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US Banks on Fire | Revenues Soar, and So Do the ProfitsWho Needs a Recession? Banks Are Swimming in Cash! The largest U.S. banks have reported some of their best quarterly performances in recent years, with surging trading revenues, a resurgence in dealmaking, and an overall renewal of corporate confidence playing pivotal roles. Let’s break down the key details of the results. Market Recovery Across the major banks, investment banking and trading activities recorded impressive performances. Goldman Sachs saw investment banking revenue increase by 24%, while Bank of America (BofA) experienced a massive 44% jump, marking its strongest quarter in three years. The market volatility stemming from factors like the U.S. election and changing expectations around interest rates continued to fuel robust trading revenues. Morgan Stanley’s equities division, for example, reached an all-time high, while JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs enjoyed notable gains in fixed-income trading. A surge in CEO optimism has led to an uptick in mergers and acquisitions (M&A), initial public offerings (IPOs), and private credit demand. Morgan Stanley, in particular, is seeing the largest M&A pipeline in seven years, signaling a sustained wave of dealmaking. Mixed Results for NII Net interest income showed varying results across the banks, but forward guidance indicates that NII will likely see moderate growth in 2025, spurred by continued loan demand and higher asset yields. Credit Risks on the Rise Consumer lending pressures have persisted, with JPMorgan’s charge-offs rising by 9%. Many banks are preparing for a further increase in delinquencies, particularly in credit cards. Commercial Real Estate Challenges While the office sector remains under stress, banks are managing their exposures cautiously and have yet to face significant shocks in this area. Regulatory Scrutiny Continues Citigroup lowered its 2026 profitability target as it undergoes a transformation, while Bank of America faced increased scrutiny over its anti-money laundering compliance. Resilient U.S. Economy Banks are reporting strong consumer spending, loan growth, and corporate profitability, which supports an optimistic outlook for earnings growth heading into 2025. Performance Breakdown for Each Bank JPMorgan Chase - JPMorgan posted a record annual net income of $58.5 billion, marking an 18% increase from the previous year. - Investment banking saw a 46% surge in revenue, driven by strong advisory and equity underwriting. - Trading revenue climbed by 21%, led by a 20% increase in fixed-income trading. - Despite the impressive results, JPMorgan is still facing challenges such as rising charge-offs and pressures on loan margins. CEO Jamie Dimon emphasized concerns about persistent inflation and growing geopolitical risks. Bank of America - BofA experienced an 11% year over year growth in revenue, reaching $25.3 billion, with net income up 112% from the previous year. - The investment banking division saw a dramatic 44% rise in revenue, the highest in three years, thanks to strong debt and equity underwriting. - Trading revenue grew by 10%, driven by solid performance in fixed income (up 13%) and equities (up 6%) as market volatility spurred client activity. - BofA also reported growth in its consumer and wealth management divisions, with credit card fees and asset management showing strength. Client balances grew to $4.3 trillion, a 12% increase from the previous year. - After several quarters of decline, BofA’s NII grew by 3%, exceeding expectations and signaling stability. The bank expects NII to continue rising through 2025, with projections of $15.7 billion per quarter by the end of the year. Wells Fargo - Wells Fargo’s revenue remained flat at $20.4 billion, but net income surged by 50%. - NII declined by 8% year-over-year but is expected to rise slightly in 2025 due to higher reinvestment rates on maturing assets. - The bank made significant progress in cost-cutting efforts, reducing non-interest expenses by 12%, thanks to workforce reductions and efficiency initiatives. - Investment banking fees rose by 59%, benefiting from the broader market recovery and the bank’s renewed focus on its Wall Street presence. - Wells Fargo returned $25 billion to shareholders in 2024, including a 15% dividend increase and $20 billion in stock buybacks. However, the bank continues to face regulatory constraints, notably the asset cap imposed by the Federal Reserve. - Looking ahead to 2025, Wells Fargo anticipates modest growth in fee-based revenue, with cost discipline and efficiency gains driving improvements. Morgan Stanley - Morgan Stanley saw a 26% increase in revenue, reaching $16.2 billion, while net income soared by 142%. - Equity trading revenue jumped by 51%, setting a new all-time high as market volatility sparked increased client activity, particularly in prime brokerage and risk-repositioning trades. - Investment banking revenue grew by 25%, fueled by strong demand for debt underwriting, stock sales, and M&A activity. CEO Ted Pick noted that the M&A pipeline is the