Market Overview That’s four days in a row with a long upper wick from a failed morning rally and a dismal closing range under 10%. Panic sets in for investors as the Fed's rate hike decision approaches to fight higher inflation while risking the possibility of a recession. The Nasdaq declined -2.72% to end its worst week since the pandemic began and its fourth weekly decline in a row. Volume was higher than the previous day. The candle looks just like the other four this week, with a long upper wick from a failed rally turning to a large red body and no lower wick. The closing range was just 1% under a 68% red body. There were four declining stocks for every advancing stock. The S&P 500 (SPX) declined -1.89% to close below its 200d moving average. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) declined -1.30%. The Russell 2000 (RUT) gave up -1.78%. The VIX Volatility Index continued to soar with a +12.74% rise on Friday. Only Consumer Staples (XLP +0.08%) advanced for the day. The other defensive sectors of Real Estate (XLRE -0.06%) and Utilities (XLU -0.19%) were the next two in the sector list. Consumer Discretionary (XLY -2.93%) and Communications (XLC -3.38%) were at the bottom. Retail Sales in the UK and Canada for December echoed the US result, missing targets and declining month-over-month. The US Dollar index (DXY) was fairly steady for the week, declining -0.14% on Friday. US 30y, 10y and 2y Treasury Bonds all declined as investors moved to the safety of bonds vs the volatility in equities. High Yield (HYG) and Investment Grade (LQD) Corporate Bond prices tracked Treasuries higher (Yields lower, Prices higher). Silver and Gold both moved lower for the day. Crude Oil Futures, Timber, Copper and Aluminum Futures all sank. The put/call ratio (PCCE) rose to 1.15, the most bearish reading since March 2020. The CNN Fear & Greed index floated back into the fear range. The NAAIM money manager exposure index declined to 56.73 from 74.78 the previous week. All four largest mega-caps declined. Amazon (AMZN) continues to fall more than the others, declining -5.95% on Friday. Alphabet (GOOGL) dropped -2.22%. Apple (AAPL) and Microsoft (MSFT) faired a bit better, declining -1.28% and -1.85%. Only four mega-caps gained for the day. Abbot Laboratories (ABT) was the top gainer, gaining 0.90%. The biggest loser in the list was Walt Disney (DIS) which lost -6.94%, possibly weighted down by Netflix's disappointing subscriber growth. Alibaba (BABA) was also at the bottom of the list after topping it several days this week. It gave back the intraweek gains, declining -5.95% on Friday. In the Daily Update Growth List, only two stocks advanced. Peloton (PTON) gained +11.73%, bouncing back from a -24% decline the previous day. Beyond Meat (BYND) squeezed out a +0.29% advance. At the bottom of the list was Netflix, ending the day with a -21.79% decline. The company reported slower than expected subscriber growth. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Looking ahead The big news next week will be the Fed's rate increase decision on Wednesday. Also impacting the market will be earnings reports from Apple, Microsoft and Tesla, the largest of the big hitters reporting next week. Monday will bring the Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Manager Index data for January, a forward-looking indicator on economic performance. Earnings reports on Monday include IBM (IBM) and Haliburton (HAL). -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Trends, Support, and Resistance The index is now -15% below its all-time high. The five-day trend line and the trend line from the 1/12 high both point to a +0.49% advance for the index if it returns to the longer trends. The one-day trend line leads to a -1.39% decline for Monday. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Wrap-up A painful week ends with investors at their most bearish level since the March 2020 crash. Some people call for further pain as a bubble of speculative investments over the past two years bursts. Others are saying this looks like the correction we needed and this could be the bottom. What do the charts and indicators tell us? The Nasdaq chart is dismal. It has no indication of stopping the decline. Every rally attempt this week failed and three of the four days showed distribution from institutional investors, marked by high volume declines. The percentage of stocks above their 200d and 50d moving averages are both at their lowest since the pandemic began. However, they have seen lower levels during the start of the pandemic and in late 2018 and early 2016. So these indicators could go lower. Treasury Bond yields rose sharply the previous week on speculation that the Fed would initiate interest rate hikes with a 50 basis points instead of the previously expected 25 basis points. That uncertainty and volatility in bonds just further tanked equities. One could look at the Fed's decision on Wednesday as a point of stabilization, especially if the Fed confirms the 25 basis point expectation. Investor sentiment often hits extremes around reversals. The put/call ratio rose to its highest (most bearish) point since March 2020, and the first time since 2020 that there were more puts than calls in the market. The CNN Fear & Greed index is not in Extreme Fear, however four out of seven of its subcomponents are there. The NAAIM money manager exposure index is below 60, where it typically bottoms and moves higher as money managers buy the dip. History tells us that equities typically decline leading up to rate hikes and then rise after rate hikes. However, we are in unprecedented times after historic low interest rates and massive QE causing the highest level of inflation since the 1980s. That potentially requires a very hawkish fed to bring it under control. So is there more uncertainty ahead? The bottom line is we're still not out of the woods. Rather than trying to guess, or listen to click-bait media, wait for the market to confirm the bottom. A few days of higher volume advances with broad support across the market will tell us that institutions are back in the game. Stay healthy and trade safe!
