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J-DXY

EUR/USD: PAT + VPA 10/21/2024Good morning, I will be monitoring the daily candle close today, anticipating a bullish pullback or reversal to develop over the next few weeks. Several indicators have pointed to this: 1. The weekly chart has surpassed the previous high established on December 25, 2023. Currently, the price is attempting to retest the Demand zone that led to the breakout of that high.. 2. The weekly demand zone is identified between 1.0775 and 1.0825. Pay attention to the key level at 1.080, as it appears to be setting up as a robust support level for the currency pair. 3. The market has declined approximately 400 points since September 27, 2024, showing minimal pullbacks on a daily basis. Notably, this price drop has formed a double top without a genuine next line test. I anticipate that prices will rebound to around 1.100 in the coming weeks. A break below 1.100 could trigger a long-term retracement back to the highs at 1.200. Volume signature indicates that market makers are gradually exiting the trend. The weekly outlook remains bullish and is expected to dominate. It's important to note that the weekly chart is currently retesting the bearish flag it broke out of between June 24, 2024, and August 19, 2024. TVC:DXY OANDA:EURUSD XETR:DAX
Long
by ThePipAssassin
16
Post Election Bitcoin and Crypto Market UpdateThis is a shorter version of my video yesterday, just recapping what I've been seeing and forecasting in these markets. Didn't expect to see the rally to new ATH so quickly. Or the DXY to push up higher at the same time... But here we are breaking and apparently holding new ATH, so I do think we continue to push higher. Even if we get one more sell off, to re-test the ATH as support. Yesterday's pump was part short-squeeze, and part SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:1B in BTC ETF inflows. In this video we look at BTC and SOL, which I believe will lead the next leg of the Bull. Also an interesting speculative study on the Pi Cycle Top, and the idea we could see a double top or dual-cycle in the next 12 months, like we did in 2013. As well as recapping why my targets are $100k (conservative), $150k (base case), and $200k (aggressive) along with confluent targets based on measured moves from the Bull Flag breakout. Let me know what you think, and if I missed anything! Brett
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by BrettFogle
GOLD → Global reversal H&S. How far do we fall? FX:XAUUSD was looking pretty steady in the Asian session until the press came out with their statements before Trump's speech. The fundamental background is weakening, but there are positive nuances from the news.... There is one last vote left, but Trump has a 99% chance of winning. Markets believe his policies will put upward pressure on inflation, treasury yields and the US dollar, which could have an overall negative impact on the XAU BUT, there is a possibility that in the long term, the gold price will also benefit from the new president's policies as Trump's foreign policy related to China and Europe could cause unrest and panic in the market Sentiment around the US election will play a key role in gold price movement ahead of the US Fed policy announcement due on Thursday. Technically, gold is giving hints of a possible reversal by forming a classic H&S pattern. The main support is at 2708 Resistance levels: 2731, 2735, 2749 Support levels: 2724, 2713, 2708, 2689 Also, H1 is starting to show a local descending channel. Before the official verdict of the vote, the price can still test these resistance areas, but later the market may turn around and start a gradual decline until the end of market-wide euphoria.... Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
13
How the U.S. Election Outcome Could Shape DXY's pathHey Traders! In today’s trading session, we’re closely watching the DXY for a potential buying opportunity around the 102.800 zone. Recently, DXY has been trending downward but managed to break out of that downtrend, signaling a possible shift in momentum. Right now, it’s in a corrective phase and approaching the retracement level near the 102.800 support and resistance zone. Fundamental Analysis: U.S. Election Impact on the Dollar Today’s election could significantly impact the U.S. dollar, with the outcome likely to shape future economic policies. Here’s how each candidate’s policies might influence DXY: If Trump Wins: A Trump victory is expected to strengthen the dollar. Here’s why: Higher Inflation and Interest Rates: Trump’s policies, including potential tariffs and stricter immigration, are seen as inflationary. Tariffs can increase the cost of imported goods, while reduced immigration may create labor shortages, both driving inflation higher. Federal Reserve’s Stance: Higher inflation would prompt the Fed to reconsider future rate cuts and possibly lean toward raising rates to control inflation. Higher interest rates make the dollar more attractive, as investors seek better returns. Tax Cuts and Economic Boost: Trump’s proposed tax cuts are likely to stimulate economic growth in the short term. A booming economy typically supports a stronger dollar as investors favor a robust market. In this scenario, DXY would likely respond positively, and we could see a strong upward movement. If Harris Wins: On the other hand, a Harris victory could weaken the dollar due to different policy priorities: Lower Inflation and More Fed Flexibility: Harris’s policies are expected to focus more on economic support, potentially through spending programs and fewer tariffs. Lower inflationary pressure gives the Fed more room to keep rates low or even consider cuts. Market Reaction: Investors may anticipate a slower economic rebound, favoring a weaker dollar, as demand for safe-haven assets like the dollar could decrease. Your vote is very important! Joe.
