Elon- Please STOP being a prick ffs!!!I rest my case, the guy has gone from genius to nutcase in a few days.
The story:
The cryptocurrency market continues to baffle. More specifically – everything that Elon Musk tweets about, regardless of whether it actually has any relation to cryptocurrencies – seems to have an impact.
The case in point is a cryptocurrency called Starbase Token, carrying the STAR ticker.
According to the project’s official website, it represents a “blockchain token-based crowdfunding/sourcing platform.” In essence, it’s a place where startups can raise funds by issuing tokens.
Its native token, which was trading at around $0.002 at the beginning of May, reached a price of $0.30 today, according to DEXTools. The 24-hour volume, at the time of this writing, sits at $3.7 million.
From today’s low to today’s high, the price increased by a total of 6,000% before retracing to its current levels.
the not so amused FXPROFESSOR
Jerk
AUD vs. SGD to see further gains ahead (mid-term trend).
Pseudo inverse head in shoulder (re-accumulation like pattern).
AUD has broken out above the top descending trendline.
Buy signal already triggered.
Significant move higher if price manages to break above the 38.2% Fib level and retests it and successfully holds.
Measured move target to 0.084 SGD, which sets a higher high, establishing a longer-term bullish structure.
PRISM Analysis
Snap bend up sharply, which is presently pulling the AJ-ribbon (Acceneration and Jerk) higher with the lime-green Jerk oscillator leading the move (i.e. bullish). Expect momentum to see serious gains ahead.
Daily chart shows that AUD vs. SGD continues to be held up above the red 21 EMA level. Bearish if this breaks and it falls below the green 50 SMA level.
PRISM higher-differential-order oscillators looks like they are ready to curve upwards as well.
Weekly Chart
This is a continued shared/published analysis from:
BTC vs. USD confirmed support above long-term trendline.BTC retested the white long-term trendline and confirmed support, which is a very bullish sign.
Note that the daily TD-seq is approaching a 9 though. Expecting a short term (probably minor) reversal to retest the 10429 USD VPVR line.
Green Ichicloud supporting "cushion" ascending higher and appears to be in the process of broadening.
PRISM had registered a bullish reveral as well, and the acceleration/jerk (AJ) ribbon is now curving upwards.
Looking at the 3 hourly:
Price will need to break up above the thick orange 200 SMA to confirm bullishness.
Green Ichicloud have recently formed.
AJ-Ribbon looks like it is in the process of curving upwards (awaiting confirmation -- i.e. when the thick-lime snap-oscillator crosses above the thin-red acceleration-oscillator)
Previous long-term measured move target:
BTCUSD - More downside in the short-term (30mins chart analysis)More downside to come for BTC in the short-term. Perhaps relative sideways.
BTC remains below thick orange 200 SMA, and continue to be rejected by the green 50 SMA.
50/200 SMA deathcross registered not too long ago.
Rejected by bearish Ichicloud that appears to still be thickening.
For the bulls, will need to wait for:
For price to first head back above the 200 SMA to advert 50/200 SMA deathcross (DX) on the higher timeframe.
Ichicloud to turn positive again on the higher time frames.
Watching how the weekly candle closes too vs. the trendlines.
PRISM Oscillators Analysis.
Stochs in a downward corrective trajectory..
Negative Snap-Oscillator, which is still heading downwards.
Momentum is accelerating downwards (AJ-ribbon heading sharply down), pulled lower by negative snap-oscillator.
See also my long-term analysis/target:
Zooming Out: BTC is still looking pretty bullish..
Will be healthier if Stoch resets downwards a little, either correction by price or through time (i.e. painfully going sideways, liquidating longs and shorts along the way, over a longer period of time before continuation)..
More upside potential for AUD vs. SGDBullish w-like re-accumulation patterns..
PRISM Oscillators Analysis
Stoch-of-pRSI in Oversold state atm
Snap-Oscillator pierced into the positive and heading higher.
AJ-ribbon (acceleration/jerk) heading up (in response to the positive Snap-osc), which in turn is pulling the momentum up..
Continuation from my previous analysis awhile back:
sideway move after a few days of strong upside -fkli july-for those who have followed me for the last 2 episodes of fkli predictions, I hope you guys have made some profit..If you haven't dun wori, the market is alwaz thr...A BIGGER question is " Are you ready?" ...as the saying goes, "opportunities await for those who are well-prepared"...
