JPM
XLF Getting as tight as it can getPicture perfect chart here.
Only 4% between following key levels:
- Support line has been tested 5 times & now coinciding with 50 dma
- Resistance line has been tested 2 times & has been coinciding with 200 dma
Daily RSI convergence confirming price action
While in the middle of those support / resistance lines, 2 major dma's, we are also stuck between the 50 & 61.8 retracement levels (Pre-Covid high to Covid low)
Is the massive $C breakdown this week to be interpreted as a signal of strength or a look into the future for the financial sector?
With $XLK & $XLV having already posted huge recoveries and subsequent gains on the year, is it $XLF's turn to run hot in the reflation trade?
Can $XLF hold its gains if the rest of the broader market continues to sell off lower, representing what would most likely be dubbed the 'Great Rotation' ?
So many questions, however I think this chart & the $SPX chart is all you're going to need over the next month and a half heading into election.
If (lol) - WHEN this thing breaks out, on notable volume and a huge move in the RSI, I think it'll drag the market along with it, whether to the upside or downside.
** I am currently sitting on a bullish $BAC position, so my bias is bullish but it can easily head the other way.
BAC with Ascending triangle, possible breakout in banksHappy Labour day weekend traders! Looking at banks here, BAC and JPM with Ascending triangles, possible breakout in banks. A test of the 200 SMA would be 27.28. Recent option flow, 3200 Nov $28 calls for BAC. JPM - over 5000 for Nov $110 calls. I will post some more charts later. Enjoy!
Elliot Wave Model for JPMThere are a lot of different models for this, and It's hard to determine, but some of the models I have seen have the first wave forming at the first high after the covid sell-off (96.55), but I consider that cluster part of market chaos/confusion and consolidation and therefore part of the formation of wave 1, which saw a high 103.47, wave two was a relatively short pull-back from mid April to mid-May followed by wave 3 that reached nearly 115 high. I believe we have been in a long drawn out pull-back since, wave 2 was relatively short and concise, and as such, it makes sense that wave 3 has been longer and meandering (and utterly frustrating), as this is typically the case with waves 2 and 4 (when one is long the other is short or vice versa). At this juncture we may be heading into the beginning of wave 5, where we will break the pre-covid highs in the region of 125, after which we will begin a new cycle.
Enjoy, thoughts please.
Fractal, where art thou fractal? JPMDown to 97 (thereabouts) a gap up to 103…then 105….upward to 110 (ish), back down to 106 (ish) and a decent to 112-115…all in the next two-three weeks.
That’s all folks. It’s all in the starts…err…ummm, it’s all in the triangles…the fractals the waves…what have you, but it is there!! All the banks will follow a similar galactic trajectory---and by “galactic” I mean a little push withing the stratosphere, but hey, up is up…until it comes down.