NASDAQ:IXIC
by drewby4321
Daily Market Update for 1/20Summary: A morning rally attempt failed, turning into more declines for the major indexes. Chinese stocks outperformed after China cut interest rates. Notes Ideas always welcome in the comments. Errors will be amended as comments on TradingView or corrected inline in my blog. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Thursday, January 20, 2022 Facts: -1.30%, Volume lower, Closing Range: 3%, Body: 62% Red Good: Nothing Bad: Another failed rally, closing range of 3%, volume higher on decline Highs/Lows: Lower high, Lower low Candle: Long upper wick over a thick red body Advance/Decline: 0.36, nearly three declining stocks for every advancing stock Indexes: SPX (-1.10%), DJI (-0.89%), RUT (-1.88%), VIX (+7.30%) Sector List: Utilities (XLU +0.13%) and Financials (XLF -0.64%) at the top. Materials (XLB -1.45%) and Consumer Discretionary (XLY -1.82%) at the bottom. Expectation: Lower -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Market Overview A morning rally attempt failed, turning into more declines for the major indexes. Chinese stocks outperformed after China cut interest rates. The Nasdaq closed with a -1.30% loss. Volume was higher than the previous day, marking another distribution day. The failed morning rally created a long upper wick that sits over a 62% red body. There is a tiny lower wick, leaving the candle with a 3% closing range. Nearly three stocks declined for every stock that advanced. The Russell 2000 (RUT) continued to sell-off more than the other indexes, declining -1.88% today. The S&P 500 (SPX) lost -1.10%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) fell -0.89%. The VIX Volatility Index rose +7.30%. Only the Utilities (XLU +0.13%) sector ended the day with a gain. Financials (-0.64%) was the second best sector for the day, helped by some positive earnings reports from banks in the morning. Materials (XLB -1.45%) and Consumer Discretionary (XLY -1.82%) were at the bottom of the sector list. Initial Jobless Claims were higher than forecast, coming in at 286,000 compared to the forecast of 220,000. The Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index for January printed 23.2 compared to the expectation of 20.0. That was welcome news after the NY Manufacturing Index showed worsening conditions with a negative print. Existing Home Sales for December was under the forecast by 4%. Crude Oil Inventories was higher than expected, marking some fall back in demand. The US Dollar index (DXY) rose by +0.16%. US 30y, 10y and 2y Treasury Yields all declined. High Yield (HYG) Corporate Bond prices continued to slide while Investment Grade (LQD) Corporate Bond prices seemed to bottom. Silver continued to rise sharply while Gold declined. Aluminum Futures are reaching back toward record highs. The put/call ratio (PCCE) rose to 0.816. The CNN Fear & Greed index moved back to Neutral, from the Greed area yesterday. The NAAIM money manager exposure index declined to 56.73 from 74.78 the previous week. All four mega-caps declined today. Amazon (AMZN) continued to tumble, with a -2.96% decline. The stock is nearly 20% off its all-time high. Alphabet (GOOGL) closed just above its 200d moving average, losing -1.34% today. Apple (AAPL) made an attempt to get back above its 50d moving average, but ended the day with a -1.03% loss. Microsoft (MSFT) declined -0.57%. Top performing stocks for the day in both the mega-cap and growth list were Chinese companies. Alibaba (BABA) sat at the top of the mega-cap list with a +2.58% advance. At the bottom of the list was Nvidia (NVDA), declining -3.66% today as the entire semiconductor segment continues to lose ground. The top five stocks in the Daily Update Growth List were all Chinese, with Ehang Holdings (EH)leading the charge and gaining +11.40%. At the bottom of the growth list was Peloton (PTON). The company dropped -23.93% after news hit that they would be halting production of bikes and treadmills. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Looking ahead Retail Sales data for the UK and Canada will come overnight. Otherwise, there is not much economic news in the calendar for Friday. Schlumberger (SLB) and Huntington Bacnshares (HBAN) report earnings in the morning. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Trends, Support, and Resistance The Nasdaq continues to tumble as it doesn’t seem to be catching any support areas. The index is -12.70% below its all-time high. If the index can return to the trend line from the 12/28 high, it would require a +1.37% advance on Friday. The five-day trend line points to a +0.35% gain. If the one-day trend continues, expect another -1.86% decline. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Wrap-up Pain, pain, pain. It's tough to watch the failed rally attempts turn into significant losses day after day this week. The strengthening dollar today and rising Treasury prices both point to money coming back into the US market. If that can continue, we should see some support in US equity markets as investors look for greater returns. Based on the chart, the index is not giving us any indication of a reversal, so the expectation for tomorrow remains Lower. Stay healthy and trade safe!
NASDAQ:IXIC
by drewby4321
Daily Market Update for 1/19Summary: Markets continued to fall as actions from a more hawkish Fed loom in the near future. Two rally attempts in the Nasdaq couldn't hold on today and investors fled to defensive sectors. Notes Ideas always welcome in the comments. Errors will be amended as comments on TradingView or corrected inline in my blog. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Wednesday, January 19, 2022 Facts: -1.15%, Volume lower, Closing Range: 3%, Body: 74% Red Good: Lower volume Bad: Lost the 14,500 support area, low closing range Highs/Lows: Lower high, Lower low Candle: Mostly red body, long upper wick, no lower wick Advance/Decline: 0.51, two declining stocks for every advancing stock Indexes: SPX (-0.97%), DJI (-0.96%), RUT (-1.60%), VIX (+4.65%) Sector List: Consumer Staples (XLP +0.63%) and Utilities (XLU +0.45%) at the top. Financials (XLF -1.68%) and Consumer Discretionary (XLY -1.80%) at the bottom. Expectation: Sideways or Lower -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Market Overview Markets continued to fall as actions from a more hawkish Fed loom in the near future. Two rally attempts in the Nasdaq couldn't hold on today and investors fled to defensive sectors. The Nasdaq finished with a -1.15% decline. Volume was lower than the previous day. A long upper wick was formed from a morning rally that failed. The rest of the candle is 74% red body, leaving behind practically no lower wick and a 3% closing range. There were two declining stocks for every advancing stock. The Russell 2000 (RUT) led the losses for another day, dropping -1.60%. The S&P 500 (SPX) and Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) declined -0.97% and -0.96%. The VIX Volatility Index rose by +4.65%. Only two sectors in the S&P 500 finished the day with gains, both defensive sectors. Consumer Staples (XLP +0.63%) and Utilities (XLU +0.45%) were at the top of the sector list. Financials (XLF -1.68%) and Consumer Discretionary (XLY -1.80%) were at the bottom. Building Permits and Housing Starts data exceeded expectations for December. There were 1.87m Building Permits compared to the forecast of 1.70m. And there were 1.70m Housing Starts compared to a forecast of 1.65m. Consumer Price Index data from the UK and Canada were both higher than expected. The US Dollar index (DXY) dropped by -0.11%. The US 30y and 10y Treasury Yields receded a bit while the 2y Treasury Yield rose slightly. High Yield (HYG) Corporate Bond prices continued to fall while Investment Grade (LQD) Corporate Bond prices rose. Silver and Gold both rose sharply for the day. The put/call ratio (PCCE) dropped to 0.717 as some investors may be seeing a bounce from here. The CNN Fear & Greed index moved back into Greed, from a Neutral level yesterday. Of the four largest mega-caps, only Microsoft (MSFT) advanced for the day although it gave back much of its intraday gains. The stock ended the day with a +0.22% advance. Apple (AAPL) joined the other three in closing below its 50d moving average, dropping -2.10% today. Alphabet (GOOGL) declined -0.65% while Amazon (AMZN) fell -1.65%. Proctor & Gamble (PG) was the top mega-cap, rising +3.36% on a solid earnings report released in the premarket. The company stated that prices will continue to rise. Tesla (TSLA) was at the bottom of the mega-cap list, declining -3.38% today. Nvidia (NVDA) also declined more than -3%. Peloton (PTON) was the top stock in the Daily Update Growth List. The stock climbed +5.33% after the company announced it would be cutting staff and other fixed costs, improving the profitability in the company despite slower growth. Digital Turbine (APPS) was at the bottom of the list, losing -6.08%. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Looking ahead Tomorrow morning will bring the weekly Initial Jobless Claims. We will also get the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing index. The NY index showed worsening conditions for January. After the market opens, Existing Home Sales data will be available. Crude Oil Inventories will come later in the morning. Overnight, inflation data for Europe will be made available. Tomorrow's earnings reports include Netflix (NFLX), CSX (CSX), Travelers (TRV), Fifth Third (FITB), KeyCorp (KEY), and American Airlines (AAL). -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Trends, Support, and Resistance The Nasdaq continues to lose support areas as it moved well into correction territory, down -11.55% from the all-time high. If the index moves back to the 12/29 trend line, that would mean a +0.68% advanced tomorrow. The one-day and five-day trend lines point to a -0.78% decline. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Wrap-up The pain continues. However, Treasury Yields showed some leveling off today. With some surprise economic data or better earnings reports, we could see a bounce over the next day or two. That won't give us much indication of whether the bounce would hold into next week. Confidence will only come when we see a rotation back into growth sectors that’s broadly shared across the Nasdaq (high advance/decline ratio) and a an advance on higher volume. Based on the chart and today's intraday moves, the expectation is for Sideways or Lower tomorrow. Stay healthy and trade safe!
NASDAQ:IXIC
by drewby4321
Daily Market Update for 1/18Summary: Equity markets fell for another day as Treasury bond yields hit their highest level since the pandemic began. Notes Ideas always welcome in the comments. Errors will be amended as comments on TradingView or corrected inline in my blog. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Tuesday, January 18, 2022 Facts: -2.60%, Volume higher, Closing Range: 9%, Body: 68% Red Good: Nothing Bad: Move below 200d moving average on higher volume Highs/Lows: Lower high, Lower low Candle: Thick red body with longer upper wick Advance/Decline: 0.23, more than four declining stocks for every advancing stock Indexes: SPX (-1.84%), DJI (-1.51%), RUT (-3.06%), VIX (+18.76%) Sector List: Energy (XLE +0.40%) and Real Estate (XLRE -0.68%) at the top. Financials (XLF -2.23%) and Technology (XLK -2.40%) at the bottom. Expectation: -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Market Overview Equity markets fell for another day as Treasury bond yields hit their highest level since the pandemic began. The Nasdaq (IXIC) dropped -2.60% today. Volume was higher than the previous day, marking a significant distribution day for the index. The closing range of 9% comes below a red body that covers 68% of the candle. The longer upper wick was formed in the morning as the index attempted to move back above the 200d moving average but hit resistance. There were more than four declining stocks for every advancing stock. Small-caps had the most significant decline. The Russell 2000 (RUT) dropped -3.06%. The S&P 500 (SPX) fell -1.84% while the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) lost -1.51%. The VIX Volatility Index shot up +18.76%. Of the S&P 500 sectors, only Energy (XLE +0.40%) gained for the day. Financials (XLF -2.23%) and Technology (XLK -2.40%) were at the bottom of the list. Financials was pulled down by disappointing earnings reports from Goldman Sachs. The Technology sector tends to be most sensitive to rising Treasury yields. To further dampen market sentiment, the NY Empire State Manufacturing Index came in less than zero at -0.70 compared to the forecast of 25.70. The negative number indicates worsening conditions. The US Dollar index (DXY) rose by +0.50% today. The dollar strengthened that last three days. The US 10y and 2y Treasury Yields rose sharply, reaching their highest levels since the beginning of 2020. The US 30y Treasury Yield also rose. The gap between long and short term yields continues to tighten. High Yield (HYG) and Investment Grade (LQD) Corporate Bond prices also dropped sharply, tracking with Treasury prices (Yields rise, prices drop). Crude Oil Futures are nearing a new high. Silver rose despite the strengthening dollar. Gold declined. Timber (WOOD) prices fell sharply after hitting its highest point since May. The put/call ratio declined to 0.799. The CNN Fear & Greed index is hovering around Neutral. All four largest mega-caps declined for the day. Apple (AAPL) is the only of the four remaining above its 50d moving average line, declining -1.89% today. Microsoft (MSFT) and Alphabet (GOOGL) lost -2.43% and -2.50% as they both approach the 200d moving average. Exxon Mobil (XOM) was the best-performing mega-cap for the day, climbing +1.68%. The only other mega-cap to gain more than 1% was Eli Lilly (LLY) closing the day with a +1.21% gain. Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) and Qualcomm (QCOM) were at the bottom of the mega-cap list with -4.86% and -5.21% declines. Chinese fintech companies topped the Daily Update Growth List. FUTU Holding (FUTU) and UP Fintech (TIGR) gained +3.85% and +2.97%. The largest losses in the list came from Cloudflare (NET), declining -6.64%, and Lemonade (LMND), falling -6.67%. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Looking ahead Build Permits and Housing Starts data for December will be available in the morning before the market opens. We'll also get inflation data for the UK and Canada overnight. UnitedHealth (UNH), Procter & Gamble (PG), Bank of America (BAC), Morgan Stanley (MS), and United Airlines (UAL) are among the earnings reports for Wednesday. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Trends, Support, and Resistance The index closed above the 14,500 resistance/support area. If the index returns to the trend line from the 12/28 high, that would mean a +0.27% gain for tomorrow. The five-day trend line points to a -0.22% decline. If the one-day trend continues, expect a -1.10% decline for Wednesday. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Wrap-up I mentioned on Friday that we'll continue to feel pain until the Bond market stabilizes. With yields spiking today, that meant more price declines for the major indexes and nearly all sectors. Maybe we'll see a bounce in the right direction tomorrow, but much of that depends on Treasury yields. Based on the chart, the expectation is for Lower on Wednesday. Stay healthy and trade safe!
NASDAQ:IXIC
by drewby4321
Nasdaq (IXIC) | The best scenario for the fallHello traders, Nasdaq (IXIC) in daily timeframe , this analysis has been prepared in daily timeframe but has been published for a better view in 2 day timeframe. By looking at the waves, Waves 1 and 2 are probably over at weekly time, and this analysis and this wave count is part of Wave 3. Wave 3 that we are talking about is not on the Fibonacci in the weekly time that can be reversed, and only we considered this correction by counting the wave in the daily time. In daily time, waves 1 and 2 are complete and wave 3 is in excellent condition in terms of appearance, but it is not in good shape relative to wave 1. Waves 2 and 4 are very similar both in appearance and correction, causing the wave count to be not normal. However, there are exceptions in the waves. We gave the possibility of correction, provided that the trend line is completely broken, and now this failure has taken place to some extent. We determine the nature of this correction and this wave after completion, but in the first movement of this wave, I think the movements occur in the form of five waves. If the end of wave 5 is broken, the complete analysis of the field will not be done, but this correction will be done in a short time. 🙏If you have an idea that helps me provide a better analysis, I will be happy to write in the comments🙏 ❤️Please, support this idea with a like and comment!❤️
TVC:IXICShort
by mahdisoltaninjad
1
Daily Market Update for 1/14Summary: Markets were mixed on Friday after Q4 earnings reports from JP Morgan and Citigroup disappointed investors. However, Energy and Tech stocks closed the day higher, helping the Nasdaq recover some of yesterday's loss. Notes Ideas always welcome in the comments. Errors will be amended as comments on TradingView or corrected inline in my blog. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Friday, January 14, 2022 Facts: +0.59%, Volume higher, Closing Range: 98%, Body: 89% Green Good: Support at 200d MA, gain on higher volume, high closing range Bad: Lower high and low, lower weekly close Highs/Lows: Lower high, Lower low Candle: Mostly green body, tiny wicks Advance/Decline: 0.83, more declining than advancing stocks Indexes: SPX (+0.08%), DJI (-0.56%), RUT (+0.14%), VIX (-5.51%) Sector List: Energy (XLE +2.35%) and Technology (XLK +0.85%) at the top. Financials (XLF -1.04%) and Real Estate (XLRE -1.17%) at the bottom. Expectation: Sideways -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Market Overview Markets were mixed on Friday after Q4 earnings reports from JP Morgan and Citigroup disappointed investors. However, Energy and Tech stocks closed the day higher, helping the Nasdaq recover some of yesterday's loss. The Nasdaq finished the day with a +0.59% gain. The candle is mostly green body, and the closing range of 98% comes on higher volume than the previous day. There were more declining stocks than advancing stocks. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) was the only index to decline, losing -0.56% today, weighed down by large financial institutions and industrial sector stocks. The S&P 500 (SPX) gained +0.08%. The Russell 2000 (RUT) climbed by +0.14%. The VIX Volatility Index fell -5.51%. Energy (XLE +2.35%) and Technology (XLK +0.85%) were the top sectors for the day. Financials (XLF -1.04%) and Real Estate (XLRE -1.17%) we at the bottom of the sector list. Retail Sales in December declined more than expected month-over-month, dropping -1.9% compared to a forecast of -0.1%. Industrial Production was also lower than expected. Michigan Consumer Expectations and Sentiment for January is also lower than expected, likely impacted by the surge in Omicron cases across the US. The US dollar strengthened after weakening significantly earlier in the week. The dollar index (DXY) rose +0.32% today. US 30y, 10y, and 2y Treasury Yields all rose. High Yield (HYG) and Investment Grade (LQD) Corporate Bond prices declined, tracking with treasury prices (yields rise, prices drop). Crude Oil Futures continues to track higher, nearing the high levels in October. The put/call ratio rose to 0.875. The CNN Fear & Greed index is at Neutral but moved toward the Greed side. All four largest mega-caps gained. Microsoft (MSFT) had the most significant gain after declining the most among the four yesterday. It gained +1.77% today. Apple (AAPL) gained +0.51% after hitting resistance at its 21d EMA. All four charts are not looking great, with Amazon (AMZN) struggling the most, 14% below its all-time and 52-week high. Wells Fargo (WFC) topped the mega-cap chart, defying the rest of the Financial sector with an earnings beat and profits growing 86%. On the other end of the mega-cap list is JP Morgan Chase (JPM), which fell -6.15% after missing street revenue estimates. The Daily Update Growth List had a good number of winners today, but most stocks in the list declined. At the top of the list is Futu Holdings (FUTU), with a +3.31% gain. That was followed by another Chinese stock, JD.com (JD), which gained +3.19%. Beyond Meat (BYND) was at the bottom of the list, giving back some of its recent gains with a -6.0% decline today. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Looking ahead Markets will be closed on Monday for the Martin Luther King, Jr Holiday. Tuesday will open with the NY Empire State Manufacturing Index. The API Weekly Crude Oil Stock will come after the market closes. Bank of America (BAC), Charles Schwab (SCHW), Goldman Sachs (GS), PNC Financial (PNC) are some of the big financial company earnings reports for Tuesday. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Trends, Support, and Resistance The Nasdaq got support around the 200d moving average today before closing higher. The index remains below the 15,000 support/resistance area. If the index returns to the five-day trend line, expect a +0.72% gain on Tuesday. The one-day trend line would result in a -0.27% gain. Returning to the trend line from the 12/28 high would result in a -1.57% decline to start the week. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Wrap-up It was a crazy week. Monday and Tuesday looked good as the Nasdaq seemed to catch a bottom intraday on Monday and end the day with a gain on higher volume. Tuesday continued that momentum, but then sentiment turned on Wednesday as more rate increases in 2022 seemed likely from Fed officials' public statements. That resulted in a crushing loss on Thursday and a loss for the week despite some support on Friday. Only two sectors closed the week with gains. Energy rose +5% this week after gaining +10% last week. Communications somehow pulled out a +0.16% for the week. Real Estate was the worst-performing sector for the week as investors anticipate higher interest rates to impact profitability in the sector. The percentage of stocks above their 50d moving averages is still in the low 40% range. That's better than December when it was near 20% for the 50d, but we'd like to see the number near 60%. We need to see some stabilization in the US dollar and the bond market that signals investors are more confident about the Fed's playbook for 2022 (the speed of tapering, the number of interest rate hikes, and the run-off of balance sheet assets). Once that happens, volatility should finally recede a bit in equity markets. Until then, we'll continue to feel some pain and possibly a little more correction. We've only seen a -10% drop from the top for the Nasdaq. The expectation for Tuesday is Sideways. Stay healthy and trade safe!
NASDAQ:IXIC
by drewby4321
2
Daily Market Update for 1/13Summary: Tech stocks sold off this week's gains in a reversal for the Nasdaq. Investors took profits as the Fed talked more about rate hikes in public comments. Notes Ideas always welcome in the comments. Errors will be amended as comments on TradingView or corrected inline in my blog. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Thursday, January 13, 2022 Facts: -2.51%, Volume lower, Closing Range: 5%, Body: 92% Red Good: Close above 200d MA, volume lower on decline Bad: Thick red body, selling all-day, failed support at 15,000 Highs/Lows: Lower high, Lower low Candle: Mostly red body, tiny upper and lower wicks Advance/Decline: 0.48, two declining stocks for every advancing stock Indexes: SPX (-1.42%), DJI (-0.49%), RUT (-0.76%), VIX (+15.27%) Sector List: Utilities (XLU +0.49%) and Industrials (XLI +0.22%) at the top. Consumer Discretionary (XLY -2.01%) and Technology (XLK -2.59%) at the bottom. Expectation: Lower -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Market Overview Tech stocks sold off this week's gains in a reversal for the Nasdaq. Investors took profits as the Fed talked more about rate hikes in public comments. The Nasdaq closed with a -2.51% decline, returning to the trend line from the 12/28 high. Volume was lower than the previous day. The closing range was only 5%, coming underneath a 92% red body. There were two declining stocks for every advancing stock. The S&P 500 (SPX) closed -1.42% lower, led by growth sectors. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) declined -0.49%. The Russell 2000 (RUT) lost -0.76%. The VIX Volatility Index rose by +15.27%. Only three sectors ended the day with gains, led by the defensive sector of Utilities (XLU +0.49%). Industrials (XLI +0.22%) was the next best sector, followed by Consumer Staples (XLP +0.18%. Consumer Discretionary (XLY -2.01%) and Technology (XLK -2.59%) had the most significant losses. Producer Price Index (PPI) data came in lower than expected, growing only 2% month-over-month compared to the analyst forecast of 0.4%. That could indicate inflation is topping out as the producer price index is a forward-looking view on consumer price increases. The weekly Initial Jobless Claims was 230,000, higher than the expected 200,000. The US Dollar index (DXY) continued lower, declining -0.13% today. US 30y, 10y, and 2y Treasury Yields all fell. High Yield (HYG) Corporate Bond prices dropped, but Investment Grade (LQD) Corporate Bond prices advanced. Timber (WOOD) continues to climb higher while other commodities pulled back from recent gains. The put/call ratio (PCCE) rose to 0.781. The CNN Fear & Greed index moved back to neutral. The NAAIM money manager exposure index decreased to 74.78. All four largest mega-caps decline. Apple (AAPL) moved back below its 21d EMA with a -1.90% decline. Microsoft (MSFT) had the most significant loss of the four, dropping -4.23% today. Amazon (AMZN) lost -2.42%, and Alphabet (GOOGL) fell -2.01%. Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) topped the mega-cap list, gaining +5.26% after an exceptional earnings report before the market opened. Tesla (TSLA) was at the bottom of the list with a -6.75% decline. Only three stocks in the Daily Update Growth List gained today. Beyond Meat (BYND) topped the list with a +4.75% gain, defying gravity today thanks to high short interest and a continued bullish sentiment from the Kentucky Fried Chicken deal. CloudFlare (NET) took the brunt of the profit-taking, declining -13.15% to give back all the gains this week and close at its lowest level year-to-date. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Looking ahead Retail Sales data for December will be available in the morning. We'll also get numbers for Industrial Production for December. The Michigan Consumer Expectations and Consumer Sentiment Data for January will be available after the market opens. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Trends, Support, and Resistance If the index can return to the five-day trend line, it would mean a +2.52% advance tomorrow. The trend line from the 12/28 high points to a -0.44% decline. If the one-day trend continues, expect another -2.37% decline for Friday. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Wrap-up It's painful to watch, but the market is still figuring out how often and how quickly the Fed will increase rates this year to control inflation. As investors and analysts hang on every word of Fed officials' public statements, they re-evaluate the impact on the bond and equity markets. We can expect more volatility as the month progresses. Based on the broken support today and a new intra-week low, the expectation for tomorrow is Lower. Stay healthy and trade safe!
NASDAQ:IXIC
by drewby4321
Daily Market Update for 1/12Summary: A rally back into large-cap stocks drove the major indexes higher on Wednesday, while small-caps fell back. Consumer Price Index data for December was higher than forecast, but investors remained confident that the Fed would remain vigilant in controlling inflation in 2022. Notes Ideas always welcome in the comments. Errors will be amended as comments on TradingView or corrected inline in my blog. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Wednesday, January 12, 2022 Facts: +0.23%, Volume lower, Closing Range: 35%, Body: 37% Red Good: Higher high and higher low Bad: Red body, fade after topping 15,200 Highs/Lows: Higher high, Higher low Candle: Red body in middle of equal length wicks Advance/Decline: 0.71, more declining stocks than advancing Indexes: SPX (+0.28%), DJI (+0.11%), RUT (-0.82%), VIX (-4.29%) Sector List: Materials (XLB +1.01%) and Consumer Discretionary (XLY +0.66%) at the top. Consumer Staples (XLP +0.04%) and Health (XLV -0.29%) at the bottom. Expectation: Sideways -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Market Overview A rally back into large-cap stocks drove the major indexes higher on Wednesday, while small-caps fell back. Consumer Price Index data for December was higher than forecast, but investors remained confident that the Fed would remain vigilant in controlling inflation in 2022. The Nasdaq rose +0.23% for the day. Volume was lower than the previous day. The red body covers 35% of the candle, sitting in the middle of equal-length upper and lower wicks. The second day of higher highs and higher lows is the start of an uptrend. However, there were more declining than advancing stocks, and volume remained low. The S&P 500 (SPX) rose +0.28% for the day. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) climbed by +0.11%. Small-caps in the Russell 2000 (RUT) did not participate in the rally, declining -0.82% today. The VIX Volatility Index fell -4.29%. Ten out of the eleven S&P 500 sectors rose today. Materials (XLB +1.01%) and Consumer Discretionary (XLY +0.66%) were the top sectors. Health (XLV -0.29%) was the only sector to decline. The Core Consumer Price Index rose 0.6% in December compared to the forecast of 0.5%. Year-over-year growth was 5.5% compared to an expected 5.4%. Crude Oil Inventories showed higher demand than expected. The 10-year Note Auction didn't move yields much. The US Dollar Index (DXY) fell sharply, declining -0.64% today. The US 30y and 2y Treasury Yields rose while the 10y yield declined slightly. High Yield (HYG) Corporate Bond prices rose while Investment Grade (LQD) Corporate Bond prices fell. Timber, Copper, and Aluminum Futures increased significantly for a second day. The put/call ratio increased to 0.617. The CNN Fear & Greed index moved into the Greed range. Apple (AAPL) continued to rally with a +0.26% gain today after closing above its 21d EMA yesterday. Microsoft (MSFT) and Alphabet (GOOGL) also had gains but have some work before repairing their charts. Amazon (AMZN) declined -0.09% today. Alibaba (BABA) was the top mega-cap for the day, gaining +3.95%. It was followed closely by Tesla (TSLA), which ended the day with a +3.93% advance. Ely Lilly was at the bottom of the mega-cap list, declining -2.44% today. The Daily Update Growth List had mixed results. NIO (NIO) was at the top of the list with a +5.53% gain. Peloton (PTON) was at the bottom of the list with a -5.66% decline. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Looking ahead Produce Price Index data will be available tomorrow morning. We will also get the weekly Initial Jobless Claims before the market opens. Earnings reports will include Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) and Delta Air Lines (DAL). -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Trends, Support, and Resistance The index rallied in the morning but then faded the rest of the day, closing below the 15,200 support/resistance area. If the one-day trend line continues into tomorrow, it will meet with the five-day trend line for a -0.43% decline. The trend line from the 12/28 high points to a -2.74% decline. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Wrap-up Two days of higher highs and higher lows is good. However, the index needs to make it back to 15,900 to claim a new trend and attempt a new all-time high. The lowering volume and advance/decline line below 1.0 signals weakness even as the index rallies this week. We need to see the index break back above the 21d EMA and head toward 15,900 on higher volume with broad support. Other key indicators to watch for are the percentage of stocks above their 50d and 200d averages. Both of these indicators remain below 0.5 at the moment. For tomorrow, the expectation is Sideways as we wait for the index to decide on a direction. Stay healthy and trade safe!
