Bearish reversal off 50% Fibonacci resistance?GBP/JPY is rising towards the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 197.37
1st Support: 194.65
1st Resistance: 198.96
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Jpy
Bearish drop off pullback resistance?NZD/JPY is rising towards the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 88.97
1st Support: 87.88
1st Resistance: 89.47
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Yen Struggles as Investors Question BoJ's Rate Hike ProspectsThroughout the first half of the European trading session on Monday, the Japanese Yen continues to struggle against the US Dollar, with the exchange rate slipping to 0.006436 as I write this article. Investor skepticism regarding the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) potential for further interest rate hikes plays a significant role in this downward trend. This uncertainty, combined with an overall positive market sentiment, is putting pressure on the traditionally safe-haven Yen.
Moreover, the recent widening of the yield gap between US and Japanese government bonds—intensified by the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance—further contributes to the Yen's decline. As the Fed signals a more aggressive monetary policy, the lower-yielding Yen becomes less attractive to investors.
In terms of market outlook, we are anticipating a continuation of this bearish trend for the Yen against the Dollar.
USD/JPY Previous Idea as reference:
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Bearish drop?AUD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 98.64
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 99.83
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 97.18
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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Bearish reversal?EUR/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection and also slightly below the 88% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 164.96
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance levle that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss: 166.65
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 162.65
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bearish drop?CAD/JPY is reacting off the pivot and could drop tp the 1st support.
Pivot: 109.58
1st Support: 108.51
1st Resistance: 110.39
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop?USD/JPY is reacting off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support which aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 157.85
1st Support: 154.75
1st Resistance: 161.80
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDJPY 15min ChartThe price is testing resistance near 156.400. A bearish reversal could send it toward the key demand zone at 154.500.
A short-term rejection is anticipated, followed by a lower high before resuming the bearish trend.
The critical target lies near 154.500, a significant support level where buyers may regain control.
two buy positions on the DXY (U.S. DOLLAR INDEX)Here’s a structured plan for managing two buy positions on the DXY:
---
1. Entry Plan
First Buy Position:
Entry: 107.000
Likely Reason: Anticipation of strong support at this level, possibly near a significant technical or psychological level.
Second Buy Position:
Entry: 107.830
Likely Reason: Market reversal or breakout confirmation at this higher level.
TVC:DXY
2. Risk Management
Stop-Loss Levels:
For the 107.000 position: Below 106.800 (to avoid a deeper pullback).
For the 107.830 position: Below 107.500 (to account for short-term fluctuations).
Position Sizing: Use smaller lot sizes for the second position if risk increases near resistance zones.
---
3. Take-Profit Strategy
Conservative Targets:
For both positions, a short-term take-profit can be set at 108.200, which may align with minor resistance.
Aggressive Targets:
Extend profit-taking to 108.500 or 109.000, depending on momentum and fundamental triggers.
---
4. Monitoring Key Levels
Support Zones:
Strong support at 107.000: Look for price consolidation here if it drops further.
Resistance Zones:
108.000–108.200: Watch for profit-taking or reversal at these levels.
109.000: A more aggressive upside target.
NZDJPY bottomed being formed. Huge long-term buy.The NZDJPY pair gave us an excellent sell signal back on our July 10 analysis (see chart below) and not only hit our 95.580 Target but broke below and invalidated the medium-term Channel Up:
The long-term Channel Up however, is still intact and it is evident on the 1W time-frame where the July - August sell-off found support and stopped exactly on the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line).
That was the first strong long-term buy signal. Since then, the price has been consolidating within the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which has already rejected the uptrend multiple times and the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the Channel Up.
The second buy signal came this month, as it made a Double Bottom on the Higher Lows trend-line of the Channel Up. This whole sequence is very similar with the bottom formations of Jan - April 2023 and December - February 2022. Both started new Bullish Legs and never looked back once the price broke above the 1W MA50.
So the confirmed buy signal for this pair will be if a 1W candle closes above the 1W MA50. If that happens, we will turn bullish with our Target being 102.000 (+18.31%, the minimum Bullish Leg rise within the Channel Up).
