Buying Nikkei in a bullish channel.NIK225 - 22h expiry - We look to Buy at 27675 (stop at 27360)
Although the bears are in control, the stalling negative momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
Trading within a Bullish Channel formation.
Our expectation now is for this swing lower to continue towards the bottom of the trend channel, to complete a correction before buyers return.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
Our profit targets will be 28580 and 29240
Resistance: 28360 / 29240 / 30175
Support: 27370 / 26930 / 26385
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
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Japan225
NIKKEI 225 CFD BEARISH PATTERNJapan is currently facing an inflation high not seen in 40 years. The weak yen and the increased cost of foreign supply for industrial commodities and manufacturing parts are slowing down the economy of the country.
On the technical front the index has broken the support of the triangle pattern and a bearish move might be expected. RSI indicator is heading below 50 neutral line and MACD histogram is below 0.
If the pattern continues the price might test the support levels of 27831. In the opposite scenario, the price might try to reach its previous resistance at 27929.50
Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
NIKKEI 225 Monthly Forecast Movements 1-30 November 2022 NIKKEI 225 Monthly Forecast Movements 1-30 November 2022
We can see that for this month, the implied volatility is around 4.56%, rising 3.68% of last month.
This is currently placing us in the 25th percentile according to ATR and 83th according to JNIV
Based on this percentile calculation, on average the monthly movement for the candle(from open of the candle to the close of the candle) is:
BEARISH Candle : 4.7%
BULLISH Candle : 3.1%
With this in mind we can expect with a close to 23.4% probability that our close of the monthly candle is going to close either above or below the next channel:
BOT: 26600
TOP: 28630
Lastly, based on the calculations that we had for touching the previous candle high and low values, we can estimate that there is a :
80% chance that we are going to touch the previous monthly high of 27600 (already happened yesterday)
25% chance that we are going to touch the previous monthly low of 25600
NIKKEI 225 CFD BEARISH PATTERNJapan Economy Watchers Current Index was announced yesterday, below its forecast and also below its neutral line of 50, at 43.8, which can be used as a marker for downturn of the country's economy.
On a technical level Japan 225 CFD broke the support of the rising wedge pattern, also signaling a potential bearish move on the instrument. Both MACD and RSI indicators confirm the pattern, and in both the fast moving average is increasing the gap with the slow moving average, indicated best by the MACD histogram. This might be read as an indicator for big movement.
If the pattern gets confirmed the price might test its previous low at 27840. If the opposite scenario occurs, the instrument might test the previous support of the rising wedge at 28270.
Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
Nikkei225 - Great trade Opportunity! Nikkei 225 - Great Trade Opportunity!
What a great set up, right? I've been shorting NI225 for while. If you're subscriber of our weekly newsletter, you probably got in earlier at a better risk/reward! If you are subscriber - Thanks I appreciate it and if you aren't you're missing out! I post my analysis late on Trading View for great trade ideas...Subscribe now - Link will be down in the comment section (It's FREE & always will be) We will be changing the privacy settings soon for ONLY subscribers to see our content!
Now let's dive into the exciting Technical aspects:
Longer Term pattern: Triangle
Shorter Term Pattern: Bear Flag / Wedge
Key Support & Resistance Areas: 28000 - 28400
Key Tip: You could go to towards lower time frames to get a better price.
All the best,
Trade Journal
(Just a trade idea, not a recommendation)
PERFECT H&S Pattern and a great sell opportunityDear fellas,
I've been following JP225USD for a while and it has just bounced off strong resistance around 28350 and it has formed a very clear H&S pattern. This is a high probability trade with a small risk. SL should ideally be above Head (28500).
Target: 26760
SL: 28550
Good Luck and trade safe!
JAPAN 225 BULL FLAGReally simple bull flag set up, also for my followers you will notice the rvi bullish cross. look to trade the continuation pattern on the pullback or stop loss as placed. We may see some yen depreciation on oil strength as the catalyst for this move, look out for news events also.
LONG JP225: A great move to the upsidelet's get into practical details without any bullshit in the beginning...
We have some really amazing targets starting with 22750, then 23000, and the last station of testing the all-time high at the level of 24000, but that's not our topic for now, let's take it easy... step by step.
We have a bearish trend since FEB2020 on the D1 chart, the price tried to break it many times without a result. but now, we're almost ready to test it one more time with two amazing structures on the H4 & H1.
Generally, we have H&S on the H4 chart and it was ready to test the neckline when it made a double-bottom formation on H1 chart, so now it's a great position to open a trade with some small targets in the beginning.
Firstly, we are gonna long JP225 with a sl below the bottom in order to test the neckline. 22450 will be a good support to put under consideration when we are attacking the neckline.
Secondly, in case of having a successful H&S, we will wait for the confirmation on the H1 to long it again to test the general down-trend. 22750 will be a good support to put under consideration when we are attacking the trendline.
Thirdly, in case of breaking the resistance, we will fly without mercy to test the all-time high at 24000
I'm following it with you daily to keep you up to date.
Chiao!
EUR/JPY - Monitoring for a potential buyHello traders, as analyzed and same as CADJPY, EURJPY is approaching an area with lots of confluence. Once there, we'll see how price reacts. Potential upside target is marked on the chart.
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Cheers!