TVC:DXYLong
by JoeChampion
1
The Best Level to Short EURUSD TP +120/+240 pips🔸Hello traders, let's review the 6hour chart for EURUSD today. As expected previously we are getting a normal bounce off the fresh demand zone at 0800 currently closing on heavy overhead mirror s/r resistance. 🔸This setup falls in-line with my strategic outlook for EURUSD which is targeting 0500, review via link: 🔸Key mirror S/R detected at 0925/0945, most likely further upside is very limited in EURUSD so expecting fresh sell-side pressure and reversal from the key s/r zone. Bears will target fresh demand zone near 0700. 🔸Recommended strategy for EURUSD traders: focus on short selling high near 0925/0945 price cluster SL fixed at 40 pips TP1 +120 pips TP2 +240 pips final exit at 0700. Expecting rejection from overhead resistance and re-test of the mirror S/R level at 0700. good luck traders! 🎁Please hit the like button and 🎁Leave a comment to support our team! RISK DISCLAIMER: Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
Short
by ProjectSyndicate
28
XAUUSD - Will Trump cause gold to fall?If gold reaches the bottom of the descending channel, which is also in response to the demand zone, we can look for gold buying positions. Donald Trump won in Wisconsin and got 10 electoral votes, and Trump's total electoral votes reached 277 electoral votes. In this way, Donald Trump became the 47th president of the United States. The rise in long-term interest rates and the broad sell-off across the Treasury yield curve reflect public expectations for an inflationary mix of domestic (fiscal and immigration) and foreign (tariffs) policies from Trump. Also, we see movements in short-term US dollar swap rates related to the hawkish revision of Fed interest rate expectations. In line with forecasts and public expectation, markets still expect the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) to cut interest rates by 25 basis points to 4.75% tomorrow.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Ali_PSND
DXY Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell! Please, check our technical outlook for DXY. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 105.033. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 103.770 level soon. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TVC:DXYShort
by SignalProvider
2
DreamAnalysis | Trump’s 2024 Comeback Shakes Markets📈 US Elections and Markets: Bitcoin Hits Record $75,000 amid Trump’s Comeback 🌎 Global Market Impact from the US Presidential Election With ballots still being counted, the financial world is buzzing with anticipation over Donald Trump’s possible return to the White House. This election has set off movements in stocks, the US dollar, forex pairs, and cryptocurrencies, affecting global markets even before an official result is announced. 🚀 Bitcoin Surges to All-Time High Bitcoin spiked to an unprecedented $75,000 as market confidence grows around Trump’s chances. With Trump’s support for crypto-friendly policies, this is seen as a bullish indicator in the digital assets space. 💬 Elon Musk Comments on Trump’s Lead Elon Musk, who publicly backed Trump, expressed that Trump’s comeback signals a “clear mandate for change” in the US. The statement has fueled excitement in both the stock and crypto markets, further boosting sentiment around Trump trades. 💸 Forex Markets React: USD Strengthens, Euro Declines 📉 The US dollar surged, with the Euro becoming the day’s weakest currency as it dropped 1.6% to hit a five-month low of 1.07 against the USD. According to Nikos Tzabouras from Tradu, “Lower taxes and deregulation could energize corporate profits and economic activity.” - 💔 Mexican Peso Decline: The peso, one of the currencies most affected by Trump’s policies, saw a 0.5-point drop against the dollar. This reaction is reminiscent of its movements following Trump’s 2016 victory. 