-after witnessing a strong rally uptrend which started last week, finally we see some softening down today...it could be juz a "knee-jerk" reaction of the traders taking profits after some time, or a real reversal has happened...anyhow, reversal is too early to say...
current resistance : same as the peak on 9-11th June 2020, 1580-1587...
lower support : 1540
strong support : 1480 -1500
if you haven't read my last 2 episodes of fkli, pliz check the links below ...
gud luck and gud trading folks...
AMPL:BTC long opportunity at 78.6% Fib retracement level.@ 78.6% Fib retracement (~0.000179 BTC)
Green IchiCloud forming.
Higher low set.
Inverse head and shoulder formation emerging again (clearer on the 5min chart).
Have the sell pressure ended?
Buy on confirmation: When AMPL goes above green 50 SMA and holds.
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PRISM Oscillators Set (Momentum/Acceleration Analysis)
pRSI STOCHS in an oversold state (green background)
pRSI entering Bullish phase again, piercing above its 30 VWMA; supported by hidden bullish divergence.
Snap-Osc (yellow) in the positive, pulling AJ-ribbon upwell into the positive, which in turn have pulled the momentum oscillator up back into the positive again.
Looking at the hourly chart:
Looking at the 3 hourly chart:
Bullish perspective of BTCUSD (Daily Chart)Main Chart
BTC need to close above this updated dotted yellow trendline to confirm a long.
Long-term Resistance (solid white line) up just above ~10000 USD.
Lossa bullish W-ing like accumulation patterns.
PRISM Oscillator Set
Stochs presently oversold (Green Background)
Red pRSI (Main-Oscillator) resting back to the baseline.
Acceleration/Jerk Ribbon creeping sideways in the positive.
For Altcoins vs. BTC analysis, see:
Altcoin pump ahead? BTC Dominance bearish.BTC.D have fallen below the white dotted support line -- continue to get rejected by the red 21 EMA, and remaining under the green 50 SMA and orange 200 SMA.
PRISM Oscillator signals (red background) Stochs oversold, with (lime/orange) acceleration/jerk (AJ) ribbon plunging into the negative with snap-oscillator (yellow/pink) getting rejected by the 0 line and remaining in the negative.
BTC:USD - Inverse head and shoulderBTC looks like it is ready to rebound on the hourly.
Confirmed if price breaks out above yellow dotted line.
Bullish PRISM Oscillators signals (Daily Chart):
Stochs Oversold State
S-Osc in the positive.
Acceleration heading into positive, expecting to pull momentum up towards the positive.
Cyber Ensemble Signals (Daily Chart):
Long-term trend of the yellow dotted line:
Bitcoin bullish outlook.Bullish w-pattern.. Accumulation phase..
Still support above red 21 EMA.
Thick daily green ichicloud.
Golden-cross with positive momentum of the 200 SMA confirmation.
Will sell if gets rejected by the daily 21 EMA + with the pRSI/Stochs/Momentum/Acceleration/.. states of PRISM Oscillators considered.
ENJ:BTC bullish trade.Bullish W-pattern forming.
Buy signal triggered from CYBER ENSEMBLE.
PRISM pRSI-STOCHs looking bullish.
Acceleration/Jerk-Ribbon (AJ-Ribbon) of pRSI rapidly increasing into the positive zone, pulling momentum into the positive atm.
Snap-Oscillator (the yellow-pink line) also in the positive suggesting that the AJ-Ribbon will continue to rise.
Cardano (ADA:BTC) AB=CD long trade.Bull Flag setup Trade.
Hidden bullish divergence of the pRSI (main oscillator) of my PRISM Oscillators Set have emerged; with momentum entering the positive -- pulled up by the positive and increasing AJ-Ribbon with Snap lingering in the positive.
AB=CD confluent with 161.8% Fib extension level.
Also, BUY signal triggered on CYBER ENSEMBLE on the 1hrly chart!
Caution: 21 EMA crosses below the 50 SMA on the 15 mins. However not a significant issue unless confirmation of this on the higher timeframes (i.e. 30 mins and 1 hrly). Setting stop-loss accordingly below the 61.8% Fib with volatility factored in.
Note: The thick purple lines are the VPVR support/resistance levels.
