GBPJPY Top of Channel Up sell signal.The GBPJPY pair gave us a solid short-term buy signal last time we looked into it (April 16, see chart below) and easily hit our Target:
The prevailing Channel Up has a clear sell signal on its top, which the price is approaching on the current Bullish Leg since the rebound on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). The 1D MACD sequence is the same as the first Bullish Leg that started on January 02 2024, that time on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). That Leg pulled back to the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level after it got rejected at the top.
As a result, we will wait to sell at the top of the Channel Up again and target 198.500 (Fibonacci 0.382).
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Jpy
TRADE PLAN ON USDJPYHey Trader,
Check out this analysis on USDJPY.
A long entry plan is best above the intraday resistance area.
Alternatively, a short trade can be considered if the price breaks below the intraday key zone (support), retests, and resists. A short trade can be considered.
Trade safe.
sell 154.92 and tp 152.10 with stop loss at 156.2..rr 2.5i sell it coz even when dollars down he not down and so many ti_me BOj talk about to intervene.
i think they will do soon and if not a big pullback have to happens
u can put ur stop lost at 155.6 if u want a bertter RR but i scare about a big leg up
CHFJPY Sell opportunity.The CHFJPY pair is trading on a Falling Wedge pattern, which every time it formed within the long-term Channel Up, it was followed by a sharp decline. The last one hit the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which has so far held twice, rendering it the new Support level.
Notice that all those tops, had a similar 1D MACD structure. As a result, we turn bearish on the short-term on CHFJPY, targetng 169.000 (1D MA200).
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GBPJPY → The Yen continues to weaken. Target 197.0FX:GBPJPY is testing trend support, but buyers are keeping the price away from risk zones. The currency pair is returning to the bullish zone relative to 193.5, which generally opens up the market to 195.0-197.0 upside potential
On W1, the currency pair after a false breakdown of global resistance is moving back to 195.844, which generally tells us about the strength of buyers. Interventions by the central bank of Japan played a short-term role and the news leverage has exhausted itself. Traders continue to put on short positions and still sell the national currency, which in general only strengthens the pound against the yen.
Consolidation above 193.5 confirms the bulls' intentions to continue the growth.
Resistance levels: 194.15, 195.56, 197.38.
Support levels: 193.54, 193.0
A retest of the local resistance at 194.15 is being formed. A breakdown and consolidation above this level will cause further growth towards the previously mentioned targets.
Regards R. Linda!
Potential bullish rise?USD/JPY has broken out of the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 156.58
1st Support: 154.74
1st Resistance: 158.41
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDJPY (Nikkei Rises 0.7%, Driven by Banks and Energy Stocks) Nikkei Rises 0.7%, Driven by Banks and Energy Stocks
Japanese stocks closed higher, with gains led by the banking and energy sectors, as the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield hit an 11-year high. Mizuho Financial Group rose 3.1%, and Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Holdings climbed 2.4%, following a 3-basis-point increase in the 10-year JGB yield to 0.975%, the highest since May 2013. Energy stocks also performed well, with Eneos Holdings gaining 6.2% and Inpex up 4.2%. The Nikkei Stock Average increased by 0.7% to 39,069.68. Investors are closely watching developments in the Middle East and crude oil prices following the death of Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi in a helicopter crash on Sunday. The USD/JPY exchange rate is at 155.74, up from 155.67 late Friday in New York.
The price continues to experience bullish pressure towards 156.600, with a potential further rise to 157.970 upon breaking this level. A correction to 155.95 or 155.445 is possible before resuming the bullish trend. The bearish scenario will be triggered if the support line at 155.445 is broken, potentially leading to a drop to 154.700.
Pivot line: 155.950
Resistance line: 156.590, 157.970, 159.82
Support line: 155.450, 154.700, 153.685
The expected trading range is between support 155.450 and Resistance 156.600
GBPJPY: Bullish continuation. 1D MA50 in full support.GBPJPY is almost overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 69.343, MACD = 1.720, ADX = 59.150) and is extending the bullish wave inside the 16 month Channel Up. The overbought technicals shouldn't be a factor for a bearish reversal as long as the 1D MA50 continues to support. We are confident with buying, aiming at the top of the Channel Up (TP = 208.000).
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Buy CADJPY Triangle BreakoutThe CAD/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential buying opportunity due to a recent breakout from a triangle pattern.
Possible Long Trade :
Entry: Consider entering a long position (buying CAD/JPY) above the broken resistance trendline of the triangle after confirmation. Ideally, this would be around 114.40 or higher if the price continues to rise.
Target Levels:
115.00: This represents the height of the triangle, measured from its apex (highest or lowest point) to the breakout point, projected upwards from the breakout point.