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Bearish drop?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 155.72
1st Support: 154.28
1st Resistance: 157.72
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Falling towards overlap support?EUR/JPY is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 162.11
1st Support: 160.37
1st Resistance: 164.43
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish bounce off 50% Fibonacci support?CAD/JPY is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullbacksupport and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is an overlap resistance.
Pivot: 108.43
1st Support: 107.05
1st Resistance: 109.63
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Xauusd for a selling opportunity from the H1According to the lower timeframe, I'm personally looking for a selling opportunity from the H1 resistance area because it's a major zone for sellers.
Now the price consolidating between the parallel channel, but we can expect, it will break the resistance and move towards the major resistance area.
But if the price successfully breaks our channel downside, then we will start placing our stop orders.
Target:- 2588.00 / 2558.53
Let's see how the price will move. CAPITALCOM:GOLD
Downward Pressure Persists as Yen Strengthens on Rate Hike HopeHey Realistic Traders, Will OANDA:CADJPY continue its bearish trend? Let’s Dive In....
In the H4 timeframe, CADJPY has broken out of a distribution phase as it continues to move below the bearish trendline and the EMA-200 line. The pair also formed a Rising Wedge pattern, followed by an impulsive breakout, which strongly indicates the continuation of the prevailing bearish trend.
Further confirming this outlook, the MACD momentum indicator has signaled a bearish crossover, strengthening our bearish hypothesis.
Given these technical factors, we anticipate a potential downward movement toward the nearest historical support area (Target 1) at 105.955. After reaching this level, we foresee a minor correction back to the green zone before the pair resumes its bearish journey to the second target at 104.902.
However, this bearish outlook remains valid only if the price holds resistance below the critical stop-loss level at 108.976.
Fundamental Reason Supporting Yen Strength:
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) is signaling further rate hikes as economic data, including wage growth and inflation, align with its projections. BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda recently suggested that another rate hike is "nearing," citing steady progress in economic conditions. This hawkish stance further supports the bearish outlook on CADJPY, as a stronger yen typically exerts downward pressure on the pair.
Support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below.
Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on CADJPY".
Bearisdh drop off pullback resistance?AUD/JPY is reacting off the pivot which is a pullback resisstance and could drop to the 1st support level which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 98.24
1st Support: 96.57
1st Resistance: 99.38
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Falling towards overlap support?GBP/JPY is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 194.73
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level which lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 193.14
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 198.45
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GBPJPY Strong bullish break out inside the Channel Up.GBPJPY is having its strongest (1d) candle today in almost 18 months.
The main pattern is a Channel Up and this rise is extending its new bullish wave.
The previous one retested the MA50 (1d) after crossing over it and the resumed the uptrend to peak on a +8.70% rise.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the next MA50 (1d) test.
Targets:
1. 204.500 (+8.70% rise).
Tips:
1. The MACD (1d) formed a Bullish Cross 9 days ago, the 3rd inside this 5month Channel Up, which confirms that we are on a bullish wave.
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AUDJPY - POTENTIAL SHORT
Descending channel
Rejection at key resistance level 98.50 (4H & 1D)
Rising wedge with in descending channel
For entry
Looking for a break past the support of the rising wedge
Already have strong rejection on the descending channel resistance line
Stop set just above resistance zone at 98.80
EURJPY, BOJ didn't increase the ratesEURJPY / 1D
Hello Traders, welcome back to another market breakdown.
EURJPY is showing strong bullish momentum after the BOJ's decision not to increase rates, breaking through key resistance levels and signaling a potential continuation to the upside. However, the price is making new highs for now. Hence, instead of jumping in at current levels, I recommend waiting for a pullback into the breakout zone for a more strategic entry.
If the pullback holds and buying confirms, the next leg higher could target:
First Resistance: Immediate levels formed during prior consolidation.
Stay disciplined, wait for the market to come to you, and trade with confidence!
Trade safely,
Trader Leo.
Gold 1h analysis, I'm personally looking for a sellAccording to the 1h analysis, I'm personally looking for a selling opportunity from the resistance area near 2653.00 & 2656.00
Targets:- 2625.00 / 2614.00 / 2605.00
Don't place any advance orders for now. Use good bearish confirmation for the entry.
Remember one thing if the price successfully closes above 2665.00, then stay away from selling. CAPITALCOM:GOLD