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US30 : Bullish Zone Stabilization with Key Correction LevelsUS30 Technical Analysis The price has surged approximately 620 points ahead of Earnings Season and is still attempting to stabilize within the long-term bullish zone, as highlighted in our previous analysis. Currently, a bearish correction toward 43900 is expected before the continuation of the uptrend. However, if the price breaks above 44400, it is likely to push higher toward 44750 and potentially 44920. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 44270 Resistance Levels: 44400, 44750, 44920 Support Levels: 43900, 43760, 43350 Trend Outlook: Bearish Correction while below 44400 Bullish Trend if the price breaks above 44400 Previous idea:
OANDA:US30USDShort
by SroshMayi
2025 is a Bull Year I would like to start the year with what I expect if we talk about the crypto market - a bull market until September 2025 If we talk about the stock market - bullish or flat as it was in 2005 and 2015. If we take statistics in years that end in the number 5 (1895, 1905, 1915, 1925, 1935, 1945, 1955, 1965, 1975, 1975, 1985, 1995, 2005, 2015) - we see bull markets. Below, I have shown weekly charts of each year ending in the number 5. 1905 1915 1925 1935 1945 1955 1965 1975 1985 1995 2005 2015 2025 Here, we saw that all years are bullish, but 2005 and 2015 were reaccumulation. Positive Scenarios for 2025 Soft monetary policy: If the Federal Reserve keeps rates at levels that support credit growth and capital availability, it will support the corporate sector and business expansion. Technological breakthrough: A recovery in investment in artificial intelligence, green energy and biotechnology could create new growth drivers for the Dow Jones. Sustainable global development: If geopolitical tensions diminish and international trade relations stabilize, the global economy will gain new momentum, reflected in the index's growth. Negative Scenarios for 2025 Tight monetary policy: A sharp rise in interest rates could reduce the availability of capital, which could slow economic growth and pressure corporate profits. Geopolitical instability: Increased conflict or trade wars between major economies could lead to declining investor confidence and capital outflows from the market. Declining technological development: If leading sectors such as technology and green energy do not show the expected growth, it could affect market expectations and valuations. Conclusion Analyzing the history of the Dow Jones, years ending in 5 represent unique periods of growth and recovery. Against the backdrop of current macroeconomic and geopolitical conditions, 2025 could be a year of significant opportunity. The optimistic scenario is based on continued loose monetary policy, innovation, and stabilization of global relations. However, the risks associated with tight monetary policy and global instability require caution. For investors, 2025 could be a year of essential choices. Focus on long-term trends, analyze macroeconomic indicators, and diversify your portfolio. History shows that even in times of uncertainty, the market has the potential to grow. And for years that end in number 7 according to bearish statistics, I will write about this in 2027 Best regards EXCAVO
TVC:DJILong
by EXCAVO
22
Dow Plummets 1,100 Points Amid Fed’s Hawkish GuidanceMarket Reacts to Limited Rate Cut Projections and Elevated Economic Uncertainty Dow Drops 1,100 Points in Turbulent Session After Fed Announcement Investors rushed to reduce exposure to risk assets on Wednesday after Federal Reserve Chair Jay Powell signaled a shift in the central bank's outlook for 2025. The Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged over 1,100 points following the Fed’s anticipated 25-basis-point interest rate cut and its updated forward guidance. While the rate cut was expected, the announcement that only two cuts are projected for 2024 rattled investors. Powell’s message marked the end of an extended period of monetary easing, further weighing on market sentiment. This marked the Dow’s tenth consecutive losing session, a streak not seen since 1974, when the index endured eleven straight losses. Technical Analysis The Dow's price dropped more than 4.5% ahead of Powell's speech, maintaining a bearish momentum. Stability below the pivot point of 42,590 suggests further downside potential, while a close above this level could indicate a reversal. Today, the U.S. GDP release will be a key driver of market movement: If the GDP comes in below 2.8%, it may support a bullish move toward 42,770 and possibly 42,900. If the GDP exceeds 2.8%, bearish momentum could drive the index toward 42,380 or even as low as 41,120. Key Levels Pivot Point: 42,590 Resistance Levels: 42,770, 42,900, 43,190 Support Levels: 42,380, 42,150, 41,970 Trend Outlook Bullish Momentum: If the price stabilizes above 42,590. Bearish Momentum: Likely to persist with stability below 42,590.