115.23: This is a further extension of the upside target, based on the height of the recent price movement before the breakout.
Stop-Loss: Once the entry point is confirmed, place a stop-loss order below the broken resistance line of the triangle, ideally with some buffer around 114.25. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back downwards.
Thank you.
AUDJPY Channel Up topped. Sell signal.The AUDJPY pair reached the top of its long-term Channel Up, while at the same time the 1D MACD is about to complete a Bearish Cross today. This is a strong sell signal combination and the minimum decline that the pair has within this Channel Up on a pull-back, has been -1.84%. As a result our short-term Target is 102.650.
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Heading into 50% Fibonacci resistance?AUD/JPY is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 103.95
1st Support: 103.49
1st Resistance: 104.47
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
[EDU-Bite Sized Mini Series] When to trade for best bang for $$?Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
Okay, let's get started on today's topic. Knowing when to trade and when NOT to trade is very important. This is the "timing" element which is also a crucial part of trading. And, this is especially important if you are looking to trade on a lower timeframe!
Understanding the different trading sessions in the forex market and identifying the best times and days to trade can significantly improve trading success. Here's a breakdown of the major forex trading sessions and their characteristics:
Asian Session (Tokyo/Singapore/Hong Kong):
The Asian session begins with the opening of the Tokyo market, though the AUD and NZD starts trading earlier than it. It's known for lower volatility compared to other sessions, with currency pairs like USD/JPY and AUD/USD often experiencing increased activity.At times, if there's a important news release such as FED interest rate release or Non- farm payroll on a Friday. The preceding Asian Session could have "spill over" activity and increased in volatility in the FX market.
European Session (London):
The European session, centered around London, is considered the most active session (besides the US). It often sees high liquidity and volatility, making it ideal for day traders. Major currency pairs like EUR/USD, GBP/USD, and EUR/GBP typically exhibit significant movements during this session.
3. North American Session (New York):
The North American session overlaps with the end of the European session, creating a period of increased activity. Day traders loved the volatility during this period of time, more over key news releases could be catalyst for further volatility. It's characterized by liquidity from both European and American traders. Currency pairs involving the USD, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, and GBP/USD, are particularly active.
4. Best Times to Trade:
To be specific, the best times to trade forex are typically during the overlap of multiple trading sessions when liquidity and volatility are highest. This occurs during the overlap of the European and North American sessions, known as the "London-New York" overlap, which occurs from 8:00 AM to 12:00 PM EST. Another optimal period is during the overlap of the Asian and European sessions.
Best Days to Trade
While forex markets are open 24 hours a day, five days a week, certain days tend to offer more trading opportunities. Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday are generally considered the best days to trade, as they typically see higher volatility and more significant price movements compared to Mondays and Fridays.
By understanding the characteristics of each trading session and identifying the optimal times and days to trade, you can enhance your trading strategies and capitalize on the most favorable market conditions.
Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place.
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
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Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
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[EDU-Bite Sized Mini Series]All you need for Order types in FX Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
Understanding the various order types in forex trading is essential for navigating the market efficiently and executing trades effectively. Here's a concise overview of some common order types:
1. Market Order:
This order is executed immediately at the current market price. It is used when a trader wants to enter or exit a trade quickly.
More of for Day Trading - A trader might use market orders to quickly enter and exit positions based on real-time news events or technical signals.
Live example
> A trader sees a positive European's news release and expects a quick upward move in the EUR/USD pair. They use a market order to buy EUR/USD at the current price of 1.1950, aiming to sell it later in the day at a higher price based on the expected market reaction.
2. Limit Order:
A limit order allows traders to specify the price at which they want to enter or exit a trade. It's used to buy below the current market price or sell above it, ensuring entry or exit at a specific price level or better.
For example for Swing Trading - A trader might place a buy limit order at a support level, expecting the price to bounce back up, or a sell limit order at a resistance level, expecting the price to fall.
Live Example
> A trader identifies strong support for USD/JPY at 110.50 and places a buy limit order at this price, expecting the price to rebound. When the market price dips to 110.50, the order is executed, and the trader aims to sell at 111.50.
3. Stop Order(Stop-Loss Order):
A stop order becomes a market order once a specified price level is reached. It's commonly used to limit losses or protect profits by triggering a trade when the market moves in a certain direction.
This, in my opinion should be used as Risk Management for all traders - A trader sets a stop-loss order below the entry price for a long position or above the entry price for a short position to limit potential losses if the market moves against their position.
Live Example
> A trader buys GBP/USD at 1.3500, anticipating a rise. To protect against unexpected drops, they place a stop-loss order at 1.3450. If the price falls to 1.3450, the order executes, limiting the trader's loss to 50 pips.
