Japan
BOJ Decision Countdown: Potential 15-Basis Point Rate Hike LeakBOJ Decision Countdown: Potential 15-Basis Point Rate Hike Leaked
The Bank of Japan is reportedly considering a 15-basis point interest rate hike, surpassing market expectations of a 10-basis point increase or no change at all, according to NHK. This comes as the U.S. Federal Reserve contemplates a rate cut, potentially as soon as September.
This could be why we are seeing what we are seeing on the USDJPY chart, with the yen rebounding from 38-year lows. The yen has jumped from around 162 per dollar in mid-July to approximately 153 per dollar, marking its most significant two-week gain of the year.
Despite this, over three-quarters of economists surveyed by Reuters two weeks ago expect the BOJ to maintain rates at today's meeting. Some experts, including former BOJ board member Takahide Kiuchi, attribute this interest rate inertia to the weak underlying factors driving price movements.
SHIBA INU (SHIB)Shiba Inu is a mystery investment strategy web3 layer2 conspiracy to make cryptocurrency on Ethereum better and be more than Dogecoin was going for as a layer1. Shiba Inu is in a gully price range right now. A lot of crypto that falls into a gulch has a hard time climbing out and continues to lose. Due to Shiba Inu being one of the highest in volume on the daily charts and highest in mcap value there is always a potential for the fear of a gully to be surrealistic to an end that leads the imagination to require therapy by eating m&ms mixed with pumpkin seeds; sweet and salty.
Strong JPY, Weak Nikkei. Trading Plans Post FallAs the JPY has gained value, on propping up rumours via Japan Authorities, we have seen a drop in the Nikkei.
The pro growth rates set by the BOJ have allowed the Japanese Nikkei to grow to higher highs continually, inline with the positive market sentiment spurred on by a better global economic outlook and a soft landing.
A retracement, however, would reflect some of the economic woes induced by low rates. Anything that turns this around will likely take us back to highs.
Conversely, a continuation of current sentiment will bring us lower. Any longs, therefore, must be tiny, if any. Save them till later.
$JPIRYY -Japan Inflation Rate YoYECONOMICS:JPIRYY (March/2024)
The annual inflation rate in Japan ticked lower to 2.7% in March 2024 from February's 3-month peak of 2.8%, matching market consensus.
There were slowdowns in prices of transport (2.9% vs 3.0% in February), clothes (2.0% vs 2.6%), furniture & household utensils (3.2% vs 5.1%), healthcare (1.5% vs 1.8%), communication (0.2% vs 1.4%), and culture & recreation (7.2% vs 7.3%).
At the same time, inflation was stable for food (at 4.8%), housing (at 0.6%), education (at 1.3%), and miscellaneous (at 1.1%).
Meanwhile, prices of fuel, and light dropped the least in a year (-1.7% vs -3.0%), with electricity (-1.0% and -2.5%) and gas (-7.1% vs -9.4%) falling at softer paces as energy subsidies from the government would fully end in May.
The core inflation rate fell to 2.6% from a four-month top of 2.8%, slightly below forecasts of 2.7%. Monthly, consumer prices rose by 0.2% in March, the most since last October, after being flat in the prior two months.
source: Ministry of Internal Affairs & Communications
JASMY (JASMY)Threading the needle. Topside, Bottomside, somewhere inbetween. The line appears to make sense. My screen shifts due to TradingView not recognizing the resolution of my screen while creating the lines on the graph. The line should touch both crossing points and draw a straight line in the direction of those points.
JAPAN TRADE: NIKKEI225 & TOPIX BANK INDEXThe FX:JPN225 index is currently offering a modest discount following a nearly 10% return to investors in February, raising the question of its investability. A key metric to watch is the Topix Bank Index TSE:TOPIXB , which gauges the health of the financial sector. Despite today's slight decline of 0.50% in the FX:JPN225 , Japanese banks continue to perform notably well. Inflation rates are anticipated to decrease from 2.6% to 2.1% tomorrow (Tuesday), and consumer confidence is expected to see a minor improvement from 38 to 38.2 by the end of the week (Friday).
Given the positive internal indicators and the limited number of significant events on the calendar for this week, my outlook remains optimistic. I am waiting for a further pullback in the FX:JPN225 to establish a level of support from which I can start to build on any additional declines.
