Nikkei225 short term bullish?The Daily RSI is pretty low
BoJ didn’t raise the interest rates
The market is trading withing range for over six months now.
With low Christmas volatility, the buyers might move the market to 27100- ish.
This is not a trading advice. Trading is risky, always do your own analisys before opening the trade.
Nikkei 225 JPN225 CFD
NIKKEI225 Weekly Volatility Analysis 12-16 Dec 2022 NIKKEI225 Weekly Volatility Analysis 12-16 Dec 2022
We can see that currently the implied volatility for this week is around 3.16%, up 2.05% from last week according to DVOL data
With this in mind, currently from ATR point of view we are located in the 38th percentile,
while according to VIX, we are on 25th percentile.
Based on this, we can expect that the current weekly candles ( from open to close ) are going to between:
Bullish: 1.82% movement
Bearish: 1.74% movement
At the same time, with this data, we can make a top/bot channel which is going to contain inside the movement of this asset,
meaning that there is a 22.4% that our close of the weekly candle of this asset is going to be either above/below the next channel:
TOP: 28309
BOT: 27170
Taking into consideration the previous weekly high/low, currently for this candle there is :
73% probability we are going to touch previous high 27955
27% probability we are going to touch previous low 27419
Lastly, from the technical analysis point of view, currently from
Weekly timeframe indicates 64% BULLISH trend from the moving averages index
Daily timeframe indicates 21% BULLISH trend from the moving averages index
4H timeframe indicates 7% BEARISH trend from the moving averages index
Selling Nikkei at swing high.NIK225 - 21h expiry - We look to Sell at 27925 (stop at 28140)
Buying pressure from 27410 resulted in prices rejecting the dip.
With the Ichimoku cloud resistance above we expect gains to be limited.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Although the anticipated move lower is corrective, it does offer ample risk/reward today.
Our profit targets will be 27415 and 27110
Resistance: 27925 / 28425 / 29240
Support: 27515 / 27110 / 26610
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
Nasdaq going back to 1989 - Japanese Nikkei 225Sometimes reality is clear in front of everyone you just need to rewind and take a look at history.
Cycles are like human habits they do not change unless the environment around them changes.
Enjoy the good times while they last, we have only months left.
We Have Learned Nothing.
Buying Nikkei in a bullish channel.NIK225 - 22h expiry - We look to Buy at 27675 (stop at 27360)
Although the bears are in control, the stalling negative momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
Trading within a Bullish Channel formation.
Our expectation now is for this swing lower to continue towards the bottom of the trend channel, to complete a correction before buyers return.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
Our profit targets will be 28580 and 29240
Resistance: 28360 / 29240 / 30175
Support: 27370 / 26930 / 26385
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
NIKKEI 225 CFD BEARISH PATTERNJapan is currently facing an inflation high not seen in 40 years. The weak yen and the increased cost of foreign supply for industrial commodities and manufacturing parts are slowing down the economy of the country.
On the technical front the index has broken the support of the triangle pattern and a bearish move might be expected. RSI indicator is heading below 50 neutral line and MACD histogram is below 0.
If the pattern continues the price might test the support levels of 27831. In the opposite scenario, the price might try to reach its previous resistance at 27929.50
Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
NIKKEI 225 Monthly Forecast Movements 1-30 November 2022 NIKKEI 225 Monthly Forecast Movements 1-30 November 2022
We can see that for this month, the implied volatility is around 4.56%, rising 3.68% of last month.
This is currently placing us in the 25th percentile according to ATR and 83th according to JNIV
Based on this percentile calculation, on average the monthly movement for the candle(from open of the candle to the close of the candle) is:
BEARISH Candle : 4.7%
BULLISH Candle : 3.1%
With this in mind we can expect with a close to 23.4% probability that our close of the monthly candle is going to close either above or below the next channel:
BOT: 26600
TOP: 28630
Lastly, based on the calculations that we had for touching the previous candle high and low values, we can estimate that there is a :
80% chance that we are going to touch the previous monthly high of 27600 (already happened yesterday)
25% chance that we are going to touch the previous monthly low of 25600
Selling JP225 into swing highs.NIK225 - 22h expiry - We look to Sell at 27390 (stop at 27610)
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
We are trading at overbought extremes.
Previous resistance located at 27397.
A lower correction is expected.
The hourly chart technicals suggests further upside before the downtrend returns. We look to sell rallies.
Our profit targets will be 26810 and 26385
Resistance: 27370 / 28360 / 29240
Support: 26385 / 25500 / 24485
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NIKKEIWednesday, 12 October 2022
16:12 PM (WIB)
Kindly difficult to understand the NIKKEI market direction. It is because there have 2 ways of direction between Bearish on the move with Bullish on the move too. The result of my analysis is that 6.18% is a very strong Bullish Belt Hold and the Golden Ratio of a Bearish Downtrend.
