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JPY (Japanese Yen)

YEN WATCH! 🧐Summary The Yen continues to weaken. The USDJPY is now at a 25-year high. The Details The Bank of Japan (BOJ) intervention could happen any week, meaning some big moves on JPY pairs. I am expecting at least a 500 pip bearish move on USDJPY 💥 If there is no intervention, USDJPY may reach as high as 155-160 before the BOJ changes interest rates to strengthen the Yen. The JPY is weak across the board, especially against the FOREXCOM:CNHJPY PEPPERSTONE:CHFJPY and PEPPERSTONE:SGDJPY Things to Consider Don't over-leverage JPY long positions due to your FOMO Think longer-term. The intervention move could provide only temporary strength for the Yen. The BOJ may need to hike rates before the Yen forms its lows. An interest rate hike may not happen until Q1/Q2 2024.
Short
by Samuel_Morton_Trader
CHFJPY H4 | Potential bearish reversal?Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is currently at our sell entry at 167.13, which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibo retracement. Our take profit will be at 166.02, an overlap support level. The stop loss will be placed at 168.19, which is a multi-swing high resistance level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 67% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 72% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
CHFJPY COULD BE A GOOD BUY A strong trend upward, and a recent wedge broke out seems likely to re-test the previous pivot resistance or full wedge price action to take profit level. Moving averages at the bottom cover our stop loss. 12-hour hour-recent break of 20 ma shows bullish pressure, likely to re-test previous daily resistance. The pair has been bullish for quite some time, it can't trend forever however the opportunity still seems to be there so we are taking it. ✅📈
Long
by FX-TradingLions
1
CHFJPY Low risk trades on the 1D MA50 closing.The CHFJPY pair is trading within a Bullish Megaphone for almost 4 months (since July 12) and is on a rebound on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). Technically it priced the Higher High of the Megaphone 2 weeks ago so this should be the bearish leg towards its bottom (Higher Lows trend-line). Especially since the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) broke last month for the first time since March 29th, the trend should start shifting more towards bearish on the long-term. Since however our focus is more on the short/ medium-term, we will continue to take it a step at a time and as long as the price is closing above the 1D MA50, we will be bullish, targeting the top of the Megaphone again at 169.100. If however we get a 1D candle close below the 1D MA50, we will take the loss and sell instead, targeting the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level (where the previous Higher Low was priced) at 161.900. Note that the 1D MACD is currently on a Bearish Cross, which favors selling. Still, our trading plan a low risk and high return approach. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
by TradingShot
CHFJPY H4 | Potential bearish reversalCHF/JPY has reacted off a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 166.467 which is a pullback resistance. Stop loss is at 167.602 which is an overlap resistance that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. Take profit is at 164.979 which is a pullback support level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 67% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 72% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
1
CHFJPY - 4hrs ( Sell Trade Target Range 280 PIP ) 💵Pair Name : CHF/JPY Time Frame : 4hrs Chart / Close Scale Type : Large Scale ------ 🌐 spreading knowledge among us and to clarify the most important points of entry, exit and entry with more than 5 reasons We seek to spread understanding rather than make money 🔗 Key Technical / Direction ( 🔽 Short ) Type : Mid Term Swing —————————— Bullish Break ☑️167.500 Area Reasons ⚡️- Major Turn level / W ⚡️- Visible Range lvn ⚡️- Counter Break ⚡️- Choch Pattern ⚡️- Day / week High Break ☑️Bullish Reversal 163.900 Reasons ⚡️- Major Turn level / D ⚡️- Visible Range lvn ⚡️- Pattern Target ⚡️- visible Range lvn ⚡️- inner choch Area ⚡️- Fibo Golden
Short
by GoldenEngine
CHFJPY - 4hrs ( Sell Trade x 2 entry's + 70 PIP / TP 1 ) Pair Name : CHF/JPY Time Frame : 4hrs Scale Type : Large Scale Analysis Way : Volume + Classic + High & low + Market Map Direction : Long Educational —————**- 🔗 Just browsing through my analysis means a lot to me. ☑️ Update - VIP Opportunity ———— Entry 1 💵 Take Profit 1 💵Pip' Achieved = 70 PIP 🛍 Account Growth = 10 % ———- Entry 2 💵 Take Profit 1 💵Pip' Achieved = 50 PIP 🛍 Account Growth = 10 %
Short
by GoldenEngine
CHFJPY - 4hrs ( x2 Entry's Hit Tp 3 + 150 PIP ) Pair Name : CHF/JPY Time Frame : 4hrs Scale Type : Large Scale Analysis Way : Volume + Classic + High & low + Market Map Direction : Long Educational —————**- 🔗 Just browsing through my analysis means a lot to me. ☑️ Update - VIP Opportunity ———— Entry 1 💵 Take Profit 1 + 2 💵Pip' Achieved = 140 PIP 🛍 Account Growth = 20 % ———- Entry 2 💵 Take Profit 1 + 2 + 3 💵Pip' Achieved = 50 PIP 🛍 Account Growth = 30 % Check on Trading View Below
Short
by GoldenEngine
CHFJPY - 4hrs ( x2 Scalping Entry's Hit Target 4 + 220 PIP )Pair Name : CHF/JPY Time Frame : 4hrs Scale Type : Large Scale Analysis Way : Volume + Classic + High & low + Market Map Direction : Short Educational —————**- 🔗 Just browsing through my analysis means a lot to me. ☑️ Update - VIP Opportunity ———— Entry 1 💵 Take Profit 1 + 2 + 3 💵Pip' Achieved = 210 PIP 🛍 Account Growth = 30 % ———- Entry 2 💵 Take Profit 1 + 2 + 3 + 4 💵Pip' Achieved = 200 PIP 🛍 Account Growth = 40 %
Short
by GoldenEngine
CHFJPY H4 | Reversal off pullback resistanceCHFJPY is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse from here to drop towards our take-profit target. Entry: 166.485 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level Stop Loss: 167.504 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance that aligns above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level Take Profit: 164.976 Why we like it: There is a swing-low support level Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
CHFJPY I Long from 4 hr demand level Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** CHFJPY Analysis - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!
