Levels discussed on Livestream 25th July 25th July
DXY: Consolidating between 104.20 and 104.40, Break 104.40 could retest 104.60 and 104.80 (GDP Pending). If 104.20 broken, price could retest 104 round number support.
NZDUSD: Sell 0.5905 SL 20 TP 40
AUDUSD: Sell 0.6530 SL 20 TP 65
USDJPY: WATCH 152 SUPPORT LEVEL
Sell 151.70 SL 30 TP 90
GBPUSD: Sell 1.2850 SL 25 TP 70
EURUSD: Buy 1.0855 SL 20 TP 60 (on DXY weakness)
USDCHF: Trading lower, look for reaction at 0.8750 for rebound
USDCAD: Buy 1.3850 SL 20 TP 45
Gold: Look for reaction at 2385 resistance level, rejection could trade down to 2365
J-DXY
DXY Is Going Down! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for DXY.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 104.203.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 102.622 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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GOLD → False breakdown before the bullrun... ↑ FX:XAUUSD reacts perfectly to the 2390-2400 area, forming a false breakdown with subsequent growth to 2420, but I am now confused by the extremely low volatility.... The calm before the storm....
Gold is bullish on D1, while the dollar index is showing signs that the price may continue its decline in the medium term. Today at 13:45 GMT it is worth paying attention to the S&P PMI at 13:45 GMT and Hew Home Sales at 14:00. The data may revitalize the market, but we need to look at the actual numbers.
Technically, gold has a bullish market on H1, but right now I am extremely confused by the very low volatility, which often leads to momentum to one side or the other. Based on the overall situation there is a chance to see a continuation of growth if the bulls hold their defenses above 2400-2405.
Resistance levels: 2420, 2430, 2450
Support levels: 2405, 2400, 2392
The price is gradually updating the highs, forming clear support zones. A possible retest of the liquidity area before the subsequent bullrun to 2430-2450.
It is not excluded that the price can break the structure and give a strong impulse down to 2370, but at the moment of market analysis there are no preconditions for it
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★GOLD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
EURUSD → Change of mood after a false breakout. $ is rising FX:EURUSD on D1 is trading in a strong and neutral sideways movement. SMAs just lay on the horizontal plane, but on H4-H1 a change of market character is forming on the background of growth of the dollar index
Overall, the global neutral trend allows trading without much emphasis on the trend as there is none. The price is moving between the range boundaries, which simplifies the technical analysis.
On H4 the market is changing its mood on the background of the dollar index growth, which in general can lead to the retest of the support zones and the liquidity located behind them.
At the moment the focus is on the lower boundary of the range 1.08-1.082. A retest is possible in the near term, and the liquidity behind the zone could influence a bullish correction before a subsequent drop.
Resistance levels: 1.085
Support levels: 1.0816, 1.08, 1.078
S&P PMI and New Home Sales are published today, it is worth paying attention to the news, as positive news for the US may strengthen the fall of the currency pair, while unpredictable news may affect the market in the opposite way
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:EURUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
US30 TO NEW ATH OF $43,050 (UPDATE)Remember our US30 analysis which I posted this time last year? Well let's see how our long term, swing investment is performing 1 year down the line! Market is now up 6,760 PIPS (20.30% ROI) from our POI😍
I would recommend closing out 70% of your profits here & letting the remainder of your positions run risk free! Depending on how the weekly candle closes, we might possibly close out our entire position soon.
NASDAQ Is Approaching an Important SupportHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NAS100 for a buying opportunity around 19500 zone, NASDAQ is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 19500 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
BoC Rates Decision Analysis 24th July
DXY: Currently consolidating, needs to stay above 104.20, for further upside potential to retest 104.80 resistance
NZDUSD: Sell 0.5945 SL 20 TP 75
AUDUSD: Sell 0.6570 SL 20 TP 70 (Hesitation at 0.6540)
USDJPY: Sell 154.45 SL 30 TP 65
GBPUSD: Sell 1.2850 SL 25 TP 70
EURUSD: Sell 1.08 SL 20 TP 45
USDCHF: Buy 0.8930 SL 20 TP 40
USDCAD: Buy 1.3810 SL 35 TP 80
Gold: Wait for retracement to complete, needs to break 2380 to trade down to 2350
XAUUSD 23/7/24This week’s gold markup is looking very similar to EUR/USD. We have trendline liquidity sitting under the current lows. We have taken some obvious liquidity, so this could be an early sign that price action may be shifting bearish for a longer-term move. Bear in mind, we have taken all-time highs on gold, as we have across the higher timeframes, meaning that our higher timeframe bias is bullish, and we must, of course, respect that. However, this does not mean we are not going to have a pullback that could last for several days or several sessions, so keeping this in mind is key.