I know the chart is cluttered. I only have one screen and this is how I like to analyse my chart, where all the relevant details are in view together; so that I won't over-focusing on any particular one of them.
Caution: SPX may dump at any time now.Sell signal on CYBER ENSEMBLE {Premium} triggered.
PRISM Oscillator's pRSI (main oscillator) entered bearish phase by crossing below its 30 VWMA.
Ichicloud reverted back into bearish state.
Economy significant impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic lockdown: jobless rates high, businesses going bankrupt, etc. no real sign of recovery yet. Market artificially propped up the FED's money printing (banana republic style).
BTC:USD Long-term bullish trend continuation?BTC pierced above the 8017 USD VPVR resistance with strength and is now supported above the purple 8743 USD VPVR level. Current daily candle need to successfully close above for confirmation.
Price is now well above the 200 SMA which will continue to pull the 50 SMA towards a golden cross.
Bearish if the price drops back down below 8k USD.
PRISM Oscillators Set indicates the start of the next bullish phase for the month (or two) ahead.
Won't be buying now as present price is not a position of strength.
Was cost-averaging in to HODL (long-term investment stash) when price was below the red area marked, also shown in my previous published ideas, etc.:
ADA:BTC Bull FlagNow, waiting for CYBER ENSEMBLE {PREMIUM} to register a Buy signal, and PRISM Oscillators Set to revert back into a bullish phase again.
Expecting retrace back down to 61.8 % Fib level (i.e. 0.00000561 BTC) first.
Then bull flag target @ 1.618 % Fib level (i.e. 0.00000625 BTC); which is also precisely the measured move of the bull flag as drawn.
BTC pierced above the 7238 USD VPVR level! Will it close above?Bullish Scenario playing out in my Apr 06 post in my previous on-going analysis updates .
Note: as explained in a prior published idea, the current ascending channel is drawn as such base on my personal trading preference to ignore the initial equilibration “ringing” after a massive sudden move. I believe it tends to be wise to wait awhile before a clear new market structure form after the previous market structure has been broken.
Previous stances ( posted here ):
QUOTE:
(Apr 05) Right now I am actually neutral in the short term, so long as the red 21 EMA holds. I will only be bearish if the green 50 SMA fails to hold.
The PRISM oscillators indicates a bearish bias atm, however the Snap Oscillator and the AJ-ribbon are only gently sloped downwards, which could also mean a relatively sideways movement, with a very slight drop (perhaps to retest the 50 SMA) before rebounding.
Right now, I am actually slightly and cautiously bullish into the longer-term base on the current market trend. But similarly, for me to become truly bullish, the price will need to break up above the yellow ascending channel, and to clear the 7238 USD VPVR resistance as well and retest it as support.
(Apr 06) The fact that the Sell signal have been triggered on the Cyber Ensemble suggests that it will be difficult for the price to successfully break up higher this time round as well. And if that is the case, the price will likely come back down; and may very likely break below the red 21 EMA, as well as the green 50 SMA with the failed attempt by the bulls -- with the immediate bearish price target of 6100 USD at the bottom of the ascending channel drawn, and hopefully closing and supported above the orange 200 SMA. Setting stop-loss at the 6612 USD VPVR level just below the green 50 SMA to lock in profits accumulated so far just in case.
(Apr 06) If the price falls and closes below even the orange 200 SMA, then BTC will likely follow through with a break down below the yellow ascending channel, marking the start of a more significant and perhaps violent downtrend.
However, as per the above latest chart posted, the AJ-Ribbon looks to be in a strong upward swing, which will likely pull momentum back up into the positive.
This is in conjunction with the main P-Oscillator looking to cross the 21 VWMA really soon as well! I'm cautious slightly biased to the bullish case atm now, but will wait and observe which condition is fulfilled before making my next move.
(Apr 06) BTC had now successfully closed above the yellow ascending channel.
Switching to 4hrly chart where the Cyber Ensemble and PRISM Signals indicators have now have better confluence with the price action, indicating a reduction in volatility.
The bullish/bearish scenarios as described above are as shown.
Moving up to the higher 6hrly timeframe: The AEONDRIFT bands (stdev bands -- similar to the well known Bollinger Bands) have drastically narrowed, indicating reduced volatility; and a possible significant move incoming.
