**Gold (XAU/USD) 1H Chart Analysis** OANDA:XAUUSD **Gold (XAU/USD) 1H Chart Analysis** OANDA:XAUUSD
1. **Uptrend Channel:**
- The price has been respecting an ascending channel, with higher highs and higher lows.
- The channel’s lower boundary is acting as dynamic support, while the upper boundary serves as resistance.
2. **Current Price Action:**
- Gold is pulling back from the upper resistance area around **$2,780** and is now approaching the midline and lower boundary of the channel.
- A break below **$2,740** could lead to a test of the channel’s lower boundary near **$2,720-$2,700**.
3. **Potential Trade Outlook:**
- **Bullish Scenario:** If price finds support at the lower trendline and rebounds, it could present a buying opportunity targeting **$2,760-$2,780** again.
- **Bearish Scenario:** A confirmed breakdown of the channel support might lead to further declines toward **$2,700** or lower.
Jpy
**EUR/USD Bearish Breakout: Potential Drop to 1.03500**This EUR/USD 1-hour chart indicates a **bearish breakout** from an ascending channel. Key observations:
1. **Breakout Confirmation:** Price has broken below the lower trendline of the rising channel, signaling a potential trend reversal.
2. **Bearish Momentum:** The price is retesting the broken trendline, and rejection at this level could confirm further downside.
3. **Target Zone:** The next significant support is around **1.03500**, aligning with previous structure levels.
4. **EMA Slope:** The short-term moving averages are turning bearish, adding confluence to a possible downward move.
If the price holds below the breakout zone, a short setup toward 1.03500 could be valid. A re-entry above the trendline could invalidate this bearish bias. FOREXCOM:EURUSD
Could the price reverse from here?USD/JPY is rising towards the pivot which is an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 156.60
1st Support: 154.22
1st Resistance: 158.16
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USD/JPY -H1- Bearish FlagThe USD/JPY Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bearish Flag Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 154.30
2nd Support – 153.52
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Heading into 50% Fibonacci resistance?AUD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 97.79
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 98.77
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 96.63
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
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Potential bullish bounce?NZD/JPY has bounced off the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 87.59
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 87.04
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 88.37
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
"Gold 1H Chart: Bearish Setup Pending Confirmation"This 1-hour chart of gold (XAU/USD) shows a clear trendline break, indicating potential bearish momentum. The price is now retesting the broken trendline and resistance zone around $2,769–$2,780.
The plan is to wait for a bearish confirmation (e.g., rejection or reversal candles) at this resistance zone. If confirmed, the price could target the $2,740 area, marked as the next significant support level.
Key levels:
- Resistance: $2,769–$2,780
- Support/Target: $2,740
Waiting for a clear signal at the resistance zone is crucial for entering a sell position.
USDJPY - SHORT - 27/01/25 (after) This is an after to the trade idea posted 22/01/25. On that analysis, the trade was supposed to be taken on the order block but when price reached that area, it violated the initial setup.
However, a new idea formed based on these same concepts:
Price swept a high and closed below it.
Change in character to the downside.
Return to Order Block
Now looking for long opportunities.
Bearish drop?CAD/JPY has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 108.81
1st Support: 107.43
1st Resistance: 109.55
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURJPY: 1D MACD Bullish Cross confirming uptrend.EURJPY is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 52.622, MACD = 0.070, ADX = 26.202) and with the formation of a Bullish Cross on the 1D MACD, this shows the enormous upside potential the price has inside the 5 month Bullish Megaphone. We expect a quick rise to the 1.382 Fibonacci extension (TP = 168.000).
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Potential bearish drop?USD/JPY has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 156.59
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 158.13
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 154.74
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDJPY Breakout And Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDJPY for a buying opportunity around 156.100 area, USDJPY was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 156.100 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
"GBP/USD Resistance Test with Potential Bearish Reversal Setup"Based on the chart:
1. **Resistance Zone**: The price has reached a strong resistance level around 1.2400–1.2450. This area could act as a barrier for further upward movement.
2. **Trendline Support**: There’s a clear upward trendline acting as dynamic support, indicating a bullish structure overall.
3. **Bearish Confirmation**: The chart suggests waiting for bearish confirmation before entering a short position. Signs could include a reversal candlestick pattern, a breakdown of a lower timeframe support, or momentum shifting downward.