strongest in seven years, signaling a potential multi-year recovery in dealmaking. - Morgan Stanley’s wealth management division saw $56.5 billion in net new assets, increasing total client assets to $7.9 trillion. The firm is pushing toward its goal of $10 trillion in assets under management. - In response to growing business complexities, the firm launched a new Integrated Firm Management division to streamline services across investment banking, trading, and wealth management. Goldman Sachs - Goldman Sachs experienced a 23% increase in revenue, reaching $13.9 billion, while net income more than doubled, up 105%. - Record performance in equity trading contributed to a 32% increase in revenue from this segment, as market volatility drove greater client activity. - Investment banking revenue grew by 24%, boosted by significant gains in equity and debt underwriting. - The firm’s asset management division saw an 8% rise in assets under management, reaching $3.1 trillion, while management fees exceeded $10 billion for the year. - Goldman is winding down legacy balance-sheet investments but also saw a gain of $472 million from these investments in Q4. The firm’s recent launch of its Capital Solutions Group is aimed at capturing growth opportunities in private credit and alternative financing. Citigroup - Citigroup posted a 12% increase in revenue, reaching $19.6 billion, with non-interest revenue surging 62%. - Fixed-income and equity markets were key drivers, growing 37% and 34%, respectively, as market volatility tied to the U.S. election boosted performance. - Investment banking revenue climbed by 35%, supported by strong corporate debt issuance and a pickup in dealmaking activity. - The bank unveiled a $20 billion stock repurchase program, signaling confidence in future earnings. - Citigroup also made strides in controlling operating expenses, which declined by 2% quarter-over-quarter. However, the bank lowered its 2026 return on tangible common equity (RoTCE) guidance to 10%-11% due to the costs of its ongoing transformation. - CEO Jane Fraser emphasized Citigroup’s long-term growth trajectory, noting improvements in credit quality and continued progress with the strategic overhaul, including the postponed IPO of Banamex, the bank’s Mexican retail unit, now expected in 2026. Long story short Heading into 2025, the major U.S. banks are in strong positions, buoyed by a favorable economic backdrop, continued growth in trading, and a rebound in corporate dealmaking. Despite challenges such as rising credit risks, regulatory hurdles, and potential macroeconomic uncertainties, the outlook remains positive. With a recovering IPO market, continued wealth management growth, and strong trading revenue, the banks are poised to capitalize on the renewed corporate optimism. The key question will be whether the dealmaking frenzy continues or whether uncertainties in the global economy and market dynamics could temper the rally.
NYSE:JPMLong
by moonypto
4 Big Banks and their relation to KBEWeekly time frame....White line front runs a change in direction...be it temporary or permanent to long to explain...but white peak before blue peak and things head down...if blue continues with white or stays flat...there is little change to direction or price just chops sideways a bit. use other indicators to confirm...but white line can bounce off or hug envelope channel and explain price -------- The 4 headless horsemen of banking are next to each other... Does something seem quite interesting among them since each is way different in area of investment...political control...money-metals exposure....MBS and the like... So why are three pretty close to copies if you glance for more than a second or two, yet the fourth is somewhat similar but trending differently... Just an interesting thought experiment
NYSE:C
by CYQOTEK
JP Morgan (JPM): Correction on the HorizonJP Morgan ( NYSE:JPM ) is back on our radar as the upcoming earnings season begins, with the banking sector leading the reports. We’ve analyzed JP Morgan before, and the current setup offers intriguing opportunities. Since 2023, the stock has maintained a steady upward trend that continues into 2024. Currently, NYSE:JPM appears to be in sub-wave ((iii)) within the larger wave (3) or possibly wave 5. However, we anticipate that sub-wave ((iv)) correction is yet to occur, aligning with the broader structural narrative of the chart. Presently, the stock is trading near a critical trendline originating from the top of sub-wave ((i)). This trendline, which has shifted from resistance to support after multiple touchpoints, now risks being broken. Should it fail, the price could fall from its current level of $243 into a range between $204 and $173. A drop to $173 would represent the maximum correction in our view, while a more realistic pullback would fall within the $204 to $188 range. On the bullish side, the wave 5 could push up to approximately $260, a modest increase from the current price. This scenario fits within the Elliott Wave framework, anticipating a wave ((iv)) correction before the final upward moves to complete wave 5 and the larger wave (3).