OANDA:US30USDShort
by SroshMayi
US30: Bearish Momentum with CPI-Driven VolatilityTechnical Analysis The price dropped about more than 500 points as we mentioned previously, and is still under bearish momentum because already broken the bearish correction which is 44410. So as long as trade is below 44270 and 44410 it will drop to touch 43900, on the other hand, we have a CPI effect Today that will be expected with more than the previous result, in this case, will support the bearish movement for indices, especially realizing more than 2.7%. due to the high volatility, we have a bullish correction till 44300 or 44410. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 44270 Resistance Levels: 44410, 44590, 44750 Support Levels: 43900, 43760, 43490 Trend Outlook: Bearish Momentum previous idea:
OANDA:US30USDShort
by SroshMayi
Major crash imminent?Is there a coming market crash? Technically it looks that way. In the past 130 years, price on the Dow has never been above the upper trendline, except twice, and the first time it happened, it happened just before the major crash in 1929 that set off the Great Depression. The second time is NOW. It's happening right now . Also, every time price gets close to the upper trendline, it falls back down (2000, 2008, covid, and in June this year, it fell by 20%.) Right now, the DOW is at 45000. If one looks at the long term trend line, a healthy price level right now should be around 18000...a hefty 60% drop.
TVC:DJILong
by rayzor1979
1
US30 / Bearish Momentum After New ATH at 45,025Technical Analysis The price recorded a new ATH at 45,025 yesterday before dropping. It now shows a bearish volume, with potential targets at 44,530 and 44,400. Bearish Scenario: As long as the price trades below 45,020 and 44,830, the bearish trend is expected to continue toward 44,530 and 44,410, especially if it stabilizes below 44,790. Bullish Scenario: The price must stabilize above 45,050, confirmed by a 4-hour candle close, to target 45,200. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 44830 Resistance Levels: 44920, 45025, 45200 Support Levels: 44530, 44410, 44280
OANDA:US30USDShort
by SroshMayi
US30 / Reached ATH, then downside or yet...Futures Inch Up with Focus on Interest Rates and Nvidia Results The price reached its all-time high as we anticipated yesterday before pulling back. The US30 is expected to consolidate between 41,345 and 41,030 until a breakout occurs. Stability above 41365 will support a rise towards 41760. Stability below 41365 will favor a decline towards 41030, with a move below this level indicating a bearish trend for the week. Key Levels: Pivot Line: 41180 Resistance Levels: 41365, 41450, 41720 Support Levels: 41030, 40810, 40480 Expected Trading Range Today: The price will likely fluctuate between support at 40800 and resistance at 41430. Trend: Bearish as long as the price remains below 41345. previous idea:
OANDA:US30USDShort
by SroshMayi
3
US30 4H / Continuation to 40030 and then...Equities Rise as Fed Minutes Indicate September Rate Cut Likely Current Technical Outlook: The trend suggests a potential upward movement as long as the price stays above 40,860. The market is expected to consolidate between 41,030 and 40,850 until a breakout occurs. Bullish Scenario: Stability above 40,850, could drive an increase toward 41,030, with further gains potentially leading to 41,345. Bearish Scenario: Should the price reverse and stabilize below the pivot line at 40,800, a bearish trend may emerge, targeting 40,480 and 40,320. Key Levels: Pivot Line: 40900 Resistance Lines: 41030, 41345, 41600 Support Lines: 40800, 40660, 40470 Expected Trading Range Today: The price is likely to fluctuate between support at 40800 and resistance at 41130. Trend: Upward movement.