MITSUBISHI UFJ FINANCIAL _ Channel Pattern Target is JPY 1906Rising Channel Pattern formed and Breakout. Channel Pattern Target is JPY 1906. And also Rising Wedge Pattern formed in weekly Time Frame. If Breakout above the Wedge Pattern, market significantly Bullish Trend and Breakout All Time High (or) market come to the Resistance line of Wedge Pattern. Refer to this image,
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Yamaha Motor_ Next Target JPY 1887, Chance to Make +20% PROFITA Rising Wedge Pattern is forming, so the Next Target is the Top of the Pattern or the Resistance line at JPY 1887. Take the chance to potentially make a +20% profit.
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jasmycoin (JASMY)working on a new basic script. found a correlation between these lines and the price. or so it seems. the past information always seems to correlate to something. seeing the proof in the present is so much harder than looking at the past.
SOFTBANK Group _ Next Target is Channel Top +42 % PROFITA Rising Channel Pattern has formed, and the Previous All-Time High has also breakout. The Next Target is the Channel Top, offering a chance to make a PROFIT of 42% or more. For Long-Term Analysis, you must follow the Trend continuation technique.
I want to help people to Make Profit all over the "World".
TOYOTA MOTOR _ Rising Wedge Pattern Target Reached _ 62 % ROI A Rising Wedge Pattern formed, and a Breakout occurred, achieving the pattern target. Buy in August 2023 and Sell in March 2024, achieving a 62% ROI within 8 months.
I want to help people to Make Profit all over the "World".
JASMY (jasmy) Jasmy keeps getting stuck above an unending short squeeze linear pattern. The Pattern keeps shifting as the longer Jasmy is not carrying on through the lines and pass the arms folded pattern the worse the short squeezes become.
jasmy (JASMY)There are signs of the leading 50 day and 100 day lines are shifting behind the recent highs along a channel with the price in trend. The indicator is variable and does realign based on other charts I look at but so far it seems this one is sticking firmer than before.
Market tests BoJ with yen at 1986 low The Japanese yen tumbled beyond 160 per USD, marking its weakest level since 1986. This is a critical threshold that previously prompted intervention by Japanese authorities. In May, Japan depleted a record ¥9.8 trillion to bolster the yen.
Masato Kanda, Tokyo's top currency diplomat, attempted to mitigate the surge above 160.00 with strong verbal interventions, yet he mentioned no specific target level. This ambiguity was perceived by some market participants as a green light to drive the pair to 160.82.
The lack of immediate intervention from the Bank of Japan post-160 breakout raises questions: Does this signal an open path to the next psychological levels?
In June alone, the yen has slipped roughly 1.5% against the dollar, extending its year-to-date decline to about 13%. Should there be a retracement from the previous 160 intervention level, buying interest is expected to resurface around the 158.00 support, aligning with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Fundamentally, traders are eyeing tomorrow's US Jobless Claims data, followed by Tokyo CPI and US PCE releases on Friday, which could be critical in shaping the next moves in the yen.
EURJPY SHORT - Long the strong, short the weak.Hi all,
This week I am sharing my play on EURJPY.
With JPYBASKET showing both accumulation and some weakness (another liquidity grab today), with Japan Bank saying - increasing interest rates is an option now, with strong long positions on JPY by commercial banks and short positions advantage on EUR, the EURJPY pair is my safest pair to trade this week.
I am both managing a major short there and scalping the range to the downside.
I am expecting return to 168.1 - 168.2 area at minimum!
Good luck and play safe!
Retail Traders Poised for Yen Rebound - Consider Shorting USDJPYI am writing to bring to your immediate attention a critical development in the forex market that could present a significant trading opportunity.
As many of you are aware, the recent slide in the Japanese yen has been a point of concern. This depreciation has heightened the probability of Japan intervening in the market once more to stabilize its currency. Historical patterns suggest that such interventions can lead to rapid and substantial movements in the yen's value.
Currently, it appears that retail traders are reloading their bets in anticipation of a rebound in the yen. This collective action underscores a growing sentiment that the yen is poised for a recovery, potentially driven by governmental measures to curb its decline.
Given these circumstances, it may be prudent to consider positioning yourselves for this anticipated rebound. Specifically, shorting the USD/JPY could be a strategic move. By doing so, you could potentially capitalize on the yen's resurgence if Japan steps in to support its currency.
I urge you to review your portfolios and assess the potential benefits of shorting USD/JPY in light of the current market dynamics. As always, ensure that any trading decisions are made with careful consideration and risk management.
Stay vigilant and informed. The forex market is highly dynamic, and timely actions can make a significant difference.
EURJPY Fool-Surprise Reverse Ok ?EURJPY direction.
Well, I am excited the algos pushed the price 0.2% higher in compariston to yesterday, we are still due to dump 1-2% to the downside.
Lets Go. Accumulate more and more shorts, this is the only direction.
THIS IS JUST MY PLAN - NOT AN ADVICE.
No stop loss at this point, after loosing crucial levels, we can expect JPY central bank interventionm at any point, and - I am surprised idiot traders are still pushing the price in wrong directon still.
Take profit: 168.13
Stop loss: NONE.
GBPJPY H4 - Sell SignalGBPJPY H4
We have pinned into our first sell zone here on GBPJPY. 200.800 price has been wicked on the H4 and we have the London volume to see where this may now take us. Would like to see this zone hold and rejections form from this price.
If resistance does break, we have the yearly high sell zone as a second approach (final attempt). Lets see what unfolds.
JASMY (JASMY)In trying to understand how to use this indicator, I think the unconnected lines going down show where there are support lines, and the disconnected lines going up represent support lines for support and resistance type observations. I placed the lines on the graph according to the indicator with green being resistance lines and the red line being support.
Could the USDJPY retest 160?When the BoJ increased interest rates in March, for the first time in 17 years, the Yen continued to weaken due to the perceived lack of commitment toward further rate hikes.
In April the BoJ kept rates on hold at 0.10%, which saw the Yen react with further weakness.
The BoJ is due to release its Policy Rate and Monetary Policy Statement tomorrow (Friday).
With the USDJPY currently at the 157.25 price level, a resumption of strength on the DXY following the FOMC decision yesterday could see the USDJPY climb up to the resistance level of 158 before the BoJ decision.
If the BoJ decides to keep rates on hold and not take any further action on reducing its bond purchases, the Yen could weaken further, pushing the USDJPY higher toward the all time high of 160.
This is likely to make it very interesting as it would reignite the speculation of a possible currency intervention from the BoJ
Japan rate decision Friday: A deeper look Japan's wholesale inflation surged in May at the fastest annual rate in nine months, data revealed yesterday, indicating that a weak yen may be exerting upward pressure on prices by increasing the cost of raw material imports. Producer prices in Japan rose 2.4% year-on-year in May 2024, up from 1.1% in April, surpassing market expectations of a 2% rise.
This data is likely to be a key factor for the Bank of Japan (BOJ) board as it convenes for a two-day policy meeting ending on Friday. The central bank is widely anticipated to maintain its short-term interest rate target within the 0% to 0.1% range.
However, the data adds complexity to the BOJ's decision-making on the timing of interest rate hikes. BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda has stated that the central bank will consider raising rates further if it becomes more confident that underlying inflation will remain around the 2% target.
Looking at the 4-hour chart today, the USD/JPY has rebounded following the FOMC decision, erasing much of the post-CPI drop, and passing through the 20-, 50-, 100-, and 200-hour Exponential Moving Averages.
USD/JPY as BOJ rate decision approaches The US federal Reserve is not the only major central bank making an interest rate decision this week. So too, will the nonconformist Bank of Japan (BOJ).
In its April policy meeting, the BOJ highlighted upside risks to inflation and indicated readiness to adjust monetary policy, if necessary, although it expects to maintain its current policy for the time being.
The BOJ stated that if the outlook for economic activity and price rises materializes, interest rate hikes could be warranted. Key economic reports from Japan prior to this week's interest rate decision include:
Japan GDP Growth Rate (final)
Japan Economy Watchers Survey Outlook
Japan Producer Price Inflation
For the exact date and time of these major economic events, import the BlackBull Markets Economic Calendar to receive alerts directly in your email inbox.
From the daily chart, the USD/JPY perhaps appears slightly bullish. The pair has climbed above the Ichimoku Cloud, indicating strong buyer momentum.
On Tuesday last week, BOJ Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino expressed concerns about the negative impact of a weak yen on the economy. His comments suggest that the BOJ might be preparing for another intervention in the forex markets to support the yen, which would be negative for the USD/JPY pair.
The 14-day RSI has recently pulled back, avoiding overbought conditions.