6hrly chart (zoomed out):
BTC coming down to re-visit *local 61.8% Fib level.Also pierced below the ascending channel while going sideways since 24th Mar '20.
If the bearish scenario doesn't play through more strongly and violently soon, that's a window for the bulls to take over after the Sunday candle closes.
(a) If that holds, establishing the next high low, expects a bounce to set a new higher high.
(b) If that fails, expect it to drop further down to 38.2%.
Speculatively, I'm biased towards the bullish scenario since the dip is occurring during a weekend, if and only if scenario (a) holds till Monday.
Momentum Analysis:
See also previous analysis.
Note the Fibs-levels there was drawn as the Fib-retrace from the top to the bottom of the SPX-correlated dump on 12th Mar '20.
BTC retesting the 61.8% Fib of the recent massive dump.BTC retesting the 61.8% Fib retrace level of the recent massive dump -- as drawn from top to bottom of the dip since it produces higher degree of confluence wrt to the VPVR levels.
If the current 3hrly candle, retesting the 61.8% Fib, closes above, I will be going all in (Long) with the rest of my BTC trading account; with stop-loss set and constantly updated at below the 21 EMA.
I'm now short-term bullish.
However for me to become mid-to-long-term bullish, the BTC needs to pierce above the 50% Fib @ 7161 USD and hold.
CYBER ENSEMBLE had earlier signaled a sell on the 1hrly marking the start of the retest.
Will also adjust stop-loss to protect any gains made if the sell signal is triggered on the 3hrly, which is the timeframe that the CYBER ENSEMBLE Buy/Sell indicator is optimized at (see past/historical confluence).
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Far-longer-term outlook:
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With the "Banana Republic" style "quantitative easing" and "infinite liquidity" (i.e. money printing) not just in the US, but Europe, UK, Japan, and China as well, below is my comparison between Fiat (centralized manipulated currencies) vs. Bitcoin (the decentralized internet of value).
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Fiat, manipulated by centralized authority. Value is based on trust to said centralized authority.
Bitcoin, presently highly speculative and volatile asset due to low market liquidity (akin to a penny stock with similarly low market capitalization). Value is determined purely by market demand (mostly speculative trading at the moment). However Bitcoin's SUPPLY cannot be manipulated and cannot be confiscated by the government, nor can it be shut down due to its decentralized and adaptive nature. Unlike the heavy solid Gold, you can "carry" Bitcoin to anywhere in the world with you (undetected/unconfiscatable) just by remembering a 12-24 words phrase to re-generate the private key.
Base layer (layer 1) of BTC is slow and can only have a very limited transaction rate (still faster and way cheaper than international transfers via Swift).
However, this could be increased in the future with more miners as well as with consensus among majority of the miners to increase block-size to fit the growing needs. Further, 2nd layer solutions, such as the lightning network is already being built to allow for almost instant and "zero fees" transfers, while layer 1 will simply act as the highly secure settlement layer into the future.
Wallets can get hacked due to poor security practice. Centralised crypto exchanges can get hacked (they similar to centralized banks). But it is virtually impossible to hack the actual Bitcoin network.
Still not very user-friendly to use atm, but like with the internet, this will naturally improve as adoption and integration to existing devices grows.
Significant friction of entry (i.e. converting Fiat into Bitcoin), but have significant improved compared to just 5 years ago.
Certain more authoritarian governments have tried to shut down exchanges and trading, however, P2P exchange persists under the radar regardless. Instant international transfer of large amount with comparatively negligible fees compared via outdated and sluggish banking systems relying on Swift.
A presently highly risky short-term investment, with not much real-world use as of yet other than for speculative trading within developed countries. While is utilized as a necessary hedge (discretely outside the view of authoritarian governments) in countries experiencing hyperinflation -- where Bitcoins value volatility is nothing compared to the certain significant drop in the value of their centralized authority manipulated Fiat currencies.
The printing of money is effectively a redistribution of wealth -- sucking "value" from everyone (including the savings of the collective middle income groups) typically to the ultra-wealthy -- as corporate welfare and socialism for the rich.
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Entry/Exit/Target Strategy, and Risk-to-Reward
Previous analysis, waiting for this very entry condition to be met:
PRISM Oscillators
RSI and STOCHs
Relative Candle Volatility/Directionality Indexes {RCVI/RCDI}