🇯🇵 Japanese Stocks Rally While Hong Kong Dips - Nikkei 225 Gains: Japanese stocks soared by 1.5% as early results pointed to a Trump win. Charu Chanana from Saxo Markets noted that any likelihood of a Democratic sweep could impact equity markets but seems increasingly unlikely. - Hong Kong Hang Seng Falls: The Hang Seng index started its day with losses, signaling regional volatility amid election uncertainties. 📊 Equity Markets Rise in the US Both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq climbed over 1% on election day, showing investor optimism. However, volatility is anticipated to remain high as the final results approach, with investors keeping an eye on Trump’s confirmed leads in key states like Florida and Georgia. 🔗 Bond Market & Volatility Indicators - Bond Volatility Eases: Despite gains in stocks, the BOA Move index reflects sustained bond volatility, though the VIX (stock volatility) fell slightly from 22 to 20. - Stable Bond Markets: Investors expect bond markets to settle once results are finalized, though high levels suggest some caution. 💥 Crypto Market: Bitcoin Hits New High as Trump Backs Digital Assets Bitcoin’s rise highlights Trump’s support for crypto policies and his “Bitcoin President” stance. While Kamala Harris’s approach to crypto remains uncertain, Trump’s endorsement has boosted the sector, giving confidence to the market and key players. 🔍 Key Takeaways: Market Sentiment Driven by US Election Results The markets are showing clear signs of investor positioning as Trump’s lead becomes apparent: - US Dollar Up: Any lead for Trump boosts the dollar, with high volatility expected to persist until results solidify. - Cryptocurrency Surge: Bitcoin's 5% increase signals strong bullish sentiment. - Forex Weakness: Major currencies, particularly the Euro and Mexican Peso, have declined against the USD. 👁‍🗨 Keep an Eye on: Key Influences and Volatility With ongoing election results, financial markets, crypto, and forex are likely to fluctuate: - Short-term Forex Movements: USD expected to be volatile. - Crypto Optimism: Bitcoin and other digital assets may continue to climb. - US-China Relations: Possible tariff adjustments with Trump’s agenda in mind.
TVC:DXY
by DreamAnalysis
Trump Reclaims US Presidency6th November President Trump!!! DXY: Further strength expected to 105.45, could retrace briefly, needs to stay above 104.80. (beyond 105.45 could reach 106) NZDUSD: Sell 0.5935 SL 20 TP 75 (hesitation at 0.5895) AUDUSD: Sell 0.6560 SL 25 TP 80 GBPUSD: Sell 1.2810 SL 30 TP 60 EURUSD: Sell 1.0765 SL 25 TP 90 USDJPY: Buy 154.40 SL 45 TP 90 USDCHF: Buy 0.8710 SL 20 TP 40 USDCAD: Sell 1.39 SL 30 TP 70 Gold: Looking for reaction at 2733, beyond that could trade up to 2760
TVC:DXY
by JinDao_Tai
DXY bulls are enjoying the moment. But for how long?Yes, the positivity is coming in for DXY bulls, but is it just an illusion? Stick around and let's take a quick look. TVC:DXY Disclaimer: easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EASYMARKETS:USXUSD
by easyMarkets
GBPUSD → Negative fundamental background. Going to 1.2500FX:GBPUSD is reversing after a retest of strong resistance with no opportunity to enter the liquidity zone. The negative fundamental background is confirmed. The dollar is flying upwards. News channels and not only already declare about the victory of Trump, whose policy is directed towards the strengthening of the dollar. Markets are starting to react accordingly. As for GBPUSD, in the last article I focused your attention on 1.2813 and 1.305: If after a pullback to the resistance the price starts to retest the support, the chances of a breakdown and further decline will increase. The fundamental background, formed at the moment, is favorable for the fall of the currency pair. Resistance levels: 1.294, 1.30, 1.3044 Support levels: 1.2813, 1.2672, 1.25 The technical and fundamental background are going in the same direction. Emphasis on the key support. A slight pullback is possible before further breakout. Also continue to follow the news! Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:GBPUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
10