Japan
JPY 225 - fundamental and technical analysis - we will rise!Fundmental:
Given the Bank of Japan's decision to maintain ultra-low interest rates while adopting a more flexible yield curve control policy, coupled with positive market reactions and the potential for policy normalization, there is a strong possibility that the JPY225 index will rise in the coming days. The move indicates confidence in Japan's economic recovery, leading to increased investor interest in Japanese equities. Additionally, ongoing monetary support and higher inflation expectations could further boost the index. However, investors should remain mindful of market fluctuations and global factors that may impact the performance of the JPY225 index.
Thechincal
We are in side growing trades testing again 33050-33200 level again, probably will not enough strengh so it will be time for correction, after break strong bullish movement
Nikkei to stall at current swing high?NIK225 - 24h expiry
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
Price action looks to be forming a top.
A lower correction is expected.
Although the anticipated move lower is corrective, it does offer ample risk/reward today.
Further downside is expected although we prefer to sell into rallies close to the 33177 level.
We look to Sell at 33177 (stop at 33477)
Our profit targets will be 32427 and 32227
Resistance: 34014 / 35000 / 36110
Support: 32610 / 32200 / 31410
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The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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Data error Japan Tokyo CPI Ex Food And Energy (JPTCPIEFA) & JapHello good morning & good day to all! There seems to be an error for these 2 Japan econ data when we chart on Trading View, Japan Tokyo CPI Ex Food And Energy (JPTCPIEFA) & Japan Tokyo Core CPI (JPTCCPI).
Previously, these 2 data have been presented in index values but it seems that yesterday, their format has been changed to y/y % for the last 2 months but does not adjust prior historical data points to y/y.
Thus, right now, I cannot do any meaningful analysis of these charts. Wrote in about these errors and sent a ticket to Hep Centre but no reply.
Can anyone help over here? or is there a rep from Trading View here? Much appreciated. Thank you
Gone Too Far…As the world remains engrossed in the unfolding drama of the debt ceiling, we believe another event of significance deserves our attention.
Let's take a brief detour into the annals of economic history, looking at the era of Abenomics. This term refers to the monetary policy instituted during Shinzo Abe's second term as Prime Minister of Japan. Abenomics rested on the foundation of "Three Arrows" - aggressive monetary policy, fiscal consolidation, and a robust growth strategy.
The outcome? The Nikkei embarked on an impressive bull run, seemingly unstoppable in its upward trajectory.
This performance becomes all the more remarkable when compared to the S&P500, which managed a modest gain of only 12% over the same period. This comparison sparked an intriguing question: How do these two indices compare now, especially with the Nikkei shattering two-decade highs?
When we chart the spread, the ratio of Nikkei 225 to S&P 500 stands on the brink of upper resistance, a boundary that has proven significant for nearly a decade. A more granular exploration of each index reveals some compelling details.
For the S&P 500, we observe a break of the upper resistance as well as a break from an ascending triangle, both of which signify a bullish continuation. While RSI has not yet reached the overbought territory.
On the other hand, the recent surge in the Nikkei 225 index has been robust and swift, surpassing the 2021 highs, with the RSI indicating an extreme overbought scenario.
Thus, we suspect that the Nikkei's meteoric ascent may have overshot its mark. This situation presents an intriguing trading opportunity: shorting the Nikkei 225 / S&P 500 spread. This can be executed by shorting the Nikkei 225 Futures and going long on the S&P 500 Futures. To match the Nikkei 225 USD contract size at the current price of 31,300 with a contract value of 31,300 x 5 = 156,500 USD, we could utilize the Micro E-Mini S&P 500 Index Futures at the current price of 4,215 with a contract value of 4,125 x 5 = 21,075 USD. Hence, to balance the position size, we could employ 1 Nikkei 225 contract and 7 Micro S&P 500 contracts. The Nikkei 225 USD Futures represents 5 USD x Nikkei Stock Average. Prices are quoted in US dollars and cents per index point, each 5 point move is equal to 25 USD. The Micro E-Mini S&P 500 Futures represents 5 USD x S&P 500 index. Prices are quoted in US dollars and cents per index point, each 0.25 index point move is equal to 1.25 USD.
