Could GBP/JPY reverse from here?Price is rising towards a resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 193.522
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 195.104
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 190.309
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Jpy
USD/JPY:Capitalizing on Interest Rate Differentials-Retracemen?The USD/JPY continues to experience upward momentum, driven by the significant interest rate differential between the United States and Japan. The US Federal Reserve has established the Fed Funds Rate within the range of 5.25% to 5.50%, while the Bank of Japan maintains its cash rate between 0.0% and 0.1%. This substantial gap in interest rates favors parking capital in US Dollars (USD) over Japanese Yen (JPY), consistently influencing the bullish trend of USD/JPY.
In response to this market dynamic, we have implemented two limit orders and set a stop loss above a monthly resistance level. Our strategy anticipates a retracement for the USD pair, considering the prevailing conditions.
GBP/JPY: Race back to 200.000? On Monday, the yen dropped to 160.000 per dollar, marking its lowest level since 1990, before rebounding more than 3% to 154.5 per dollar. This rebound was suspected to be the result of intervention by Japanese authorities.
According to reports from Bloomberg, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) likely injected ¥5.5 trillion into the currency markets after discrepancies were noted in the BoJ's operations report on Tuesday, where market forecasts didn't align with reported current account figures.
Both the GBP/JPY and USD/JPY pairs are gradually recovering on the charts. The USD/JPY is testing levels above 157.500, while the GBP/JPY is eyeing 197.00.
Both pairs could keep on advancing if the forthcoming US data continues to surprise. Notably, the Fed taking a hawkish tone after its FOMC decision on Wednesday and jobs data due on Friday.
The GBP/JPY's recent peak at 200.60 remains a key target for traders despite potential intervention by the BoJ.
Looking forward, market sentiment could appear bullish, with attention focused on key levels such as the 193.600 resistance-turned-support and the 10-day SMA.
GJI am staying out of it.
It is confusing and that's when it's best to stay away and out of the market.
DAILY
We peaked at 200.50, which is good to look out for possible buys into the market. Which last happened in 2015. This is the final (3rd leg) of the double bottom (W formation).
4H
Ascending Channel within an ascending channel is what we look for when trying to get sells. Which will give us added information for our case of evidence. With where price is (mid=range) it is better to stay out and stay away.
1H
Same as the 4H. Just stay away and stay watching.
Japanese Yen likely reaching a bottom, short term at leastLots of talk about the #Dollar & #Yen as of the last day.
US #Dolalr ( TVC:DXY ) has done well for some time.
VS
We've spoken on Japan a few times over the last year, has been the opposite.
Daily shows that this trade is exhausting SHORT TERM! Look at that volume!
Likely Japanese govt is intervening!
USDJPY: Why It Dropped? 🇺🇸🇯🇵
This morning, USDJPY dropped by more than 500 pips this morning.
If you are looking for a reason why it happened,
remember that historical structure always leaves clues.
The price perfectly respected a historic structure of 1990th.
Today, we see a perfect example how important are historical levels,
and how the market remembers the things that happened more than 30 years ago.
Learn key levels because that is the key for successful trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
USD/JPY: Breaching 158.500 signals potential run to 160? USD/JPY: Breaching 158.500 signals potential run to 160?
The JPY weakened below 158.200 against the dollar. It is the first time since May 1990 we have seen this exchange rate for the USD/JPY. The reason is being attributes to the Bank of Japan keeping interest rates unchanged last Friday.
With the USD/JPY comfortably above both the 50-day and 200-day EMAs, a break above 158.500 might propel it towards 160.000.
Market attention remains fixed on whether Japanese authorities will intervene in currency markets to stem the yen's decline. Other than this, short-term USD/JPY movements may depend on this week's US and Japanese economic data.
In Japan, focus lies on April's consumer confidence, unemployment rate, retail sales, and industrial production, along with insights from the BoJ's meeting minutes. better-than-expected figures could boost demand for the Japanese yen.
However, most eyes will be on the US Fed's upcoming decision this week, with expectations for maintaining record-level borrowing costs, potentially pushing the yen further down.
The Fed decision will be followed by the non-farm payrolls report, expected to show a rise of 210K jobs in April, though slower than March's 303K. Better-than-expected figures here could affect investor outlooks on a September Fed rate adjustment, and giving the USD/JPY more reason to target the 160.000 level.
Update from the BoJ decision todaySince January 2023, the USDJPY has been on an astronomic rise, driven by the significant divergence between FOMC and BoJ monetary policies.
The initial market expectation was for the BoJ to intervene when the USDJPY approaches the 155 price level.
Today the Yen has come under fresh selling pressure, as the BoJ kept rates on hold, taking the USDJPY above 156.
Could 158 at the top of the channel be the next target intervention level?