Now, if you see on the chart in front of you, there are three separate scenarios that I have marked:
1. Scenario one: We break the bearish 4-hour high, bringing us back into a bullish directional movement. I am looking at the trendline area and the higher timeframe area of supply for possible sell-offs into the lows we have marked on our chart. If we break the 4-hour high, we will be back into a bullish directional bias. This does not mean that the price is 100% going to sell off, as we will be bullish if we do not react at the trendline area and the supply area. I will be looking for the previously created all-time high to be taken and price action to continue the bullish delivery.
2. Scenario two: We continue bearish within the 4-hour selling range that we are currently in. This causes price action to break down, and we will look for the liquidity lows to be taken. This will, of course, give us a deeper pullback on the higher timeframe, and I will then be looking for longs if we shift structure.
Stick to your plan and trade what the price is showing you. I hope you all have an amazing week.
DXY Will Grow! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for DXY.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 104.330.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 104.818 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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Levels discussed during Livestream 23rd July23rd July
DXY: Ranging between 104.20 and 104.40, if price breaks 104.50, Inverted Head and Shoulder, could retest 104.80
NZDUSD: Sell 0.5970 SL 20 TP 50
AUDUSD: Sell 0.6615 SL 15 TP 35
USDJPY: Sell 156.10 SL 30 TP 60
GBPUSD: Bearish Flag: Sell 1.2890 SL 25 TP 110 (Hesitation at 1.2860)
EURUSD: Sell 1.0865 SL 20 TP 55
USDCHF: Buy 0.8925 SL 25 TP 75
USDCAD: Buy 1.3790 SL 20 TP 50
Gold: Could retrace higher to 2410, wait for retracement to complete, needs to break 2380 to trade down to 2350
USD Sell-off Sinks to Multi-Month LowsUS Dollar declines eleven of the beyond 14 days- breaks multi-month uptrend / lows
USD technical guide hurdle now in view- chance for rate inflection withinside the days in advance
Resistance 104.08, ~104.40, 104.90s (key)- Support 103.49/60, 102.74/99 (key), 102.35
The US Dollar Index has plunged for eleven of the beyond 14 days (nowadays could entire 12) with a 3rd weekly decline taking DXY closer to preliminary technical guide. While the medium-time period outlook stays weighted to the downside, we're in search of viable rate inflection into fashion guide simply decrease withinside the days in advance for guidance. Battles traces drawn at the DXY short-time period technical charts into the near of the month.
Review my state-of-the-art Weekly Strategy Webinar for an in-intensity breakdown of this US Dollar technical setup and more. Join stay on Monday`s at 8:30am EST.
Technical Outlook: In final month`s USD Short-time period Outlook, we mentioned that USD become drawing near resistance at multi-week highs and that, “losses be restrained to the 200-DMA IF rate is heading better in this stretch with a near above 105.seventy one had to gas the subsequent leg in rate. Note that losses underneath 104.15 may want to see matters crumble alternatively quickly- tread gently on a take a look at of this guide IF reached.” The index rallied some other 0.8% withinside the following days with DXY reversing off the 2023 excessive-week near (HWC) at 106.10 into the near of June (intraday excessive registered at 106.13).
EUR/USD Daily Chart - Triangle BreakoutThe EUR/USD pair on the Daily timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the upcoming Days.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position Above The Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 1.0900.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 1.1083
2nd Resistance – 1.1210
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 1.0718. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly.
Thank you
DxyHello traders,
I’d like to share my opinion on the DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) based on daily and 4-hour analyses. From a fundamental perspective, the dollar may strengthen; however, the upcoming U.S. presidential election could introduce instability.
