J-DXY
Potential bullish rise?US Dollar Index (DXY) has reacted off the pivot and could rise to the 50% Fibonacci resistance.
Pivot: 97.81
1st Support: 97.19
1st Resistance: 99.25
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Bearish continuation?US Dollar Index (DXY) is risng towards the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 99.21
1st Support: 96.50
1st Resistance: 100.58
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Tariff Wars Pushing USD HigherThis is the Weekly FOREX Forecast for the week of July 14 - 18th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: USD Index
The latest headlines tell the story. The tariffs are triggering a slow run to the USD safe haven, but the inflows from investors are moving the needle. The previous week closed strong, with buyers in control. There's a good chance we'll see more of the same this coming week.
Look for the strength in USD to continue to be supported by fundamental news, and outperform the other major currencies.
Buy USDxxx
Sell xxxUSD
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DXY: The Market Is Looking Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DXY together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 97.463 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
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New Week on Gold! Will the Bullishness continue?I was bullish on gold and price ended up doing as expected last week and looking for it to continue this week. But i have to sit on hands for now to see how they want to play Monday. Will they move to create a Low for the week first? or will they break out to start early on new highs? I have to see some type of confirmation first. Then we can get active.
Dollar Index Seems BullishFrom the previous week candle we see that Dollar Index has closed bullish. And in this scenario we can expect Dxy to go further higher. It has hit the previous week high and touched supply zone residing above. The two possibilities have shown in the chart are
1: After touching supply zone we expect to have deeper pullback.
2: It will have short retracement and then continues hgiher.
DXY: potentially aiming for January 2025 highsAlthough we do not Trade the dollar specifically, it is a good barometer the feel out other assets.
It seems like DXY reached a MONTHLY LEVEL. I expect price to form a FVG within this rectangle on the daily level. Which will eventually create a GAP on one of the currencies. Will follow up when this happens.
IMO reversed and is going to reach the daily level quick. This will mean, POUND, EURO DOWN.
DXY 4Hour TF - July 13th, 2025DXY 7/13/2025
DXY 4hour Neutral Idea
Monthly - Bearish
Weekly - Bearish
Dailly - Bearish
4hour - Ranging
Keep in mind, we analyze and follow DXY more so as an indicator. The USD makes up for a large portion of trade so it makes sense to analyze it.
Going into this week we can see DXY made an attempt to push higher. Where it closed on Friday is a major zone around 98.000. We’re still majorly bearish on higher time frames so we will keep that in mind throughout this week.
As always, we will mark up two potential paths for this week, they are as follows:
Bullish Breakout - The two main zones we want to bring out attention to are 98.000 resistance and 97.500 support. We will have to wait until price action leaves this area to spot a high quality setup. Look for a convincing push above 98.000 resistance followed by a retest of 98.000 but as support. Look for a higher low to form with bullish confirmation to long on.
Bearish Continuation- Going bearish is still very possible we just need to clear 97.500 support first. Look for a break below 97.500 with a confirmed lower high and convincing bearish setups to short on.
Dollar holds steady uptrend despite Trump’s tariff threats.
President Trump announced a 30% tariff on imports from both the EU and Mexico, a hike from the 20% previously imposed on the EU in April. He also warned that if no agreement is reached on the Ukraine war within 50 days, countries trading with Russia could face a 100% tariff.
Meanwhile, market volatility is being amplified by speculation over Fed Chair Powell’s potential dismissal, as attacks against him intensify from Trump and his allies. Deutsche Bank warned that Powell’s removal could trigger sharp swings in both the dollar and bond markets.
DXY has extended its two-week rally after testing the recent low, approaching the 98.00 threshold. The index remains within the ascending channel, indicating the potential continuation of bullish momentum. If DXY breaches above the resistance at 98.25, the index could gain upward momentum toward 98.60. Conversely, if DXY breaks below the support at 97.60, the index may retreat to 97.00.
The Gold Retrace for Ultimate Entry!looking for price to continue with its pullback to find where exactly support is. Once we see price establish support we should get some type of signal for entry and price can continue with this bullish price action to make new highs. If we get a full 71.8% pullback that should make for a nice bull run. Just need to wait for the confirmations first before reacting cause we might get a lot of chop until then.
DXY Weekly Update — July 14, 2025⌛ Timeframe:
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📆 Analysis Date: July 14, 2025
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🎯 Weekly Bias: Bearish-to-Neutral (Potential for retracement or reversal)
🔎 Market Overview:
⬇️ Persistent USD Weakness:
DXY has dropped nearly 10% YTD, marking the steepest half-year decline since 1986.
📉 Rate Cut Expectations:
Markets are pricing in a potential 75bps rate cut by the Fed in H2 2025, pushing yields and the dollar lower.
📦 Trade War Fears:
Renewed tariff risks (targeting EU, Japan, Mexico, South Korea) aren't boosting demand for USD — a signal of lost safe-haven appeal.
⚖️ Central Bank Diversification:
Global reserve managers are rotating into gold and away from USD, weakening long-term structural demand.
🌀 Sentiment & Risk Appetite:
💸 Liquidity Demand is Soft:
DXY is retesting a 4H fair value gap (97.10–97.30), suggesting potential short-term consolidation or correction.
🌍 Risk-On Mood Returns:
According to Goldman Sachs, the USD is trading more like a "risk asset" than a haven, aligning with rising equity appetite.
📉 Technical Landscape:
🟠 4H Structure:
If DXY breaks below 97.00, next support lies at 96.37, followed by 95.50–96.00.
Consolidation expected if price remains within the FVG.
🔻 Key Resistance:
97.70–98.20 zone. A break above this area could change the tone to bullish.
📌 Summary:
🔷 Fundamentals show long-term dollar weakening (rates, trade tension, reserve shifts)
🔷 Sentiment aligns with risk-on appetite and reduced USD demand
🔷 Technicals at critical level; break below 97.00 opens room for correction, break above 97.70 shifts bias bullish
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🟠 Bias: Bearish to Neutral
Watch Levels: 97.00 support, 97.70–98.20 resistance
⚠️ Note: This analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Always apply risk management.
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USD/JPY - H1- Wedge Breakout (07.07.2025)The USD/JPY pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 148.00
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GBP/USD - H1- Bearish Flag (07.07.2025)The GBP/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bearish Flag Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.3520
2nd Support – 1.3460
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GBPUSD: Bearish > Bullish Order FlowAlright, we are approaching some Higher Timeframe Points of Interests. We got a Potential Bullish Bat Pattern Pattern this align with this Bullish H4 Order Block, that's right in the middle of an whole number 1.34. We could expect some spikes around the area, some complex pullbacks, but we must remain steady.
DXY Targeting Liquidity Zones & Gap Fill Before Potential ReversThe U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is showing a strong bullish push, climbing steadily along an ascending trendline. Price appears to be heading toward key liquidity levels and a visible Fair Value Gap (FVG) near the previous New York high. The chart also highlights an unfilled gap above, which aligns with a potential liquidity sweep scenario.
Once these upper zones are tapped — including the liquidity and imbalance areas — a significant rejection could follow, especially considering ongoing strength in the Euro (EUR). This setup suggests a high-probability reversal opportunity after the liquidity grab
DXY: The Market Is Looking Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DXY together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 97.370 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️