OANDA:US30USDLong
by SroshMayi
3
Fed Minutes & Jackson Hole Speech Set Stage for Market Movement Market Outlook: Minutes from the Fed's July policy meeting are due later today, followed by Chair Jerome Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole economic symposium on Friday. Market participants expect Powell to hint at a potential rate cut in September, though any emphasis on persistent inflation could dampen investor sentiment. According to the CME's FedWatch tool, there is currently a 69.5% probability of a 25 basis-point cut and a 30.5% chance of a more aggressive 50 basis-point reduction. Current Technical Outlook: The trend suggests a potential upward movement as long as the price stays above 40,800. The market is expected to consolidate between 41,030 and 40,850 until a breakout occurs. Bullish Scenario: If the price trades above 40,850, it could drive an increase toward 41,030, with further gains potentially leading to 41,345. Bearish Scenario: Should the price reverse and stabilize below the pivot line at 40,800, a bearish trend may emerge, targeting 40,480 and 40,320. Key Levels: Pivot Line: 40860 Resistance Lines: 41030, 41345, 41600 Support Lines: 40700, 40500, 40330 Expected Trading Range Today: The price is likely to fluctuate between support at 40800 and resistance at 41130. Trend: Upward movement.
OANDA:US30USDLong
by SroshMayi
Bearish Trend Expected Below Key Resistance at 40420Technical Analysis: US30 The price has reached the resistance level of 40420, as mentioned in the previous analysis, and has since dropped, consolidating between 40060 and 40420. Current Outlook: The US30 is expected to decline as long as it trades below 40420, targeting 40060. A break below 40060 would suggest a continuation of the bearish trend. Bullish Scenario: For a bullish trend to be confirmed, the price needs to stabilize above 40420, with confirmation coming from a 4-hour candle closing above this level. Bearish Scenario: As long as the price trades below the resistance line at 40420, it is likely to test 40060. A break below 40060 would indicate a downtrend towards 39790. Key Levels: - Pivot Line: 40420 - Resistance Levels: 40640, 40580, 41050 - Support Levels: 40080, 39880, 39600 Today's Expected Range: The price is anticipated to fluctuate between the support at 40060 and the resistance at 40650. Previous Idea:
OANDA:US30USDShort
by SroshMayi
US30 / Historical Resistance Reached and New All-Time HighTechnical Analysis: Historical Resistance Reached and New All-Time High As mentioned in the previous analysis, the price has reached the historical resistance level of 41,030, stabilized above it, and recorded a new all-time high of 41,390, continuing its run towards 42,100. Current Outlook: The price is expected to correct to 41,030. Stability below this level would indicate a bearish trend. However, as long as the price remains above 41,030, the bullish trend will likely continue towards 42,100, especially with the strong impact of earnings on the market. Bullish Scenario: Stability above 41,030 suggests a continuation of the bullish trend towards 41,400 and 41,830. There is also the possibility of a retest of the 41,030 level. Bearish Scenario: The bearish trend will be activated if the price stabilizes below 41,030 and closes a 4-hour candle under this level. This would confirm a bearish move towards 40,420 and 40,005. Key Levels: - Pivot Line: 41,030 - Resistance Levels: 41,390, 41,500, 41,830 - Support Levels: 40,750, 40,450, 40,080 Today's Expected Range: The price is anticipated to fluctuate between the support at 40,080 and the resistance at 41,830. Previous Daily chart: previous weekly chart :
OANDA:US30USDLong
by SroshMayi
1