It's essential to exercise caution during this period. Monitor price action closely and consider potential volatility driven by political events. Adjust your trading strategies accordingly to manage risk effectively.
If you have any further questions or need clarification, feel free to ask!
DXY Dollar Index Technical Analysis and Trade Idea👉🔍 We can observe that DXY has been in a bearish trend recently. However, it has experienced a significant move into a key support zone. In the video, we discuss market structure, price action, and the trend. I'm expecting to see a potential reaction and an opportunity to go long if the price action unfolds as described in the video. As always, this is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. 📊✅
Bearish reversal?US Dollar Index (DXY) is rising towards the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 104.51
1st Support: 104.03
1st Resistance: 104.80
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$DXY about to hit THE WALL?Love TVC:GOLD , stocks, real estate? Well I'm about to make your day.
TVC:DXY is strolling into historic resistance at 115. On the WEEKLY timeframe, we have two conjoining forces: A major resistance from the '85 high of 160 (in yellow), and a triple top high of 118 during the early '00s(in yellow). We're also riding the bottom support of 104 in our current rising channel.
Fundamentals: The Fed and US fiscal policy will face pressure to weaken the dollar to strengthen exports, boost GDP. This means inflation isn't going away and any rate cuts are going to be like tossing gasoline on a bonfire.
Dollar milkshake fans will be shocked to see flight to the dollar fading, as harder money like Gold plays a larger role in sovereign bank collateralizations, trade imbalances. The assumption that the US will remain the cleanest shirt in the dirty laundry may well flip by the end of the decade as multipolar alternatives become more attractive and the debt markets increasingly realize the US debt is beyond repayable (in today's dollars).
This is going to provide a tail-wind to all #antifiats, chief among them: GOLD, Bitcoin, and any stock with pricing power. I also see real-estate doing well as foreign US treasuries holders (like China, India, Japan) decide they'd rather bid up US homes, commercial property than earn a pretend yield on terrible debt instruments.
GBPUSD → The correction is coming to an end. Next is 1.310? FX:GBPUSD is in a correction phase testing the liquidity area as well as a strong support level from D1. The correction is news related, but something happened over the weekend that could put selling pressure on the dollar.
Technically GBPUSD is bullish, as evidenced by the update of the highs and the counter-trend correction to the liquidity area.
Yesterday, Biden announced that he was withdrawing from the presidential race, fielding Kamala Harris in his place. Trump's odds are rising in this case, and he has previously hinted that he wants a weaker dollar. Against this background, the DXY may continue its bearish course, which may generally favor the forex market.
Technically, 1.28940 is worth paying attention to. A false breakdown could trigger further growth. But, if the bulls will not let the price to this zone, it will be enough to wait for the price to consolidate above 1.294.
Resistance levels: 1.294, 1.297
Support levels: 1.2894, 1.286
Technically the market is bullish, fundamentally everything is good. Most likely, interested buyers are still in the market, so the pressure for further growth may continue
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ GBPUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
USDCHF → A retest of trend resistance. Probable rebound FX:USDCHF strengthened as the Swiss franc went into correction due to the actions of the central bank, which is trying to protect the currency from excessive strengthening.
Technically, the dollar is in the phase of correction, which may stop in the near future and the index may go back to the strengthening phase, but against this background the Swiss franc growth looks stronger, as this currency is considered as a hedge asset, which just in the crisis times was used by investors.
Technically, as long as the structure of the downtrend is not broken and a false break of resistance is formed, I would consider a bounce from the upper boundary of the channel to the zone of interest at 0.8885.
Resistance levels: 0.9010, 0.9050
Support levels: 0.892, 0.885
Bears can hold the resistance of the downtrend. The fundamental backdrop is still the same and in general may be maintained for some time, which may allow us to catch a downward movement to the mentioned target
Regards R. Linda!
XAU/USD : Potential Fall Ahead ! (READ THE CAPTION)By examining the gold chart on the 30-minute timeframe, we observe that after a CHOCH and a break in market structure (BMS) at the $2466 and $2462 levels, gold experienced a further decline, correcting down to $2451. Currently, the price is trading around $2465. Given the structure formed on the chart, we can anticipate another potential drop to $2451 as the first target. This analysis will be updated accordingly afterward.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban