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DXY - Dollar Index 4H bearish setupThe TVC:DXY is showing potential for a bearish reversal after its recent rise. Technically, DXY has bounced back to a key resistance zone after a major fall, reaching the order block from the last leg down. The failure to break significantly higher from this resistance suggests the possibility of another downward move. Liquidity grabs above the resistance zone further support this bearish outlook. However, a small bounce within the resistance zone before another fall is still possible as liquidity is gathered from the upside. Fundamentally, several factors are influencing the bearish sentiment for the USD. The Federal Reserve’s ongoing easing cycle and the potential for further interest rate cuts weaken the dollar, especially as inflation pressures remain subdued. Other central banks, including the ECB, have cut rates, increasing the interest rate gap with the USD, which could further reduce demand for the dollar
TVC:DXYShort
by Sober_Trading
GOLD → The target is liquidity above 2670-2685. What's next?FX:XAUUSD is consolidating in the local range of 2663 - 2636. There is a strong resistance and liquidity zone ahead. Bears may meet the market quite aggressively in the 2670 - 2685 zone. The global rally is smoothly transitioning into a sideways fljt 2675 - 2604. - Markets in China, which strongly supported gold after hints of fiscal stimulus is again facing challenges. - Interest rates in the US should not be forgotten. The open question is “no interest rate cut” or “0.25% cut”. Will gold be able to stay bullish on the current flat under these circumstances? - The dollar is rallying after last week's fundamental data and most likely the index's rise is not over... Fed policy makers are starting to change their mindset again and divide into 2 camps - aggressive / restrained. - BUT! The conflict in the Middle East is cooling down from its limits. Based on the above mentioned, can we assume that the finger is hanging over the button “fix profit”???? Resistance levels: 2663, 2670, 2685 Support levels: 2645, 2636, 2623 Based on the general fundamental background, I do not yet understand the reasons that give such support to gold. There is a strong resistance zone ahead with huge liquidity. The price is in a sideways range and there are no preconditions to exit this channel yet. Most likely, the first retest of the levels ( it has been 2 weeks since the last retest ) may end in a reversal and correction Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
16
USDJPY - 4H Sell SetupFX:USDJPY is displaying a clear technical setup for a bearish move. After a significant pullback following a sharp fall, the pair failed to surpass the resistance zone around 149. This area has proven strong as the price action was unable to hold above it, trapping liquidity just above the resistance. The price then rejected this zone with a sharp reversal. Additionally, the second attempt to break through the resistance further confirms the weakness, as liquidity hunting above the resistance has been met with selling pressure. This rejection, combined with the failed breakout, suggests the pair is likely to fall towards the lower targeted support zone, potentially setting up a strong shorting opportunity in the near term. This aligns with fundamental factors, including expectations of slower rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. Meanwhile, Japan faces a cautious stance on raising interest rates, which has kept the yen under pressure. However, recent economic data from Japan, such as rising producer prices and decreased lending activity, suggests a shift may be underway, supporting further yen strength and a potential fall in USDJPY. Traders should watch for a continuation of this move, as the failed attempts to breach resistance and the liquidity grab signal further downside pressure.