From the BoJ today
Kept rates on Hold
No comments about an intervention
Yen continues to weaken with USDJPY climbing above 156
USDJPY The BIG Short!OANDA:USDJPY
It feels like the time has come. Divergence is massive, JPYX just made another dip and about to bounce back, additionally US10Y showing signs of reversal... BoJ intervention is on the horizon, but this is an entirely different matter.
The trade is risky, but the reward is equally large.
GBPJPY - Long Trade IdeaI like the long idea here. If the current day can form a Bisi, that would be fantastic. After that I would just be looking price to trade back into the Bisi, into one of the key Breaker levels annotated, at the right time of the day, then STRIKE.
The highest-probability target would be the recent high, and the next discretionary target would be my Wick Chair model (out of view), which basically also has some EQHs as well. A runner could be left for even higher prices should both targets be hit.
The stoploss is discretionary for a better RR as this is the Daily timeframe. The safest option would be the protected low annotated on the chart.
- R2F
EUR/JPY has a strong bullish momentum, could it rise further?Price is falling towards a support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 165.195
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 164.439
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 166.00
Why we like it:
There is a resistance level at the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USD/JPY looks set for 155 - but will the BOJ allow a breakout?At the beginning of April, Japan's ex-FX diplomat Watanabe said that the BOJ were unlikely to intervene with USD/JPY below 155. Well now the pair trade less than 80 pips beneath this key level (and less than a day's trade by recent standards), 155 is certainly the level to watch today.
The strength of the bullish 1-hour trend makes it seem that USD/JPY has little choice by to at least try and retest 155. Prices are now consolidating after a mild pullback, RSI (2) is nearing oversold during an uptrend and the daily pivot point is nearby for dip buyers to consider longs.
Should momentum turn higher from here, bulls could simply target 155.
As for how it behaves if it meets that level remains to be seen. Yet prior attempts at key levels usually sees momentum either slow down ahead of it, or a volatile breakout is followed by a shakeout before prices revert beneath the key level. The only exception in recent history was IS CPI data which saw prices smash through 152 with apparent ease.
But today we suspect market forces alone can drive prices higher without US data. The question remains as to whether the BOJ will remain quiet and allow the rally to flourish further.
USDJPY → Trade Analysis | SELL SetupHello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity USDJPY
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
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Sell CHFJPY Channel BreakoutThe CHF/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential shorting opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined channel pattern.
Potential Short Trade :
Entry: Consider entering a short position (selling) below the broken support line of the channel after confirmation. Ideally, this would be around 169.90 or lower if the price continues to decline.
Thank you.
GJDAILY
Still in our bullish trend, currently forming a channel where we are slowing down and pulling momentum. Towards the 190.00 is where we would expect a reversal and continuation of the trend.
4H
Still letting it fall and as practice analysis, our forecast from early in the morning is currently on par with the market. 190.00 our aim
1H
In the distribution phase so we know this is where momentum is best.
Usdjpy, congrats to those who long the break up last week!Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
Yup, as mentioned, if you have gone long last week..so question this week, is it gonna repeat what happened last week?Hmmmm i am starting to be more cautious
Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place.
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
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EURJPY - Wait For The Bears!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 EURJPY has been overall bearish , trading within the falling flat wedge pattern in red.
Currently, EURJPY is approaching the upper bound of the channel acting as a non-horizontal resistance.
Moreover, it is retesting a demand zone marked in green.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper red trendline and green demand zone.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #EURJPY approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
CADJPY Eyes Selling Setup Amid Safe-Haven JPY DemandAttention Traders,
In today's trading session, our attention is on CADJPY, with our focus directed towards a potential selling opportunity around the 112.400 zone. CADJPY is nearing a significant resistance line, marking the 112.400 supply zone.
Adding depth to our analysis, it's imperative to consider the fundamental landscape. The escalation of tensions in the Middle East has contributed to heightened market uncertainty, prompting investors to seek refuge in safe-haven assets. The Japanese Yen (JPY), renowned for its stability and reliability, is particularly favored in such environments. Therefore, we are inclined towards buying JPY amidst the escalating tensions in the Middle East, leveraging its status as a safe haven during periods of geopolitical instability.
With CADJPY poised to encounter resistance at the 112.400 supply zone and the safe-haven appeal of JPY amidst Middle East escalations, the convergence of these factors presents an opportune moment for a potential selling opportunity in the pair.
Trade wisely,
Joe
USDJPY → An opportunity to get a longUSDJPY → An opportunity to get along
hello guys...
as you can see, usdjpy made a supply and demand zone and started forming a three-drive pattern! two of them formed so far!
no on this internal trendline is a great opportunity to get a long position until this third drive that would be the next target!
___________________________
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