NYSE:JPM
by freeguy_by_wmc
2024 REVIEW MARKET STOCKS !! AND 2025 PROYECTIONS Why Stock Prices Tend to Rise Over Time It's easy to get caught up in the ups and downs of the stock market, but zoom out, and you'll see a clear trend: stock prices generally increase over the long term. Here's why: Economic Growth: As economies grow, so do corporate earnings. Companies expand, innovate, and become more profitable, which naturally pushes stock prices up. Inflation: Over time, inflation erodes the value of money, but stocks can act as a hedge. As the price level increases, so do the nominal values of stocks. Dividend Reinvestment: Many companies pay dividends, and when these dividends are reinvested into more shares, it compounds growth. This reinvestment can significantly boost the value of an investment over decades. Market Sentiment: Optimism about the future can drive stock prices higher. When investors believe companies will do well, they're willing to pay more for stocks today. Low Interest Rates: In recent decades, low interest rates have made borrowing cheaper for companies, fueling growth, and also made stocks more attractive than low-yield bonds or savings accounts. Technological Advancements: Innovation leads to new industries and improves efficiency in existing ones, driving up stock values through increased productivity and new market opportunities.
Long
by NYRUNSGLOBAL
JPM Bullish Breakout? JPMorgan Trend & Seasonal Insights In this video, we analyze JPM, JP Morgan Chase, which is currently exhibiting a strong bullish trend on the daily timeframe. The stock has consistently retraced to 50% of its previous price swings. Adding a seasonality perspective, we observe a historical pattern where the market tends to sell off into December 20th before rallying through the first or second week of January. My bias remains bullish, with a potential buy at the current price contingent on a break of structure. Please note, this is not financial advice.
NYSE:JPMLong
by fxtraderanthony
ETH Secondary trend. Channel. Potential triangle. 25 12 24Logarithm. Time frame 3 days. With altcoins (overflow of profits from bitcoin, now) along with XRP this is asset #1 for pumping, the reason for this is liquidity, which is extremely necessary for large capital. The average price of 1 distribution zone is conditionally 10 thousand. These are not the maximums of the cycle. When the price lingers in this zone and there is a massive positive news background, all L2 assets, which are now in their accumulation zones, or in retests of breakout zones, will "fly" to super pumps (this is what it is). In percentage terms, they will show an order of magnitude greater profit in their distribution zones. Remember, as a rule, such assets (low liquidity) are first pumped by an aggressive pump (to leave in parts, without regret) by a huge %, and only then is a distribution zone formed on a rollback (channel, triangle ...) (hope for a huge profit on the continuation of the pump). This idea is a continuation of this idea (which I can't update) of a secondary trend, the goals of which have been achieved with utmost precision: ETH/USD Secondary trend. Bullish triangle. Breakout. Target 96% 11 11 2023 It is worth noting that now in the news background: "ether is bad" , huge fake short positions for the news background. Many crypto media personalities speak negatively about the “prospects” of this very promising cryptocurrency of the “American” (Jewish) transnational financial conglomerate JPMorgan Chase (size of depository assets — $ 32.4 trillion, size of assets under administration — $ 7.7 trillion, etc.). What kind of lack of prospects can we talk about?? If they “stink” a lot to create public opinion, then there is probably an interested party in this. That is, it is worth doing everything the opposite of what they want to inspire, and as a result, tilt supply/demand in a favorable direction, which, as a rule, is always unprofitable for most market participants. If you are an investor , then buy at any price (you can use martingale in parts, or place trigger orders for a breakthrough of important zones), and do not be interested in the opinion of the majority (meaningless market noise) and the news background (manipulation, deception). Sell ​​in the distribution zone (time is known in advance when, 2 zones) with a huge profit, as for a liquid trading instrument. If you are a small investor or trader , then pay attention to the L2 group of assets and ETC (big pump “stick”), and use ETH itself as an indicator of “when”. Also, the idea shows an unlikely scenario, or rather two scenarios. Consider this in your risk management. The idea of ​​​​the main trend , published several years ago. Which, of course, is still relevant now. Everything develops organically, and extremely precisely according to plan. ETH/USD Main trend Pump/dump cycles. Accumulation/Distribution 8 09 2022 Trend in general for clarity now. locally this potential triangle (it doesn't exist yet) looks like this.