The charts above were generated using CME’s Real-Time data available on TradingView. Inspirante Trading Solutions is subscribed to both TradingView Premium and CME Real-time Market Data which allows us to identify trading set-ups in real-time and express our market opinions. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Disclaimer:
The contents in this Idea are intended for information purpose only and do not constitute investment recommendation or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products or services. They serve as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate fundamental concepts in risk management under given market scenarios. A full version of the disclaimer is available in our profile description.
Reference:
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Fujitsu Limited WCA - Symmetrical TriangleCompany: Fujitsu Limited
Ticker: 6702.T
Exchange: Tokyo Stock Exchange
Sector: Technology
Introduction:
Hello and welcome to our technical analysis session! Today we are focusing on Fujitsu Limited as observed on the weekly chart on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. An intriguing symmetrical triangle formation has caught our attention, which may act as a bullish continuation.
Symmetrical Triangle Pattern:
A symmetrical triangle is a price pattern characterized by converging trend lines and oscillating price within the pattern. It can serve as a continuation or a reversal signal. The breakout direction tends to predict the subsequent trend direction.
Analysis:
Preceding this consolidation phase, Fujitsu's price exhibited a clear uptrend. The ongoing consolidation phase, shaped as a symmetrical triangle, has been forming for 616 days. There are three points of contact with the triangle's upper boundary and two with its lower boundary.
Notably, this consolidation phase takes place above the 200 EMA, indicating a bullish environment. If we see a weekly candlestick close above 18400, it could serve as an opportune moment for a long position entry.
Assuming a valid breakout, our projected price target is at 26025, translating into a potential price rise of approximately 41.33%.
Conclusion:
The weekly chart of Fujitsu Limited presents a potential bullish continuation pattern in the form of a symmetrical triangle. A confirmed breakout above the triangle's upper boundary could offer a promising long position entry.
As always, please perform your own due diligence and consider appropriate risk management strategies when investing. Not financial advice!
Thank you for joining this analysis. If you found it useful, please like, share, and follow for more insightful market updates. Happy trading!
Best regards,
Karim Subhieh
9202 - Bullish ReversalCompany: ANA Holdings Inc.
Ticker: 9202
Exchange: TSE
Sector: Air Transport
Introduction:
Hello and welcome to today's technical analysis. We're turning our attention to the weekly chart of ANA Holdings Inc. (9202) on the TSE, which is demonstrating an exciting Rectangle pattern breakout that could signal a bullish reversal.
Rectangle Pattern:
The Rectangle pattern is a common chart pattern that can act as a continuation or a reversal signal, depending on the preceding trend and the breakout's direction. In this case, the Rectangle pattern is acting as a bullish reversal signal.
Analysis:
Over the past 1155 days, ANA Holdings' price movements have formed a distinct Rectangle pattern. The clear touch points and boundaries define the pattern, with the lower boundary at 2117.5 and the upper boundary at 2989.
The price has successfully moved above the 200 EMA, and for the first time in 1155 days, we've seen a clear breakout above the upper boundary of the Rectangle. This is a strong bullish signal, suggesting a potential trend reversal.
Conclusion:
The price target following this breakout is set at 3853, representing a potential rise of 29%. As always, it's crucial to employ risk management strategies and appropriate position sizing when trading based on chart patterns.
Please remember that this analysis should not be taken as financial advice. Always perform your own due diligence before trading or investing.
If you found this analysis helpful, please consider liking, sharing, and following for more. Happy trading!
Best regards,
Karim Subhieh
Bridgestone Corp WCA - Inverted head and shouldersCompany: Bridgestone Corporation
Ticker: 5108
Exchange: TSE
Sector: Automotive & Auto Parts
Introduction:
Greetings, and thank you for taking the time to read this analysis. Today, we are examining the weekly chart of Bridgestone Corp on the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE). Our focus is on a classical price pattern known as the inverted head and shoulders, which here manifests as a bullish continuation pattern.
Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern:
The inverted head and shoulders pattern on this chart has been forming over a 686-day period. This pattern is particularly compelling due to its near-perfect symmetry, represented by the symmetry line. The current resistance, also referred to as the neckline of the price pattern, has seen multiple tests and is sitting at 5468.
Bullish Environment:
Notably, the price remains above the 200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average), which typically indicates a bullish market environment. Therefore, we are patiently waiting for a clear break of the neckline.
Trade Strategy:
To avoid premature breakouts, we could combine this trade with a breakout filter. Upon successful breakout, the price target stands at ¥6883, representing a potential price increase of approximately 26%.
Conclusion:
The weekly chart analysis of Bridgestone Corp reveals an emerging inverted head and shoulders pattern, suggesting a bullish continuation. As always, when trading based on chart patterns, it is essential to consider risk management and adequate position sizing.
Please note that this analysis does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own thorough research before making investment decisions.
If you found this analysis helpful, please consider liking, sharing, and following for more updates. Happy trading!
Best Regards,
Karim Subhieh
Toyota Motor Corporation DCA - Rectangle Reversal Company: Toyota Motor Corporation
Ticker: 7203
Exchange: TSE
Sector: Automotive
Introduction:
Hello and thank you for taking the time to read my post. Today, we analyze the daily chart of Toyota Motor Corporation, focusing on a potential Rectangle reversal pattern. This pattern may indicate a change in the trend and offers trading opportunities for both short-term gains and long-term positions.
Rectangle Reversal Pattern:
The Rectangle pattern is a consolidation pattern that forms when the price is bounded by parallel support and resistance levels. It can act as a continuation or reversal pattern, depending on the preceding trend and the breakout direction. A breakout above the resistance level signals a potential trend reversal.
Analysis:
On the daily chart, Toyota Motor Corp has been in a clear downward trend, as indicated by the blue diagonal resistance line. However, the Rectangle pattern, which has four touch points at the top and five at the bottom, could potentially serve as a reversal pattern.
Currently, the price is attempting to break above the 200 EMA. If a breakout occurs with a candle close above this level, the price target is ¥14550, representing a gain of approximately 7.5%. This setup could also present a good opportunity to build a longer-term position, depending on the trend opportunity and whether the Rectangle pattern truly acts as a reversal signal.
Conclusion:
The Toyota Motor Corp daily chart analysis highlights a Rectangle reversal pattern, signaling a potential trend reversal. Traders should closely monitor the 200 EMA for any signs of a breakout. As always, it's essential to consider risk management and proper position sizing when trading based on chart patterns.
Please note that this analysis is not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence when investing or trading.
If you found this analysis helpful, please like, share, and follow for more updates. Happy trading!
Best regards,
Karim Subhieh
CHF JPY | LIQUIDITY | DECRYPTERS HI welcome to Team Decrypters
== > We Are Expecting A down ward move for CHF JPY
--Double Top.
--End of Elliot Wave cycle ( So expect Bearish Correction ).
--ABC Corrective Move to Followed.
--DATA Based Bearishness.
--Divergences Along with Initial market structure Shift on HTF.
MY OPINION :- JPY will be Stronger SOON RELATIVELY
CADJPY: Bearish Move From Key Level 🇨🇦🇯🇵
CADJPY reached a key horizontal daily resistance this week.
Analyzing the reaction of the price to that on intraday time frames,
I spotted a head & shoulders pattern and a rising channel.
The price manage to break both the neckline of h&s and a support line of the channel.
It will most likely trigger a bearish continuation.
Goals will be: 99.59 / 99.1
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
USDJPY Headed lower? The case for Japan to thriveFirst off, I am NOT a Forex trader or highly in tune with the intricacies of the forex market. However, I am a Chartist and I see what I see.
The USDJPY is in a current short term down trend, posting Lower lows and lower highs. With the CPI data coming tomorrow for the US Economy I would suspect some significant movement to start tomorrow and not end for a few weeks at least. The China Yuan trading BLOC is becoming a larger problem for the USD every day. At some point Japan has to survive and we might see their choice to adapt to the current climate of world finance begin to help their currency decouple from its standard trading range channel that its been comfortable in for decades. Japan is positioned well in all things except agriculture and typically that would be where the USA would come to the table for trade talks. Unfortunately the USA market for foreign automobiles is not what it used to be and China is looking anywhere it can to establish new trading deals. China could easily steal a good market share of our Japan agriculture trade without Japan fearing much retaliation from the USA in doing so. Japan has already signaled to the world that they will be comfortable pivoting a portion of their trade deals and currency settlements if need be.