US30 /Critical Levels & Volume Signal Potential Bullish Breakout Technical Weekly Analysis: US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average) A Short Outlook on the Previous Movement: The US30 has experienced a strong bullish trend, characterized by an ascending trend line that began around early 2023. The price saw significant gains until it reached a resistance level near 40,970.0, where it faced some consolidation and pullbacks. Recently, the price has been trading within a defined range, testing both support and resistance zones. Current Outlook: The current price of US30 is around 39,218.5, positioned near a critical pivot zone. The market is showing mixed signals, with potential for both bullish and bearish movements depending on the price action around key levels. Bullish Scenario: Key Trigger: A break and sustained move above 40,005.0. Targets: The immediate target would be the yearly resistance zone at 43,040.0. Confirmation: The breakout above 39,575, along with strong buying volume, would confirm the bullish continuation towards 40,005 and potentially higher. Bearish Scenario: Key Trigger: A failure to break above the pivot zone and a decline below the demand zone at 38,700.0. Targets: The price could drop towards the strong support zone at 36,460.0, and further down to 34,430.0 if bearish momentum continues. Confirmation: Sustained selling pressure and a close below 38,700 would confirm the bearish outlook. Key Levels: Pivot Line: 39,218.5 Resistance Levels: 40,005.0, 40,970.0, 43,040.0 (Yearly Resistance Zone) Support Levels: 38,700.0 (Demand Zone), 36,460.0 (Strong Support Zone & Breakout), 34,430.0 Expecting Weekly Range Movement: - The anticipated weekly range is between the support at 38,700.0 and the resistance at 40,970.0. A breakout in either direction would define the next significant move. Preferred Direction: - Given the strong historical bullish trend and the proximity to the pivot zone, the preferred direction leans towards bullish if the price can break and sustain above 40,005.0. However, caution is advised as the market could still face significant resistance. Summary: The US30 is currently at a critical juncture. A breakout above 40,005.0 would confirm a bullish continuation towards the yearly resistance zone at 43,040.0, while a failure to break this level and a decline below 38,700.0 would signal a bearish move towards 36,460.0 and potentially 34,430.0. Traders should closely monitor the price action around these key levels to determine the next major trend.
OANDA:US30USDLong
by SroshMayi
Volatility Expected Between Key Support and Resistance LevelTechnical Analysis: US30 The price has reversed from the resistance line at 39575 and has now reached a strong support line. Consequently, significant volatility is expected as the price oscillates between 39045 and 39410, a notably wide range. Current Outlook: The price is likely to touch 39045 before potentially pushing up again. Both scenarios should be carefully considered: Bullish Scenario: Stability above 39230 suggests a move towards 39410. However, if the price reaches the support line at 39045, it must stabilize above this level to maintain a bullish trend. Bearish Scenario: A bearish trend would be confirmed if the price breaks below 39045, targeting 38790, and potentially dropping further from there. Key Levels: - **Pivot Line:** 39230 - **Resistance Levels:** 39400, 39575, 39780 - **Support Levels:** 39045, 38790, 38600 ### Today's Expected Range: The price is anticipated to fluctuate between the support at 38790 and the resistance at 39410. In summary, maintaining stability above the pivot line at 39230 is crucial for a bullish outlook, with targets at 39410. Conversely, a break below 39045 would signal a bearish trend with a downside target at 38790.
OANDA:US30USD
by SroshMayi
US30 Poised for Bullish Surge: Key Levels and Scenarios to WatchTechnical Analysis: US30 After stabilizing above the pivotal zone at 39,410, the price has shifted towards a bullish trend. It appears poised for a retest of the 39,410 level, after which it is expected to resume its upward movement, provided it maintains stability above this pivot. Current Outlook: The price will likely attempt a retest of around 39,400. Should it stabilize above this price, the bullish trend is expected to continue. Bullish Scenario: Sustained stability above 39,410 will bolster the bullish trend, potentially driving the price towards 39,575, and further to 39,780. Bearish Scenario: A bearish trend would be confirmed if the price breaks below 39,410 and 39,350, with targets at 39,230 and 39,045. Key Levels: - Pivot Line: 39,410 - Resistance Levels: 39,575, 39,780, 40,050 - Support Levels: 39,230, 39,045, 38,790 Today's Expected Range: The price is anticipated to fluctuate between the support at 39,360 and the resistance at 39,790.