BINANCE:ETHUSDLong
by SpartaBTC
1
JP MORGAN Expect a 1D MA50 correction before it turns into a buyJP Morgan Chase (JPM) posted a strong bullish leg on our last analysis (September 17, see chart below) that easily hit our $229 Target: From a wider perspective on the 1D time-frame, the price is now right at the top of the 13-month Channel Up on an overbought 1D RSI and a 1D MACD that is about to form a Bearish Cross. All previous Higher Highs of the pattern formed MACD Bearish Crosses and pulled back to the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) on a minimum of -7.35% correction. Note that the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) never broke, so as long as it holds, the long-term bullish trend is intact. As a result, we now expect a pull-back to the 1D MA50 and a minimum of -7.35% decline puts the Target a $236.00. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NYSE:JPMShort
by TradingShot
1
JPM: Overbought on 1M. Buying becomes risky now.JP Morgan is almost overbought on its 1M technical outlook (RSI = 69.452, MACD = 20.800, ADX = 54.049), trading very close to the top of the 12 year Channel Up. Being overbought on the wider/ longest timeframe available, indicates trend exhastion and a potential bearish reversal. Basically, we continue to use the same pattern that helped us get a strong buy last time and this time it shows that the last two times the 1M RSI was this overbought, the stock pulled back to at least the 0.236 Fibonacci level. Consequently we expect a lengthy but relatively controlled correction to start in the coming candles to test the 0.236 Fib and approach the 1M MA50 (TP = 187.00). See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
NYSE:JPMShort
by InvestingScope
1
JPMorgan (JPM) Shares Rise Over 4% Following Earnings ReportJPMorgan (JPM) Shares Rise Over 4% Following Earnings Report On Friday, before the market opened, JPMorgan (JPM) released its Q3 earnings, which exceeded expectations: → Earnings per share: Expected = $3.99, Actual = $4.97 → Revenue: Expected = $41.4 billion, Actual = $43.4 billion CEO Jamie Dimon praised the strong results but issued several cautionary statements. He noted: → Geopolitical risks are rising rapidly. "We have been closely monitoring the geopolitical situation for some time, and recent events show that conditions are dangerous and deteriorating." → "While inflation is easing and the US economy remains resilient, several critical challenges persist, including a large budget deficit, infrastructure needs, trade restructuring, and the remilitarisation of the world." Despite Dimon's caution, investors responded positively to JPMorgan’s strong results, pushing JPM shares up more than 4% on Friday. Year-to-date, the stock has gained around 30%, and since last October, the increase has been about 50%. Technical Analysis of JPMorgan (JPM) Shares: → The price is moving within an ascending channel (shown in blue). → The RSI indicator has risen to the overbought zone. → Friday’s candlestick shows a noticeable upper shadow (a sign of selling pressure). → The psychological level of $225 per share may act as resistance, as seen at the start of September. If the bullish momentum continues and the price of JPM shares approaches the upper boundary of the channel, this could set the stage for a correction, potentially towards the support zone formed by: → The lower boundary of the blue channel → Former resistance at $213 → The lower edge of Friday’s bullish gap According to TipRanks, the average analyst price target for JPMorgan shares is $228 over the next 12 months. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NYSE:JPM
by FXOpen
2
JPMorgan Stock Surges After Q3 Earnings Beat EstimatesJPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE: NYSE:JPM ) shares rose nearly 5% on Friday as the bank's Q3 earnings exceeded expectations. JPMorgan (NYSE: NYSE:JPM ), the world’s largest bank by market capitalization, reported a robust revenue of $42.65 billion, surpassing analysts’ expectations of $40.85 billion. This strong performance was driven by growth in net interest income (NII), which increased to $23.41 billion. Earnings Outlook JPMorgan’s solid Q3 results showcased its ability to navigate a challenging macroeconomic environment. The bank posted earnings of $4.37 per share, slightly higher than the $4.33 from a year ago and far ahead of analyst estimates of $3.97. While profits dipped slightly to $12.9 billion from $13.15 billion, the impressive revenue and NII growth were key drivers behind the stock's upward momentum. Despite the recent cut in interest rates by the Federal Reserve, which had impacted net interest margins for many banks, JPMorgan’s core business remained resilient. Rising deposit costs have placed pressure on banks in recent quarters, but the expectation is that lower rates will eventually lower deposit expenses and reignite loan growth. JPMorgan is also well-positioned to benefit from potential future interest rate cuts, which should stimulate investment banking activity and loan demand. CEO Jamie Dimon remains cautious about the global economy, citing geopolitical risks such as the conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East. These factors, combined with U.S.