JBL - May 24 (MATREND v1.6)Had three signals (JBL, COHR, WDC) but I selected JBL because the price structure on chart looks like it has the best potential to trend.
v1.6
Exit rule tweaked to Daily 10SMA
Calibrated entry specs, to slightly loosen up the Stoploss
atr_x = 2.5
entry_atr_xfactor = 3.7
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This is a simple systematic Trend strategy where entry is based on two conditions
1. Price crossing over the EMA
2. The present ATR is less than an ATR multiple
The ATR condition allows us to enter trades that has not gapped too much as that usually results in a price pullback
Risk
Fixed & tight SL based on ATR multiples closes trades fast
Closing of the trades is a simple price cross over the daily SMA
This strategy only has a 34.38% win rate. So most trades will end up as losers until we hit a strong upswing.
JBL
JBL Jabil Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought JBL here:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of JBL Jabil prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 110usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-10-20,
for a premium of approximately $2.17.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
JBL Jabil Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain of JBL Jabil prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 95usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-6-16,
for a premium of approximately $3.15.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Jubilee metal plummeting after a dangerous pattern target R1.16We saw a Breakout Falling Wedge pattern form on JBL.
The price then broke above BUT did not confirm and penetrate above the 200MA.
This caused a major fakeout and shakeout and caused the price to drop.
Sometimes this type of move is a stronger indication of a reversal.
Hence, the price has broken below the Falling Wedge and now has a target of R1.16.
200 >21>7 MA - Bearish
RSI <30 - Bearish
Target R1.16
LESSON LEARNT
When a Breakout pattern fails and breaks below the pattern, this can confirm a major reversal and a high probability trade in the other way.
Jubilee to run up in the near futureBullish Falling wedge
Right now Jubilee is still in a range (Falling Wedge)
The sign that it'll break up is based on the previous uptrend. Price has been coming down but on a very low range and it doesn't seem quite convicing.
I want to say if the price breaks up we could see a target of R4.23
CONCERN
If the price breaks down, we could also see a target of R1.18
The analysis is neutral right now, but I'm leaning more to the long (bullish) side.
Jabil - Long next target 68.00JBL with pivotal news point.
JBL reported second-quarter fiscal 2022 earnings of $1.68 per share, which beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 15.1% and grew 32.3% year over year.
Thanks to strong secular tailwinds and momentum in many end markets, the company raised outlook for fiscal 2022. It now expects revenues of approximately $32.6 billion and core EPS of about $7.25.
So a Long is interesting with next target 68.00 and more
JBL Swing Trade Setup- Price has been recovering nicely in a well defined channel since the Covid-19 crash.
- The base of the channel is formed by the 20dMA (20 day moving average).
- Price has bounced off this lower channel (20dMA) 3 times. This means the 20dMA and channel bottom is a fairly strong support.
- The 20dMA crossed the 50dMA on May 7th. This is a bullish signal.
- Next time price approaches the 20dMA is will also be near the bottom of the Fibonacci Retracement channel which price has bounced off the last 3 tests. - - -- This means the $27.50 Fib line is fairly strong support.
- The 200dMA is at the $33.60 Fib line. These form overhead resistance lines.
JBL Swing Trade SetupThe setup here is to buy when price bounces off the 20dMA around $28.24 with a target of $33.33 for a 18% gain and a stop loss at $27.29 for a -3.3% loss.
$JBL Rangebound Finding Support$JBL has been fairly rangebound for the better part of the last year. We tagged the lower support line yesterday and have begun to turn back up.
Adding to the bullish sentiment, we also saw $3.5M worth of leap call options traded yesterday - with about 6k $27 strike Jan'21 contracts purchased.
Targeting a move back to $30 by early November.
Note: Informational analysis, not investment advice.
JBL - H&S formation short from $27.33 to $18.32JBL is forming a possible H&S formation in weekly chart. It seems a good long term short opportunity.
* Trade Criteria *
Date First Found- November 9, 2017
Pattern/Why- Potential H&S in weekly
Entry Target Criteria- Break of $27.33
Exit Target Criteria- $18.32
Stop Loss Criteria- $32.07, $29.43 (Conservative)
Please check back for Trade updates. (Note: Trade update is little delayed here.)
HAR BullIt's looking like Harman International should even out a bit more before taking off at earnings report in early May. Looking like early this week should be a great time to go long.
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**I am not a professional trader, nor I do I claim to really know what I am doing in any situation. Please don't make any real trades based on anything I may post.**