OANDA:US30USDLong
by SroshMayi
US30 Reaches Target, Eyes Key Support and Resistance LevelsTechnical Analysis: US30 The price has reached our target of 39360 after stabilizing above the previous support line at 39045. Current Outlook: The price may attempt a retest toward 39045 but should stabilize below 39400 and 39360. Bullish Scenario: For a bullish trend, the price needs to break above 39410, aiming for targets of 39575 and 39780. Bearish Scenario: Stability below 39360 will support a bearish trend toward 39230, and further decline to 39045. Key Levels: - Pivot Line: 39360 - 39410 - Resistance Levels: 39575, 39780, 40050 - Support Levels: 39230, 39045, 38790 Today's Expected Range: The price is expected to move between the support at 39045 and the resistance at 39575. previous idea:
OANDA:US30USDShort
by SroshMayi
1
US30 Bullish Momentum Continues with Key Support at 38,790 Technical Analysis: US30 The US30 index retested the 38,790 level and then surged approximately 150 points, continuing its upward momentum toward the 39,050 level. Bullish Scenario: As long as the price trades above 38,790, it will likely push up to 39,050. Bearish Scenario: If the price breaks below the support levels at 38,790 and 38,760, it could decline to 38,580. Sustained trading below this level may result in a further drop to 38,400. Key Levels: - Pivot Line: 38,790 - Resistance Levels: 39,050, 39,350, 39,700 - Support Levels: 38,580, 38,400, 38,290 Today's Expected Range: The price is expected to move between the support level at 38,760 and the resistance level at 39,050. In summary, maintaining a position above 38,790 supports a bullish outlook with higher resistance targets, while trading below this level indicates potential bearish movement towards lower support zones. Previous idea:
OANDA:US30USDLong
by SroshMayi
Dow Jones US30 - Lets attack ATH again!Hi Again, Today I am sharing opportunity for long positions just before much anticipated FOMC meeting tonight. Call it a risky trade, but if longing US30 now is risky, what the hell are currencies, gold and especially, NASDAQ and SPX doing ?? The plan is to attack 39700 area and break ATH. Who said 40000 Dow Jones is the limit? Stop loss up to you. Safe stop loss is in 38400 area and lower due to nature of this structure they built. Long now and lets talk tomorrow :) Good luck and play safe!
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by AdiVV
US30 (Consolidation Zone )Technical Analysis The price is expected to consolidate between 38,790 and 38,580 until a breakout occurs. The bullish pressure remains, especially if the price can break above 38,790, indicating a move towards 39,050. Bullish Scenario: Stability above 38,790 will initiate a bullish trend, targeting 39,050. Breaking this level could lead to further gains, reaching up to 39,350. Bearish Scenario: If the price breaks below the support level at 38,580, it could decline to 38,400. Sustained trading below this level may result in a further drop to 38,050. Key Levels: - Pivot Line: 38,790 - Resistance Levels: 39,050, 39,350, 39,700 - Support Levels: 38,580, 38,400, 38,290 Today's Expected Range: The price is expected to move between the support level at 38,580 and the resistance level at 39,050.
OANDA:US30USD
by SroshMayi
US30 (Looks like bullish confirmation)Technical Analysis The price dropped and reached our weekly target of 38,050, as mentioned at the beginning of the week. Now, the price will likely attempt a retest up to 38,190 and 38,400 before potentially dropping again. The bearish trend will be activated by stability below 38,050, targeting 37,820. A bullish scenario will be triggered if the price breaks above 38,790, aiming for 39,050. Pivot Line: 38,675 Resistance Levels: 38,790, 39,050, 39,350 Support Levels: 38,410, 38,020, 37,820 Today's expected movement range is between the support level at 37,820 and the resistance level at 38,400. previous idea:
OANDA:US30USDLong
by SroshMayi
1
DOW JONES: Close to our Target. Is it a buy after?Dow Jones is almost oversold on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 31.431, MACD = -279.330, ADX = 39.462) and is approaching our TP = 37,300 that we called nearly one month ago. The target will be a direct hit at the middle of the long term Channel Up and approach the 0.382 Fibonacci. As long as the 1D MA200 supports, we will then reverse to buying, at least on the short term, expecting a rebound to the 0.786 Fib (TP = 39,350) like on January 16th 2023. See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US30Short
by InvestingScope