4. **Potential Move**: If bearish confirmation occurs, a retracement toward the trendline near 1.2200–1.2250 could be expected.
This setup favors patience, as entering without confirmation might expose trades to unnecessary risk if the resistance breaks.
Bullish breakout?USD/JPY has reacted off the pivot which acts as an overlap resistance and could rise to the 1st resistance which has been identified as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 156.19
1st Support: 154.76
1st Resistance: 158.16
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Heading into 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?GBP/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 194.66
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 197.19
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
Take profit: 191.77
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Here's a brief analysis of the chart for Gold Spot (XAUUSD) Here's a brief analysis of the chart for Gold Spot (XAUUSD) against the U.S. Dollar:
The chart shows an uptrend with higher highs and higher lows, indicating a bullish market. There are several "break of structure" (bos) points where the price has broken previous resistance levels, suggesting strong momentum. The current price is around 2,730.530, with a breakout at this level hinting at a potential upward movement towards the projected price target of 2,762.140. The resistance level is approximately 2,740.000, while there's a support zone marked by a shaded area below the current price.
Overall, the chart suggests that the gold price might continue to rise, making it a good time for bullish trades.
*Short-term target*: 2,740.000 - This is the immediate resistance level. If the price breaks above this level, it could move towards the next target.
2. *Medium-term target*: 2,762.140 - This is the projected price target if the bullish momentum continues and the price breaks through the resistance at 2,740.000.
Keep in mind that these targets are based on current market trends and technical analysis. It's always a good idea to monitor the market closely and adjust your strategy as needed.
Pullback resistance ahead?NZD/JPY is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 88.61
1st Support: 87.60
1st Resistance: 89.30
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Smart Money Strategy: Short Opportunity with EUR/JPY Smart Money Strategy: Opportunity with EUR/JPY at Key Fibonacci Levels
The EUR/JPY pair is currently facing downward pressure, trading around 161.10, as speculation mounts over a potential rate hike by the Bank of Japan (BoJ). With market expectations nearing a 92% likelihood of a rate increase by the BoJ in their upcoming January meeting, this could push short-term borrowing rates to the highest since the 2008 financial crisis, bolstering the Japanese Yen.
Key Levels for Strategic Entry:
Optimal Short Entry :
Focus on the 162.103 level, where the pair may encounter significant resistance.
Fibonacci Reversal Points
: The 0.75 and 0.71 levels are more than technical markers; they are critical points where institutional investors—often referred to as the 'smart money'—typically engage. These levels are key for identifying potential shifts in market dynamics.
This trade is not just about capitalizing on market trends—it's about strategically positioning at a technically significant level to maximize the potential for profits.
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Potential bull flag breakout on AUD/JPYA potential bull flag on the 1-hour chart of AUD/JPY has caught my eye, and a closer look at volumes also suggests it worthy of consideration.
The weekly CVM (cumulative volume delta) has confirmed the recent rally into the bull flag pattern, but is also breakout out of its own flag to suggest bullish pressure is building. It is also near its own weekly high, a break above which provides another bullish clue.
Trading volumes were rising alongside prices before they entered the sideways consolidation (bull flag), so I am now on guard for a break higher of prices.
Bulls could seek dips towards the daily pivot point (97.32) for a move up to 97.80, just beneath the daily S1 pivot.
A break above 98 assumes bullish continuation up to 98.50 near a weekly VPOC (volume point of control).
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
NZDJPY to find sellers at market price?NZDJPY - 24h expiry
The primary trend remains bearish.
The sequence for trading is lower lows and highs.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
Bespoke resistance is located at 88.15.
We look to Sell at 88.27 (stop at 88.67)
Our profit targets will be 87.27 and 86.90
Resistance: 88.00 / 88.50 / 88.75
Support: 87.50 / 87.00 / 86.70
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
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USDJPY holding the MA50 (1d).USDJPY is trading inside a Channel Up since September.
The price has tested, held and consolidated on the MA50 (1d) for the last 4 days (including today).
This is a bullish signal, considering also that this is taking place near the bottom of the Channel Up.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 164.350 (+6.20% rise).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) is below its MA trendline, on a sideways pattern that is similar to the September 16th 2024 and December 3rd 2024 bottoms.
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