NASDAQ:IXIC
by drewby4321
Genpact $G with the follow throughAfter a breakout in december 22nd, NYSE:G had a throwback and now is a about to make another buy signal above $54. Also, as the NASDAQ:IXIC made lower lows, Genpact has made higher lows. That's good relative strength, and that's what leaders do. This year the company reported sustained revenue growth in all of its sectors. According to @TradeStation, GenpactLtd revenues reflect Consumer Goods, Retail,Life Sciences and Healthcare segment increase of 18% to $1.1 B, High Tech, Manufacturing and Services segmentincrease of 3% to $1.08 B. So, very good fundamentals. The stories that would power up the price could be its recent partnership with HighRadius; an artificial intelligence-powered Order to Cash. And the acquisition of Hoodoo Digital, a digital experience consultancy with deep expertise in Adobe solutions.
NYSE:GLong
by dpuleo19
Nasdaq Tumble?Today, we had the much anticipated Fed hearing and it did little to encourage markets in either way. This chart is based on what most experts, even the naive ones on CNBC are now expecting a modest correction of 15%. Checking on a few indicators here, we can see the MACD has crossed into bearish territory and couple that with the Fed raising rates, tapering, and inflation we can see something building up. I do not believe it will be a market crash. Employment is up. The consumer is doing good. Debt is being paid off and there is $3 trillion dollars in saving/checking accounts. I do believe we will see a much needed correction.
NASDAQ:IXICShort
by WorldEconomics
1
Daily Market Update for 1/10Summary: Markets dipped in the morning, but the Nasdaq rallied in the afternoon to close the day with a small gain. Notes Ideas always welcome in the comments. Errors will be amended as comments on TradingView or corrected inline in my blog. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Monday, January 10, 2022 Facts: +0.05%, Volume higher, Closing Range: 97%, Body: 45% Green Good: High closing range, end day in positive on higher volume Bad: Dip below the 200d simple moving average Highs/Lows: Lower high, Lower low Candle: Long lower wick under a thick green body, high closing range Advance/Decline: 0.55, about two declining stocks for every advancing stock Indexes: SPX (-0.14%), DJI (-0.45%), RUT (-0.40%), VIX (+3.41%) Sector List: Health (XLV +1.03%) and Technology (XLK +0.02%) at the top. Materials (XLB -1.02%) and Industrials (XLI -1.13%) at the bottom. Expectation: Sideways or Lower -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Market Overview Markets dipped in the morning, but the Nasdaq rallied in the afternoon to close the day with a small gain. The Nasdaq closed the day with a +0.05% advance. Volume was higher than the previous day, returning to the 50d average volume. The index dipped below the 200d moving average for the first time since the March 2020 correction. However, it recovered to close slightly higher for the day. That created a long lower wick under a 45% green body and a 97% closing range. There were almost two declining stocks for every advancing stock. All major indexes dipped in the morning and recovered in the afternoon, but only the Nasdaq finished the day positive. The S&P 500 (SPX) declined -0.14%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) fell -0.45%. The Russell 2000 (RUT) lost -0.40%. The VIX Volatility Index rose +3.41%. Only two of the eleven S&P 500 sectors gained for the day. Health (XLV) rose +1.03% and Technology (XLK) gained +0.02%. At the bottom of the sector list was Materials (XLB -1.02%) and Industrials (XLI -1.13%). The US Dollar Index (DXY) rose +0.22%. The US 30y and 10y Treasury yields declined while the 2y yield advanced. High Yield (HYG) Corporate Bond prices advanced while the Investment Grade (LQD) Corporate Bond prices declined further. The put/call ratio (PCCE) rose to 0.753. The CNN Fear & Greed index moved to the Fear side of Neutral, but remained at Neutral. Three of the four largest mega-caps ended the day with gains. Alphabet (GOOGL) gained +1.21%. Microsoft (MSFT) and Apple (AAPL) had smaller gains of +0.07% and +0.01%. Amazon (AMZN) declined -0.66%. Intel (INTC) was the top mega-cap for the day, gaining +3.31%. Tesla (TSLA) was second on the mega-cap list, climbing +3.03%. Nike (NKE) was at the bottom of the list with a -4.16% decline. Zynga (ZNGA) blew away the Daily Update Growth List with a 40.67% gain after Take-Two Interactive (TTWO) announced a $12.7b acquisition of the company. That's almost twice the market cap for Zynga at the beginning of the session. Take-Two Interactive dropped -13.13% on the news. Surprisingly, the Growth List was mostly gainers. The biggest loser was DraftKings (DKNG) with a -4.07% decline. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Looking ahead Three Fed members, including Fed Chair Jerome Powell, are scheduled to speak tomorrow. The EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook will be released at noon. Albertsons (ACI) will release earnings tomorrow. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Trends, Support, and Resistance Despite the morning dip, the index was in an uptrend the remainder of the day. If the one-day trend continues into Tuesday, we can expect a +1.81% advance. The trend line from the 12/18 high points to a -1.30% decline. The five-day trend line results in a -3.53% decline for Tuesday. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Wrap-up It was an odd day for the market. The Nasdaq dips below its 200d simple moving average, only to recover and close the day with a slight gain. More odd is the number of growth stocks that had significant gains for the day. Seeing big gains for Intel, Tesla and Adobe, while the indexes showed stress is perplexing. Were investors buying the dip and getting positioned back for growth? Or is it a bull trap and further selling is on the horizon? Based on the chart, the expectation for tomorrow is Sideways or Lower. The intraday uptrend (on higher volume) gives some hope, but the overall trend in the chart is still down. Stay healthy and trade safe!
NASDAQ:IXIC
by drewby4321
Nasdaq (IXIC) | The best scenario for the fallHello traders, Nasdaq (IXIC) in daily timeframe , this analysis has been prepared in daily timeframe but has been published for a better view in 2 day timeframe. By looking at the waves, the weekly times 1 and 2 are probably over, and this analysis and this wave count is part of wave 3. Wave 3 that we are talking about is not on the Fibonacci in the weekly time that can be reversed, and only we considered this correction by counting the wave in the daily time. In daily time, waves 1 and 2 are complete, and wave 3 is in excellent condition in terms of appearance, but it is not in good shape relative to wave 1. Waves 2 and 4 are very similar both in appearance and correction, making the wave count not normal. However, there are exceptions in the waves. We correct the probability provided that the trend line and the red circle are completely broken. If the end of wave 5 is broken, the complete analysis of the field will not be done, but this correction will be done in a short time. 🙏If you have an idea that helps me provide a better analysis, I will be happy to write in the comments🙏 ❤️Please, support this idea with a like and comment!❤️
TVC:IXICShort
by mahdisoltaninjad
2
Daily Market Update for 1/7Summary: Payrolls and Unemployment data sent a blurry picture to investors on the pace of economic recovery. The uncertainty ended a volatile week with more decline while investors continue evaluate pending rate hikes from the Fed later this year. Notes Ideas always welcome in the comments. Errors will be amended as comments on TradingView or corrected inline in my blog. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Friday, January 7, 2022 Facts: -0.96%, Volume lower, Closing Range: 20%, Body: 54% Red Good: Lower volume on decline Bad: Lower high, lower low, closing range Highs/Lows: Lower high, Lower low Candle: Medium size body in middle of candle, slightly longer upper wick Advance/Decline: 0.78, more declining than advancing stocks Indexes: SPX (-0.41%), DJI (-0.01%), RUT (-1.20%), VIX (-4.33%) Sector List: Energy (XLE +1.37%) and Financials (XLF +1.18%) at the top. Technology (XLK -0.92%) and Consumer Discretionary (XLY -1.67%) at the bottom. Expectation: Sideways or Lower -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Market Overview Payrolls and Unemployment data sent a blurry picture to investors on the pace of economic recovery. The uncertainty ended a volatile week with more decline while investors continue evaluate pending rate hikes from the Fed later this year. The Nasdaq declined -0.96%. Volume was much lower than the previous day and is the third day of lowering volume in a row. The candle has a 54% red body in between two similar upper and lower wicks. The upper wick is slightly longer. There were more declining than advancing stocks. The Russell 2000 (RUT) suffered the most significant loss today, declining -1.20%. The S&P 500 (SPX) dropped -0.41%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) declined only -0.01%, helped along by large Energy and Financials stocks The VIX Volatility Index declined -4.33%. Energy (XLE +1.37%) and Financials (XLF +1.18%) were the top performing sectors for another day. Energy has been a top-two sector every day this week. Financials was in the top-two for three of the five days. Technology (XLK -0.92%) and Consumer Discretionary (XLY -1.67%) were at the bottom of the sector list today. Nonfarm Payrolls for December increased by only 199,000 compared to a 400,000 forecast by analysts. However, the unemployment rate declined to 3.9% whereas analysts only expected it to drop to 4.1%. The US Dollar weakened with the index (DXY) declining by -0.52%. The US 30y and 10y Treasury Yields gained for the day while the 2y yield declined. Yields are at their highest since the start of the pandemic. High Yield (HYG) and Investment Grade (LQD) Corporate Bond prices continue to decline (tracking along with treasury prices). The put/call ratio (PCCE) declined to 0.743. The CNN Fear & Greed index moved into Greed, but remains near neutral. The NAAIM money manager exposure index rose from 85.71 the previous week to 89.54 this week. Two of the four largest mega-caps gained today. Apple (AAPL) And Microsoft (MSFT) ended the day with 0.10% and 0.05% gains, but also had lower highs and lower lows than the previous day. Apple (AAPL) is getting resistance at its 21d EMA while the other three, including Amazon (AMZN) and Alphabet (GOOGL), are trading well-below both their 21d EMA and 50d MA. Alibaba (BABA) led the mega-cap list for another day, gaining +2.86% today. At the bottom of the list was Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM), declining -3.87%. Futu Holdings (FUTU) topped the Daily Update Growth List, advancing +6.20%. The list had quite a few gainers, but also quite a few losers. The most significant loss came from Chewy (CHWY), which declined -8.26%. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Looking ahead There are no significant economic events on the calendar for Monday. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Trends, Support, and Resistance The Nasdaq, closed just below the 15,000 area today. The level is a support/resistance area and the index bound up and down close to that market. If the index returns to the trend line from the 12/28 high, we can expect a +0.35% gain on Monday. If the one-day trend line continues, then we can expect a -0.74% decline. The five-day trend line leads to a -1.82% loss to start the week. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Wrap-up The whole week was a bit depressing for investors. It started off with a new year's rally as investors came back from the holiday. But the sentiment quickly changed and got worse with the Fed meeting minutes on Wednesday and mediocre economic data throughout the week. Hopefully the first week of the year isn't an omen for the rest of 2022. For Monday, expect sideways or lower based on the chart. Stay healthy and trade safe!
NASDAQ:IXIC
by drewby4321
2