Some nice VCP / Saucer Handle patterns on JO as it continues to climb higher. Watch for a break higher if it can chew through 67 zone resistance Break lower out of triangle / trendline support invalidates long idea. On a macro level we're seeing bullish setups in AG complex (coffee , rice, wheat, corn, soybeans, etc.) , coupled with inflation coffee should...
This speed resistance fan has been very well respected. If price doesn't make a higher high, I would expect a re-test of previous resistance at $58 which is also .5 fib retracement, a fresh daily level, and an old weekly level. Would potentially trade up to 1:1 extension.
Taking a page from Lumber futures back in May, coffee is the latest commodity to party like it's tech circa '99. I don't trade the "softs," but I did find a coffee ETN symbol: JO and may look to fade the caffeine rush when the extreme sell condition cools off. Hot coffee! DOn't get burned. :)
Post the sugar-rush of speculative buyers, the commodity sold off heavily, gapping through a short term uptrend-line. Now the commodity, represented by the ETF JO, looks to be stabilizing at the 38.2% Fibonacci level from the Dec 13 high. Moreover, we see a cluster of moving averages, including the 200day Exponential Moving Average at this level. Given the current...
Coffee has enjoyed a nice 5 wave bull impulse mirroring the start of its sister wave (A). After the 98.40 gap fill (likely just prior to the July 31 FOMC), purchase December 2019 OTM Call Options (expiring November 8 2019).
Seems like there is huge monthly divergence and also showing weekly divergence so far. Daily seen big volume. Look out for potential reversal pattern.
Some chart analysis of JO... Short term supports and resistances as well as long term trend shown.
This can be a long term bottom for Coffee. I will be entering longs on Monday. The monthly chart indicates this could be a gigantic double bottom at play. CoT data is interesting, with large speculators going flat... I expect the low printed here to hold, if we break this week's high it'll trigger a rally. Good luck, Ivan Labrie.
I would first like to give credit to @IvanLabrie for finding this potential double bottom -- his original idea is linked below. In addition to the potential double bottom I found this potential Bullish Crab. The 1.618 XA extension for this pattern is 17.06 -- 6 cents above the previous low of $17 last February. At the moment there is also a slight bullish...
Seems like I've pulled the trigger a bit earlier. I will give it another try. Breaking the light blue line would be the first meaningful confirmation.
This looks clear to me. Should be a good opportunity to long.
A long play based on divergence only, both RSI and MACD. Seasonal coffee chart shows a probable up thrust in January. GL
Coffe could be found it's multi year higher low? Will see... At the moment it could be a leading diagonal in wave 1 (primary) or A and a zig-zag in wave 2 or B... or it's just 2/A in wave 2 or B/A ... (Didin't posted my original idea here (3 month ago.... wave 5, intermediate level), but my target was $26 in JO)
This time, after a good sell, technical side is showing some signals for long opportunity. Position is open from 154,6-155,4 levels; stop below lows (154). Will closely watch for a next couple of days to get confirmation or denial.
Target the $20-20.50 buy zone with prior pivot tops, pivot lows and rising daily trendline providing support. Definitely in oversold territory down here. First Target would be $22.50
Running Alpha Sentiment Intelligence is currently indicating that the Coffee market is turning the corner iminently -- look for a massive rally from here into 2017. Nominated for the 2016 Benzinga Fintech Awards this May in New York City, RunningAlpha is dedicated to providing actionable intelligence.