4. Stop-Limit Order:
A stop-limit order combines features of both stop and limit orders. It triggers a limit order to buy or sell at a specified price once the stop price is reached, offering more control over entry and exit prices.
More of for Advanced Trading - A trader might use a stop-limit order to ensure they enter a position only if the price reaches a certain level but still want to control the maximum price they are willing to pay.
Live Example:
A trader wants to buy EUR/GBP only if it breaks above 0.8500 but not pay more than 0.8520. They place a stop-limit order with a stop price of 0.8500 and a limit price of 0.8520. If the price hits 0.8500, the order becomes a limit order, executing only if the price is 0.8520 or lower.
5. Trailing Stop Order: A trailing stop order is a dynamic stop-loss order that adjusts automatically as the market price moves in the trader's favor. It helps lock in profits while allowing for potential further gains.
For Trend Following - A trader might use a trailing stop order to lock in profits as the price moves in their favor, allowing the stop price to trail the market price and protect gains if the market reverses.
A trader buys USD/CAD at 1.3000 and sets a trailing stop order with a 50-pip trail. As the price rises to 1.3100, the trailing stop adjusts to 1.3050. If the price then falls to 1.3050, the order executes, locking in a 50-pip profit.
Hopefully these explanations on the various Trading Orders open you up to more strategies that you can applied in the market for you to trade more efficiently and profitably!
Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place.
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
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USDJPY Channel Up aiming higher.The USDJPY pair has been trading within a Channel Up since the December 28 2023 market bottom and has started the new Bullish Leg on the May 03 2023 bounce (Higher Low) on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
The previous two Bullish Legs rose on average by +8.00%, so we expect a similar development. As a result we are bullish, targeting 163.000.
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USDJPY to remain mixed and volatile?USDJPY - 24h expiry
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
As this corrective sequence continues we look to set shorts on a rally at better risk/reward levels.
The hourly chart technicals suggests further upside before the downtrend returns.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
Bespoke resistance is located at 156.30.
We look to Sell at 156.30 (stop at 156.90)
Our profit targets will be 154.80 and 154.50
Resistance: 156.30 / 156.80 / 157.60
Support: 155.30 / 154.50 / 153.70
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
EURJPY Still bullish. Continue buying the dips.The EURJPY pair gave us a textbook buy-low-sell-high two-way trade last time we looked at it (March 25, see chart below) and hit both targets:
Right now it may be shifting into a new Channel Up (dashed), diverging slightly from the (blue) long-term one. The 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) has been holding as Support basically since the January 10 bullish break-out, so technically the long-term trend remains bullish.
Our Target is 173.500, the top of the (blue) long-term Channel Up.
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Heading into pullback resistance, could it reverse from here?CAD/JPY is rising towards the pivot and could potentially reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 114.77
1st Support: 113.03
1st Resistance: 115.88
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Could USD/JPY reverse from here?Price is rising towards a resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection and could potentially reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 156.58
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss: 158.25
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which is slightly below the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 153.64
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
R2F Weekly Analysis - 19th May 2024 (ICT Concepts)Welcome to another R2F Weekly Market Analysis using ICT Concepts along with my own discoveries. Without any prior preparations on the chart, I'm going to go through various pairs, and giving a real-time view of how I perform my analysis on the weekends before the new week. I'll give my take on what has been happening, and what i'm expecting in either the coming days, weeks, or months. Without further ado, let's get into it!
If you are lazy to watch the video, which is your loss as you will miss how I analyse the market, the TLDR is that my bullish Dollar bias is on hold until I can see May's candle closes. However, I am slightly leaning for a possibly bearish Dollar to the Yearly Bisi below, but as we know things can change in an instant as this year is also election year in the USA. All my analysis of other pairs revolve around my opinion of the DXY.
Hit me up if you have any analysis request or just want to learn how to do all of this independently by yourself.
- R2F
NZDJPY - A Massive Trade. Do NOT Miss! NZDJPY is at the final stages of the ending diagonal. The move we're about to see will be a MONSTER move. We are looking at a potential 1500pip move to the downside... atleast!
We are currently in an ending diagonal, made up of 5 waves consisting of 3 subwaves each. We are in 5th wave now, subwave C and looking for a reversal very soon.
Trade Idea:
- Watch for reversal price action on lower timeframe
- This can be trendline breaks, BOS etc.
- Once entered, SL should go above the highs
- Targets: 89.5 (600pips), 85 (1100pips), 81 (1500pips)
We have an upper limit of wave 5 at 98.5 so the closer we get to that, the better it is. However, we are not anticipating price to go that high.
What do you guys think?
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!