So, preparing Buy Order is A must in this market. Trading is not about how long I can hold. But, trading is all about how precise the analysis of the market is and getting the benefit of paying the time and money already spent.
NIKKEIMonday, 10 October 2022
22:50 PM (WIB)
NIKKEI just broke the S/R Lines with created Head N Shoulder formation and also developed the Tweezer Top pattern.
I'm expecting the price would move more low to the support area or even more low from that.
MAJOR INDICES in USD / WORLD GDPFormula: (Major Indices/USDxxx)/World GDP (Gross Domestic Product)
Indices: USA, Germany, Japan, UK, China. (all converted to USD)
After the 2008-2009 bottom, USA performed much better than other countries. So, what's next? We can expect other countries to perform better even a bit from now on. But that dosen't mean that the stock markets will rise. It's a bit confusing, because there are high differences between them, as seen. If we focus on USA, we can say that the stock market is expensive. But others don't tell the same. We will see...
Europe&Japan to perform better than USA from now on, 2-JapanComparision of "NIKKEI in USD dollars" to "SPX".
I am publishing the same for all (please see my other analysis): Germany, UK, France, Italy, Japan...
I ignore all the fundamentals and just make technical analysis . Fall of EUR&GBP&JPY and their stock market's negative divergence compared to USA (SPX) is about to end, I believe.
Important: This doesn't mean that the equities&indices are going to rise from now on. My analysis only says: Europe&Japan will perform better than USA. Just because they are very cheap.
NIkkei 225 10 year ProfileBOJ intervened for the first time since 1998, to prop up it's the YEN, with some speculation they likely sold a lot of their massive reserves of long end (10-30 year) US T Bills to buy back the Yen. This hypothesis appears supported by the lack of short end yield movement at 4-5a, EST at time of BOJ intervention announcement late last week. Of note in this chart are:
- Almost a decade long volume profile aligned with vPOC at 382 retrace.
- Structure of current price action seemingly mirroring the covid structure as represented by the fractal in light blue above.
Joe Gun2Head Trade - NIKKEI at resistanceTrade Idea: Selling NIKKEI
Reasoning: Rallied into resistance
Entry Level: 28268
Take Profit Level: 27774
Stop Loss: 28368
Risk/Reward: 4.96:1
Disclaimer – Signal Centre. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Nikkei 225 Breakout - where to next? Weaker than expected growth in Japan led to markets expecting policy by the BOJ to be kept loose. This recent breakout now puts the index in positive territory YTD and it is now at a 7-month high. The question remains whether this is a breakout to be faded or has legs to move higher? The RSI seems to be rolling over from overbought territory. This could potentially setup a retest of the 28.364k former resistance level. The 50-day SMA also looks to be eyeing a golden cross with the 200-day SMA. The pattern that has emerged a flat sided ascending triangle is typically bullish.
NIKKEI 225 CFD BEARISH PATTERNJapan Economy Watchers Current Index was announced yesterday, below its forecast and also below its neutral line of 50, at 43.8, which can be used as a marker for downturn of the country's economy.
On a technical level Japan 225 CFD broke the support of the rising wedge pattern, also signaling a potential bearish move on the instrument. Both MACD and RSI indicators confirm the pattern, and in both the fast moving average is increasing the gap with the slow moving average, indicated best by the MACD histogram. This might be read as an indicator for big movement.
If the pattern gets confirmed the price might test its previous low at 27840. If the opposite scenario occurs, the instrument might test the previous support of the rising wedge at 28270.
Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
Nikkei 225 August 5th, 2022Nikkei has been rallying in the last few days, and broke a trend line. Everyone is wondering is it a reversal move or just a bull trap.
This is remain to see but for now I see pretty strong base to go higher. Saying that RSI is quite high, not oversold yet but compering to US indices JPN225 is less like to be severely oversold. Very likely the pullback is expected.
MACD looked like it was going to cross the signal line but not really, we might have one/two more bullish/consolidation days.
I'm going short but please do your own analysis - trading is risky
" JP225 " Buy Trade With 300 Pips Target Good Morning Trader's ,, How Are You Today ?
Let's Explain Together "JP225" Chart And Reasons To Long From This Area !
1- What Is The Trend For Jp225 ? Now ,, It's In Upper Trend ,, Because We Break Out The Last resistance Area And Going To Next Level
2- Why We Will Buy From This Area ? We Have Break Out SMC Area And Resistance Area ,, So We Will Going To Target
3- When We Close e Target As Stop Lose ? When The Price Close Daily Candle Down The SMC Area On Chart
Any Questions Please Write me On Comments !