That is the basis of my idea that the USDJPY is headed lower and towards a stronger JPY. I look for 131 in the immediate short term and 126 before we try any significant reversal if any at all.
This is just what i see and I am just documenting my own ideas for myself. DYOR.
USD vs YEN | USDJPY IdeaHi traders!
As you can see, the long-term trend of the USD/JPY price chart is bullish.
But in this direction there are lines and areas that show resistance against price growth.
So we will wait for the price to break the first resistance zone ( it's around $133.80 ).
USDJPY Dollar vs Yen FX:USDJPY
⚠️🚨 Risk warning, disclaimer: the above is a personal market judgment and analysis based on published information and historical chart data on The trading view,
And only some of these analyzes are my actual real trades.
I hope Traders consider I am Not responsible for your trades and investment decision.
✅ Please write any advice or suggestions.
USDJPY Outlook 6th April 2023The USDJPY has been trading steadily to the downside, primarily due to the weakness of the DXY.
As the USDJPY found the 130.50 price area (78.6% fib level from the longer term) overnight, price rebound slightly but continued to consolidate at the 131.20 price level, with the resistance level at the 131.70 level (38.2% fib level) and the downward trendline possibly capping significant upside potential.
Look for the USDJPY to retest the resistance level before trading lower again, with the key support level at the 129.80 price level.
USDJPY Outlook 3rd April 2023Currently, the price action on the USDJPY indicates the formation of a bullish ascending triangle (in fact as I type this, the price looks to be breaking to the upside, but still need for a confirmation signal)
With the price rising on the bullish trendline and the interim resistance level of 133.60, a breakout to the upside could lead to a significant upside on the USDJPY, especially if the strength of the DXY drives it.
Although the round number level of 134 could provide brief resistance, the key resistance level of 135 could be a possible target for this potential bullish breakout.
XRP General MovesRecent Price Movements and Potential Future Outlook
XRP, also known as Ripple, has been in the news recently due to some positive developments, which have led to a price increase. However, the price of XRP has been volatile and has experienced significant fluctuations in the past few weeks. In this article, we will analyze the recent price movements of XRP and discuss its potential future outlook.
Price Movements
On March 31, 2023, the price of XRP reached a high of 0.588 USD, which was the highest it had been in several months. However, the price soon began to decline, and it currently sits around the 0.5 USD mark. This price decline can be attributed to several factors, including the overall market conditions, as well as concerns about the potential impact of Bitcoin's price movements.
Support Levels
Despite the recent price decline, there are some good support levels for XRP. The 0.5 USD mark is a significant support level, and it is possible that the price may bounce back from this level. Additionally, the 0.432 USD mark, which is where the rally started, could potentially be retested in the next few days. If this occurs, it may present an opportunity to buy XRP at a lower price.
Future Outlook
The future outlook for XRP is uncertain, and much will depend on the overall market conditions and the movements of other major cryptocurrencies, such as Bitcoin. If Bitcoin's price continues to decline, it is likely that XRP will also experience a price decline. However, if the market stabilizes and Bitcoin's price begins to increase again, XRP may also experience a price increase.
Conclusion
In conclusion, XRP has experienced significant price movements in the past few weeks, and its future outlook is uncertain. While there are some good support levels for XRP, it is important to be cautious when trading in these volatile market conditions. It may be worth waiting for further confirmation before buying XRP, especially if there are concerns about the potential impact of Bitcoin's price movements.
USDJPY Outlook 31 March 2023The USDJPY climbed steadily to the upside, reaching the 133 resistance level overnight (this was discussed in the post on the 29th and during yesterday's webinar), with a continued push to the 133.50 price level early in the trading session today.
As the USDJPY retraces from the 133 resistance level, if the price breaks below the bullish trendline, a more significant correction to the downside could be expected, with the key support level at 131.70 (61.8% fib retracement level) and the interim level at 132.35 (38.2% fib retracement level).
However, if the DXY bounces from the 102 support level, this could drive the USDJPY higher, with the next major resistance level at 135