USD/JPY: Keeping an eye on false breaksOn Friday we saw USD/JPY failed to hold onto intraday gains above 158 following the BOJ meeting, and close the day back beneath the prior 'MOF intervention' level to form a shooting star candle.
Prices drifted higher on Monday on relatively low volume, putting us once again on guard for either a false break of 158 or Friday's high.
We're seeing a simple countertrend move back down to the high-volume node around 157.30 or even 157, should US data surprise enough to the downside later today.
Jpy
Bearish drop?USD/JPY is rising towards a resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 158.20
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 159.21
Why we like it:
There is a resistance level at the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 157.30
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level which lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
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GBPJPY H4 - Sell SignalGBPJPY H4
We have pinned into our first sell zone here on GBPJPY. 200.800 price has been wicked on the H4 and we have the London volume to see where this may now take us. Would like to see this zone hold and rejections form from this price.
If resistance does break, we have the yearly high sell zone as a second approach (final attempt). Lets see what unfolds.
Sell USD/JPY Wedge BreakoutThe USD/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Wedge Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position below The Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 157.55.
Target Levels :
1st Support – 156.00
2nd Support – 155.20
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 158.35. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly.
Thank you.
Bearish drop?USD/JPY is reacting off a resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 157.72
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 158.48
Why we like it:
There is a resistance level at the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 155.79
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bearish on USDJPYThe recent price action shows a push towards a resistance zone, indicating potential exhaustion or a reversal point.
The shaded area marks a significant resistance zone around the 157.700 - 158.000 levels. This zone has been tested multiple times and has held as a strong supply area.
Immediate support can be identified around the 156.500 level, which aligns with previous swing lows and a possible demand zone.
A stronger support level is around 155.500, a psychological round number that has acted as a base for previous price reversals.
Below the 156.500 support level, there may be sell-side liquidity, where sell stops from long positions could be resting.
The resistance area (157.700 - 158.000) is a supply zone, where significant selling interest could push the price lower.
A notable fair value gap (FVG) or imbalance between 155.500 and 157.000 from previous price movements suggests potential areas for price retracement.
Entry: Consider entering a short position around the 157.700 - 158.000 resistance zone.
Stop Loss: Place the stop loss slightly above the resistance zone, around 158.200, to account for potential liquidity grabs.
Take Profit: Aim to take profits around the immediate support at 156.500 and a more extended target around the 155.500 level, aligning with the demand zone and previous lows.
EURJPY - Follow The Bears!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 EURJPY has been overall bearish, trading within the falling red channel.
Currently, EURJPY is undergoing a correction phase and it is currently approaching the upper bound of the channel.
Moreover, it is retesting strong supply zone marked in blue.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for trend-following sell setups as it is the intersection of the blue supply zone and upper red trendline acting as a non-horizontal resistance.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #EURJPY approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Potential bearish reversal?USD/JPY is rising towards the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 157.96
1st Support: 155.78
1st Resistance: 158.93
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
JPY Index next week outlookThe Japanese currency continuesly doping down From march of 2020. Now in 4H timeframe already Rebound from 704.1 level. But still not tread breakout confirmation.
Within next week I expect all JPY pairs will fall down to retest the above support area. However still have FVG Between 718 - 120 levels.
GBPJPY is approaching the uptrendHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring GBPJPY for a buying opportunity around 198.600 zone, GBPJPY is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 198.600 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Buy AUDJPY BoJ Interest rateKey Points:
Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around the current price of 104.30, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 105.15
2nd Support – 105.50
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 103.97. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Thank you.
Sell NZDJPY Wedge BreakoutThe NZD/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Wedge pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry : Consider entering a short position around the current price of 96.70, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 96.17
2nd Support – 95.82
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 97.20. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Thank you.
Bullish rise?EUR/JPY has just reacted off the pivot and could potentially rise to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 168.31
1st Support: 167.37
1st Resistance: 170.03
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Volatility strikes USD/JPY within rangeThe whipsaws for the US dollar around US CPI and the FOMC meeting made its mark on USD/JPY, which closed the day with a large hanging man candle beneath the May high. Markets are still deciding whether to pay closer attention to softer inflation data or the Fed's relatively hawkish meeting, and that likely means confusing price action on USD pairs.
The 1-hour chart shows strong volume accompanying the rally from Wednesday's low, which suggests another crack at breaking above the week's high. But with plenty of resistance overhead, bears may be tempted to fade into rallies on hopes of driving the pair back to the range lows around 155.
Potential bullish rise?NZD/JPY has just broken out of the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance which aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Pivot: 96.75
1st Support: 96.13
1st Resistance: 97.57
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Japan rate decision Friday: A deeper look Japan's wholesale inflation surged in May at the fastest annual rate in nine months, data revealed yesterday, indicating that a weak yen may be exerting upward pressure on prices by increasing the cost of raw material imports. Producer prices in Japan rose 2.4% year-on-year in May 2024, up from 1.1% in April, surpassing market expectations of a 2% rise.
This data is likely to be a key factor for the Bank of Japan (BOJ) board as it convenes for a two-day policy meeting ending on Friday. The central bank is widely anticipated to maintain its short-term interest rate target within the 0% to 0.1% range.
However, the data adds complexity to the BOJ's decision-making on the timing of interest rate hikes. BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda has stated that the central bank will consider raising rates further if it becomes more confident that underlying inflation will remain around the 2% target.
Looking at the 4-hour chart today, the USD/JPY has rebounded following the FOMC decision, erasing much of the post-CPI drop, and passing through the 20-, 50-, 100-, and 200-hour Exponential Moving Averages.
USDJPY Potential Downturn: Key Levels and FOMC Insights todayHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDJPY for a selling opportunity around 155.900 zone, USDJPY is trading in an uptrend and currently seems to be attempting to break it out. If we get decent dips below the support area we will be looking for a potential retrace of the trend towards more lows.
Fundamentally the last CPI data came below expectations, indicating that inflationary pressures might be easing. This could reduce the need for aggressive interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, potentially leading to USD weakness. Additionally, we have the FOMC meeting later today, where any dovish signals or a cautious approach towards future rate hikes could further weaken the USD, making the bearish scenario for USDJPY more likely. Therefore, it's crucial to monitor the price action around the 155.900 zone and be prepared for potential volatility following the FOMC announcements.
EURJPY Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURJPY for a selling opportunity around 169.500 zone, EURJPY is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 169.500 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
AUDJPY to form a higher low?AUDJPY - 24h expiry
Indecisive price action has resulted in sideways congestion on the intraday chart.
RSI (relative strength indicator) is flat and reading close to 50 (mid-point) highlighting the fact that we are non- trending.
Pivot support is at 103.00.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 103.75 will confirm the bullish momentum.
We look to Buy at 103.50 (stop at 103.10)
Our profit targets will be 104.50 and 104.75
2,5RR
Resistance: 104.00 / 104.50 / 104.75
Support: 103.50 / 103.25 / 103.00
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The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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USDJPY (Bullish Overall)USD/JPY 4-Hour Chart Analysis
Trend Analysis:
- The 4-hour chart shows an overall uptrend, with higher highs and higher lows indicating bullish momentum.
- Recently, the price has experienced some volatility but remains above key support levels.
Support and Resistance Levels:
- Immediate Support Level: 156.00, which could act as a short-term support if the price pulls back.
- Next Support Level: 154.50, a significant support level that has been tested previously.
- Immediate Resistance Level: 157.30, which is close to the current price and could act as a barrier to upward movement.
- Next Resistance Level: 158.00, a key resistance level that aligns with recent highs.
Technical Indicators:
- The recent candlestick patterns suggest some consolidation, but the overall trend remains bullish.
- There are no immediate signs of a reversal, indicating that the bullish momentum may continue.
Direction Preference:
Given the current uptrend and the lack of reversal signals, the preferred direction for USD/JPY in the short term is bullish. The price is likely to continue moving higher towards the resistance levels of 157.30 and potentially 158.00.
Conclusion:
The USD/JPY 4-hour chart indicates a bullish trend with continued upward momentum. It is advisable to consider long positions, targeting the resistance levels at 157.30 and 158.00. Monitor for any signs of consolidation or pullback, but as of now, the bullish trend remains the preferred direction.
AUDJPY - Follow The Trend!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 AUDJPY has been overall bearish , trading within the falling wedge in orange.
Currently, AUDJPY is undergoing a correction phase and it is currently approaching the upper bound of the wedge.
Moreover, it is retesting strong supply zone marked in green.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for trend-following sell setups as it is the intersection of the green supply zone and upper orange trendline acting as a non-horizontal resistance.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #AUDJPY approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Buy CHFJPY Triangle BreakoutThe CHF/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position Above The Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 175.24
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 175.82
2nd Resistance – 176.10
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 174.50. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly.
Opportunity Breakdown:
Triangle Breakout: Price action recently broke above a bullish triangle, a continuation pattern suggesting further upside potential.
Retest Confirmation: The price has retested the broken resistance line of the triangle and held, indicating strong buying pressure. This retest adds confidence to the breakout.
Ichimoku Cloud Support: The current price sits comfortably above the Ichimoku cloud, a technical indicator that often signals bullish momentum when the price is above the cloud.
Thank you.