Long
by BKTradingAcademy
3
Trading the BoJ meeting – it’s all about YCCTiming – 31 Oct (no set time – likely between 1 pm to 3 pm AEDT) The tide is turning in Japan and while BoJ policy change is glacial - especially when we consider the intense pace at which other G10 central banks have acted – we’re now hearing that Japanese pension funds are looking are re-weighting of domestic JGBs, with yields on long-end bonds more attractive than holding foreign bonds on a currency-hedged basis. These future re-weightings will involve huge amounts of capital and increase the perception of JPY inflows, and a lasting process of capital moving back to Japan. On the inflation front, we’ve seen Tokyo core CPI coming in line, or beating expectations, in all but 2 of the last 24 readings. With core CPI running at 3.8% and well above the bank's target of 2%, we’ll see some lumpy inflation upgrades tomorrow from the BoJ. So why not start to tighten policy? The simple reason is they haven’t prepped the market fully, and they want to garner real confidence from the Spring Shunto wage negotiations – we should start to hear the outcome of these negotiations in the weeks ahead. All eyes on changes to the YCC band While no one is expecting a move in interest rates away from NIRP (Negative Interest Rate Policy) – that is an early 2024 story - Where we could see some policy change through the widening of the YCC (Yield Curve Control) band. At present, the BoJ cap 10yr JGB (Japan govt bonds) yields at 100bp (or 1%). If we were to see a test of the 1% cap in the near-term the BoJ would buy unlimited amounts of JGBs to confine yields to 1%. Currently, we see the 10-year JGB at 89bp, with yields up 14bp since 16 October. So, sellers have pushed JGB yields towards the cap, with the more freely moving JP 10yr swap sitting above 1% at 1.10% - it’s, therefore, clear that some in the market has positioned for the BoJ to lift the cap to 1.50%, some may even be thinking it's removed altogether. The market’s base case is for no change While 34/45 economists expect no change, given the recent flow and positioning in the JGB market, if the YCC cap remains at 1% then we could see a spike higher in USDJPY and the JPY crosses – I would guess to the tune of 30-50 pips. I would be a buyer on that JPY weakness. This fits in with the reaction we’ve seen in prior BoJ meetings, where since Jan 2022 the JPY has weakened in all but 2 meetings. Could we see the cap lifted to 1.5%? If the BoJ lifts the cap to 1.5%, one suspects this action will be accompanied by supportive rhetoric that they will continue to intervene intraday and buy JGBs to smooth out any overly violent moves. This action would see a more pronounced downside move in USDJPY, perhaps 50-70 pips (at a guess), although the likely accompanying language should limit the reaction. As always, positioning will play a part – where we currently see leveraged funds short of JPY, while real money is modestly long, and retail aggressively long JPY and seeing greater downside risk in USDJPY. One does question why the BoJ doesn’t just get rid of the YCC cap altogether. A scenario which isn't entirely impossible, but would likely send shockwaves through global bond markets, and by extension FX markets too. One could argue that YCC lacks credibility anyhow, given the BoJ seems to move the cap every time the market tests the limit. It simply results in them having to buy greater quantities of outstanding debt and cornering the market. The trade? Over the coming week or so, I see further upside risk in the JPY - My preference for the BoJ meeting though is to stand aside, but place limit sell orders above the market into the meeting. If the BoJ leaves YCC unchanged then positioning should be unwound and I get a fill - I suspect the move will be short-lived and the flow should reverse. CHFJPY is looking like one of the weaker crosses at this point, so selling spikes in CHFJPY looks compelling – and should we get closer to MOF verbal intervention I am on the right side of that too.
Short
by Pepperstone
1