Short
by Sober_Trading
2
Sell GBP/USD Bearish ChannelThe GBP/USD pair on the H1 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward Bearish Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.3062. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.2988 2nd Support – 1.2960 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.3090. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Today High Impact News : GBP - GDP, Trade Balance EUR - German CPI USD - PPI Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_FOREX_TRADING
1
Sell XAU/USD (Gold) Channel FormationThe XAU/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a Channel Formation pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 2650, This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 2624 2nd Support – 2607 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 2668. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by KABHI_FOREX_TRADING
5
Bearish reversal?US Dollar Index (DXY) is reacting off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support which accts as a pullback support. Pivot: 103.33 1st Support: 102.68 1st Resistance: 103.67 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYShort
by ICmarkets
DXY - Reaching potential turning pointThe DXY has swung up from it's lows with a classic type 1 reaction and a dragon pattern at a key support that has held for the past two years. We have a bearish bias towards the DXY and here is why: - Distribution pattern for over a year. - Lower Highs and Lower Lows. - General US Dollar Policy. - Current bullish state of stock and crypto markets implying a weakening dollar. So now in terms of the current chart and understanding where it could turn. For the past two years we have an impeccable record against the DXY, telling where it could and has bottomed or where it could and has topped. Now, traditional technical analysis suggests a less convincing but still valuable bearish outlook on it. Here it is: - Minor resistance just above. - Completing the bearish 5-0 of this harmonic (We know XB is short of the required 0.786, we're choosing to value it the same). - Straight reaction to T1 from the harmonic, no sign of accumulation bottom or deep retracement to capture value. Usually signifies an impulse move before at least a retracement to backtest the pcz and put in a higher/ same low. - Strong Bearish Divergence on all the oscillators. With these factors we are looking for the DXY to turn soon, the bearish 5-0 target would be a great point to do so but it could yet push higher. The overall purpose of this post is to showcase that the DXY is still bearish although recent strength. The market is still bullish and could become even more so in the coming weeks/months.
TVC:DXYShort
by SynergyTradingSetups
DXY Rebounding on the 1M MA50. But for how long?The U.S. Dollar index (DXY) is on a strong green 1M candle, already halfway through the month of October, as it is rebounding after making an exact test of the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line), the long-term Support. On this chart we can see the DXY's multi-year price action. Even though it was on a heavy downtrend since the February 1985 High, it managed to break above it in January 2015 and sustain a strong Channel Up, coming off the March 2008 bottom of the disastrous Housing Crisis. Within this strong Channel Up, we see a repeated pattern as long as Bullish and Bearish Legs are concerned. As you can see, the bottoms have been formed significantly below the 1M MA50, so this indicates that it is not time to buy yet. If anything, a controlled short is justified and as we get closer to the bottom of the Channel Up, start buying on a multi-year basis (as long as the 1M MA200 (orang trend-line) holds). Based on the 1M RSI, where the similarities with the previous Leg are more obvious, we should be around levels similar to October 2017, so starting next month or December, we should start resuming the downtrend and a 'modest' level to target is 97.000. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:DXY
by TradingShot
Gold prices are upheld despite the obstacle of a strong dollar The September CPI exceeding market expectations has reduced the likelihood of a Fed’s jumbo cut, leading to a sharp increase in the dollar and Treasury yields. The probability of a 50bp cut is now at 0%, with a 10.4% chance of rates remaining unchanged. However, despite the dollar going north, gold prices are getting attention, approaching all-time highs, partly due to ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The upcoming release of September retail sales data is expected to impact gold prices directly. A solid retail sales outcome would reduce the likelihood of further Fed rate cuts, and the gold’s uptrend would take a break for a while. XAUUSD bounced back to 2650 after briefly testing EMA21. The price sustains a solid uptrend within the ascending channel and holds above both EMAs, indicating a bullish signal. If XAUUSD breaches the resistance at 2680 and the ascending channel's upper bound, the price may gain upward momentum toward a new record high of 2780. Conversely, if XAUUSD breaks EMA21 and fails to hold above the ascending channel's lower bound, the price may fall further to the 2520 level, where EMA78 coincides.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by inkicho_exness
Sell GBP/USD Triangle Breakout The GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position Below the Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 1.3055 Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.2988 2nd Support – 1.2960 Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_FOREX_TRADING
7
XAUUSD 13/10/24This week, gold's price action dropped and took out the liquidity to the left, as we discussed in last week's analysis. This move provided enough momentum to fuel a bullish shift, suggesting higher prices are likely, as indicated in our previous analysis. Looking left, there are two liquidity highs that are likely to be targeted next, followed by the all-time high, which is our primary target. Based on the principle that we may see a pullback into bearish pricing, we have identified an area of demand. If this demand zone delivers a bullish setup, we can look to go long from here, aiming for the all-time high. However, if there is no reaction at this demand zone, we will look for the liquidity below to be taken. Should the price not pull back at all, we will then anticipate the all-time high to be taken directly. Trade safe and follow your plan. Have a great trading week!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by rosshayes