-China tensions, have prompted the bank to maintain a defensive posture. Nevertheless, JPMorgan's massive scale and global reach have enabled it to weather uncertainty better than most financial institutions. Technical Outlook On the technical side, JPMorgan’s stock is up 4.96% at the time of writing, approaching an overbought region with an RSI of 68.35. This marks a critical juncture, as the stock is nearing its August 30th, 2024, resistance point, a level where it previously dipped after a strong rally. While the possibility of a short-term pullback exists, the current daily price chart shows a bullish harami pattern. This continuation pattern, particularly when preceded by two bullish candles, indicates strong momentum in favor of further gains. The bullish harami pattern, coupled with JPMorgan’s strong earnings performance, suggests that the stock may continue to rise in the near term. However, investors should monitor the NYSE:JPM resistance level closely, as a break above this point could propel the stock toward new highs, while a failure to break through may signal a potential consolidation or regression. In summary, JPMorgan’s combination of strong earnings, a positive technical setup, and resilient fundamentals make it a stock to watch in the coming weeks. While geopolitical uncertainties and potential market volatility remain risks, the bank’s performance in this quarter positions it as a leader in the financial sector.
NYSE:JPMLong
by DEXWireNews
JP Morgan Chase (JPM): Bearish Scenario on the HorizonYou have to hear us out on this one, as we are presenting a very bearish scenario, but we will explain why we think it could unfold this way. First, let's look at the weekly chart (yes, the weekly chart). This chart shows a near-perfect Elliott wave and Fibonacci count, respecting all the important theoretical points well. If this analysis is correct, we are currently in the last push of wave (5) to end this large cycle. After that, we should see lower prices for a higher wave II. We give the current wave (5) a maximum target of $271, but it is more likely to drop before we reach that level. In the the main chart, we zoomed in to make it clearer. Everything depends on whether we are correct about wave (3) and wave (4). If our count is accurate, wave (3) should conclude between the 227.2% and 261.8% levels. NYSE:JPM has formed a bearish divergence on the RSI, and if the stock drops below $190, we expect prices to fall further, ideally between $178.46 and $149, for one last push higher to conclude this cycle. It will take some time until we get there, but good things take time, and we are ready for it to play out. Alerts are set, and the plan is in place. 😎
NYSE:JPMLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
JP MORGAN to rise at least +14% on this rally.We haven't looked into JP Morgan Chase (JPM) in almost 6 months (March 25, see chart below) and the excellent sell signal it gave us: That was right at the top of its 2-year Channel Up. Right now we have the price rebounding an pricing a Higher Low on a shorter-term Channel Up since the March 25 High. Being still below its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), gives time for an early buy. The minimum % of a Bullish Leg within this Channel Up has been +14.07% so our Target is at $229.00 accordingly. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NYSE:JPMLong
by TradingShot
JPM as A Gauge For Bull Run I consider JPM as a source of truth in this bull run for several reasons: Post-Banking Crisis Fragility: Especially following the banking crisis in 2023, banks are more fragile, and money has consolidated in some bigger, safer banks. Exposure to Various Crises: They have a lot of skin in the game, so any crisis coming from either a tech bust, Japan, bonds, or inflation will surely affect them. Too Big to Fail: They most probably won't go bankrupt; they are too big to fail. Correlation with S&P 500: JPM is almost perfectly correlated with the S&P 500. Lately, I have been observing new all-time highs from both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, and of course, JPM. It hasn't even dropped below the weekly 20 MA as it did in 2021. So, it is still uncertain if this is a breather or the beginning of the end. Over the last four weeks, the wicks were up but pressured down. Making another local top will be the third in 2024, and that also create 2nd bearish divergence on RSI, so I would watch out for a quick meltdown.
NYSE:JPMShort
by muratyukselnet
2
JPM JPMorgan Chase & Co Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on JPM: Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of JPM JPMorgan Chase & Co prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 200usd strike price in the money in the money Calls with an expiration date of 2025-1-17, for a premium of approximately $17.25. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
NYSE:JPMLong
by TopgOptions