Nikkei 225 JPN225 CFD
Elliott Wave View: Impulsive Rally in NikkeiElliott Wave view suggests the rally in Nikkei from August 26, 2019 low is unfolding as an impulse Elliott Wave structure. In the 1 hour chart below, the rally to 21890 on September 13, 2019 ended wave (3) and wave (4) pullback. Internal of wave (3) unfolded as an impulse in lesser degree. Wave 1 of (3) ended at 20800 and wave 2 of (3) ended at 20416. Up from there, wave 3 of (3) ended at 21455, wave 4 of (3) ended at 21295, and wave 5 of (3) ended at 22095.
Near term, the cycle is mature and thus it’s risky to chase the rally at this stage. However, while near term pullback stays above 21800, further upside can’t be ruled out within wave (5).
Nikkei Break Out Nearing?Our Dax and ESP 35 trades are continuing as mentioned in previous posts. It seems cheap money and easing will keep stocks propped as there will be nowhere to go for yield. Of course, a geopolitical issue or black swan event can nullify this...and I believe there will be a confidence crisis approaching.
However, we will deal with that when it appears and the bond market will give us the signal for this.
I like what I see here on the Nikkei. A nice downtrend with basing/range. You can say a cup and handle pattern too. Let us await for a break above this resistance one.
Other confluences fake out candles and engulfing candles at the major support below, indicating that we may have shown 2/3 market moves (downtrend and range).
Nikkei Demand Wearing ThinA significant level of support (20500) is again being tested... The biggest test the level has had so far.
Up to now every test of the 20500 level has seen a quick 'touch and go' reaction, where supply has very quickly hit demand (waiting buy orders) and price has bounced away with strong momentum.
This time looks very different and suggests that the demand in this area is wearing thin, with sellers having their best chance so far of breaking through this level... If a breakdown in demand does come through and we see a daily close below the current congestion, then expect a swift retest as resistance before dropping to the low of December around 19000.
If the level is able to hold and we start to see some strength in the OBV, pushing positively away from its 20ema then price will meet some heavy resistance at the top of this current triangle.
I expect this to all play out over the next few days and will be heavily influenced by any Trump Tweets and US-Sino trade talk headlines.
Elliott Wave View: Nikkei Looking for More DownsideShort Term Elliott Wave View in Nikkei suggests the decline to 19900 on August 6 ended wave (3). The Index is currently in wave (4) bounce and the internal subdivision is unfolding as a double three Elliott Wave structure. Up from 19900, wave W ended at 20795 as a zigzag. Wave ((a)) of W ended at 20650 and wave ((b)) of W ended at 20220. Then the move higher to 20795 completed wave ((c)) of W.
The Index then pullback to 20075 which ended wave X with internal subdivision as a zigzag. Wave ((a)) of X ended at 20300, wave ((b)) of X ended at 20765, and wave ((c)) of X ended at 20075. Wave Y is in progress with the internal subdivision of a double three in lesser degree. Up from 20075, wave ((w)) ended at 20685 and wave ((x)) ended at 20450. Near term, while above 20075, Index has scope to extend higher towards 20974 – 21530 area to end wave Y of (4). Expect sellers to appear from the above area and Index to either resume lower or pullback in 3 waves at least. We don’t like buying the Index.
Elliott Wave & Intermarket Analysis For NIKKEI And USDJPYHello traders!
Today we will talk about stocks, specifically Nikkei and why USDJPY can see higher prices.
Well, as you may already know, in EW theory after a three-wave corrective decline, the trend should remain to the upside. This is what we see in the stock market all the time. However, Nikkei got our attention, because we can see a nice five-wave rally after that three-wave a-b-c correction, which means that Nikkei remains in uptrend, but after another three-wave correction in the lower degree, where ideal support would be here around 21450 - 21250 levels, just keep in mind that bullish confirmed can be only if it manages to turn back above 21770 region!
In the right picture you can see tight positive correlation between NIKKEI and USDJPY, which means that if NIKKEI points higher, then even USDJPY can see higher prices, so don't be surprised if USDJPY remains bullish towards 109 area or higher!
So, seems like risk-on sentiment may continue and when we are in risk-on, we usually see bullish stocks, which are followed by recovery on XXX/JPY crosses. That being said, be aware of a bullish continuation on stocks, while XXX/JPY cross pairs may see a bigger recovery!
Be humble, trade smart and wait for the right sentiment to enter the market!
Disclosure: Please be informed that information we provide is NOT a trading recommendation or investment advice. All of our work is for educational purposes only.
Nikkei Potential Head and Shoulders?The Nikkei is showing a potential head and shoulders pattern on the 2 hour chart. If we do break below the support at 21620,
then we would await for a lower high which would be a retest of the break.
However, ideally, would like to see a bounce and then a lower high which would make the head and shoulders pattern.
Price is turning at a resistance zone (21800) zone which adds further confluence.
This is a trade that can possibly play out next week. Keep it on your radar!
Nikkei 225 22052019Long term view of Nikkei 225. Time for a big correction ? Lets see
Share your thoughts and observation in comments session :)
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Nikkei Wave count and speculative buy zoneThat's all it is at this stage. I am not looking to buy the Nikkei index, but a number of interesting individual stocks mirror this wider theme. Sort of a lower swing high being set and "one more drop" to set a higher low then off we go sort of thing. Let's see.
Short to short-mid bearish, medium term to long term bullish.
"Top and Bottom Analysis" NIKKEI 225 by ThinkingAntsOk4H CHART EXPLANATION:
Main Items we Observe on the Chart:
-Price has broken the ascending trendline
-Currently, price is on a support zone
-We will wait for a corrective structure on the support zone before taking any trade
Based on this if the price breaks down with a close candlestick below 20718.0 we expect a continuation of the downward movement towards 19964.0
MULTI TIMEFRAME VISION:
-Weekly :
-Daily: